Youtube comments of Diego Yanes Holtz (@diegoyanesholtz212).
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There is a lot of fear-mongering about sub saharan African illegal migration, especially in the US, as I said is a European problem, and Europe has a moat, also I might add, that Africa's TFR is falling, and the lowest is South Africa which is below 2.3 according to the UN, and probably will be below replacement levels by 2030s, other countries like Nigeria, Ghana are falling, Ghana has a TFR 3,5, is high, but not much. So I do see African TFR being below replacement level by mid-century.
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Yeah the Mexican and Canadian are important, but I do believe South East Asia can play a role, maybe the biggest blunder is the US leaving TPP, trans Pacific partnership, countries like Vietnam, Philippines, Indonesia could replace some things the Chinese does. Also stoping negotiations with the Trans Atlantic Treaty was dumb too. Yes Europe has problems but the US entering Europe will keep Chinese influence out, another dumb thing is not investing in Green technology, I not a radical environmentalist, but green technology can play a role in reindustrialization and making more efficient use of fossil fuels, the Trump presidency a mess and a failure.
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I disagree. I think the US is in the Best position. The problem is that the US reather than invest in domestic worker. Keep importing them, Indian and Chinese for high skills and latin american for low skill. This is China in 2023. China will go though this right now. I notice that in the 1980s the US was competetive but less. Now days is just toxic, if you get a B+ in high school you lose a scholarship. I think the US should cut down on imigration, free trade with China helped cause a big problem deindustrialization, but the rust belt was declining a little before the open up China in 1970, China industrialization just speed up something that would eventually happened, but industry probably would go to China, the deep south and maybe Mexico, and China just made the situation it worst, and I think. The number of internation students should be limited. Trade and professonal schools just be free. And the government should give scholarship for intelligent american people to study stem or medicine, is better than to keep importing workers from third world, no american voted for this. It just the political system is corrupt. If you think about it chinese students, most of them, is studing at ivy league because their perants had corrupt connection with the CCP and many help cause the problem that the rust belt are facing, I am not being racist against chineses or asians, I just think they should not be rewarded for this, limting international admition will still make some people from china or india to come but will help more american citizens. Propably the best internatinional student will still come, but I notice many univesities and collages are having majority foreign student, they are the cash cow.
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I notice something about Latin American cities like the rich live near the city center but not at the city center which is quite ghetto and dangerous, and the poor live in the outskirt of the city, lived in Brazil, maybe doing a part two including some Brazilian cities like São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro. I know São Paulo's rich neighborhood can be Jardins, or Morumbi, I think these two would be old money and new money, in São Paulo, it is in Alphaville and Itaim Bibi, the area around Av. Faria Lima (I am kind of doubtful if it is new or old money, the latter) ; and in Rio, it will be on the beach, the old money will be Leblon or Ipanema, and the new money will be Barra da Tijuca.
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Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iran, Ethiopia, and Egypt are also in Brics, Saudi Arabia and UAE produce a lot of oil, and probably oil prices will go to the roof, taxes Mexican and Canadian oil at 25%, and Saudi, Emirati and Brazilian oil at 100%, oil prices will be expansive, the 1970s will look like a walk in the park. So dumb. Just so stupid and just unqualified people that should have any power in a position of power.
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I am for high-skill legal immigrants as I said these immigrants don't cause damage to American blue-collar workers and Silicon Valley and the tech sector or even doctors' positions aren't filled and getting good workers from abroad since they are qualified to do the job is not a bad idea. I see that certain immigrants don't cause any problems and help the economy and create jobs, I studied labor economics so I know the facts, the bad immigrants are the low-skill, low IQ, that will take from American labor at best or live off welfare at worst. I think the level of education, not skin color says a lot about whether the immigrants will contribute to society or not, also there are companies started by immigrants, and there are immigrants that employ American labor if you bring it down 0 then there will be fewer jobs because these immigrants will start their start-up home and not in America. Elon Musk is a good example, imagine if he did not come to America? The CEO of Google is from India. I am for high-skilled immigration. If someone gets an advanced diploma from MIT the US should give him a green card. Silicon Valley can't fill the position and a plumber or carpenter doesn't have the skill to work those specialized tech jobs it won't compete with them either. And these people with advanced diplomas from MIT, Stanford, or the Ivy League will probably open a start-up and be job creators, not job takers
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I am from Brazil, Brazil is a Latin American country but not a Hispanic, american politics reminds me a lot of caudillismo, Peter Zeihan compared Trump with an Argentine Caudillo called Juan Domingo Peron, my country has a similar version of Peron and it was Getúlio Vargas, so I know a lot what was their policy, one copied from another, I think the process of the US becoming a Latin American country started and is inevitable, even if you press the stop button to all forms for legal or illegal immigration, the US is latinizing. To what extent, I don't know. But is Latinizing. And probably western Europe politics would be more Middle Eastern. I would say the US is Argentina or Brazil in the 1930's or 1940's.
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Also, the Rust Belt happened because of unions, jobs weren't only shipped from the Rust Belt to China or Mexico, they were also shipped from the Rust Belt to the right-to-work states in the Sun Belt, places like North and South Carolina, Texas, Tennessee, Florida and etc. Even if the US didn't sign one single trade deal, the jobs would go to the former Confederate states in the south of the US. You are partially right about the rust belt, but is a half-truth, the rust belt would have still happened, so is a lie the rust is caused only by free trade and these industries would have relocated to states with less regulation in the South of the US. The Rust Belt would still exist even if the US did not adopt a free trade policy.
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The problem is the US economy is so strong, that there is even an obesity problem in this country. The US economy had to collapse to defeat liberals so the conservatives could rebuild the country from the ashes, like a phoenix, the US had never seen a great war in the continent since the Civil War, the World Wars hit Europe badly and not the US and World War 2 devasted east Asia. The US never had seen a currency collapse, this is hyperinflation. The US dollar is still widely accepted around the world, and most people alive today never lived through a great depression, Maybe someone who is 90 or 80 mite remember their childhood. The US had to go through a major crisis again for conservatism to win, the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe made it conservative anti-communist, and anti-woke, and is recent it happened less than 40 years ago. Live has gotten too comfortable in the US, making utopian ideology seem great.
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You notice something? In Victorian Britian men and women during the first years of there infancy had a nany. Usually these nanies where trained to depline both boys and girls, than after the age of 5 up 7 boys and girls where sent to all women bording school, and men where sent to all men bording school, even teachers where men, and womens bording school was also like this too. Long time ago schools was gender segregated, everywhere was like this, the boys in there bording lived among there male peers with a very strict education, they can have leaser time in british bording schools by playing football (soccar if you where in america), cricket or Rugby. Real men was created. Values where taught. Women learned things that women have to learn such as kitting, cooking and there women where prepared to be good house wives. The adults where pobably sent to India, South Africa, Nigeria Kenya Hong Kong to get a job administrating a colony usually a civil service or cooporate jobs, some join the military or the navy. Real man was created, I don't feel masculine at all but compare to some gen Z, I am Alpha. Boys these days think is normal to paint nails and use makeup, in the 1990 you would beaten up and called a f@gg0t. But I would be the first generation to be spoiled the video games, in my time there was playstation the first one latter playstation 2 was released, there was other console. Nintendo, X box, but this was bad for my generation, but at least I wasn't poised by wokism and Tiktok. I have no hope for who was born after 1992. Thing will only get worst IMAO. Free internet p0rn was distructive to men.
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Yeah, I lived in Brazil, is not autocratic, but is very corrupt, there are a lot of brides, and there are corrupt democracies. But at least you listen in the news, I feel the US is already becoming a banana republic, and that is why I voted for Harris. Once I asked a cop in the Rio de Janeiro bus terminal where I could get an interstate bus to Minas Gerais and I faced a random search I never asked a cop again and shop workers and cafeteria workers in the Bus terminal, if you are rich in Brazil you can have one of the best lives, but if you are poor is hell on earth. That is what Trump wants. I don't feel we are at an autocracy, but we can get there in the 2030s. You will pay, unfortunately, since I am part of society I will have to pay too. Hope people take personal responsibility, learn from their mistakes, and the republican party cleans their room, like hypocrite Jordan Peterson said.
