Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "Lisanne Froon and Kris Kremers Case Analysis" video.

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  2. 1.That area has around the trail has parts like that with overhead foilage blocking out the light, but you can walk out of them because this is not the Brazilian jungle that goes on forever or even the Darien Gap. There are people and cattle around and you cannot keep cattle in a jungle. 2 If it was Froon and Kremers alone and lost taking the night photos, both of them were alive and well in the jungle for six nights already without using the camera at all; yet on in the early hours of the 8th April a full week after they went missing they suddenly decided to use the camera at night. By the way, the Panamanian authorities said the night photos were by Froon and show Kremers had died. It had been raining and It takes a month to starve to death. So even if Kremers had died, Froon's only immediate problem was she was lost and in that scenario the phone details must be accepted as proving she (or possibly Kremers) was still alive on the 11th. The searchers, many with previous experience of finding lost tourists in the area were aided by Panamanian special forces in combing though all areas they the girls could have reached, That very intensive search had began on the 6th of April and consisted of sweeps with yelling and using both loud calls and lights at night. It simply is not credible that either Kremers and Froon were able to turn a phone on and off and put it neatly in their backpack yet yet missed this dragnet moving through the area where they were, which must have come close to them while audible for miles away. If they had been lost they would want to be found. Finally the Panamanian government did not say the jungle killed them, according to them it was a cable bridge and that is not in the jungle, it is on the trail.
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  7. On the 1st April 2014 after 2pm, by which time they had turned around to go back and were retracing their steps, someone attacked and subdued Kris Kremers and Lisanne Froon. Their phones were taken off them. About two hours later one attempted emergency call was made from each of their phones, 12 minutes apart. Had that been Kris and Lisanne, they'd each have made multiple attempts one after the other. So it was almost certainly one man who knew there was no phone reception in the area, and was using each of their phones in turn. Or, or him untying the hands standing over each girl in turn as they tried to made the calls. What is strange is this entailed him already having formulated a long term plan to later leave the phones to be found. He then switched both phones off for 13 hours (inconceivable that Kremers and Froon would have made one failed-to-connect call each to the emergency number, then both given up and switched off). Next morning he switched the phones on, and again made--or more likely had the girls make--attempts to connect to the emergency number. There was only one call by Kremer's but repeated calls by Froon's phone,. On the third try by Froon's phone that morning, to his surprise and no doubt dismay, Froon's phone did connect to a network. There were no more attempt to call the emergency number with Froon's phone, and Froon's phone was left on all night, which ran the battery down. Next morning (3rd April), Kremers's phone made an attempt to call the emergency number that was the last one by either of the phones. Just think about that for a second; it had power and was having the correct pins entered for another 48 hours, yet there was no attempt to call the emergency or any other number by Kremers's phone*. I doubt that either girl was alive after midday of the 5th. That would explain why no PINS for Kremers's phone starting that afternoon. There was the photo on the 8th of Kremer's hair, but that could have been faked on her corpse. The activity without PINS on Kremer's phone until the 11th April was part of a charade being staged by the perpetrator. *Kremers's phone did not need PINs for an emergency call , nether did Froon's. No mystery.
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  14.  @MrMooremelody  Are you serious? The woman who saw them before they set off on the 1stwas stuck by how short their pants were and the skin of their their bare arms and legs, these girls could not have gone off of the trail without being scratched to bits and forced to retreat. Crossing monkey bridge requires putting you arm against steel cables and the bridges they are supposed to have fallen of are on trails. let stick with clothing. Both bras an Kremers's shorts were found. Panamanian authorities say Kremers after removing her denim shorts, so she would be falling in the river with no pants or bra,. Froom died without a bra too. . There is a photograph of the back of Kremers's head in the early hours a full ; week after she went missing in which she is holding her head upright or her corpse is being made being held to look that way This photo was taken by a criminal or Froom. If it was taken by Froom she would have no motive to make Kremers look alive and holding her own head up, and how could Froom do that anyway while she she was busy taking the photograph? Moreover, if it was Froon taking the photo, her hands were remarkable steady. Amway, both were both were alive and well and capable of screaming for help days into a very intensive search of a the area by people who knew it well. If Froom and Kremers didn't answer the calls of Panamanian search & rescues teams and Special Forces soldiers combing though even the most remote and impenetrable parts of the area it could only be because someone was holding them captive and prevented from call. Women lost in the jungle do not strip off to cross a bridge. Their underwear was never found. I strongly object to your offensive imprecations against Lisanne and Kris. You are suggesting they were beyond incredibly stupid AFTER the situation became deadly dangerous. And they could not save themselves in a week. But go ahead and insult them all you want. I can imagine what they would make of your character and intelligence.
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  18. ​ @CreamIceMs  Well I am sure they were where they were unable to be heard but why? What you suggest as resolving an anomaly is reasonable, yet in this case there are myriads; when each factoid is examined individually one can see no overall pattern of a malevolent intelligence at work and the fact that these were two striking young women seems irrelevant , yet the evidence must be assessed in its totality rather than arbitrarily hinging on one point. When one proceeds in such a manner the marginal unlikelihoods accumulate into an Everest. Incidentally, It is not jungle, because you cannot keep cattle in a jungle and there are trails, work shacks and scattered dwellings for the herders (including a shack the book co authored by the Panamanian investigating magistrate in the case says the girls spent time in), you cannot keep cows in a jungle. Volunteer and then paramilitary emergency search parties were in that area yelling for days while the phones were being switched on and offin the latter part of a period of a full eleven days. And the those searching were professional guides so experts, and Panamanians trained in how to look for lost people in real jungle like the Darien Gap national park. I think it reasonable to assume their local knowledge, training, and experience enabled them to understand how far sound would travel and to go close enough to rivers to be within earshot. Except in a thunderstorm; now the night photo of a full week after they disappeared and that shows Kris's hair was taken in the early hours during a thunderstorm. Why do you think that photo, the only evidence of either KK and LF during the 11 days, was taken when no one was going to be out and about; it feels clandestine, eh?
