Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Willy OAM" channel.

  1. Bakhmut is taken. There is no encirclement. It is UA cope. Flanks are not falling.
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  2. Finland and Russia do NOT have any territorial claims against each other - zero. I have no idea where author gets any claims or what they are. Sure there are some politicians in Finland that want Karelia back but so there are people in a lot of countries that want X or Y back. There is no official claim of any kind.
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  3. WSJ next to Russian military factories just having a coffee, no spying at all - just walking around ;)))
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  4.  @giovanni-ed7zq  Yes, but they are very effective at killing Ukrainian professionals at a rate of at least 4:1. So all is good.
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  5.  @azurejester  sure, but the Russian living in Karelia do not want to be Fins. Thus by right of self determination the land belongs to Russia. Same for Moldova, by right of self determination of people,most basic right, human right, trnasnistria belongs to people of trnasnistria. Not to Moldova. Why it's so hard to understand, that we no longer live in times of tyrany, people have the right to decide!!!
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  6. ​ @flaxchanteck8853 not really, there is no forced conscription. And even if you went to Russian army that seems like way better idea than going to UA army.
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  7. Such a success they banned any filming of any failures ;)
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  8. It was total failure. Big one.
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  9. Compare number of Russian strikes to these of Israel - 1000s of killed in Gaza -- but look a strike ratio - many times more die from Israeli strikes than from Russian strikes. Israel used 3000 bombs - plus artillery for death of over 20,000 people killed. So few people per bomb. But Russia has less than 1/3 killed per bomb.... So Russia seems to have 1/10th kill ratio of Israel.
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  10. Yep, he is totally delusional.
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  11. ​ @bumble-g2j what? Winning the war is a problem now?
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  12. He is heavily pro Ukraine. Not crazy like Denys through.
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  13. They are about 2x less on the attack and say 5x less on defense. Come on Russia has more than 5x the fire power.
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  14. Copium.... Heavy copium. They made progress in loosing troops.
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  15. He should add Germany. Come on man. Add Germany.
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  16. He is pro Ukraine and Biased pro UA.
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  17. It is a big PR win for Ukraine, not much loss for Russia and her navy. It is not a stalemate, Russia is clearly winning the war. Ukraine should surrender. As far as Black Sea fleet, it's smallest Russian fleet and this is not naval war, so even if 100% of it is destroyed it will not help Ukraine, they still lost the war. It was done for PR purposes.
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  18. They made a clear example of the traitor. What this guy did was ... terrible, Not only he defected himself he killed two of his countrymen.
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  19. Recoverable? They have been shredded by mines, missiles and artillery 5km from contact line and finished off by drones. survivability of crew is similar to Russian stuff.
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  20.  @doublehelix7880  Yeah, Ukraine is about as much democracy as North Korea is - both are one party systems and for speaking against the system you get around 10 years. That is if an accident does not happen to you.
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  21. Yeah, it shows how bad Ukraine is doing - they are having very hard time taking Russian mobile defenses - i.e. Non fortified stuff. they also only advanced in one area. No advances anywhere else. I bet they reach main defensive line and call this "success" and west will spin it as retaking of 100 sq km of territory - huge success.
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  22. We find out more about the ship - so far we can only agree there was an attack. Ship is very lightly protected and has only 4x machine guns. As for incursion into Russia the 70 KIA seems over the top, however they did suffer losses in light vehicles and thus some troops. I assume few dozen wounded few KIA. The main purpose of incursion was to draw attention away from total failure at Bakhmut.
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  23. Multiple satellites not one.
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  24. Ukraine is too weak to have success, has been that way since middle of 2023. Now getting weaker. Russians talk about adding more regions to Russia as compensation for Ukraine continuing the war. I don't blame them.
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  25. I am 99.99% sure this will happen.
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  26. Yep, so far total disaster.
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  27. Ukraine never retreats, they advance, always. Even if it's towards Kiev 😂
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  28. Its start of "preparing" the "people" for a huge UA loss campaign.
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  29.  @looking8030  They say they are "superior" Nazi.
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  30. Oh that is their historical & ideological heroes.
