Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "What is Russia's plan for victory?" video.

  1. Anders seems to be saying either Ukraine is free to become a member/ de jure member of Nato (with aspiration to regain occupied territories Russia says are its) and member of the EU, whereby Ukraine as poorest country in the EU necessarily gets massive transfers of funds (for economic convergence), or it becomes a Russian puppet. No middle ground, or room for compromise. Where is all the money to build a new strong Ukrainian army and rebuild Ukraine AND bring it up to EU economic convergence level? Not from America, Trump has said the US ain't paying for s**t. Poland lost a lit of its territory and had a vast number of its people die in WW2, but it has experienced a resurgence. Ukraine will too, in time. Virtually no person, no country is completely free in the absolutely inviolable way Anders is holding up as the minimal acceptable level of independent sovereign democracy that Ukraine must be raised to ASAP by the West once the fighting stops. None of this is anyone's fault because no person is responsible for being born to the parents they are or for living in the circumstances of their life and times. Like people, some countries come into being more favourably ensconced than others. Ukraine is next to a large paranoid military autocracy and parts of Ukraine are heavily larded with Russians. Ukraine might still move to relatively quickly to be a prosperous secure country in Nato and the EU of course. But that would take an enormous transfer of wealth from Western taxpayers (including from the population of countries like Poland that are accustomed to being net recipients of EU funds).
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  2. Ukrainians' elected representatives are the only ones who can officially cede national territory, and yes that would signal a terrible diplomatic defeat for the country and when hostilities cease Kyiv might see some changes, yet this punishment of failed elected officials by replacing them is supposed to be the Western way. Biden started as Pres by calling Putin "a killer", then had almost three years after a full on invasion of Ukraine by Russia to give ATACMS, F16s to Ukraine, and most dreaded of all by Russia, draconian oil sanctions, but did/ is about to do so only when he knew Trump was going to be the one to deal with the results. The latest Ukrainian strike inside Russia were on Taganrog which is a Black Sea port nowhere near Kursk or the North Koreans Biden was worried about Russia red lines until he lost the election but then starts expanding the strikes deep and wide so Trump takes power inextricably entangled in tit for tat escalation he cannot get out of without looking terribly weak. Biden is also giving the largest ever amount of US money yet to Ukraine and using the interest on Russian money to pay for the rest of the aid. The much more stringent oil sanctions will cause general inflation globally, and send Germany's economy down the toilet; not clear who in going to pay for the massive cost of EU convergence payments for Ukraine with the economic outlook for Bessel's banker Germany. Similarly, Trump is not going to be the one who has to deal with the fruits of mature mega-alliance between Russia with its vast untapped resources being exploited by the industrial giga workforce of China that will tilt the whole balance of world power irreparably against the West. So I expect that Trump will have to continue the war at the intensity Biden's own 'Christmas Bombing' has amped it up to by January. What I think Trump might do as an initiative against Russia is impose sanctions against China for helping Russia in Ukraine, which will kill the Russians' war effort (from microchips to spools of optic fibre for one way drones) in an attempt to slow down Chinese growth. German diplomats chuckled as Trump opposed the German reliance on Russia energy being cemented by a new huge pipeline, but Trump was right.
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