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  28. Denizens of area around the trailhead urged the girls to not go further by themselves; because of them being two rather naïve pretty foreign females who might be targeted when isolated from help. It was that and not because of concern about them being unable to cope with the terrain, as while the trail is through jungle and fairly challenging, it is intended for people of much older ages that these young women and less fit than they to walk for fun,; there is a definite path with a clear end at the summit, which they reached and took selfies at. A few hours later both of their phones called the emergency number. But then their phones WERE TURNED OFF AND LEFT OFF FOR 14 HOURS. That is clear cut evidence of someone else having control of their phones within hours of them reaching the summit. Next day a couple of French tourists were told by local people it was not advisable to go on the trail because screams had been heard in the jungle the night before. Nary a hint anywhere of this case being death by misadventure. Beginning with their phones being turned off for the best part of a day after an single emergency call each, and ending with the obviously deliberate scattering over a improbably large area of manipulated remains (one bone from each girl found on the SAME sandbar, virtually the whole skeletons fragmented by no known natural process, no trace of either head, a shoe floating upriver and a backpack appearing several weeks later in pristine condition without a trace of ever being in river or humid jungle) amounts to conclusive circumstantial proof of a vile double homicide for reasons better left unmentioned. Grande has made himself ridiculous in the eyes of all people with a modicum of common sense.
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  32. They started at 10.45 am and took 3 hours up to the peak, then kept going and went down the other side on a rougher continuation of the trail for an hour. It is known where the last daytime photo (Kremers on a boulder in a small stream) was taken and that it was taken at 2pm. They had been taking photos of all points of interest, but not far along from the location of picture 508 is a photogenic little waterfall, yet there is no photo of it. The lack of any more photos would be explained by them turning around to go back at 2pm. Such a decision would be very plausible because by that point the girls been already been walking for 4 hours, 3 of them uphill. Going back they they'd already have photos of everything on the route. The photos cannot lie, unlike the phone activity. Calls from their phones may have been by the perp, and made to deceive investigators, but as you say something bad was underway when both girls' cell phones tried to connect to the emergency number 2.5 hours after the 2pm photo. If they had not turned around and started back at 2pm and instead went on one hour it would mean they'd be accepting a five hour walk back. I just cannot see them choosing what, if they had eventually returned safe, would have amounted to a 10 hours walk (half of that up inclines). However, let us assume they wanted for some reason to keep on, and did not not turn around and go back, but instead kept walking in the same direction; no matter how hard they pressed on, they simply could not have reached the cable bridge over the Serpent river ravine in 2.5 hours from where they were at 2pm. So, whatever the apparent attempted emergency number calls after 4.30 pm were for, and whoever was using the girls cellphones to make them, those calls had nothing to do with an accident crossing the river cable bridge. Moreover, and this is a very telling point I think, the cable bridge over the Serpent river ravine is on the trail. So even if they went off the trail they must have got back on it to get to the cable bridge, and even if they were confused about what way they were going they knew they certainly must have know they had not crossed the cable bridge before and so to cross it was go further away from Boquete as it was getting dark. They had researched the trail on the internet before going so knew crossing the cable bridge would not be a quicker route to civilization than than turning around and going back down the trail. Crossing the cable bridge was going into part of trail they had never been on in order to hike though the night. The emergency calls, whoever made them, time the fateful events as being underway by 4.30pm . Yet no more calls were made for another 14 hours and the phones were switched off during that time.
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  35. Sun bleaching is irregular because of shade and angles ; Kris Kremers's pelvis had been soaked in lye to the extent the marrow was denatured, and it was uniformly greenish not blanched from UV light with mottling. Kris and Lisanne went on the hike on the 1 April 2014, they unsuccessfully called an emergency number before 5pm that day. Get it into your noggin that this trail has nowhere they could have got lost or fallen into a ravine reachable by 5pm, and by then they'd have been hours into retracing their steps for an 8 hour hike. One one of their phones was switched on the 11th April 2014, and switched off with 22% power remaining. So by the accident hypothesis at least one of the girls was alive in the forest for ten days. The initial couple of days search could have missed them as it was not thorough, but starting on the 6th, a huge police and rescue team with knowledge of the area search began to comb ALL the forest where they were later supposed to have been by the accident conjecturers. So for five days a sweep though the lightly wooded areas (which would include the river banks by locals helping police and with a substantial reward by the standards of the country) missed her, and she didn't hear the helicopters didn't scream which would carry a long way (young women can scream very loud). Then for five days at least one of them was alive and managed to avoid a dragnet search of even the deepest forest. Sorry to use the word 'avoid' but I think you have to remember these girls were not fugitives. The bones had not been pecked bitten or otherwise marked by animals, or abraded as in a river bed. A piece of Kremers's pelvis and a part of of Froon's ribs were found together beside a river but even it they died together upstream in a fall into the river, the odds are long of these pieces washing up on the same sandbank. A section of Froon's skin found 72 days later was rolled into a ball and seemed not to have even begun to decompose. These remains were found in the area around the hamlet of Alto Romero. The rucksack was very close to Alto Romero indeed and very few people think it showed signs of being having got there by floating on the river. Kremers's shorts were only a few kilometers away. It's abundantly clear, to me at least, that Alto Romero has at least one very calculating psychopath living in it. He thinks he is so clever with his fake emergency calls and leaving the phone to be found and pulverizing the bodies to blame it on the river. But really, he made a bad mistake not just disappearing everything, because all the improbabilities add up to a cast iron case for the deaths of Kremers and Froom being no accident. In a small community like Alto Romero, person(s) of that character would have acquired a bad reputation. I dare say sooner or later t his neighbours or his criminal associates will get tired of having him around to commit another crime get caught, so they'll deal with him in their own fashion. Kris and Lisanne, may you rest in peace.
