Comments by "David Himmelsbach" (@davidhimmelsbach557) on "Russian invasion of Ukraine [22 May 2022]" video.
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@Relax25588 The oil that Putin exports from St. Petersburg sails in hulls he does not own, captained by aliens, with foreign crews. The ships involved are, by industry standards, shallow draft. (Not ULCC, not VLCC) They are mere super-tankers.
The Gulf of Finland is too shallow to bring in the Big Boys.
Should Putin manage to contract a ship -- said ship can't sail to India, let alone Red China. They were never built with sufficient fuel bunkers. They would need to refuel along the way. But no NATO, no Western, nation will permit it... AND no Western crew will show up.
It's for the above reasons that only a modest increase in oil sales by Putin to India are even possible.
As for Red China, they are getting theirs by pipeline and by Putin's Far Eastern terminal. Both are maxed out -- and have been for some time.
But, ultimately, Putin is piling up cash like a criminal baron. He (largely) can't spend it -- not on the physical trade goods that he requires: microchips, PLCs, bearings, tool bits, etc.
That's why his two largest tank factories are on hiatus. Like Ford and GM, they face a chip shortage. Unlike the American giants, Putin's factories can't fix the shortage.
BTW, the vast bulk of Putin's tank park sits as Siberian rust. They'd have to be re-manufactured -- and that would take too long to affect events.
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@keimcpartlan7434 What's weird is how Putin has expanded NATO -- rather dramatically.
What's weird is that Ukraine will be re-built at the (financial-economic) expense of the West -- with the US taking the lead. That's what Biden's signature on Lend-Lease means. Zelenzkyy has a $40,000,000,000 pre-paid debit card in his palms. Kyiv has a budget equal -- and soon greater than -- that of Putin.
The West is going to entirely re-build Ukraine's economy, its debt of honor.
The Ukrainian defenders paid in blood -- the West will pay in every other way.
Putin will pay with his neck.
Kyiv (and Minsk, too) will end up inside NATO. ( Belarus will have its revolution. )
Eventually, Moscow will end up inside NATO. This shift will be essential to thwart the Chinese Communist Party -- which still wants Siberia back. Don't you doubt it.
Frenemy, indeed !
Whether the CCP can survive Xi - that's an open question. Zero Covid = the end of the Red Chinese miracle. The West is certain to take its game to Vietnam, India, Indonesia -- even the Philippines.
In the meantime, Putin's project will starve millions across Africa. What a guy ! He ends up destroying more lives than Adolf Hitler -- previously considered an impossible feat.
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