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  31. LOL, with Azov insignia.
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  32. If anyone believes in 100% interception I have a bridge to sell 😁 War is now clearly lost for Ukriane. We probably see new mobilization this week as well as possible change in command this year.
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  33. Russia liberated 12 Sq km in just one area today. Which is a record. Huge AFU losses. Russia continues advancement as it has superior firepower and great troop morale.
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  34. Russians are now better trained than before. Ukraine frequently sends troops with zero training. Difference is night and day.
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  35.  @tahulanyon3995  Its a symbol of 3 different SS units. It is still illegal to use in Germany & ban on its use in video games was only lifted in 2018.
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  36.  @tahulanyon3995  Sure, but its not used on their tanks or in their military & they do not have strong Nazi traditions like say Germany or Ukraine.
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  37. Russia is now liberating 2 villages per day!
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  38. Yeah, still heavily biased. But getting better.
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  39. Exactly, Ukraine does this each time they loose big.
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  40. Yeah, they run out by May - have been using shovels for over a year now.
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  41. Yep, Ukraine has 20 brigades there just to defend an unimportant city ... cope.
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  42. Well he is a sane Ukrainian propagandist. Don't expect honesty or equal treatment.
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  43.  @helvosthecreator1920  he is not crazy type like Denys but clearly propaganda.
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  44.  @butala1776  Cope? If you are in the pro Ukraine crowd you need to cope. Ukraine lost the war. This requires major cope.
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  45. This has caused political bonanza for Putin - he can now get even Free Russia guys on board defending their own home. I.e. in time of danger people support the government. His popularity and reasons for war gain more traction. Internationally even more so - Russia now can point finger at "we fight on their side, they fight on our side". Its a total suicide by Kiev. Total desperation.
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  46. 😂
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  47. It's a money siphon operation.
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  48. With total failure of Ukrainian offensive Russia decided to start slowly liberating territory towards Seversk. I predict we may see Ukraine go to negotiating table maybe even this year, but 70% by spring of 2024.
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  49. Ukraine now committed 90% of their forces to the counter offensive. Losses are out of this world - for example, Uroshine - village has left overs of no less than 28 vehicles in the village itself (!!!) Outside of the village easily 2x as many are located. This implies 1/4 of the vehicles of a brigade were lost (!) Against a force of 1 Russian company. WOW. Russians are good at defense. Continuing this offensive is madness.
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  50. ​ @estevan1084 as per Kiev post population of so called free Ukraine is around 20m right now. Mosty elderly. Soon Ukraine will need total mobilization. Not that it will effect the end result. Just prolong struggle.
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  51. ​ @julianpetkov8320 Ukraine in Polish means at the end of. It was land at the end of polish border. Ukraine of your room may be area just outside of it, say hallway.
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  52. 80% it was no one. 15% it was Ukraine. 5% it was Russia. Regarding the dam.
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  53. ​ @TomislavPuklin-x5m Russia did it correctly. Ukraine does it in terrible way.
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  54. So Ukraine is breaking the law - does anyone care?
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  55. Russia now takes TWO villages per day! Ukrainians are on the run!
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  56. No he is not. Biased to the bone.
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  57. Putin is totally serious about negotiations - he wants to negotiate today. Ukraine needs to surrender - they can do this at any time.
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  58. UK inteligence == propaganda machine.
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  59. They have only 2 brigades in reserve, Some say 3. Russians are going to clean their clock.
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  60.  @hunteralderman4867  Even if they had year of training you need an army of trainers, equipment to train on etc. Plus actual tail - i.e. equipment and resources to deliver. Its a complex thing.
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  61. Lol, look at what was struck, we have images. It's a hotel or dormatory. We can see inside. Please stop spreading Ukrainians BS when there are videos and pictures.
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  62. Wow, captured soldiers execution is a war crime. Killing wounded soldiers not captured is not a war crime if they are actively fighting - but if unable to fight then it is a war crime (Additional Protocols of 8 June 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, para. 1620). War crimes by Ukrainians are common. There should be international tribunal set up in Asia to deal with war crimes by Kiev regime.