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  45. Dr Grande says an unknown person of interest is unlikely to be so "irregular" as to leave evidence consistent with foul play where it is bound to be found, and so there was no guilty intentionality at work. However, the trajectory of events established by the contents of the backpack was that the girls had gone down the rough and isolated part of the trail on the other side of the peak. That was a watershed in the investigation because it had not been thought likely, and having become known it moved the focus of inquiries much further away from the very many people living on the Boquete side of the the trail up to the summit that divides the two trails. Where the backpack was found is just outside the search area several kilometers down river from a dangerous monkey bridge on the trail that the girls could have reached and fallen into the river from had they gone on (another four hours!) . The remains of the girls were strewn around a bank of the aforementioned river near an Indian village. Dr Grande's conclusion is valid in relation to the Indians; yes, but though the possessions and remains finds made foul play more likely in in the minds of some observers, it did not in Panamanian officialdom's, who were the ones most important for the perpetrator to convince. In any case, it had the effect of moving the inquiries and search further away from those residing along the trail on the Boquete side. Most of the people who knew the girls were on the trail were those saw them as they walked past back yards on the initial three hour hike from the entrance to the trail up to the summit. In the Central Park Five case it emerged that, far from just being unlucky in running into a gang as originally assumed, the jogger-who was unusually attractive- had been spotted in a crowded part of the park and followed to an isolated area. The same thing happening with the striking Kremers is plausible. What probably happened was the girls turned around to come back after the photo at the little stream( they'd been walking for four hours) and quickly ran into the person(s) following them. One point that Dr Grande might consider is that if faked by a perpetrator the cellphone activity from the 1st April to 11th of April was begun almost immediately and continued with in the expectation that the phone would be kept for some time then left to be found and support an accidental interpretation. To me that would have been very quick thinking , or the result of a pre-existing plan. The night photos of the 8th April also indicate someone putting on record in a camera intended to be later left to be found, a narrative of girls lost in the wilderness and badly injured. Yet knowing to make it work he'd be keeping the camera and cell phone for another two months despite them being extremely incriminating; it would take a very confident methodical man. One could say it did not work, but this fellow if he exists is a Panamanian who knows all he has to worry about is the Panamanian authorities. And he used the contents of the backpack to gave them an illustrated timestamped narrative that satisfied them of not one but two foreign girls losing their way, having serious accidents, and fiddling with their cellphone in a relatively small area for 11 days without being seen or heard by a search and rescues team with abundant local knowledge that was combing every inch of it. This is quite a scenario to make people accept, yet he has done it. If such a culprit/screenwriter exists, who is he? My best guess would be someone who lives on a farm along the Boquete side of the trail, not over the summit. Maybe with his brothers.
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  48. Strangely. one girl's family thought it was an accident, and some Dutch journalists too. Living in a very well ordered and high trust society like the Netherlands is no preparation for understanding the the realities of Panama. A few years ago a German woman got lost in Panama and was found and ABDUCTED by members of the search and rescue team and assaulted for days until she escaped . In 2009 a twentysomething male British backpacker disappeared in the same Panamanian town the girls were staying in. Moreover, people have been robbed on the trail, but the Panamanians keep all that very quiet and I strongly suspect the girls didn't know enough to understand how much of a chance they were taking. The were warned but didn't comprehend the danger being alluded to was criminal violence. In my opinion, Grande was inappropriately snippy about the girls, as if he thinks Panama is the victim here. Quite the opposite, I have read a bit more; the standard tourist trail up to the summit is has residences backing onto it. It is possible to accidently keep going after the summit and be on a trail that you would walk for days before reaching a town, However the girls knew exactly where they were because they turned and photographed the town several kilometers away below them from the summit before continuing on down the other side on a trail that is NOT jungle but at most forest because there are people living in the area and they drive their cattle (you cannot keep cattle in a jungle) along the trails. They had been told they had to turn and come back from the summit but kept going probably because it was a sunny day and exceptionally easy going being very dry they went on for a couple of hours and reached a stream that has been identified from photos. In In the rainy season it is exhausting country with lots of mud but when they the girls were on it the going was underfoot was easy and the rivers were not in spate. The cable bridge was not necessary to cross the river, it could be forded. The reward offered is a king's ransom in Panama and they were supposed to be alive making calls for 11 days in this inhabited area with no one seeing or hearing them calling for help. A huge search by people that know the area well and have found lost backpackers there before overlapped with the calls from the girls phones. The calls were at a certain time each day and once when connected the connection was immediately broken, When the search got mote intense up ten weeks later and began , pulverized body parts and pristine belongings started appearing. The backpack was found close to an indigenous peoples village. Both girls' bras were inside. As for the bones and fragments of bones that supposedly floated down the Serpent river and ended up on one small sandbank, those were clearly never in the water: bones don't float.
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  50. Anything along the lines of a your proposed explanation of an accidental or at least no foul play death is plausible for one person because some individuals are troubled or easily confused. At first blush, two dying together that way over eleven days in a sparsely populated but inhabited area with herders by day, and their phones (sans last messages) and fragments of a few of their bones being found all in the same five mile stretch of forest is barely credible for young fit women with a thirst for life. It is certainly possible, but on first principles I would say misadventure is far from the least unlikely way they met their deaths. There was one attempted emergency call from each phone at just before 5pm on the day of the hike, then there was a 14 hour gap between the original attempted emergency call, one from from each phone, and the next phone activity, which was one failed emergency call from each phone the following morning. Crucially, the phones were both switched off one hour after the first emergency call attempt (one from each phone twelve minutes apart). Are we supposed to believe that after the failed emergency call neither made any immediate retry and instead decided to be early to bed in a strange jungle, and so in order to get a good nights sleep (and not be bothered by people calling them?) switched their phones off and left them off for a whole 13 hours? The photos on the 8th were taken in the dead of night during a rainstorm. It stinks of clandestine activity being done when no one was up and about in the area to observe the movements. There had been no activity on any phone since the 6th and there was none until the 11th, so a 48 hour gap either side of the night photos. Nary an attempted call after the third day, so 5 days before the night photos the attempted call had completely stopped, but and one phone was switched on the 11th (after the aforementioned four day gap when both were switched off. To think the devices were in the hands of lost girls, one would have to believe the girls were behaving like fugitives for some reason. Why did the local expert they hired, who earned his living because tourists paid him to be on their hikes, not give KK and LS a warning not to go on one alone especially that one w, which he is the great expert on The girls could hardly have got cautioned to not go down the Serpent trail alone because they had hired him for accompanying them on the trip the next day. The found out they were at a loose end that moring and Eileen in the snapchat exchange of messages that morning asked if he was available,; she was not given (to pass on) such a don't go a hike without me warning for KK and LS, although that morning our friend knew they were probably going a hike alone, and he had told them about the Serpent trail at least indirectly while offering them through Eileen a stay at his lodge down it. It is a fact that he told journalists he had met Kris and Lisanne at the school and in town. Later he denied he ever had met them. That is very reminiscent of Van Der Sloot and his mutually inconsistent accounts. Were Kris and Lisanne foolhardy? Yes a bit, they met some rough nut guys and may even have been swimming topless with them on the 30th. Though their trusted professional had inexplicably omitted to say don't, going down an isolated trail (he had told them about) was contrary to common sense and the natural fearfulness that young women have for good reason. For reasons of state, Panama preferred the obvious killer should escape justice thinking it would soon be forgotten. Nope.
