Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "Where is the Ukrainian counteroffensive?" video.

"What Russia lacks more than anything else is soldiers, and it cannot afford lose people at the rate it has since the beginning of the war." So we are told but then we were told they could not afford to start the war, yet they proceeded to do just that. Russia has no other invasions in hand apart from the one of Ukraine so I suspect Russia is not going to worry about losing troops. In fact, soldiers are the one thing that the Ukrainians are not going to be given by the West, so wring down Ukrainian manpower is a viable strategy for Russia even if the Russians have to accept an unfavorable kill ratio.
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Ukraine and Russia are something like near peers and they tend to go tit for tat case in point the assassination of Dugina was quite possibly in retaliation for the killing of agricultural logistics tycoon and militia funder Oleksiy Vadatursky, who was killed 3weeks ago in a targeted missile attack on his Mykolaiv home 40 km from Kherson, shortly after the Russians had agreed to let the shipping of grain resume. Ukraine ostensibly preparing in the South for a huge offensive operation would detract from establishing a defense line. The danger is the Ukrainian fanfaronade about a Southern offensive might give the Russians the idea to launch their own major attack from their west bank foothold in the South rather that having the troops pouring in to that vulnerable area just accumulating and in an untenable position. There is in fact currently a developing Russian advance towards Mykolaiv.
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@xavierg8985 Know one really know, but I THINK Russia has the advantage in attritional warfare. Ukrainian are going to have an open door to the west, where refugees form a diaspora that will lower the cost of emigrating West and their country had even worse demographic woes than Russia anyway.
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@victorhopper6774 A quarter of Russians don't have an inside toilet, and a similar proportion of Russian men die before they reach 55. Russians are remarkably careless with themselves, not anxious. I would not bet a lot of money on them over dramatizing their difficulties, or correctly characterizing them. They are most likely going to blunder on the same pyrrhic fashion, and wreck Ukraine in the process.
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@aaronbaker2186 True, but who thought it necessary to forbid men under 60 from leaving the country? Russia has stopped trying to ape US methods had has gone back to blind artillery sledgehammering of everything within reach, this does not require much quality in infantry. We are talking about two countries with low birthrates, one much larger than the other and the larger one is recruiting the dregs while the smaller country has the best men in the country on the front line. Moreover, Russians do not have a diaspora in the West (refugees) exerting a powerful draw to a life of peace , no military service, and relatively high wages.
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@cv990a4 One wonders why Russian has not pulled back again, if it has culminated for the second time.
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@kimpedersen4746 Inviting death is something that in real life gets less attractive over months. I think that Ukraine is going to give up on maximal objectives. and end up with what is far short of Minsk, which they could have had for the asking a year ago.
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