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  63. Why not say what is on the map - near Adiivka Russian forces have liberated a village to the north - krasnoporivka. There is nothing beyond that village but fields. Its on the map - so say it!
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  64. US should enact Gonzalo Lira law - Gonzalo's death has been confirmed by US state department. The law would prevent military aid of any kind to a country where US reporters were killed. This would prevent Biden from sending any aid to Ukraine using any presidential draw downs.
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  65. Correct 15% in week 1. Unknown troop losses - but heavy. Have not reached defensive line yet - and only made progress in 1 area.
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  66. Yep, nothing new. I am not holding my breath for war crime charges by EU court.
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  67. What do you expect? Banderites!
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  68. Turtle tank is the bomb. It effortlessly went through UA lines. Expect more such contraptions. It is actually an assault gun. Ukraine does not have their own intelligent drones, Russia does. You fly over a target and click on it. Then drone locks onto it and attacks.
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  69.  @vs-tm1ch  ... lol news used to say its strategically important, than it was not important when Ukraine is about to loose it... would you defend a small city of "no importance" with 20 brigades ;))) We are talking about 80,000 or so people. Just to give you an idea of how strategic it is - it is defended by over 3x as many troops as area of Mariupol was.... It is defended by almost 2x as many troops as KIEV was defended at the beginning of the war.... so not strategic at all ;) just touch more important than your capital ;)
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  70. Mechanical storage of energy is not some ancient stuff - we been trying to do so for a while now. Mostly with things such as large mass spinning very fast in a vacuum. Main constraint as usual is cost. If you could lower the cost you will have a killer invention.
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  71. Its roughly 2x as many Ukrainian casualties as Russian - at the very minimum - in attack mode for Russians. Realistically for whole war its now somewhere around 3:1 - or even more. This is why Ukraine is running out of people.
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  72. So far offensive is going very badly for Ukraine. They are unable to enter and hold anything in security zone except one area. And here they are making slow progress with heavy losses. Chances of penetrating first defense line are now maybe 5%. Like I said before - some gains will be realized. But this does not change its a failure so far.
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  73. Wagner comes, Wagner liberates! 5:40 look at the Nazi emblem at the bottom - Wolfsangel, symbol of 3 SS divisions.
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  74. Yes I immediately suggests they do that.
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  75. Same as my prediction from 4th quarter of 2023 - heavy pressure in Spring 2024 for Ukraine to surrender. There is clear prospect of Ukraine having issue with front collapse sometime in the summer 2024 - right before US elections. Will we have Ukraine surrender? Possibly - lets hope for Ukraine gets rid of Zielinski and does surrender - as its their only option.
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  76. Confirmed gain of 120 Sq km and 8 villages. Unconfirmed over 200 sq km and many more villages. This is more than 30x better than UA counter offensive. Confirmed. Unconfirmed 50x better.
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  77. They can just get Russian passport.
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  78. ​ @thehappyclam3942 or they can get Russian passport and either stay or go back to Russia.
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  79. Exactly - they totally blew their chance in the beginning and then after success at Kharkiv. Now all we do is wait for them to totally commit suicide with an offensive after which they will be spent.
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  80. Exactly. Even in 1945 Germans had victories and successes.
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  81. Exactly - but attack now means suicide. They are prolonging the war in hopes of a miracle. I mean all news channels say they are winning - how would it look if they just surrendered now? They walked too far - they seem destined to go out with a bang.
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  82.  @andrescarrilloestrada984  Donbas.
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  83. He is Ukrainian propagandist but not crazy one like say Denys.
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  84. Ukraine is getting desperate - they now want to attack a nuclear power plant.... This has to be more strongly condemned by the entire world. Ukraine could be getting ready to use say storm shadow missiles to attack the power plant.
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  85. This is totally how welfare people think. They don't think it's others money. It's their money.
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  86. Can you please stop using deep state maps? They are useless UA propaganda. Super unreliable. Just ditch deep state. Use syriak maps. They have good balance.
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  87. Refinery is relatively easy to fix. It is not complex. There is no complex machining needed of components. Much ease than say a power plant. A turbine is a lot of work to fix vs some pipes and even a pressure vessel.