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  52.  @Fraukie_H  Normal killers get caught, these ones (or their families who were drawn into it after the fact) were crafty enough to prepare a cover story story with the calls just in case, but the calls were at exactly the same time each day and had wrong pins. They girls were already dead, that is why the photos stop showing them. The evidence of the remains, pulverising of bone and skin rolled into a ball is the work of someone not something. Also the perfect condition rucksack that had not been in the river and was found just after a very close search had began with help from the Dutch and special dogs. The bras are inside and shorts are miles away, but the underpants' were not found at all. My bet is impulsive young men committing an outrage and then asking for help, and the authorites not wanting to admit tourists are at risk in their town. I think the people who were accessories after the fact and the actual perps were not sure what to do; maybe the plan was to store the rucksack with the phones an plant it in in a better way, but the search somehow alarmed the conspiracy and to have incriminating evidence stored became too dangerous so it was clumsily dumped. Quite possibly whoever had the stuff was not a perp but merely an accessory after the fact. Or maybe the remains being found immediately was necessary to stop a search that was making them nervous. The timing suggests the evidence was left to close the matter as accidental death and halt the investigation. But that was a mistake on the perps' part because they made some mistakes and anyone who looks at it in a hardheaded way definitely know this was a double homicide. mot any kind of misadventure. They didn't willingly leave the trail, because it ends at the so called "bridge" and there are warning signs it is inadvisable to proceed unless equipped for the jungle. Furthermore, a Dutchman with mountaineering experience said the cable tightrope (one rope is all there is for your feet) "bridge" with a 70 foot drop was frightening to him, and the girls would never have been on it in the first place to fall off (what the Panamanians say happened). There were multiple townspeople involved in setting them up and others drawn into the cover up I expect and one day it will come back to haunt them. The taxi driver who drove them to the begining of the trail has since drowned supposedly after having a heart attack, he was in his early thirties.
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  53. I suspect it was standard depravity and cunning. There is a photo of the girls at the summit where the tourist orientated trail ends at 1pm, and beyond that is a barely there trail through obviously dangerous and slow to cross terrain: super scary slippery precipitous and with animal skulls displayed on branches. Adventurous young European men have said a few hundred yards into that rudimentary trail (having ignored the signs telling walkers not to proceed any farther) they became alarmed and turned back. One of the girls had asthma and they'd hardly have been planning on moving at night so had to start back it was a 6 hour round trip and at real altitude. They'd never have gone on past the warnings let alone used the cable tightrope to cross the river they were hypothesized to have fallen into. These were not hard core trekkers, but a couple of nice young girls wearing a minimum of clothing who wanted to work with children and had a day to spend. Dutch TV went to the area and the locals who know the trail best insisted that the last photos of the girls show them coming back down the trail, which is what one would expect. Fascinatingly, someone whose been there mentioned the tourist trail has shacks visible from it it every few hundred yards along.. What probably happened is they were dragged of the track and abducted by backwoods degenerates when they were coming back down. Maybe after they were seen, possibly harassed, going up. Their phones were turned off for 14 hours from that day. There were screams heard in the jungle that night because the next day a French couple was told this by a friendly local who dissuaded them from going in the jungle for that reason. The locals around the begining of the trail had tried to stop the girls going on even the tourist orientated trail by themselves. The backpack was found soon after what for Panama was huge money rewards were being offered.
