Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "The winter war in Ukraine" video.

  1. The longer it drags on the more chance someone will miscalculate/ escalate.
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  2. Putin's major mistake was in thinking he had got anything with Minsk and halting instead of going all out in 2015. Now as then, Ukraine benefits more from a pause than Russia is the obvious lesson the Kremlin will take. I cannot see the Russian army going on the defensive. Also. being on the defensive or making slow advances makes it especially easy and safe for Ukraine to bring forward its artillery and hammer the Russians very deep behind the front line with the 200 heavy howitzers and 30 HIMARS the West has supplied. It would be a massacre. The cost of it has been so incredibly high, yet Russia line and HQ officers have gained combat experience relevant to what is to come, which is already a reset. The Russian army 2.0 is what any fighting in winter will be against. The Wagner regiment is building fortifications? That indicates Russia will be on the defensive where the fortifications are built. Surely no one expects Russian commanders to be obtuse as to think that only their troops will benefit from training during a pause. It terms of the re-equiping of the Ukrainian armed forces with Western arms that gun for gun enable Ukraine to win artillery duels, Russian can expect its advantage in materiale to decline with every week. .
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