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There is only one state that can succeed successfully with is Alaska, for the mainland US get Alaska back it need Canada do it, and it will be hard it will like China invading Taiwan, now if Canada does not want to host US troop, I say is nearly impossible for the mainland to invade and Alaska will be independent, Texas will never succeed, is connected to the Union so as California can't succeed too, I say Hawaii can, even though is a deep blue state, now I think the Hawaii state government will stay loyal, but it can. It is geography.
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I a from southern Brazil, I had a professor that was a wheat farmer in the Pampas region of Rio Grande do Sul, land and climate very similar to Argentina and Uruguay, Brazil imports most of is wheat from Argentina. My dad studied Agricultural science in UFPR (Universidade Ferderal do Paraná) and the US, he said that Embrapa, he know people who work there, want to plant wheat in Ceará, Northeastern Brasil. If wheat is viable there, I think it will be a game changer for one of the poorest region in Brazil, the Sertão Nordestino, the northeastern semi-arid, I know soy plantation made a very poor region into a richest in Brazil, just as prosperous as the south and in the 1950 the cerrado (Brazilian savanna) was as poor as the northeast. The cerrado , Mato Gross, Mato Grosso do Sul, Goiás, Tocantins and in some region of western Maranhão, Bahia and Piauí, there was a saying in the 1950s, "Land in the cerrado not given nor inherited" , now the cerrado is the most productive region in soy and beef. Wheat is a good crop for dryer regions. Here is the article in Portuguese.
https://globorural.globo.com/Noticias/Agricultura/Trigo/noticia/2021/03/trigo-surpreende-no-ceara-com-precocidade-e-alta-produtividade.html
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What I would do Social Security would be reformed in the capitalization model. The US would not be the first to adopt it, Chile, Australia, and Singapore adopted this model. It would solve the insolvency problem of Social Security but the problem would be the transitioning out of the old model, which is government-funded and pay as you go, the younger people would enter the full capitalization model but older people would be still in the old model pay as you go, untill they die and the people in between could have a hybrid model. The problem is demographics, and with low birth rates Social Security will be insolvent, I believe that pro-natalist policies have been tried in various and have a rate of failure to 100%, nobody has yet solved the low fertility rate, all the pro-natalist policy can be bad and authoritarian too.
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FUCK BERNIE SANDERS, AND FUCK ALL TYPE OF SOCIALISM (DEMOCRATIC, NATIONAL AND MARXIST)
BERNIE SANDERS ECONOMIC POLICY WILL BANKRUPT THE COUNTRY, LEADING TO A BANKING CRISES, HIGH INFLATION RATES, HIGH DEBT, A HIGH TAXATION, HIGH INTEREST RATE, LOW GDP GROWTH RATE, AND A HIGH UNENPLOYMENT RATE.
AS SAID MAGIE (THATCHTER) " The problem with socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money"
FUCK THAT SOCIALIST PIECE OF SHIT
DON´T TRY ARGUE WITH ME BECAUSE A LIVE IN A SOCIALIST COUNTRY IN LATIN AMERICA AND KNOW HOW CRAPY IT IS, AND I AM AN ECONOMIST.
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Man, this country is a joke, is already a banana republic thanks to MAGA, we are not an authoritarian system like China, but if the government bans TikTok then american go to an even worse Chinese app, what a joke. We are becoming a bullshit latin american country like Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, you are becoming more like your neighbors in the south of the border, a corrupt kleptocracy and a small oligarchal corrupt elite. I don't think the US is an unfree country but a banana republic like Mexico, in 15 years the US will become that just wait. I was very critical of the Brazilian government and still am, but I think in 15 years America will become a country if you have the means and you are rich, and have a connection you can be a criminal, you already have your first criminal president called Trump. The american bad party is not wrong anymore but I don't like the Chinese propaganda part, Trump should not be president if America was a serious country he would be in jail. The US is still more affluent than Latin America, but you can be the next Argentina.
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The Republican party is not for freedom, they want a dictatorship in America, I losing faith in the American system, I am a free market dude, but the MAGA people have gone full outright fascism, they are criticizing the Austrian school and want a Christian theocratic authoritarian state in american and they hate the philosophy I like which is classical liberalism, you can not have a just society without freedom, if you end freedom of the press in America is the end of a just society, and America becomes an Argentina. Ask Chat GPT what was the GDP Per capita PPP of Argentina in the 1920s? The country in 1920, corrected by inflation was as rich as Scandinavian country, and because of stupid authoritarian policy, the country now is as poor as Brazil and Mexico.
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Why does the US print so much and not have inflation, why we are not Argentina or Venezuela? The US dollar is the world reserve currency, is like the gold that the FED prints. What causes hyperinflation is two things, lack of reverse in the Central Bank, this was the cause of Hyperinflation in Weimar Germany when the gold was confiscated from the German Central Bank to pay reparation for the victors of WWI, and if a country has too much debt in a currency they don't print, usually is the world reserve currency US Dollar since this country can't print dollar they print local currency to pay the debt and hyperinflate it's currency. None of these scenarios is happening in the US, Japan and Singapore have a 200% debt-to-GDP ratio and no hyperinflation because of their hard currency status and they service internal debt with local currency. Now US debt is 100% in US dollars, and the US has no debt in other currencies such as the Euro or pound sterling. America's debt and money printing is a hype. The real threat is called MAGA and Trumpnomics, if the FED independence is ended then is the end of the Dollar reserve status, because the interest rate is not based on technicality but on politics and political gains. As long the FED is independent, you will not have hyperinflation like in Venezuela or Argentina in the US. The US is much more like to go through Japanification of the economy, the US economy becomes more like Japan's, old, stagnant, and deflationary and full of debt.
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@williaminnes6635 there is some economist who says there is a fifth factor, technology, which is debatable. I could be three to five, Labor, land, and capital, maybe add a fourth entrepreneurship and there might be a fifth technology. Economist always has a different opinion from one another, there are the Austrian school, Chicago school, neoclassical, classical, Keynesian, Marxist, etc so there is a lot of debate and different opinions, I think Marxist economics was debunked when the Berlin Wall fell and should the world the failure of marxism, I like the Chicago school better, but there are the different line of thought.
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I think Argentina needs to make cuts, I am from South America, and I think in future Brazil, my country will need to do the same as Argentina, I am not fond of Millei, but he is not 100% wrong like Trump, and Musk. Running an emerging market you need to be more conservative in economics and I think that is why I vote for conservative right-wingers in Brazil and liberals in the US. A weak currency can collapse, unlike the dollar which I doubt it will collapse anytime soon. Unlike Argentina and Brazil, 100% of US debt is dollar-denominated, so is hard for the currency to collapse I would not be worried if you earn in dollars, the problem is let's say you are Argentina, you owe a lot of debt in a currency you don't print and your central bank has no dollar-denominated reserve, that when hyperinflation kicks in, because you need to pay a debt in a currency you don't print. This is far from happening in the US and you shouldn't worry about this, even with Trumpflation that is coming, it will be bad, but not 200% a year as it was in Argentina. The thing is the US will make austerity and they don't need this. Is not necessary, that is the problem.
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Argentina had an electoral college during the 1980s and decided to go to the national popular vote, I wouldn't say I like the electoral college in the US because is making US politics polarized, explosive, and radicalized. That is why every country that had one abandoned it, the US needs more parties, this is why Bill Clinton is very different than the AOC and Trump is very different than Ronald Reagan and Mitt Romney. More parties and more different beliefs would be represented, I am for rank choice voting, the GOP is for the electoral college because it benefits them but if Texas becomes a purple state the electoral college will not benefit the GOP, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Virginia are an example of former red states that became purple. I am not a Democrat and don't like them, I am probably independent.