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  88. Yep. Fire in Russia ===> Partisants. Fire in US --- normal.
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  89. Please stop using deep state maps!!!!
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  90. No. Come on. That is insane thought.
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  91. It's suicide mission. No Swedish crew would be that stupid.
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  92. Ukraine is democracy - North Korea is also a democracy - they even have it in the name!
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  93. This guy is the same. But tries to inject less cope and more truth.
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  94. Why would they tell their plans, they are not stupid, they are no Ukrainians.
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  95.  @Hipporider  Nah, look at their entire history - they were richer than Poland at the start, country of 54m - all they did was go down and down and down. Now over 10m people left officially more unofficially. No economy of any kind. Losses in people are much, much higher percent wise than Japan or Vietnam - they are even higher than world record holder Poland. With track record of going down.
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  96. West never had enough equipment and Ukraine never had enough people.
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  97. ​ @davidl.7317 but it's not. Look at prices of gas in Russia. No change. So Russian capacity difference that affects price.
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  98. That is combat use. Non combat would be as civilians in civilian roles. Say as aid delivery truck drivers. Otherwise valid military targets.
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  99. In the last 15 days Russia advanced 63 times vs. Ukraine 2. Nuff said.
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  100. Russia did not claim 100s of pieces of equipment. They claimed what you said up to around 20 or so. Also 1000s of troops used, two different front lines and troops from 4 reserve brigades - i.e. 40% of western armed units are already engaging. So this is the start.
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  101. ​@Daniel it was a total victory for Russia with minimal losses. Russia took less than 10x losses vs. Ukraine. It was so far biggest Russian victory and total disaster for Ukraine. Phyric defense.
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  102. Adiivka fully liberated. Over 1000 POWs. Russia has full control of entire city as well as coke plant.
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  103.  @richard7071  Have video proof of that - there is proof of 42 vehicle destroyed by day 4.
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  104. Bastard - I was one of these people from the beginning.
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  105. I don't that. NATO troops are not at war and can quit the military. No contractor would take such job. These will sit in Poland or get destroyed on the ground in Ukraine.
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  106. LOL, who would want to make an outdated tank such as Challenger 2? Also in Ukraine, really? Come on.
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  107. Depends on Ukraine. If till last man, 4 years. Till last woman 5 years. Over 2 already passed.
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  108. Maybe they mean a hungry Ukrainian is more capable mouse hunter then your average cat?
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  109. Drones can engage Geopards as a nice fat target. Drones have mid flight correction and are used to take out AA systems. Also Geopard has limited range.
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  110. Well, I would say conditional surrender is still an option - unconditional one will be later on this year.
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  111. Lol, if you are a parent in Ukraine and your kid is 17, would you wait for them to be 18????? Lol, God no. You would send them away from the death fields.
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  112.  @eggnog9617  nah, multiple defensive lines, more mobile defense. Etc. They already lost like 20%of strength. They simply don't have enough.
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  113. 😂 This is like Germany planning victory in 1944.
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  114. Exactly.
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  115.  @aidanloveridge1721  Ukraine is a small country - what do they have now, 25m people?
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  116. Regarding staging, it would be rather hard to do with video. Explain that. Explain videos. Explain UA vehicles driving in Russia. Pretending to be Ukrainians next to the border would be very dangerous.
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  117. He is pro Ukraine, what do you expect. He is like denys lite
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  118. So far no successes at all. Some claim western tanks burn differently.
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  119.  @pinkyfull  Ah yes, US legal system - the holder for the longest imprisonment of innocent man.
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  120. The sooner they attack the sooner they loose the sooner west will push for the end. Come on Ukraine. Go for it. You loose if you do and you loose if you don't.
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  121. Ukraine is now much weaker than at the beginning. They have few tanks or aircraft left. Their air defenses are gone. Their people have run away. They have no economy. They are much, much weaker than at the start. Russia is indeed stronger as their military industrial complex is now awake and working hard. This disparity implies Ukraine lost the war.