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  59. IF the girls were not abducted on the 1st April, but simply become lost, the photographs taken in the early hours of the 8th of April must have been taken by Froon, who would have no reason to fake Kremers being alive. Therefore, in the non abduction scenario, both Froon and Kremers must have been alive on the 8th. Yet there was no attempt to call the emergency number on their phones after the 3rd. FIVE DAYS BOTH OF THEM ALIVE AND NOT CALLING THE EMERGENCY NUMBER. For the lost theory to be true either Krmers or Froon must have been alive on the 11th. Yet even the most heavily forested places they possibly might have been were went into and searched closely by the local rescue team with a great deal of local knowledge assisted by Panamanian Special Forces (trained by the US green berets) begining on the 6th. The search teams were yelling and all the girls had to do is scream back and they would have both been found in those 48hours because they were both alive as late as the 8th according to the 'lost theory',. At night there were lights. The 'they got lost ' school of thought need to remember that in their preferred scenario these young women (not deaf mutes) WANTED to be found. At least one of them was still alive on the 11th according to the phone data which the 'losters' must accept. Yet she was not found, did not hear the shouts or seen or the lights. We have to bear in mind this person was certainly not hiding from the search in the losters' scenarios, so none of their conjectures actually 'fly' as a real world event. As for the backpack being found with money and constituting evidence that a killer would not have left, the phone data prov if there was a killer was preparing a 'lost' narrative from the first day with fake calls to emergency services. So in an abduction scenario, a perpetrator had from the morning of the day after they were kidnapped (at the latest) formulated a plan to kill them both and get away with it by creating an confirmation of the 'lost scenario on the phones, and much later leaving them to be found. Someone who could think up such a scheme would understand leaving the money in the backpack would be a good idea. Before the backpack or any other trace of the girls was found, the Panamanian government though its attorney general had announced that Froon and Kremers's bodies had been in a river and swept out to sea. Whoever abducted them had intended from the very begining to eventually leave the phones to be found. Once Panamanian law ruled the double disappearance involved no crime, the perpetrators thought they were safe. Moreover, there had been a new and very high reward of $30,000 offered and the leaving the backpack must have seemed a low risk way of claiming it. Especially if it could be planted downstream from the monkey bridge over the Serpent river. The person who found the backpack is am Indian woman but has connections to one of the main suspects, who lives nearby on a farm. Moreover, it was none other than this same this 'person of interest' male who discovered some of the subsequent remains of Kremers and Froon, which were found after there was there was a refusal to pay any of the reward for finding the backpack. This happened ten weeks after Froom and Kremers went missing, and by that time everywhere along the trail and out in every direction from it had been searched very thoroughly; it was hardly possible to put the backpack there and say these things had been missed. Moreover it would have been risky to move in that area with incriminating items while there was to much search activity and people wanting to claim the reward being alert to anything suspicious, especially from our person of interest who was associated with the case in the media, The search had began to verge on but had not yet taken in the person of interest's home area, which happened to be downriver from the cable bridge over the ravine ; so it was was not exculpatory for the backpack and remains to be found near his farm at all. He didn't have much choice but to leave the backpack virtually on the dorstep of hais farm if he wanted to plant it downstream from the monkey bridge in an area he felt secure moving around in and where he has connections which could be used as proxies to claim the reward. The fake emergency calls deception and leaving the phones for a post hoc record of the girls getting getting lost and attempting to contact emergency services was quite a ingenious stratagem. Almost too clever, unless the person had some occupational link in his everyday life to the possibility of tourists getting lost that bought such an ploy to victimize tourists and pass it of as a them perishing in a accident to his mind readily. The emergency calls ploy (and the initial abduction) also required him having confidence in his knowledge of where on the trail the phones of tourists would not connect. Kremers and Froon lost the ability to make calls at 1.39pm, and the last photo was 2.15pm. Pretty precise. Our person of interest guides tourist along this trail. He has also began denying that he ever met Kremers and Froon, though that contradicts his earlier account.
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  71.  @Peanut_taco_muffin  Panamanian pathologists' reported Lisanne had shin splints, so she covered a lot of miles (although it could have been in circles or out and back in a different direction each time (like spokes from a wagon wheel hub) returing to where Kris lay injured because Lisanne did not want to leave her except for a limited amounts of time . Being fit for walking means Lisanne's voice was strong. I think a lost scenario works if we assume Lisanne was not using her physical capabilities properly. Kris being over confident and becoming debilitated in a fall then and Lisanne getting neurotic under the stress and not going for help in a determined way can work as a realistic scenario for me. Alto Romero being under ten miles from Boquete and having scores of people living, working and travelling between it and the overlook each day is troublung because it makes Lisanne's actions seem farcical, if not tantamount to suicide. Dr Grande does not canvass such a possibility and he has some experience in these matters; he say this seems to have been an accident, but with the important caveat that there is no really satisfactory explanation. Its not Seven Degrees of Kevin Bacon type links I am talking about no one denies the guide was hired by them on the morning of the hike and he then he found scattered pieces of what was left of them after they went some way down the trail to his ranch. Small world! If he had told them to on no account go hiking without a guide none of this would happened. But he clearly did not because a couple of hours later they did just that and on a trail he may well have discussed with them. By his own account he went as far as the entrance to the paddocks on the 3rd looking for them; that was on the correct trail out of many possible ones. Lucky guess would be a possible explanation. but when asked by the police why he had said publicly the girls had went hiking behind the Pianista he said Eileen had told him; she said this was not true and she hadn't known it anyway. Now is such a deliberate untruth about how he seemed to know so much about where the two missing girls had gone several weeks before the backpack was found and the camera revealed it was the Serpent trail, really not suspicious? He was listed as a suspect in the police file you know. There were people who said Van Der Sloot was innocent of the killing of Natalee Holloway, (and some still do), but that case showed circumstantial evidence can be the best evidence of all.
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  79. Well, no. Girls who were strangers to such conditions getting disorientated and making foolish decisions is very plausible, and so is stumbling around exhausted and in low light conditions falling off a cliff into a ravine with a river at the bottom of it. Kris and Lisanne were less worldly-wise than most twenty year old women, which is really saying something. I agree one of the girls being alive and not being found for day after day while locals were wandering along the paths able to hear screams and search teams were combing the area that is only tens of kilometers across is far from credible. Itmeans the girls were not simply lost. There was in Panamanian terms a huge reward for them. However, the culprits overthought it with the fake calls leaving the backpack and remains so likely are not too bright. The mechanically pulverized condition of the defleshed, although not abraded as they would be by a river bed, bones seems conclusive, especially when taken with the fact that bone does not float. The perpetrators are local yokels, and I am sure I know where they are from. As for blaming the girls, it is not entirely unfair because the girls had been told by the woman of the family they were living with that on reaching the summit they must come back the way they came. Panamanians living around the begining of the trail tried to dissuade the girls from going by themselves on even the touristy part to the summit that borders on properties. I think the way the striking Kremers was dressed worried them. The problem was the girls did not get explicitly told the reason for concerns was they might be assaulted by criminal men. It was an exceptionally good day and dry underfoot, one was artistic and wanted photographs of wilder places and the other was quite athletic, so the combination of their personalities and the favourable conditions led to them not only venturing over the summit on to the rougher path, but going much further down it than anyone would have predicted, or the average couple of European girls might have though wise. Relevant to the idea of them twisting their ankle is they both had excellent boots on. They went for two hours to the little stream where the last photos' were taken. Given that they had then been walking for four hours from the trailhead and would have the same time to get back there by 7 pm at the earliest, the most obvious reason for no more photos is because they turned to go back and were retracing their steps over where they already had taken photos at. An hour later both their phones called the emergency number within ten minutes and those were the last calls made on their phones that were was actually by them I suspect. The most likely scenario for them being alarmed enough to call as an emergency yet having over ten minutes to do so is they passed someone on the trail who then altered direction and began stalking them. There is a photo of Kremer a week afterwards ( 8 April) Yet they cannot possibly have been alive then because they could shout for help and be heard, unless they were being held prisoner. One of the girls' phone was being used on the 11th. I have never thought there was the slightest mystery about it; the perpetrators being most likely men from Alto Romero where the backpack was left very close to the village indeed, and Kremers shorts later appeared only a few kilometer away. The body parts were almost entirely beween the two locations. and close to Alto Romero No one not from the area could make repeated trips there. Also it shows a lack of sophistication about the fuss and forensic examination that that guide would likely not be stupid enough for. I don't think he had anything to do with it. When Dutch TV wentto Alto Romero it was apparent the residents were trying to confuse the issue so I'll bet the people there have a good idea who did it. The Panamanians' motives in covering it (and several similar incidents) up is all too clear. Why people are still choosing to go there of all places for a carefree holiday is an enigma to me though.