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In Brazil you have Itaú, Caixa, and Banco do Brasil (Bank of Brazil) as SOEs, Bradesco and Santander, you can get interest yearly rates like 200% on your credit card, and big banks like Itaú and Bradesco don't fail, they are too big to fail. They will take the Brazilian economy with it, but you will have an abusive fee. The SOE banks like the Bank of Brazil or Caixa, are run by the federal government so they won't fail because taxpayer money goes to them if they have losses, in Brazil we privatize profits, and socialize losses.
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Transnistria, Priednestrovie, will the government will face a collapse financial soon. An empire, like Russia, always collapses first at the periphery and then collapses at its core. It was like this in the Soviet Union in the late 1980s and early 1990s, Poland, and Hungary left the soviet bloc, then came the velvet revolution in Czechoslovakia and the Berlin Wall fell and East Germany was united with the richer West Germany, Ceausescu was executed and then in the Soviet Union the Baltics republican wanted to regain independence, then it spread to the caucus and Ukraine, etc until the Soviet Union did not exist anymore. We will know when Russia lost when Ukraine regained Crimea, and you know when Russia collapsed when all its vessel states, Transnistria, Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Belarus collapsed. Chechnya is demanding independence from the empire.
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Yeah, that's why I rather vote Democrat, I am a libertarian, and I think the american right is very religious, and religious people hate libertarianism because it leads to "degeneracy", for me is the best system, I am not against religion nor wants an atheist state like the Soviet Union, I don't want religion forced upon me and the rest of society, one thing I hate about the Trump era is he is forcing the bible into the public school curriculum, 100% against. Religious people are a problem the worst people I know, are authoritarian, and cruel, and I can't view Christianity in a positive light again.
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I don't think Germany, more like a repeat of 1917 Tsarist Russia, I do see Yugoslavia, and Russia Balkanizing, especially Regions that are easy to Balkize like Kaliningrad (Koeginsberg), Chechnya, Tuva, Dagestan, etc, Russia will become smaller in size, now how bad will it be the balkanization, I don't know. But it will happen. Regions that easily gain independence like Kaliningrad(Koeginsberg) and regions where there are very few ethnic Russians and are close to the border of an independent country, like Chechnya, Tuva, and Dagestan will go first. Probably like Yugoslavia other regions will leave the Federation. The balkanization of Yugoslavia started with Croatia and Slovenia and then Bosnia left, North Macedonia left, and Kosovo decided to leave until in 2006 Montenegro voted for independence and it was peaceful independence.
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I have an altruistic father, my dad destroyed my life, my advice is not to befriend third positionists or any altruistic person, this is socialist and Christian too, they are losers, all of them, I know are losers, and when you hang out with losers you eventually become one, I got long Covid and I feel SOL, I do want to have a life, but I feel my trad cath dad stole this from me. Altruism is evil because it destroys lives, and causes unnecessary human suffering, and eventually, if these losers come and take power they will destroy the nation, don't associate with it, better yourself, and do your best.
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Twitter will go bankrupt. Who wants to invest in Twitter? Is just a Groyper platform. I cannot vote Republican anymore, it became the party of the KKK, Christian nationalists, Nazis, nativists, and white supremacists. There is a black conservative who will vote for Kamala, I was right-wing in 2016, I was going through 30% youth unemployment straight out of college, and blamed Dilma in Brazil, and that made me a right-wing. It just became so stupid, it is over, I don't think the Republicans can sustain themselves if it goes the authoritarian route, this is not even conservative, conservative was anti-revolutionary. just read Edmund Burke, who is helping the aristocrats and it was against the French Revolution, for me the Republicans became a revolutionary party, a right-wing version of communism.
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Prince Fluff I am Economist, graduated from Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Escola de Economia de São Paulo (the Best Economic School not only in Brazil but in all of Latin America). As the Great Magaret Thatcher, socialism is the system that make other people money.
The country I live adopt free public university which they suck, in brazilian public universities professor don´t show up for classes, they go on three month strike every year. Brazil, with democratic president of Lula da Silva and Dilma caused an debt crises and high inflation rate, everything here is just so expansive, and look that I am from a rich family, image the poor trying to live by a 10% inflation rate. Socialism causes income iniqualities. In Brazil so as in Venezuela the poor is very poor and there is a few goverment burocrats that earns extremely high salaries with stability (they can´t fired) and 20% income raise every year. Here in Brazil we call them marajá (after the indian, as in india no native american princes that did not work and lived an extravagant live style.
I am half american, and understand american politics, If Bernie Sanders win the elections he will bankrupt america and the whole world.
His policy in breaking the banks will lead to a banking crises and will cause a financial falure bigger than 2008.
To solve the problem in wall street american need to sign the Basil accord (Basil I and Basil II), and about proper legislation to protect the banking and financial system that have a fundamental role in the economy. I good strong and concentrated (few big banks) is good for the economy and even Schumpeter said that the banking system is important for entrepreneurship.
I bet you guy never study economics. And doesn´t understand a thing of economics, if the government became huge than the country economy become weaker, money eventually run outs, look at Venezuela that suffer an 120% inflation rate yearly, that mean the prices go up very day making poor people poorer and consuming less goods and services. And in Venezuela(socialist country) have shortage in everly basic itens such as toilet paper, flower for bread, meat and chicken. And in greece with a huge public setor and people retire early and with huge pension lead the country with a huge debt that they can´t pay.
And also free trade make goods cheaper and better, with compettion, if Bernie Sanders close the american economy good will be much crappier and much expansive, trust Brazil did this in the 1970 and 1980 that is one of the factor that lead to the hyperinflation in the late 1980 in early 1990
This want you guys want for your country? Than you must be an idiot and never studied economic
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Brad Davies Yes I won´t be stupid, the 2008 financial crises happen, but to resolve the financial instability in america is not by making government bigger and breaking the bank which wil certainly lead to a banking crises with high interest rate and an debt crises. And unemployment, and a high inflation making poor people poorer and more income inequalites.
Brazil have a very concentrated banking, here in Brazil there only five banks (Caixa Economica Federal and Banco do Brasil owned by the federal government and Banco Itaú, Bradesco and Sandander privately owed that one of the reason there´s no bubble crises in this country because our banks is strong and concentrated in few hand, if one bank break all will go with them. And Brazil sign the Basil agreement in Switzerland that protect banks regulate leverage and making getting a loan more harder.
What should be done is adopt an bill regulating the financial setor making it harder to people get cheap loan (that what cause the crises), for rating agency to give good rate on bad papers and for income inequalite should adopt an progressive income tax so the rich pay more taxes than the poor.
America should reform it´s public school system, I studied in am american public school as an exchange student is complety shit. With that the country will prosper. Free university doesn´t work I know that because my country have, and almost all of them is in a financial crises because they can´t pay tuition, and free university doesn´t benefit the poor but only rich people. Here in Brazil we even adopted racial and economic quotas that don´t resolve the problem in public universities. Also the goverment neglect public schools spend more in universities. The country gain much more with well prepared people that graduate high school and know how to read and wright rather a bunch of teorical collage student who don´t know nothing of the real world like you.
So FUCK SOCIALISM AND FUCK BERNIE SANDERS LONG LIVE CAPITALISM
Also explain me why the Soviet Union fell if not that the socialism is so great?
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I sorry you guys are wrong a Mr. Chistie is right. I from Brazil, here all public collages are free, BUT, THEY SUCKS, now Ferderal University of Paraná the públic collage in my state is no strike, the professor are not working for months. And even if there´s no strike, the professor come late to classe or miss out no class. Also the infraestrutures is crumbling, and univesity in Brazil is not universalize and only rich people who can pay study for free. While poor people in Brazil who study in bad public schools need to study in private university that pay tuition. What garantee that will not happen in America?
Chiste is right because nothing is free and you will still pay for collages by taxation. Here in Brazil we pay extremely high taxes for rich kids too study for free, and the poor will not have excess to that education, because the entrance exam is extremely hard and only rich kid who study in good private school passes. Do you realy think this system is fair to pay high taxes (here we more than 25% no our VAT to pay for free collage) and not be able to use?