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  122. The offensive will face well trained, well fortified and well equipped Russian army of about 200,000. Given that this is the last hurrah by Ukraine, Russia can throw a lot of resources. Once offensive is crushed or simply runs out of steam - or even when Ukraine commits its forces, Russia will be able to go on a counter. They have more than 2x as many forces in Ukraine as before. Ukraine has significantly less equipment. Defense in depth is well setup. Morale is good or even excellent - now that it gotten a boost from seeing Russian villages burn and Nazi kill civilians with impunity. Logistic very strongly favors Russia - like more than anything else really.
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  123. I really like UK intelligence update - Russia attacks all over the front and they say that they lost initiative. One should read them backwards - i.e. the opposite what they say is true. Ukraine raids into Russia are a clear sign of desperation. They make no other sense. Even PR wise they are short gain for long term gain - they ensure that Russians will harden around Putin as well as serve to undermine Ukraine internationally. Why such moves then - other than total desperation and need to escalate n hopes Moscow does something stupid?
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  124. Can you please stop using useless deep state map???
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  125. 😂 Russia using human wave attacks... With minimal losses 😂
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  126. Ukraine has run into a wall in the south. At current rate they reach Azov sea in 16 years. At the same time Russia made gains in North Donbas. Overall Russia captured more land than Ukraine in the last 3 days. I expect Russian offensive to start in July. If they get lucky they will force end of the war.
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  127. LOL!
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  128. This guy is clearly strong pro Ukraine "Either Ukraine or Russia will collapse when the resource reserves available run out" - NO - Rybar clearly stated "Ukraine" - no one sane - and you must be now insane, thinks "Russia" may loose this war - the talk is only of Ukraine collapse. Stop being so biased.
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  129. 2025.
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  130. No artillery, no medivac. Only death by Russian & allied army!
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  131. Nah, Russia is big and border region attacks only galvanizes the will of the Russian people to crush Nazi regime.
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  132. How can Russia invade beyond Ukraine if Russia is not interested in western Ukriane??? What they invade from Belarus or something?
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  133. ​ @bumble-g2j well he is right. Clearly explosives were there.
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  134. If US sanctions China hard their economy will collapse. We may see a huge shift with US dropping off and China becoming sole superpower. This may be the end of the west.
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  135. Ukraine is held to a much lower standard. When war is over, many Ukrainians, possibly Zieliński if captured will face criminal international court. Then many years in Moscow prison.
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  136. LOL and how will UA cross the river and sustain logistics? With magic? Any such attempt would quickly end in massive defeat as Russians can quickly move a lot of reserves into the area. Without any bridges for support Ukraine troops will be totally starved of ammo & supplies.
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  137. Correct. It feels like Ukriane run out of su24s.
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  138. Yeah, while Russia won the war - this is like Germany in 1944 saying German Reich has still 990 years to go ;)
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  139. Ukraine has been sending troops with no training for a long time. Come on, where have you been, under a rock.
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  140. Modern S300 battery is like upgraded Patriot PAC2. I.e. Russia had and has huge edge in air defense systems. Also cheaper by a wide margin. But it's unlikely Ukraine can get more.
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  141. When your enemy routinely executes your people after taking them POW you have a feeling that you do not like them. However, for Ukrainians the feeling extends to anyone, women, children, culture, anything. This is how Nazi viewed Jews - this is how UA Nazi view "inferior" Russian race.
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  142. What occupation, it's liberation of novomihalivka. As well as few other villages in the area.
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  143. Ah, the "freedom legion" - lead by White Rex, a hard core neo Nazi - or shall we say just a Nazi. How can west just look at this and support this - how can Germany? So far Ukraine has taken epic level losses for just some exposed positions. Offensive looks rather... not that great. I am sure they will claim it was a "probing attack".
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  144. They clearly lost more, as their regular volunteers is not enough to cover losses.
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  145. Ru has roughly 5x drone advantage.
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  146. Use of Himars and other systems has been over hyped before. Now its just went back to "normal" levels. Imagine that Russians fired 1000s and 1000s of missiles most of which were more powerful than Himars. Yet, Ukraine logistics still stands.