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  80. "Possible" simply means it would not have violated the laws of physics. For what actually happened the most likely scenario ought to be concentrated on. Arnold Donaldson is very good on this first principle being neglected by 'losters'. Jaime Costa, who knows the area and walked the trail has pointed out that the trail has too many people on it for an abduction to be likely. I now think Lissane and Kris being duped into leaving the trail on the pretext of being led to a photogenic waterfall is more plausible. No one was given an interrogation appropriate to it being identified as a double murder case, for the simple reason that this the Panamanian authorities could call it what ever they wanted, and they did not want it to be a murder. Many in Boquete were somewhat resentful about a level of resources being given to looking for disappeared women tourist froms the Netherlandsm which was far beyond what would have been used for a couple of equivalent age women from Boquete. But on the other hand extra judicial retribution would be more likely for Panamanian women; our person of interest wouldn't dare continue hanging around in the town if two Panamanian families there suspected him of being responsible for killing their daughters. I don't think 'suspect' is a strong enough term for him actually; the finds of possessions and remains seem highly suggestive of him, especially that two days after Froon's boot was found it was F who found Kremers's boot. No one talks about Kremers's boot though (apart to note that she died without shorts, boots or a bra on),
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  81.  @FB-cx4sp The Dr is good on psychology, I was expecting that kind of analysis. One would think as a man Grande must have an understanding of the relevance of these being peak physical condition female humans, not old and unhealthy, and therefor giving men certain ideas. Kris was particularly striking, with unusual coloring and dressed in a way that drew attention to her figure, like would be appropriate for getting attention at a holiday resort let alone an isolated forest. She was said to be artistic and out going. That said, you can disappear going to the beach in Panama as American Catherine Johannet did in 2019. Possessions, pulverized bone and rolled up pieces of skin were scattered in various direction in the area around the village of Alto Romero. The backpack was found beside a rice field quite close to that village just as the searching was reaching a crescendo and moving towards the village. If I was forced to say who I think it was likely someone from Alto Romero or a farm around there that did it. On the other hand, someone was quite cunning with the fake emergency calls (though all were made during at times suggesting a midday break from work), but the 14 hours of both phones being switched off immediately after the first and probably genuine emergency calls suggest to me that the cover up calls-entailing long term planning- maybe were after both were dead, devised by someone different to whoever committed such an impulsive crime,--possibly a father or older brother of the perp(s). My bet would be they were targets of opportunity having passed a local(s)who realised they were totally isolated and abducted them off the trail. Possibly they were not alive for more than hours, although they could have been most easily moved (at night to avoid witnesses) to a nearby farm where the chemicals and machinery to dispose of the corpses that was clearly used would be present. I think that farm may be very close indeed to the little stream where their last photo was taken
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  105. The presence of voracious insects cannot explain why they took their bras off, indeed it is a powerful reason to think they did not do so voluntarily. If it was an accidental death documented by the night photo of an injured Kris's head, which the guide was the first one to say was taken under the cable bridge, the body would be in the river for most of the ten weeks, and only ended up on land when the levels receded, so no insects for most of the time. It's surprisingly cold at elevation, and there was some flesh on the bones from Froon's corpse along with a hardly decomposed piece of skin from her shin. So what probably happened is her body was in a jungle grave at high elevation, and the killer returned to dig it up enough to take a leg. Kremers's corpse was probably very heavily doused in caustic soda (her boot was bleached) and the pelvis fragment dipped in lye again before being left (it was lacking any trace of the the super tough ligament that connects to the backbone) It must be borne in mind that this is not a horror film about army ants (or piranhas) but a real world event in which two young sexually attractive women who ventured one hour down a remote trail, and 20 minutes after they left cellphone reception stopped taking photos, then got transformed into a few bones..Dr Grande has done video on men who who killed women and tried to make it look like an accident. I dare say there are ones who got away with it. While it must be accepted that things might have happened as you suggest in the case of the pelvis fragment, it would be a long shot. For there to have been no foul play a long series of long shots would have had to converge. That is what is called "overfitting" . Much more plausible than a prolix series of remarkable things just happening, is that Kris And Lisanne were victims of a double homicide. Everyone talks about the chemical state of Kris's pelvis, which was found while the guide was present, but much more telling are the parallels and extreme propinquity of the remains. To be specific, the backpack was found by an employee of the guide very close to one of his properties. Then the guide found the first remains, Froon's foot, in her boot nearby. Two days later he found Kremers's boot. The guide was there at the finding of Kremers's pelvis, which was not all that far from the backpack and Froon's foot/boot (despite the presumably different buoyancy characteristics of these items). Neither Kris or Lisanne's underwear or tops were found. but both of their shorts were. One boot each, both bras, and a few bone fragments from each. It stinks of a murderer having selected items easy to carry from where Lisanne and Kris were covertly interred, and planted those remains and belongings to show both girls slipped into a river ravine. That $30,000 reward was an additional motivation. Criminals tend to operate out in a rough V shape pattern begining from their home. The finds are consistent with that method of operation.
