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Sean Cidy
Anders Puck Nielsen
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Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "How soon can a NATO-Russia war happen?" video.
The wedge between the US and its European freeloaders allies long preexisted the Ukraine conflict, it is that the Europeans just won't spend the % of GDP on their own defence they agree to do. Even Britain has been steadily raiding the defence budget to avoid raising taxes and Germany is now suffering deindustiralisation, but it really is a bit much to say Europe with its industial and economic power cannot support two wars, one of them completely indirect, so it would have to prioritize one, Indeed, were Russia to attack Nato counties in order to choke off the supply of weapons to Ukraine , it would only be logical for the West to give Ukraine a deluge of weapons in order to make the Russians see that their plan was not working.
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Exactly.
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The LGM were not resisted at all in Crimea, which is certainly not going to happen in Latvia ECT, the Russian army were already in bases on Crimea, and Ukraine was never a full member of Nato, so 2014 is zero precedent for any kind of operation against Nato members not being reacted to by Nato as a whole in accordance with the rules of the organisation. Furthermore. Nato as a whole has went well beyond its treaty obligations to help non member Ukraine; no one expected that the countries of Nato would give as much help as they did. Putin thought he could do another 2014 in 2022 and got a debacle because Nato was pro active. He will plan his next move with the experience of 2022 in mind. I don't think who is in the White House is a big factor in Putin's thinking because Biden and Obama being pres did not stop him. Trump is a such a loose cannon with reckless rhetoric that the the Kremlin would surely have no reasonable expectation that he would do what he said and not respond to a attack on a Nato country not spending 2% on defence; that was surely just yet another Trump complaint about European Nato members freeloading on the US taxpayer (while pushing the expansion of Nato so as to cocoon them inside Chapter 5 members on every border). @BosonCollider
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