Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "Jake Broe" channel.

There seems to be an assumption that, were the Russian army to be driven out of Crimea and Donbass, Russia will admit defeat and stop disturbing Ukraine with hostilities. In other words the Kremlin would sign a final settlement peace treaty . Let me ask this,: if and when Ukraine regains all its territory by military victories, how will that compel Russia to stop fighting? If anything Russia would be stronger (in logistics) fighting on the border.
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Russia is deterred by Nato from attacking any Nato member country. But Russia could be not deterred by Nato from attacking non Nato member counties. China does not want Russia defeated. Ukraine cannot end this war, even if Russia is pushed back to its 2013 border.
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As an international power politic strategist Gen Hodges is one hell of a soldier. The Russians will not use a nuclear weapon in Ukraine unless they perceive they have to. And the Chinese would not want Russia to be eliminated as a great power, which means if Putin says to Xi I used a nuke, Xi will reply "Well if you had to do it you had to do it". But China will supply conventional weapons to Russia to if that is what is needed to it prevent it getting into the situation where is uses a nuke.
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Yes HIMARS is hurting the Russian army badly, but then the Kremlin regard military assets like lightbulbs inasmuch when thir first wave (straight outta the Gulag) are burnt out, they get replaced as a matter of course. Russians chose Z as their symbol because they are like Zombies, slow and stupid, yet there are a hell of a lot of them and they will win in the end. My Mum and Dad are pushing ninety living in Britain and cold yet they are scared to turn the heating on. The land beyond the Diepner is ...
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33:46 "The number one reason is he thought it would be easy". There is much more to the decision to fight than a perception that it will be a easy win. Indeed it is often the case that a easiy beatable opponent need not be fought. Putin knew Ukraine was de facto a member of a huge anti Russia (both Yelsin and Putin asked to join and were fobbed off) military alliance led by the world's most powerful country. In 2015 Obama had vetoed subordinates Biden and Blinken's desire to give arms to Ukraine, which had decrepit and unprepared armed forces, but by 2021 they were in power and Ukraine had got several years of military reorganization by western experts under its belt. "If [Putin] had known how things would go he would not have done this". To feel compelled to fight is not the same as truly being convinced that one will win. To be a great power it is merely necessary to be able to give a good account of oneself against all enemies, and be willing to do that rather that see the position of the country eroded. While as a leader must, he seemed confident to his subordinates and was superficially sanguine, I think Putin subliminally knew that the invasion was taking on the rest of Christendom, but saw the situation of Russia as so deteriorated in relation to Ukraine and its de facto allies that Russia had at all costs to do something to be taken seriously.
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