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  147. There is zero, none, nada evidence of even single Su-34 downed this year Ukraine lied from the start of the war heavily. So believing them is a joke from the start. Russian sources lie as well but not so much.
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  148. Worked very well when US supported the Taliban. Oops, I guess you skipped that part.
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  149. China makes 55% of worlds steel. Let that sink in. And NATO thinks they can win??? Lol!!!
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  150. Drones already have full AI, Lancet drone has it, you designate a target and it goes after that target autonomously.
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  151. ​ @edenjames5062 it's waste of time. Better go to school. The only reason to volunteer is patriotic. If you stay as full time army for say 10 years then yes, you gain connections and possibly some useful skills. US model where they pay for your university makes far more sense. Maybe. Essentially only way to make military work is career I.e. You start at 18 go to military college or go NCO route till 50 when you retire. Note officer pension is way better than NCO. There is a reason why conscription was so hated in every country. It is waste of life.
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  152.  @edenjames5062  prepared for what. This service used to be young people that fixed generals house. To make it worth while you need years. Otherwise it is only for patriotic reasons. Don't expect to learn much. This why compulsory service of one Year in East Europe was used to be avoided with bribes. Again, one year service for patriotism. Gift to your country. Don't expect any benefits back.
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  153. Note that by this day in 2025 Ukriane will have 300k troops less. This means there is no way they can recover. They are in down spiral.
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  154. Russian army is performing very well now. Russia would not expand into say Poland as there are no Russians in Poland. As simple as that.
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  155. Epic level mistake. Will cost them a country.
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  156. Some sources claim Russia has entered Sinkivka and even taken control of it or some of it. Big step if confirmed.
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  157. Please stop using Ukriane BS claims that have zero proof. Just ignore. Same as please stop using Deep state fake map.
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  158. I estimate Ukraine pernamenet losses at 700k pluł plus may be as high as over 800k. This includes at least 300k KIA, maybe be as high as 400k. Divide at least by 3 to get Russian losses. How on earth can Ukraine win is beyond me. How can any sane person belive in UA victory. How can anyone sane belive in UK propaganda.
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  159. Yes R 73.
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  160.  @Kevin-xq2tv  This is not normal hate - this is hate of regular people, of the culture etc. this is ... Nazism in its pure form. I mean ... Nazi Germans HATED Jews. I assume you will now justify hate of Jews by Nazi, correct? During WWII England was at war with Germany, but there was far and wide less hate - same as during WWI. Are you going to explain that?
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  161. 😂😂😂
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  162. Defense plus interest payments us 45% of tax income. Which is more than Russia does during war.
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  163. He may - maybe not in the next few months but clearly if UA does not surrender they may loose that city.
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  164. There is at least 50% more on Russian side. For example, most of debt as well as at least 220b in assets.
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  165.  @joostdriesens3984  But almost all you listed is with Russia as well or a tie.
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  166. Turkey got S-400 at great political and financial cost and US wants them to just give them up ;))) LOL! And what do they offer? F-35 ;) Maybe if they offered 100 F-35s for free and paid for S-400 then Turkey may have been swayed.
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  167. Problem is that Ukraine is taking epic level losses and it is only matter of time before they run out of men and women. There is no way Ukraine can keep taking these losses - most Russians are asking main question "When will Ukraine finally run out of men". A lot of experts are asking "When Ukraine will run out of men - will NATO send their men?" - the answer seems no --- hence why Ukraine is bound to loose the war.
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  168. Excellent idea. For these that do not know, M60 in Turkey are also Upgraded. And they are around same age! Ukraine is getting old Leopard 1s... And Russia is dissed on for upgrading T-55s and T-62s? Heck, we only seen T-62s so far.
