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Sean Cidy
Alexander Mercouris
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Comments by "Sean Cidy" (@seancidy6008) on "Zaluzhny, West MSM, Admitting Ukr Offensive Standstill; Zaluzhny Demands Jets; Putin Reassures Modi" video.
All the the training and equipment in the world will not alter the fact that this is not 1941, when the offence held a decisive advantage--for a time. There have since been eight decades of developing arms and tactics to stop combined arms offensives. There is now zero reason to expect trying the traditional breaching and exploitation by maneuver warfare elements against an opponent all set up and waiting with a full suits of modern countermeasures can result in anything but a snail's pace with huge casualties at best. And that goes for any army trying it; those operations simply do not work any more.
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Yes. Fortifications are underrated, and so are minefields. Time training is not the problem, nor is aircover. Those giving the Ukrainians training in achieving breakthrough are completely armchair: they have never actually did it, which air protection or without . All the the training and equipment in and aircraft in the world will not alter the fact that this is not 1941, when the offence held a decisive advantage--for a time. Eight decades of developing arms and tactics to stop combined arms offensives followed. Zero reason to expect traditional breaching and exploitation by maneuver warfare elements against an opponent all set up and waiting with a full suite of modern countermeasures (including anti aircraft missiles), can result in anything but a snail's pace advance with prohibitively huge casualties at best. And that goes for any army trying it; those operations simply cannot work any more.
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@enshk79 Armies were still expecting soldiers fighting from the back of horses with swords to have a role well into WW1, so actual combat showing up the ineffectiveness of tanks a hundred years later is par for the course. And it is not just tanks, there seems to be an assumption that F16 would shoot down Russian ground attack aircraft and then do airstrikes on the Russians defenders at critical points, but that is most unlikely. The smarms of drones are profoundly altering the usefulness of airpower, which also has to cope with manpads among ordinary infantry; given the Russian heritage of an extensive variety of long range anti aircraft missiles to fight against a strong airforce. modern air superiority planes almost a generation in advance of the F16 would be protecting the Russian ground attack aircraft. The survivability of F16s doing ground attack missions on a Ukrainian battlefield is very dubious The Ukrainians are not even at the first line of fortifications yet, and already went from fanfaronade to fiasco. Russia had a series of fiascos from trying to advance swiftly, and while they made mistakes in execution I think evidence for the effectiveness of combined (tanks, artillery infantry, and airstikes) arms to breach defences and exploit the breakthrough in a sustainable way is noticeably lacking considering now long the war has went on . Mines laid by artillery and drone observation of where to shoot the mines has wreaked havoc on both sides offensives in Ukraine and what can F16s or even F35s do about that?
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@fatdaddy1996 Full on war between Russia and America is really most unlikely, although they both act as if fighting each other might be a serious an option the reality is the Ukraine conflict is as full on as it will ever get. There is now a lot of electronic warfare hamstringing US surveillance and even the best intel cannot create weak points on the line. There just aren't any inadequately held parts if the line and behind it without reserves like there were last year for Ukraine to exploit in Kharkov
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