Of couse is unfare, and socialism is the most unfair economic system there is this because they forces you to pay taxes in good and services that you will not use and is crappy. Also socialism generates income iniqualities, in a socialist country like Brazil, civil servant have the highest wages in the country, while the poor work long hours in the private sector, you don´t how bad socialism is because there was never a socialist system implemented in America. But you will what Bernie Sanders will bring you, low economic growth with high inflation rates.
I don´t agree with the hawkish foreign policy of the republican party, regrassive tax rate that the rich pay little taxes and deregulation of the financial setor that bring economic instability. But there is limit how left you show go, the democrats has passed the limit.
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***** I know what Bernie Sanders want, and is economicaly unsustainable.
What I was saying is if you belive in free collages and heathcare than you are fucking imbecil, there cost in maintaining that public services, you need to pay many thing such as the wages professors or doctors or nurses (only if there is slave labor like in socialist cuba) you pay many other things such as beds, machine, desk, light, water, equipment and etc. Fucking study cost management, economics and public finance you morons and you will learn there no such thing as free lunch. What Bernie Sanders want is to not make services free, he is lie to you, but funded 100% by tax payer money. The money to fund this services need to come somewhere or you just in favor of slave labor in the public sactor if that the case then fuck Bernie.
My life change completely by majoring in economics (in the best economics school south of the border Fundação Getúlio Vargas, Escola de Economia de São Paulo) I learn who the false populist propets such as Bernie Sanders and the people who want to make an economically sustainable government with fiscal responsability such as Hillary Clinton, in her husbands administration the country prosper and even was a nomial surpus. (But I bet you letfist idiot doesn´t know what that is and how rare that is and only happen once in an economic cicle)
Educate your self even JEB Bush is better than Bernie Sanders and prabably the only candidate that is worse than Benie joining all the republican and democratic candidates is Donald Trump, but he will not win because of the lack of support from the mainstream republican base.
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@kurtj.9656 Marx was right and wrong at the same time, Socialism failed in the Soviet Union, and the Soviet system was a failed project that brought tyranny and poverty to the people. Still, he is right that capitalism would bring the end of jobs and tyranny and robbers barons, but what the tech CEO would do is give us Netflix, and entertainment. Why revolt if you have bread and circus? I am for a Norway or the Netherlands style system, liberalism, you have capitalism, you have socialism liberalism, euthanasia, prostitution, same-sex marriage, and marijuana are all legal in the Netherlands and they have a welfare state and good urbanism. It is the most liberal country on the planet.
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Yeah I am pro iranian and think every one should where burkas and be stone for blasmafy. That why I am an Anarchocapatalist, I didn't leave the democrats nor republican they left me. US forgein policy is the biggest threat to world securty. I am not saying that the Mullahs in Iran, the CCP or Putin isn't a criminal, they are but internvation will make things worst rather than better. But if the US stop intervening in Ukraine, Syria, Yemen, Iraq etc. The best and only thing sleepy joe did, was to withdraw troops from Afghanistan, the way he did it was proorly managed and proorly executed, but was the best descion, the rest of government policy, wokism, inflation etc is all a fiasco.
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@Spinach_D Of course you do. You have to take it seriously, when I heard a MAGA YouTuber say that he is a libertarian and he doesn't want immigrants because they vote for socialism, I thought they wanted me out of the country, and my US citizen won't protect me if Trump becomes a dictator, as he said a dictator on day one. The immigrants are like the Jews, and the GOP is the NSDAP in Germany. I am not left-leaning, in my country, I still vote right-wing, but I don't think most immigrants get what MAGA is about, is not only illegal immigrants all immigrants, no matter how you came legally or illegally, but many stupid immigrants will vote for Trump, I saw a dumb Brazilian saying that he will vote for Trump, I agree now that Brazilian has an average of 83 in IQ, I see Ethiopian immigrants voting for Trump, now if you do that you are just voting for you deportation and it is dumb. I am for a balanced budget, Social Security reforms, and deregulation, but MAGA isn't for most of that, they want immigrants out.
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Ukraine might be winning but this war is not over yet, unfortunately, I do think Russia will do mass mobilization, and Allan Lichtman is predicting Harris to win, so if Kamala Harris wins, Putin will throw every single Russian man to the meat grinder. The best case scenario is your scenario, a Russian economic collapse that will eventually come, people are saying that this war is caused because Ukraine discovered oil reserves, I think another factor in play, is that Putin is very scared of a color revolution happening in Russia and it being successful, Georgia had one he invaded it, Putin is traumatized and remembers what happened to the eastern bloc and movements like Solidarity in Poland, that brought down the Soviet Union, he was in East Germany in 1989, as a KGB officer and he witnessed at the time what happened there, even one of Putin's daughter was born in Dresden, Germany were he was stationed.
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Yeah, the new conservatives in America are a joke, even progressives are more serious, just look at Trump, Matt Gaetz, MTG, Lauren Boebert, etc. I think they like Vladimir Putin so much because they want a Russian system in America, I am an Independent and a double hater, I don't like a lot what Biden is doing and don't think is good for America in the long term, but a Russian system of government is way more harmful than the worst of Biden's policy and that why I am voting for Biden.
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I disagree that China would be weaker, I think the Communists would lose. No Communist Vietnam, but China will grow, Probably Chiang would invade Tibet and win the Himayalan war with India and would be more closely allied with the West, The Chinese economic miracle would happen at the same time as the Japanese and the Korean economic miracles in the 1960s or 1970s. China would never have had the cultural revolution or the Great Leap Forward you will see a rising superpower and a stronger China that probably after the USSR collapse would rival the USA and would have a sphere of influence in Asia I do think the interests of both countries would collide and would be a new cold war in 1990 between US and China. I will add that Taiwan and Hong Kong have a GDP per capita income of 50,000 USD, now the mainland has 20,000 USD and I believe it is lower because of the change there economic data to look better. No, imagine if you did not have the Cultural Revolution or the Great Leap Forward and China developed Like Taiwan? Now you will have a wealthy country that will be a rival to the US and will challenge its hegemony even more than it does today. I do think Japan would still be a US ally but Capitalist Korea Mongolia, central Asia, and even SE Asia mite have a Chinese sphere, Vietnam, the Philippines, and India would be US allies, and so as Malaysia due to border disputes.
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China has printed more than the US, see the Yuan and you can use FRED sites. Chinese statistics are not trustworthy and take it with a grain of salt, but there still is more RNB printed the USD. Also, China is a black hole the US is not, the US is a transparent country, I don't see any alternative to the dollar, and is not even Bitcoin which is too volatile, and prone to asset bubbles and speculation. Peter Zehian said that the world economy outgrew the gold market, that is why we do not have the gold standard since 1971, I do not think the US needs a good standard or a nominal surplus, just needs to cover the cost of pension, salary, welfare, infrastructure, etc, everything the government spend excluding interest spending, the US can outgrow the debt with a primary surplus, is not like only debt part of debt/GDP grows, there is also GDP growth.
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The US dollar is the best fiat currency. There are other strong fiat currencies such as the Swiss franks, the Euros, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Australian dollar, the Japanese Yen, the New Zealand dollar, the Swedish Krona, the Danish Krona, and the Norwegian Krona, but the US dollar is the gold standard of fiat and the world reserve currency which other fiat currencies aren't.
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Trumpism can bring the nail to the coffin of the American system, his ideas are just dumb, invading Greenland, Panama, Mexico, and Canada, ending FED independence, putting capital fight control, and not putting free movement of capital. I hate it all, I am not being biased towards any party, there were good democratic presidents, Bill Clinton, and there are mediocre presidents like Obama, the republican were the same the good ones were Bush Sr and Ronald Reagan and the mediocre ones were George W. Bush, but no one was as bad as Trump, he wants to mix Peronism, a Christian Ayatollah's Iran, and Putin's oligarch system. It will go very wrong and history won't be kind to Trump.
