Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "Hear ex-CIA director's prediction about who will win in Ukraine" video.

@bobbobinskiy1767 bob, put down the bong. Trolling does not work when it's absurd.
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If a comet destroyed Earth, the poorest would be most affected, followed by women and children. But, of course.
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Petraeus has it nailed: the conflict is going to turn on who can throw together more combat units. Ukrainians are totally motivated. Putin's invasion is that of extermination: political, cultural, economic. He's gone Adolf. Just listen to Moscow TV pundits. They are candid. Medvedev (mini-Putin) tells the tale: he HATES Ukrainians. The other -- never mentioned -- factor: Ukrainian traitors. Zelenskyy's counter-intelligence corps is CONSTANTLY bagging traitors -- using their cell phones to betray their brothers. There's no need for interrogations. The cell phone records are utterly damning. Because of geo-location, the authorities know where to pick the traitors up. They're wearing the evidence. Because of drones, satellites, cell phones, the Internet -- this is a strange war wherein both sides can't keep Big Secrets. Many -- probably all -- of the deep strikes by Russian missiles are treason based. Rats are phoning Moscow.
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bkanegson -- you missed the political angle. Putin is desperate to have his invasion war expanded into Russia. He needs his aggression to be re-framed as a war of national survival -- for Russia. The West is frustrating his deepest desire. It's working: the Russian Army has the mobility of a sloth. No-one will negotiate with Putin. He's destined to lose -- everything.
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Russia's MIC is collapsing. It had become addicted to Western imports. Its export market has utterly collapsed. No-one buys from a loser. For the West, virtually all of the stuff proffered comes out of storage. No-one wants to provide current weapons technology to Kyiv. It's all being re-manufactured -- down. (ie electronics stripped) Ukraine simply has too many traitors with cell phones.
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@junli6065 Can you believe it? Huawei is pulling out of Russia. Red Chinese firms have a choice Putin or infuriating ALL of their European customers. So far, the vote has been entirely lopsided. Go figure.
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@alexwestconsulting Alex -- Moscow TV gives the game away. Putin wants it ALL. He is Peter the Tyrant, revisited. As for pride -- before the fall => Putin !
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@alexwestconsulting Red China has maxed out Russian oil deliveries via the Russian Far East export hub. All other Russian exports are via pipeline to Europe -- ie former Warsaw Pact nations -- OR via Russia's export hubs: near St. Petersburg [the Gulf of Finland] -- and in the Black Sea. (multiple ports there -- but they can't sail oil through the Turkish straits, so easily. All of these western oil hubs can only feed (Panamax) supertankers -- not VLCCs, not ULCCs. The smaller supertankers -- usually -- lack the long-legs required to sail to India -- let alone Red China. They'd require re-manufacture -- to add fuel bunkerage -- and lots of it. (Burning crude oil is no work-around.)
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@alexwestconsulting Yes it is. Adolf wanted it all. Look how that played out. Alexander the Great wanted it all. Then his army rebelled. He was so furious that he marched them through a desert -- leaving 3/4 men dead of thirst. Napoleon wanted it all. He only turned back into the snows of Moscow. Stalin wanted it all. He was doing great, then he died. Oops. Just stop -- and listen to TV Moscow. Those are his buddies/puppets spouting off. "Speak the Truth" has a ton of clips to laugh through.