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  122.  @kevlarcardhouse252  You are misunderstanding the extent to which police are free to open a politically embarrassing new criminal investigation in Panama, and what the purpose of the backpack was when it was planted. F's intent with the backpack was to access the reward that had just increased to a life changing amount . The backpack was found by F's employee, almost on the doorstep of one of 'F's tourist lodges in Alto Romero. F then found the very first remains, behind a nearby tree. More finds by F and search parties led by F followed. '"He's the last guy to see them alive—and then he's the one who finds their bones,” says fellow guide Tornblom. “Something about that just feels wrong to me."' Let me give you a counterfactual. Coming under all this suspicion from people who know the area, why would F not have worried the next thing would be the rest of the bodies and the heads of Froon and Kremenr being found in a shallow grave at the bottom of his garden. An innocent man would have to suspect someone was deliberately implicating him by planting evidence and the trap was closing on him. Anyone in the position an innocent F would have been in by mid June could and surely would have protested his innocence and publicly said he was being framed. But he did not do that. Why? Forget about all the convoluted and competing inferences about favoured factoids. F's failure to be alarmed at the finds of the remains inexorably making him look guilty, and to react by protesting he was being railroaded, is that one clear index we need.
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  129.  @KD--sj8eo  Please read things thoroughly before commenting, and looking on Wikipedia might be an idea too. The Central Park Five were supposed to have run into the Jogger at random during their mugging rampage though the park. The Five were freed when Matias Reyes confessed he was acting alone when he saw the Jogger in a busy part of the park near the entrance; followed her to an isolated part of the park clubber her with a branch and dragged her off the path and into the trees. My point was the Central park Jogger was UNUSUALLY attractive so the odds were against perps 'hitting the jackpot' at random like that. Catherine Johannet the American woman who was murdered in 40 miles from Broquete in Panama in 2014, was also clubbed while walking a forest trail and them dragged off it. Kris Kremers was unusually attractive.While it IS possible she and Froom were not followed from the more inhabited Boquete side of the trail into the isolated over the peak/ continental divide section of the trail, and just ran onto some bad actor{s} when they went down the other side, I think the balance of probability is they were followed. Kremers was too striking for her being a random victim to be more probable than not. You cannot get off the narrow trail accidently or in order to avoid an attacker on the bit Kremers and Froom were on in the last photos, but a little way further on from the last photo is cow pasture where two victims would be much harder to control, so any stalker who knew the trail would have had to strike quite quickly. An important point is that Froon and Kremers were indisputably dressed for walking along a trail rather than leaving it and moving through undergrowth with bare arms and legs. It would have immediately been very uncomfortable for them and obvious they had to backtrack. So it they left the trail, yes, but it was surely against their will because they were abducted.
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  133. The dog hung out with the many tourists who walked the Pianista which is five miles long and you turn at the end and walk back down it Therefore the dog would would not have went past the end of Pianista and down the other trail which would be strange to it. The dog returning was only odd because no one thought the girls were going to keep going straight on after the Pianista trail ended and descend an hour down a trail that only Indian inhabitants and serious hikers take. It would not be credible that a natural accident could happen to them on the Pianista, and it is much too inhabited for a serious crime of violence. The Pianista is what the girls told people they were going on. So the lack of action when the dog came back by itself was understandable. The information they got about the trail beyond the Pianista was partly from the internet that morning before they set out, but we know that they day before they disappeared F talked to them about it when he unsuccessfully tried to get them them to take a guided tour with overnight stay to his coffee plantation outside Alto Romero. The rough trail was the way that F would have taken them to his plantation, although it was 14 hours hike further along than they got according to the last photo, and the time they's have had had to return to Boquite before nightfall. Ten weeks later their backpack and then and 6% of their skeletons (which were apparently pulverised and treated with lime, turned up in around Alto Romero, found by people associated with F and him himself. It is a terrible injustice that F and his employees were not given the $30,000 reward
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  149.  @phd1313 But we know that on day eleven someone is still strong enough to put the phones and camera (without any message for their families on either) in the backpack and securely fasten it. Of course that is easy to come up with an innocent reason for, just as can be done for many other strange facts known, yet while each odd thing can be easily explained when considered individually. Yet, if taken in the round the totality of anomalies is persuasive (by my way of thinking) that in all probability we are dealing with male criminal activity towards undefended young women with a contemporaneously fabricated cover narrative on the phones and camera. That the night photos where Kris's hair is seen were taken in the early hours of the morning during a thunderstorm a week after they vanished reeks of the clandestine. It is highly unlikely they left the trail willingly to enter scratchy forest as they had bare arms and legs. Judging by how clean their bra were they both took their bras off at an early stage. Lack of decomposition products on the denim shows Kris died without her shorts on. Them getting naked in the jungle pretty far fetched. But what makes this an obvious double homicide is on the day of the hike both their phones got switched off one hour after the sole emergency call attempt (one from each of their phones twelve minutes apart). To accept an accident what happened after the failed emergency call each is neither made any retry, and instead decided to be early to bed for their first night lost in a strange jungle (maybe in order to not be bothered by people calling them during what they hoped would be a good night's sleep, they switched both their phones off at the same time and left them off for a whole 13 hours. On the 2nd (day after they went missing ) an attempted emergency number call from Froon's phone is said to have made a short-time connection, following which the call was terminated. It is an undisputed fact that Froon's phone was then left on without making a call or other activity all that night running the battery down completely by 5am and there were no more call attempts from it or Kremers's phone after that time (5am the 3rd). Everyone knows who did it.