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@EconLessons Russian society is sick to the core. It is so corrupt. I don't only think is communist, Romania Czechia, Estonia, and Poland were communist countries and their societies aren't like this. I think this is how the Russian Czar the country, Ivan the Terrible, Russia was always an autocratic country, which is their culture. Even though communism is evil I call BS that Russia is like this because of communism, what about Poland, Czechia, Romania, and the Baltic states?
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It is so american centric, I saw, I don't know it's wikipedia, that the Venetian abolish slavery in the 15 century, I mite be wrong because I don't 100% trust wikipedia. But they forgot many countries, Haiti, Mexico, Argentina. The only country in the america's that abolish after the US is Brazil. But there is still modern slaverly, it does mean it is ileagal it doesn't exist. I think now is less about race. In Brazil the portuguese enslaved the native first, than they brought the africans, there was a bunch of people that went in the interior of Brazil to enslave native, they where called bandeirantes, even after portugal abolish the enslavement of natives, they enslaves natives brazilian.
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This could end three ways, one a Maidan Revolution in the US, Civil war in the US, or the US becomes Russia and this country becomes a 4th world country, their is joke that Argentina is no a developing country but a post developed country, Argentina was one of the richest country in the world, Argentina was as wealthy Canada and weathier as Germany and France, Argentina's constitution was model after the US constitution, now Argentina is a poor country, what happened? A dictator called Juan Domingo Peron adopted a bad policy inspired by Mussolini's Italy and made Argentina a third world country by the 1990s. Argentina has a lot of connection to Italy; the country's largest demographics are Italo-Argentines. And in the 1920s the country attracted a lot of immigrants from Europe, especially Italians, and if you go to Buenos Aires, it feels European, the buildings, the people, and you don't feel much like in another Latin American country like Mexico, Brazil or Colombia, but in Europe, especially some naighbourhood in the center of Bueno Aires like Ricoleta is very european style urbanism. There are a lot of parallels between MAGA and Peronism and I hope this movement is defeated, or else the US will be a post-developed country like Argentina that lives off its former glory.
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I know Marxists in Brazil, and I talked to them, Kamala is not one, Lula is a socialist. Now Trump is a f4$sc!$t, Geranal Mark Milley (a Republican and a former Trump staffer) is right, I don't like Kamala, but I voted for her because is the right choice and I don't want to end up the GULAG, or denaturalized and deported back to Brazil. JJ McCullough is right, I would vote for Pierre Polilevre if I were Canadian, and I even voted for Bolsonaro, but I cannot stomach Trump and Elon Musk and his dystopian Chinese model in America. I can't stomach the fact that Trump likes dictators and strongmen like Viktor Orban and Vladimir Putin, I can't stomach that Trump is a convicted felon, Trump has to lose, he tried to overturn a free and fair election, is not even in the shadow that he wants to make America into a dystopia, there is only one choice and the lesser of two evil is Kamala, I don't like her Obama style liberalism but is what we have. Trump is a criminal, and Elon is too. They all should be locked up. Lock them up. And drain the SCOTUS swamp that Trump created.
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Seeing Stellantis leaving China, seeing the Koreans leaving China, and probably Ford and GM leave China, GM left Europe, Opel Vauxhall was GM Europe, Ford left Brazil and seeing them leaving South America, GM left South Africa, I just see Americans automaker selling for Americans, maybe the Japanese and Korean can keep selling their cars in America. Volvo and VW I see leaving the American market. Is just this protectionist policy so dumb. I just sell poorly made vehicles and probably in the future, the Chinese, Japanese, and Europeans will laugh at American cars.
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Some people say that Russian and Brazilian cultures are similar, but I disagree, there are overlaps, but people in Brazil are extremely religious, people say in Brazil there is a church in every corner. Also, Brazilians don't like war, Brazil is probably one of the few countries that did not fight for their independence, they negotiated it with Portugal and accepted a Portuguese monarch as their own emperor. Brazil is a politically unstable country, but I doubt they will ever go to war and try to conquer Uruguay for no reason, in Russian culture, there is a certain militarism that is not present in Brazilian culture. Brazilians don't care about the military and aren't patriotic people. They hate their country and feel ashamed of it, it is called mongrel syndrome.
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America is the most powerful country, you never bet against America they always win, when they lose a war like Vietnam or Afghanistan is because they got tired of fighting that war and also being an enemy of the US is dangerous, being a friend of the US is fatal and I made this third rule, you don't f*ck around with the war hawk, especially if they are republican, they are aggressive, they are powerful and they make money from war, do as they said, Putin will learn this last lesson the hard way, he made the biggest mistake in his life rejecting JD Vance peace plan for Ukraine, Putin is not a chess playing but a fool.
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I am an Libertarian so I don't agree with conservatives, I am begining to think conservative are insane. I see them Idolizing Vladmir Putin. With Biden and the deep state is after Trump, come on, the US judicial is not Venezuela, Nicaragua, or Cuba judicial, I try explaining basic concepts like Jus Sanguinis citizenship to these morons, these people are dumb, insane and dangerous. I am against the government and consider myself an ANCAP, Anacho-capalitalist, I don't see the problem with wealthy people or business. But I prefer a woke BS then Vladmir Putin, I don't care about morals, I do believe in the right to bare arms, but overturning roe v Wade was a bad idea, banning no fault this divorce is even worst. The contradiction is these cuuckservative want a 1950s society with a 21st century technology, impossible. You cannot have it both. I like the Amish, because I feel their version off conservativism is more authentic and the do bother me like the evangelical or the MAGAs. I am not progressive, I don't want a dictator, and NO, WE DON'T NEED A PINOCHET. COERCION IS ALWAYS BAD.
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When I socialist I was happier then I was now. There is also a myth amongst the far right that socialist are crazy and have good mental health and extremely religious people, Christian Altruist, have good mental health, what a bs, the craziest person I'd met is my trad Catholic father, he suffers from extreme poor mental health and is delusional, even my 86 year old grandfather isn't like that. Do listen to conservative, it is extremely flawed, Edumund Burke was right about the French Revolution, but now MAGA became revolutionaries, I saw a head of the Haritage foundation that we are heading toward a second American revolution, MAGA and Nacionalists are delusional. I whish I never immigrated to America it became a Banana Republic. I am from, lived in Brazil for 14 years.
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I disagree that most country in the Middle East prefers the Taliban to America, god how american have become stupid and haven't learned their lesson, just look how disastrous all Middle Eastern wars went for America for the last 23 years. America is just so delusional, and white conservative american are worse than the woke mob, the conservatives use religion to virtue signal, they want to enslave the population, are anti-freedom and doing the f you want, hat the US Constitution, and want a Christian theocracy, they are just arrogant and stupid and lack any personal responsibility and want any of it either, they don't accountability which I am totally for. No humility, yes the US is better than the Taliban, morally, but that doesn't mean that the Middle East wants to become America, I bet these people want an Islamic theocracy like the Taliban has.
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@SaltpeterTaffy There isn't a bill of rights in China, I am an anarchist by now and lost faith on the government. If there is, is just a fake bill of right, so they can have face. If ten amendent is not apply or lost, the US is over, the only way out is the airplane, the problem with the US, the US is not run by Thomas Jefferson, George Washington, nor even Abraham Lincoln, we have morons like George W Bush, Barack Obama, Trump and Biden running the government.
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I saw the trade deficit in the US as a non-issue because so many people want to invest, and there is the capital balance, now if Trump puts capital control and money can't leave the US nobody will put money in the US, making the US dollar a worthless currency and possibly even loss its reserve currency status. You just made the US dollar then the same as the Ruble, the Yuan, and Brics. Is just dumb to do that, also another part of Trump plan's I hate, is ending the independence of the FED, FED policy will not be based on rational economic decisions controlling inflation, and maintaining unemployment low, but based on whatever BS is on Trump's mind. As I said, this will threaten the US dollar's dominance in the world market, and investors, domestic and foreign will lose trust in the currency if you don't be careful, no mess with monetary policy.