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  169.  @ZootyZoFo  LOL, I also own Mosin. It is a good rifle. For militia purposes it is fine. The 2 MOA is good enough. No scope is also OK. It is not a problem for militia force at all. These guys are not exactly good shots and giving them a Mosin to play with is acceptable - same as some guys on UA side use Maxim guns or Maxim x3 for drone suppression duties. Russia of course has far more modern rifles that are used by more professional troops. Russia cannot produce its own drones? Well, they have better way to acquire them - called magic. Same with artillery shells - magic. There are actually no known WWII artillery systems in use - you mean 1950s - that is the oldest I saw. Again, no issue - US supplied Ukraine with same vintage artillery and no one is complaining. Many are used by 2nd rate militia forces. This is all an example of superior Russian manufacturing capability most likely helped by China vs. the west. The war cannot be won by the west as it simply is too weak manufacturing wise. Especially US is very weak in manufacturing and economically overall. The time of the west is now gone - we see rise of China as global hegemon.
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  170. People of Donbass - take your land back!
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  171.  @seanniemeyer5437  We know what is a win - restoration of 1992 borders - as per Zielinski.
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  172. They could not side with Germany for long as they were mortal enemies. Both sides were evil but opposite evil. One cannot hide heavy initial support for Germany by the west.
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  173. Maybe. But I have a feeling Ukraine may be forced to the table this year.
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  174. But patriot, inferior to s 300 does not have enough range. They may dissalow some flying over front line but only for short time, before they are destroyed. Most likely 1 system will be used for city defense, another may be used on the front line.
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  175. It is now certain they will loose and any aid is waste of money.
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  176. Which we see already in the Russian breakthrough. They simply run.
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  177. You were not wrong at all. The guy is UA propaganda. He is just not as crazy as others. Watch video again and see how heavy propaganda he is.
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  178. Which is legal. I.e. you are not forced to take on prisoners. Killing wounded enemy that is incapable of resisting is actually a war crime under Geneva (Additional Protocols of 8 June 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, para. 1620)
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  179. Better yet provide them with 0% - would save even more lives. Also NATO did provide around 10% of military budget to Ukraine --- so not sure why you picked 1% - 0% seems as good. Money provided so far is over 200B. So over 100B per year. Total NATO budget for 2022 is 1172B.
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  180. Willy for God's sake, you correctly stated attrition war goals. But why you don't just say Russia is winning? What Ukraine offensives, they clearly lost.
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  181. Ukraine getting nukes would be a big deal. Anything else - meh, they lost the war.
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  182. Regarding refinery damage, minimal to none. Better check out videos of massive damage to Ukriane electricity power plants. It will take years to fix.
    2
  183. He says a lot of things - they are frequently "aimed". I would not consider what he says for or against as "reliable".
    2
  184. Nah, most women left - these that did not work in some other support roles. The rest is elderly. They can recruit more women - this can prolong the war for years if they want to really go till the last Ukrainian.
    2
  185. Russia adds 70 planes per year during peacetime. So loosing say 80 per year is within replacement ability. Regarding Russian guy saying "he was given no papers", in a Soviet system, which Russia descended from such thing is impossible.
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  186. So that is not possible for Ukraine.
    2
  187. Even if they do that now what - a lot of terrain is marsh land and there are multiple smaller rivers. Even if that was taken care of, now what? They need ammo, fuel etc. Building bridge is nice and all but you will realize that Russia with its superior missile forces is going to have far easier time taking these out than Ukraine did.
    2
  188. What about Azov - SS comparison? They have same emblems and same ideology. Some even spoken same language.
    2
  189. Yes, volume of fire. Here Russia has huge advantage. Thus UA will take heavy losses as usual.
    2
  190.  @mfallen2023  So Turkey is out as its neutral. UK has no land forces so who cares. EU has lower tech than Russia in say air force and certainly in tanks and drones, tech edge is with Russia. The strongest land army in EU is certainly Poland - this could be supplemented by air forces from France / Germany. Main advantage EU has is long term manpower and long term production capacity. Also EU is large - Russia does not have enough resources to occupy such land nor need for it. To summarize EU is not really worth it ;) EU is very similar to Byzantine empire - it has empire in its name and may be vast but is very weak in every respect. Its powerful in name only. EU is the sick man of earth.
