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Sean Cidy
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "The Beginning of the Fall of Crimea" video.
They have tactical thermonuclear weapons' and using them on the Ukrainian army is not impermissible by the laws and usages of war.
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Unlike Donbass Crimea was not on the table for the 2019 deal Zelensky did a u turn on. The Russians (not without reason) regard it as inherently Russian, and are not going to accept its loss, and they have a capability to stop the Ukrainian army, if they choose to use it. I speak of a promise to use thermonuclear weapons if Crimea is being attacked, and not a vague one an explicit message to US diplomats. America will tell Ukraine to stop before Crimea. The sooner Ukraine tries to isolate Crimea, the sooner the war will end with them being denied HIMARS rockets and targeting information for them. I think they'll try Donbass first
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