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I lived in Brazil for 14 years, the problem with South America is that they have a homegrown MAGA movement, I am from Brazil, and Venezuela became a communist dictatorship and you saw what happened, you can Try Europe, Canada, or Australia. But immigrating is hard, I can get out if I want because I was born with a Brazilian passport. Crime in South America is a problem, is at your face, and you can be a victim, it is a problem I saw a lot in Brazil, criminality, and the government is corrupt too.
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If Trump uses the military to crack down on the most dictatorial thing he can do, his approval rating will plummet, and it will be our Tiemamen square moment, I am for using riot police, and the appropriate method, is just Trump movement is criminal, Arnold Schwarzenegger is right, Trump reminds a lot of the N4z!, the US will be a dictatorship. I am not a republican anymore, I don't like wokeism, nor the LGBT putting trans women in women's bathrooms, I just think this country is over, and a guy said is right, the right-wing wants slavery. I don't like the extreme leftest and their slave system, but the right wants to enslave just like Antifa wants too.
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Putin is f*cked, he messed with the war hawk in the republican party, and the biggest mistake was rejecting JD Vance's peace plan, and now the republican party is even more hawkish on Russia than Biden was, they are f*cked, you do need to worry about Ukraine because they have won. Putin will be remembered as a stupid, greedy, arrogant, spoiled, little tyrant, who made a fatal mistake rejecting the peace plan that JD Vance proposed.
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I was happier in Brazil, Brazil has a lot of problems, a corrupt government with a facade of progressism, high crime rate, but still, life was better down there, people were nicer, and food was better. The US sucks, yeah there is worse places, like Nigeria, but this is not a nice country to live in.
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I will tell you something, durning World War Two, the US army gave up in invading Taiwan and instead invaded the Philipines, Japan was about lose the war, japans solders was poorly equiped and poorly feed, but so many american would lose their live, and the US had to use more troops than D-day, this will say something about the invation of Taiwan, and since the war went badly for the Russia, it changes every thing. Taiwan will fight. I pretty much for Taiwan fight or go to the concentration camp, like the Uryghurs.
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1960-1990, we will stop the women sexual liberation, and we lost and women promiscuity is normalize and pornography legalize and 90% of boy and men and 40% of girls and women are addicted to it.
1990-2010, we will stop gay people and sodomy, and we lost, gay and sodomy is normalized and legalized gays and lesbians can get married.
2010-2020, we will stop transgenderism, and we lost, 5 years old is getting sex change, exposed to drag show and kid 5 years old, cross dress as opposite sex.
2030, we will stop pedophilia, pedophile: "hold my beer, the United Nation and Global-Homo supports us"
compare.
Weimar Germany, Rome, Sodoma and Gomorrah was trad compare to now, the most degenerate decadent times ever seen in human history.
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Yeah, but oil prices will go up in the US, UAE, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia are in BRICS, and export oil to the US, and with 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, oil prices will skyrocket. I agree with the breakup of BRICS, Milei said that he does not want to be part of BRICS, but Brazil has a lot of Russians going there too, seeing a lot of YouTube channels in my native portugues of Russians going to live in Brazil.
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Yeah, but the situation can get so bad that the federal system could end and blue states can become like red states, as I said, is smart to have a golden visa in Portugal, or buy a Maltese passport, the best thing about this program you don't need to live in Portugal, just visit and spend a week every year untill you get the passport in 5 years. If you are lucky I will get citizenship by descent. That is what I would do if you had money, things can get so bad, even San Francisco, DC, Seatle, LA, and New York City have no say win hat is happening in there local affairs and federalism is dead in the water.
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There was various factor that caused the decline in manufacturing in the US, unions, outsourcing, the jones acts, globalization, it was a perfect storm, but I am against protectionism for one reason, if Toyota did compete with GM in the US car market, GM cars would be much more expansive and of worst quality. See what protectism does to the local products, I know this because many South American countries adopted protectism and in the 1990s Argentina was producing Ford Falcon that was produced in the US market in the 1960s, if there free trade that car would probably go off market in the 1970s, protectism makes sense when a country is your rival or unfair condicions such as dumping, china does alot.
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Javier Milei (president of Argentina) is a libertarian, I say were I from, Brazil, Lula is a socialist. So much hate in the right wing, they confuse liberalism with socialism, the difference is socialism is for the working class rebel against the bourgeois, the but class, a collective, over individual, while liberalism is individual over the collective, I for freedom.
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@EconLessons yeah, I saw this, there are some black market that are criminal activity, like prostitution and the sex trafe, drugs, military grade weapons, ilegal gambling, other are legit, like grama selling cake to add to her pension, my grama sold flan and other sweets, she was honest good kind person. There are also counterfeit products sold in the black market, fake glasses, lv bags. Black market is very diverse.
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@marchmelloow I am from Brazil we have a voter ID law in the election, but for this ok, you have voter ID but every single citizen no matter race color, and creed should get a free voter ID and free register and you cannot suppress the votes like Texas, Georgia or North Carolina, no illegals are voting, it hard to find one, what is happening is clear, rigging the game so only MAGA wins, I saw this in Venezuela when Hugo Chávez took over, the US is the only democracy that put the burden on the voter to register, everyone should have the right to vote, every state should also govern themselves and you should shut up and give unconditional aid to California. what you want is to make n@z! dictatorship here, I know all you dog whistles. I am 100% for early voting and even in-person voting, you lie in 2020 because you want to rig the election. NO FRAUD HAPPENED IN 2020.
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@darlahays2471 yeah, I want to better the US, not making North Korea, Russia, or China. MAGA is an authoritarian corrupt and evil movement and it has to stop. Ronald Reagan was not authoritarian, he hated communism, but he did not want to destroy classical liberalism as do MAGA, I am not progressive, but I have to support people I don't like because the enemy of my enemy is my friend, Winston Churchill couldn't win World War 2 with the help of an evil communist dictator called Stalin, I don't like american society and the way this country is going, something has to change.
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@paperandmedals8316 I agree, that why Biden has to resign. If MAGA wins, the US will be a very dystopian place. "It can't happen here" will happen. I see one of the armed militias become an American waffen SS, Venezuela has it own armed militias, Hugo Chávez arm slums dweller and form a loyal militias. The Nazi had two SS and SA, I think there will be infighting amongst the militias to see how will be the American SS, we have the Proud Boys, the Oath keeper, and even those Nazi degenerate shouting "j3w will not replace us". After the supreme Court said Trump has immunity and turned the US into a Banana Republic, I think the Republican party is morally bankrupt and we have to vote Democrat untill the move towards the center right and becomes the party of Mitt Romney, George H W Bush, Ronald Reagan and John McCain again and abandons MAGA for good.
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@traczebabe The high prices are not only created by Biden, but I also am not a Democrat, Trump created high prices, but I hate the republican more than the Democrats, for one reason, republicans are hypocrites, they take NO PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE BS THEY DO, I HAVE TO HERE BS LIKE THE CIVIL WAS CAUSE BECAUSE OF "STATE RIGHTS" OR THE DEEP STATE CAUSED THE STUPID SECOND INVATION OF IRAQ, NO PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY AND THEY TALK DOWN AND SAY DO BE A VICTIM TAKE PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY, ALSO WHAT I HATE ABOUT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IS THE RASCISM AND XENOPHOBIA, CONSERVATIVE IS A FAIL IDEOLOGY, LIKE COMMUNISM IS, SOCIALISM IS TOO, I PUT THE GOP AS THE SAME LEVEL WITH THE COMMUNIST PARTY OF THE SOVIET UNION, THE REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS BECOME REVOLUTIONARY, SUBVERSIVE, MEDDLE IN OTHER COUNTRIES AFFAIR, IMPERIALIST MASK OFF, EVIL, THE REPUBLICAN PARTY UNDER TRUMP HAS TO COLLASPE CAN CHRISTIAN CONSERVATIVE HAS TO TAKE PERSONAL RESONSABILITY.