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  166.  @stevemorse108  I consider the involvement of F to be virtually certain. One thing we definitely know (because he gave two mutually incompatible accounts): guide F has uttered untruths about whether he had a meeting with Kris and Lissane the day before they disappeared. I think he did, just as he originally said; he told of trying to sell the girls guided tours at the language school where he is the default guide . According F's original account, this happened on Monday the 31st of April and in his detailed account Lisanne read and Kris lay in a hammock as he was giving them his sales pitch. His card was in their room and what he said about them is consistent with what we know of their personalities. It is important to remember that the trip they got the school intern Eileen to book sometime on Tuesday by phone/ internet for Wednesday was to Alto Quiel, and on a complete different trail in another direction to any part of the Pianista and the continuation of a rough trail behind it. A certain site (not Scarlett's) will tell you that Eileen was an employee of F, but this is incorrect. Eileen was a pretty young German woman who was moved around the various schools, and was new to Boquete. She booked F to be a guide on Wednesday for herself Eileen as well as Kris and Lisanne. Eileen did not see Kris and lisanne on Tuesday at all, so the book must have been decided on the day before. You really cannot beat Scarlet's site, the others are all all plagerising her and just making things up; managing to get very important details completely wrong withal. In my opinion F went away from his Monday meeting with the girls thinking lascivious things, but is not stupid enough to have ever believed he could be the guide taking them on a hike/ tour and then have them 'disappear' on that tour; he would've immediately been arrested and be as good as convicted. What I think happened is he saw them and thought he would like to victimize them (or maybe just Kris) , but it was just fantasy for the aforementioned reason. How did it go down then? The next day he may have simply bumped into them on the trail when he happened to be walking it, and thought he had the perfect set up to do what he wanted, and not only get away with it, but have no criminal investigation by faking them dying accidently because they were lost. They knew him as a trustworthy guide, and if just running into him, he would be able to trick them into leaving the trail by offering to show them something like a waterfall. If he had neutralized Lissane out of the blue, he'd have been able to control Kris quite easily. Of course he may have somehow known or suspected or been tipped off they were on the trail some way and/or had help, but I think him acting alone with what he'd regard as luck in the way I have just adumbrated is an underdiscussed scenario.
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  179.  @NadaYoTengo  Okay, you have local knowledge so I accept that our person of interest does not spend his time there on an average day. However, he is very wised up about the internet and phones so I think when he does leave Boquete to attend to matters on his farm near Alto Romero, he would be making calls to Boquete to keep in touch with any new bookings and when he may have to be back for. He surely knows from doing this while walking between Boquete and the farm both on his own account, and while with tourist customers paying for trips to his coffee plantation farm, where the phone reception ends (so would other guides too probably). However it would not just be a case of knowing where the women would not be able to call the emergency number (hitting the unlock key five times would be all that would have been needed) and actually get through, there is another reason. Even if if they were waylaid too suddenly for an emergency call to be made, the phones being switched on within phone reception range might enable the exact location every 15 minutes to later be determined by examining the cellphone mast data. That info would not require finding the girls phones, because the call data is stored in the mast transmitting stations and could have been available as soon as they were officially missing. The perps had to do this thing well outside phone reception range, otherwise they would have been leaving the investigation a record of exactly when and where the victimization started. Inside phone reception range, not turning the girls' phones off once under the perps' control would be tantamount to giving a the authorities a moment by moment record of their movements while inside reception range. Kris and Lisanne left phone range at 1.39pm and one would expect that the perps made sure they had a broad extra margin to be sure. There was a guide (not F) who said he saw them on the summit/ overlook, but has since changed his mind and said he know realises he was wrong and it was not them. He admits he was there on the day though. Considering Kremers's unusual red blonde hair, pale skin of her exposed legs and arms, and Froon's almost as striking clothing and extreme height, I do not understand how any man could make a mistake like that.
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  180.  @NadaYoTengo  Okay. I have maybe confused my commentary with counterfactual 'mights' in the perpetrators mind.. Back to basics. In a nutshell, the perps knew the area extremely well, and understood they did not need to worry about the girl's cell phones. Moreover, the perps actually used the phones to manufacture a cover story by storing the phones for ten weeks and subsequently leaving them to be found. That seems to me a very above average level of confidence in one's grasp of such technology in someone who also had a very detailed knowledge of the trail area (pretty disparate types of knowledge for one man to have). Our guy is quite intelligent, organized and patient enough for carrying out a long term plan. Scarlet R is the best on the background, but Arnold Donaldson has the first principles right. Scarlet is very fair in making allowances for 'F' and his attitude now being a result of the internet accusations he has been subjected to, but if a couple of local Boquete girls had disappeared like that their Panamanian fathers and brothers would be doing more than sending him nasty e-mails, eh? Scarlet ought to remember that he never faced an investigation that began from the starting point of having identified the girls' deaths as a double homicide. He was not professionally interrogated. In an interview in July 2014, he said the girls could not have gone off the trail, but then he said the danger is to keep going too far along the trail. This is a slander on the common sense of two girls. One must draw one's own conclusions as to why someone who is so familiar with that trail thinks a 4.39pm emergency call by two girls intending no more than a days walk. and understanding they had the same ground to cover on the return was made while heading towards the cable bridge, (which they could not have possibly reached by that time).
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  181. Sounds like you know what you are talking about. Maybe it is foolproof, but you would need to be very (over) confident such was the case, and expert professionals could not detect some anomaly in the total data to stake everything on the SIM card removed log fraud duping everyone. The guy we are talking about was already identified as a figure in the case by being a guide hired by them for the next day for the very same trail. And raising the alarm. Finds of manipulated phones wouldn't need Sherlock Holmes to conclude it was likely a double homicide, and anyone who admits that possibility is inexorably led to the conclusion it was him. I think the phones were used out of range by him from a very early stage. If the girls were in signal range the most dangerous point for the for the perpetrator(s) would be the initial assault to actually getting the girls under his control, and that necessarily would have happened when THEY had their phones and were only seconds from getting through to the Emergency number. Women of that age can use their phones very quickly, and are fearful. I think being out of signal range had two benefits . One they could not call for help. Secondly it let the lost calls deception require only a normal amount of technical knowledge. Also, the phone data for the 2nd shows a gap between 8am and 11am when our man was In Boquete in the morning . The 2 second connection on the 2nd is consistent with him making a mistake about being in a signal free location due to all the running about he was dong that day.
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