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Sean Cidy
Kyiv Post
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Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "Kyiv Post" channel.
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Nice of you to be so concerned for Russians.
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Of all Europeans, Danes have the least in common with Russians. In the realm of warfighting Anders has knowledge, but he is not the person to listen to if you want to know what is going on in Putin's mind. Anders talks as if there is no danger of a direct Russia attack on the West in order to defeat Ukraine. It certainly is unlikely but it is much more likely to happen down the line that he implies, if he is right about the long term prospects of Russia in Ukraine.
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While his analysis is excellent as it has been from the very begining, I don't follow General Hodges on why Ukraine winning and Putin being overthrown within a few months into next year is not going to come as such a surprise to Putin that he will not have time to get Russia's tactical nukes into a state of readiness, perhaps with the initial rationale of sending a signal to stop advancing from such a signal there would be a clear path to battlefield use. It seems Hodges has an unspoken assumption that any such signal would not be an honest one because Putin would not be able to get an order to detonate a nuke on the Ukrainian army executed by his subordinates, Right now that may, or may not, be true; yet if the Russians are driven back over the next several months and tens more thousands of Russian soldiers are killed plus a few more generals, there will be a desire in the surviving and humiliated Russian armed forces for vengeance, and a believe that Russia would not merely change leadership but break up if it outright lost the war would not be entirely ridiculous.
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