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Yeah communism suck, that why when I always hear Russia or China will rule the world, and how american are scared of a Chinese ruling the world, I think as is a joke. The americans are paranoid about communism, I think communism is horrible and communist kill more than the nazi, there is a joke if communism did not work in Germany it will not work anywhere, East Germany was communist, but come on, a country nobody knows it GDP figues and is about and another that nobody know it official gdp and is losing to Ukraine, I think the fear is a little irrational. I hate communism, communist are the scumm of the earth, just I think communism is so bad that nobody will want to adopt it.
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Maserati could go, Ferrari could buy it, or the Chinese, Alfa Romeo the same. Maybe do Alfa Romeo, Maserati, and Ferrari. I think it will go well. Now I would sell Opel/Vauxhall to the Chinese, and I would sell also Fiat, Peugeot, or Citroen, I feel the three together will Opel/Vauxhall are competitors and shouldn't be part of the same brand. I will close Chrysler and keep Jeep, and Ram, one European brand. Probably I would get Fiat off the American market. And 4 brands are more manageable, I don't think the Americans would accept Jeep, Ram, or Dodge to go to China though. DS will have to be closed too and nobody cares, Lancia will go too, unfortunately. Maybe Alfa Romeo can be a brand that Ferrari does to compete with BMW, and Maserati a lower-end Ferrari and there is Ferrari, I see Maserati competing with the Corvettes.
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I am not saying Biden was worse than Trump, he is much better than Trump on Ukraine, but he made a huge mistake, he should have given all the hardware Ukraine needed to win all at once, and not little by little, and no restriction on HIMARS and ATACMS missiles. I do believe if he had done that, the situation now in the front line would be better, it will get worse because of the orange czar, but the US will lose it influence with this orange baffoon in the white house, situation in the US will get worse, is just the country and the american people has become stupid the last 40 years. It was on purpose, Lew Kuan Yew warned about the horrible american public education standards in the elementary, middle, and high school level, and he predicted bad leaders taking over the US in the 1990s, he was right on that.
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Not only Elon Musk!!! Who made the Republicans into a 💩show is Donald Trump, In 2020 he could have said we lost, congratulation Biden, and moved from there on, George H W Bush did this to Bill Clinton, and Jimmy Carter did to Ronald Reagan, why he could not do this to Biden? Also, the Republicans were spinless, why they did not impeach Trump on January 6, is something I'd ask Pat Toomey, he could have convicted Trump, and he didn't.
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The problem with american capitalism is the top 1% is buying the government and you have a two-tier system justice system, this reminds me a lot of how Latin American countries are run, if you are rich you can go 7x to Epstein Island and be a p3d0, you can try to overthrow in the government an insurrection, you can bribe a p0rn star and commit accounting fraud that the law doesn't apply to you, that what America has become, we are a more affluent version of Brazil, we are becoming Latin America. A convicted felon can be president and can't vote, the US is not serious, and the supreme court of the US is bought out just like the Brazilian supreme court, I see a very worrying trend, this country is becoming a corrupt system that justice doesn't apply equally to everyone, that not socialism that justice applies to the billionaire as equally to a poor dude, is called fairness. I am not a socialist, as I said socialism is not the government giving welfare but the government taking everything from you including your land and labor, and then the government rations everything because they are going against the laws of economics. But there is something wrong with the type of conservativism and Trumpism, I don't like and the republican party is over, it is not the party of Reagan nor Mitt Romney, it has become the party of corruption and kleptocracy under Trump, MAGA, and Trumpism, if I knew this in 2016 I would have voted for Hillary. I don't the fact about America is that you have "f you money" that you are unpunished and you can break a million laws without any accountability.
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@Dan-jx5ob I went MGTOW, and feminism took over everything, just act as selfishly as you can, you shouldn't be worried about societal problems, that the people in charge should. I feel something in the American system is rotten to its core. I have hypersensitivity due to my ASD. I see something bad happening in America, you can do two things, leave, even if temporary, or defend and prepare yourself for what is about to come. You can buy a gun and keep it at your house, you can buy canned food, at least you have something to eat, buy gold or silver, or even if you want to flee buy bitcoin. Don't listen to the bible, Christianity is all about self-sacrifice with nothing to gain from that. You should act Jewish, selfishly, and with no patriotic value, we aren't in the 1950s. We are living through something really evil. I just feel something putrid in the air and I cannot explain it.
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I would keep Ram, and Dodge, one European brand, maybe I would sell Alfa Romeo, I would see Citroen or Peugeot, and I would keep Fiat, very profitable in Latin America. Maybe Fiat can be the lower end and Peugeot and be the upper end. Or do what Renault, Nissan, and Mitsubishi did, Nissan focused on North America a little in South America, Renault focused on South America and Europe, and Mitsubishi on Asia, Fiat should focus on Latin America, maybe I keep Citroen and focus on it on Asia and the middle east and sell Peugeot for the Chinese. Dodge would be an American brand only for the North American market. Ram would produce Trucks so I'd scraped the trucks produced by another brand such as Fiat. Opal/Vauxhall should be sold to the Chinese.
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@onlineonlineaccount2368 There is, I have been to Nigeria, Nigeria has too many people, a population of the size of Brazil, and a territory of the size of Texas, if there is any control that country will collapse, and these Nigerians will go to Europe. Is already happening illegal immigration to Europe and is causing a problem. You are wrong, I do believe immigration can help but it has to be legal and controlled and Europe needs a hardline approach, or else Western Europe is over in a generation or two. Australia solved this 10 to 20 years ago by people that come illegally to prison, that is the solution for the survival of Western Europe. There was an overpopulation problem in Asia, but since are young men who go on a boat to cross the Mediterranean I think India and most Asian countries might go through a demographic collapse, also Asian countries are Urbanizing and industrializing making it expensive to have more children.
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I don't think Kamala is Marxism. I don't think there is a Marxist threat in the US, the democrats are social democrats and are not Marxists, which is different. I do see Marxism in the University and college campi in the US, but I don't see it in the rest of society. Trump is a revolutionary, since I am against revolution and more pro-establishment I voted for Harris, and Marxism would be anti-establishment in the US. I lived in Brazil and know communists and communism very well I was even forced to study Marxism and I wouldn't say I liked it. The US will become a dictatorship under Trump, he learned well from revolutionary Marxism how to do a revolution. Trump has much more in common with Lula and PT than Kamala has. Even though Trump is not a Marxist, and I am not calling him that he is a revolutionary reactionary, maybe someone like Ayatollah Khomeini for Iran, I can't vote for the GOP anymore because I can't stomach their Ideology and the power plan to take the US and turn it into a right-wing dictatorship, I am fiscally conservative and socially liberal, I agree a lot with Adam Kinzingzer and Arnold Schwarzenegger. For me, Trump wants to provoke an economic collapse and cause a civil war so he can have power. The MAGA movement has to end.
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I noticed something, I had a bad mother and father, they both sucks, I got long COVID so I became chronically ill. I didn't fell into communism ideology, I fell into Nihism, I am a very cold, pessimistic and nihistic person, I just do not care and think society is rotten to it core. I don't want to change anything, I just want everything to fall rotten like the Soviet Union so we can restart a rebuild from scratch a better system. I say the fall of the USSR was the greatest geopolitical blessing and the way it fell was great, because the world haven't end in nuclear fallout. The USSR fell organically, so it wasn't a Revolution. I hate Revolutions.
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I wouldn't say the US is a bad guy either, they defend their self-interest, they do evil things and good things, evil things the Iraq War, the Vietnam War, intervention in Latin America, good things, defeating the nazi and not punish and rebuilding Germany, Italy, and Japan, I would say that the US was right on the cold war and the fall of the USSR was a good thing long term, 1990s former soviet union sucks, but in many former soviet countries and it satellite states life had improved, talking about the Baltics, some Balkan countries, central Europe, etc.