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@alexwestconsulting It's a certainty that Putin will be laying on additional Far Eastern export capacity as fast as it can be done. There is ONE hang-up: the fields providing the oil were ONLY developed with the aid of the West -- America, in this case. ALL of the experts have left, taking their toys with them. Since every oil well declines in production, a cessation of new drilling must mean future trouble. I have no doubt that in-field drilling will continue to hold up Putin's production -- for a time -- but eventually any field's capacity peaks. Worse, improper in-field drilling permanently ruins the reservoir. The Americans discovered this the hard way, in Texas, ninety-years ago. Putin as another monster technical problem. His Urals stuff, now lacking a market, has to be ramped down. He can't get away with just pouring crude oil across Russia -- and his tank farm is filling up FAST. He has no options. He must cap off producing wells -- and pray that some day they can be restarted. (Good luck with that. Most capped wells can never be brought back. Instead, should the numbers warrant, a wholly new hole will have to plunge down into the reservoir -- if you didn't really screw things up. Since it's normal practice to cap low-output wells, re-drilling is quite rare. It takes a quantum leap in oil prices for the numbers to work. Such wells will always need a cricket pump, too. Punching new holes for certified low flows is hard to justify.) Putin's Urals fields are worthy of historical note. THESE are the wells that gutted Adolf in WWII -- and they were solely brought into production via Lend-Lease aid -- and Baker & Hughes. Yup. At the time, this 'elephant' was a top state secret. Adolf could NOT figure out where Stalin's Diesel fuel was coming from. The field was entirely out of range of the Luftwaffe. Adolf would've needed a B-29 fleet to touch it. Perfect, then. The Urals elephant was the first time the Soviets saw a rotary drilling rig. Until that time, the Bolsheviks were using the exact same techniques seen in the film: "There Will Be Blood." Yeah, Stalin was forty-years behind the West. When the USSR fell, the very fella that brought in the Urals elephant -- a Baker Hughes salesmen-tech expert was interviewed on McNeil-Lehrer. (PBS News Hour) To his astonishment, the USSR NEVER advanced a single step past the tech provided under Lend-Lease in WWII. (!!!!!!) Yes, you're getting the dope from the horse's mouth. This history explains why Putin signed up with Exxon-Mobile. That firm could get away with employing thirty-year old tech -- and come off as super geniuses. The West knew the Arctic. (North Slope, anyone?) Put one other fact in your cap: this flow of events shows why NONE of the expert estimates about Earth's crude oil reserves can be right. Most of the planet has been off limits to American drilling technology. Ukraine is now known to have a tight sands, gas bearing strata that can be unlocked via fracking -- that dang near covers the ENTIRE country. THIS is THE key reason for 2014's invasion. Kyiv was about to displace Putin's cash machine... using pipelines that the USSR had laid. And, today Putin finally cut-off the West from his gas. He'd already cut off Poland, Bulgaria. Latvia had cut Putin off... and was cross-feeding Estonia. Lithuania was jumping into the soup, too. Damn that American LNG ! Between that an German coal/lignite, Putin's play fell apart. Isn't it strange that none of the above detail ever makes it to your TV screen? You live in a world of dunces, lazy dunces.
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@johnnewman1483 Ukraine was the nation invaded -- when Moscow was telling the whole world that no invasion was at hand. You are deluded to impute to the victim the sins of the aggressor. Moscow TV is far more honest. Putin wants the Russian Empire restored -- to himself. It really is THAT simple. NATO membership, EU membership -- were mere dreams when Putin assaulted his neighbor. Paris and Berlin were wholly opposed to both prospects. And they each had veto power. And Putin new this, too. Has known it for years. Both let Moscow know about their feelings. EVERYBODY is terrified of him. Absolutely no nation had then, or has now, designs on Russian turf or sovereignty. Period. The West has compelled Zelenskyy to not hurt Putin with weaponry it provides. Instead, Kyiv is supposed to be a punching bag for Putin's vanity. Violent husbands oft claim that their wives made them 'do it.' No-one buys that argument. It doesn't fly here, either.
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Democracy is the tyranny of the multitude. The Greeks discovered this the hard way -- repeatedly. Only Republican Democracy actually works, one that protects minority political opinion.
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Media warfare. Actually, what's happening is that the pipeline to Ukraine is being filled. But, it takes about six-weeks for stuff from the US to cross the water. Airfreight does not work at the scale required. Those shipments were strictly media events.
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The slaves won in 1865. The World won in 1945.
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Why wonder why ? Elites congregate... always. This has been going on for millennia. In centuries past, British bigwigs bought generalships, admiralships. Further back, bigwigs across Europe simply bought Cardinalships. Yup. No seminary, priesthood, bishopric for them.
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