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You know what creeps me out about the MAGA movement, is the militias, the Waffen SS started that way. If Trump has his way, he will turn America into an open-air prison, I think he will go after even Mitt Romney and Liz Chaney, for course all the democrats will be screwed. SCOTUS already opened the door so an authoritarian can take power, the number worst decision that SCOTUS ever made. I want to get out of dodge. There is only one way to defeat MAGA, elect democrats until all Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito are dead. Is the only way, there isn't any. Being a moderate conservative and an immigrant background, I will vote for Biden, which is the lesser of two evils and I am voting for my own self-interest and self-preservation. I remember Trump's phrase "Immigrants are poisoning the blood of the nation", if you change the word immigrants to Jews, and go back to 1930s and 1940s Europe, you know what happened to those people. It is scary.
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I voted for Harris, not because of Ukraine, maybe there is one issue I agree with her, is just I don't want to face denaturalization and go to the GULAG and be deported to Brazil. The GOP is just become a F4$c!$t party. Is not the same Republican party of Reagan, I won't say even George W. Bush was a F4$ç!$t, because George W. Bush wasn't one, but Trump is one. Trump is the worst president in my lifetime and MAGA will destroy the US from within, and that is why dictators love Trump, Elon is definitely in bed with the Chinese communist party, and Tesla is the only company I know that builds a car factory there and didn't transfer technology to China. I think China even offered Elon Chinese citizenship to build a Tesla factory in Xanghai and Elon refused watching SerpentZA and Laowhy86 is very hard to obtain Chinese citizenship if you are not ethnically Chinese. Trump is receiving something from Russia too. I say now MAGA is a Russo-Chinese Psyops, I always see MAGA praising China and Russia.
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The US gave aid to the Mujahadeen in Afghanistan, Saddam Hussien during the Iran-Iraq war, and Iran and the mullahs too during the same war. Is Ukraine worse, they have a corruption problem, yeah I agree, but are worse than any of these actors? And if the US helps Ukraine win this war, Russia is over, and European security is an afterthought, maybe, there is pro-Russian Chinese propaganda, think about it, the US cannot hyperfocus on China if Russia is still strong.
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I believe America little, by little is losing it power and influence, Trump is not Making America Great but Weak, I was seeing a dude that lives in Florida and he said how bad DeSantis is, DeSantis is a fascist, he ended academic freedom, gone after company that he do like, I believe Chinese and Russian money enter the GOP and the Party is dead in the water and a new axis of evil Moscow, Tehran, Beijing and MAGA America and probably it will be Washington. I believe the US will go to war with Canada is just a matter or when. God How I hate what America is becoming and wish I was never a US citizen, is just become a glorify banana republic and a joke of a country that now will trust.
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Your also wrong, the society that has the most decentralization is NOT FASCISM IS LIBERALISM. "Everything in a State, nothing outside a State, nothing against the state". You should read and research more about fascism, facism is nacional socialism, nazi is racial socialism and communism is internacionalist socialism, they are all garbage ideology, I am more liberatarian, I belive in more of a shareholder democracy, that the people should be force into paying taxes and the one that do should have a say how things should be run. I think that be hold shares you should also be avaliable to fight for the system, that is join the military and the frontline. If you want to work and not pay income tax, you can but, you should expect nothing back from the system. No welfare, no pension, nothing.
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@MisterWebb Misses, Jewish, Milton Friedman, also Jewish, Federich Hayek, Jewish too, Ayn Rand, Jewish, and Murray Rothbard, Jewish. Go and study, libertarianism is a Jewish philosophy, all Jews, the Jewish right-wing are the libertarians while the Jewish left wing is the Frankfurt school. There is a very high correlation between libertarian thinkers and Judaism. Classical liberalism is masonic, but one classical liberal thinker who was Jewish is David Ricardo. And makes no sense to be against neoliberalism and for classical liberalism because neo-liberals are classical liberals who use math and graphs. For me the liberals are the real centrist, they are right-wing in some places like my home country of Brazil and leftest in the US.
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Georgia wasn't ready for the Russian invasion, remember that, in the Second Chechen War Grozny (the Capital of the Chechen Republic) was a carpet bomb, I went to Google Street View and saw Grozny it reminded me of Brasília, a modern city in Brazil, and the capital of that country. Russia left nothing in Grozny. I think Putin's Carpet bombing of that city made Russia win the second Chechen war. Putin also made a deal with the Kadyrov clan, the Kadyrov clan backstabbed the other Chechen clan and became a dictator of Chechnya, in Russia, there is a saying, that the law of Moscow does not apply to Chechnya, it is the most independently run republic in Russia, they have the most autonomy from Moscow, Putin has to tolerate it because he does not want to fight a third Chechen war.
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I do still see life in America as being easier then in third world latin American country. I think millennials and Gen Z shouldn't live like the boomer and gen X. If you where to skip college and go to the trades do it. You can live a middle class life as a skilled trades man and be much better off then someone with a liberal arts diploma and pay crippling student debt. What do you prefer, liberal arts diploma, high debt and working at Starbucks or being a trades man, investing in your retirement and no debt? Gen Z you choose. Also when the Boomer and the Silent generation was young nobody had a college diploma, now everyone has one, 51% of Americans has a bachelor's degree, in the Netherlands it reach near 60%. Overeducated is a problem, college is not only a ponzi scheme but a financial bubble that is collapsing, the Ivy League will survive the college crisis, and other elite private universities too like Stanford, Duke etc will too suvive, but the second and third tier private universities will go bankrupt.
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I think Hitler was a right-wing socialist, I enter alt-right forums in telegram, and most of them are Nazis, some fascist is a mix of socialism with nationalism there is even a meme that shows a MAGA, (written Nacionalist) dude, and Bernie bro (written Socialist) cringing showing an SS solder (written Nacional-Socialist) laughing. I don't like this ideology, left-wing socialists are the Marxists and everyone knows, you can put progressives on it, I also hate Marxism but you can find it easily. There is a difference between Gramscian Cultural Western Marxism, and the Marxism-Leninism or Marxism-Stalinism of the USSR or even the Chinese deviation of Marxism, Maoism, Dengism, etc. But we all know and have grown accustomed to left-wing socialism, but we do not know the right-wing version because it went underground after losing WWII. I do believe in the horseshoe theory and that the Nazis and Socialists are very alike, I think there is no such thing as left and right, but the Nazis call themselves the ''alt-right''.
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Some predictions is a pension crisis in America, are that social security is a government-run ponzi scheme, trust me I studied the pension system in Brazil, and the best one is the capitalization model adopted by Chile, and this will happen in America in the 2030s and can trigger a fiscal crisis like Greece. I do believe, that what can cause civil war is if Trump starts to use red state national in blue states and the blue governors don't accept it and start using the blue state national guard to protect the migrant. Now I don't think it will start in April, the Dems will take back the house and they can win in 2028, for me the civil war in America will be in the 2030s, not 2020. There will be some crisis because Trump is very incompetent and I think Anthony Scaramucci is right, Elon Musk and Donald Trump aren't compatible and they will fight. Like some Republicans don't agree with Trump's deportation plan, Rand Paul said he should send the military into blue states and cities to deport illegals. I agree, it should be done by ICE.
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A China não vai mandar no Mundo, Estados Unidos estão decadentes porém a China tem problema demográficos sério, como a China vai mandar no mundo se não há chineses jovens? Impossível, a China está passando pela crise imobiliária, tudo está decadente. Se for apostar no Dark Horse candidate, um cadidato improvável que vai bem e dominar países, eu apostaria nos mulçumanos, sempre vejos mulheres mulçumanas com mais de um filhos, vivo nos EUA, os caras vão se tornar relevante. Se nos EUA vejo bastante mulçumanos, imagine Europa?
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The problem with the US is that politics is not boring, Make Politics Boring Again, I think entertainment and politics should not mix, and religion and politics also should not mix. Everyone should have a belief system, if you want to Atheist sure do it, if you what to be an evangelical Christian do it too, and if you want to be Jewish nothing against you, what I hate about Trump and Trumpism is forcing religion on society through the government, it reminds of what happened in Iran and I am 100% against it, people should have the freedom to be religious or to convert people to religion, but it has to be done voluntarily.
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