    2
  191.  @mfallen2023  They cannot be out there with US and China. Their economies are too weak. Look at economy of EU past 2008 - its a disaster. Even power economies of EU, like Germany or Poland cannot catch up to world average - not to mention to US or (wow) China. Heck, Russia is a total power house of Europe as its economy is fastest growing in Europe. It is now the largest. When most sanctioned country in the world makes Germany look slow - what does that mean? Most likely any such war would end up in a draw. Even if you somehow convinced both sides to a fight. Russia does not have the demographics of Europe - they simply have too few people to take on EU. With help from say China and with EU getting help from say US, and if somehow you could mind control people to fight - no nukes, Russia would run over EU. Once demographics is taken care off EU is finished.
    2
  192. ​ @terjeoseberg990 lol, Russia has best anti drone systems on Earth. So what. Numbers matter.
    2
  193. ​ @krispypriest5116 Russia has excellent drone jamming against FPV drones. They need more.
    2
  194.  @tallshort1849  LOL, there are videos from Bakhmut that totally contradict this made by UA. I.e. Russians are certainly not out of ammo.
    2
  195.  @atthesink  Yes it is - and its not 1 vs 30 its more like 150 vs 50.
    2
  196. Frog VS. Bear. What result do you expect? If Europe crosses all red lines so will Russia. And we know, Europe will loose. No one in Europe is that stupid. France as usual is just spinning the pot. The war is lost. They should plan for that.
    2
  197. Nah pilot is more important than a plane. Without pilot you cannot use planes. With a pilot, once plane is available, you have a weapon. Also ejection systems are violent but pilot is not prohibited from future flying. They may be too injured for combat duty, but can be used at say pilot school etc. This is why Russia exchanged cold blood Nazi for their pilots - at a ratio of at least 2 Nazi per 1 pilot.
    2
  198. LOL, Poland already issues documents to Ukrainian men so they don't even try to get Russian ones ;) Total failure for Ukraine. Again. No one is going to kick young men that can work from Poland. Its just BS talk.
    2
  199. This guy is sane pro UA. Denys is insane pro UA.
    2
  200.  @leejones4429  In July 2022 Zielinski said that they have 1 million army. That was 2022. I assume that they did get some more troops in, correct? That is just in few months! Lets say that Ukraine adding pace slowed down a LOT. Clearly they should have been able to add 500,000 over almost two years as replacements. So that gives us 700k deployed. Math fully supports Ukraine loosing permanently 800k - or else Ukraine would be storming Moscow. It also fully underscores the need for 500k that was said at the beginning of the year - on top of "regular" efforts. Alternatively you can look at Russian losses - then use any handy WWII book about losses in static positional war - get any western source about Russian artillery superiority, get statistics of kills per round etc. and you also come up with huge UA losses.
    2
  201. ​ @beyondbackwater4933 according to Kiev idenoendant it's 20m in Ukraine.
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  202. No one thinks Ukraine can do much - a better question is - will Russia go for big arrow offensive or not?
    2
  203.  @MykhayloS  Epic level losses - dozens. Most taken out by mines. At this rate Ukraine will loose 100s of vehicles in the very first week. And offensive will be over.
    2
  204.  @MykhayloS  No you cannot - you cannot share links here. We probably will have a lot of confirmations in the next 24h - max 48h. Lets just say Russians are in celebration mode.
    2
  205. Ukraine took heavy losses.
    2
  206.  @azamatbagatov7161  I think confusion is there regarding type of trenches. Some are terrible some are great. There is no one type of a trench. The main line trenches - as per pictures are indeed great - but forward trenches are frequently very shallow, offer minimal protection and no side reinforcement at all. I assume the later type also has a lot of trash around. You dispose of garbage same as at home - you have a garbage bag you dump stuff into. If you are brave enough to have a fire, you can burn some of the garbage.
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  207.  @ThoreVeldur  wait didn't US get ammo from the great democracy of Pakistan?
    2
  208. It's PR attack.
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  209. I would. There is a connection.
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  210. He is very pro Ukraine. But it's hard to hide they lost the war when any semi intelligent dog can see it.
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  211. Cost now lowest in the war. Ukraine cost highest. Cost wise total RU victory.
    2
  212. Avdiivka was important for Ukraine as it was a bastion from which they could attack Donetsk and next large city is 50km away. Now with this base, Russia will be able to push west more easily - again - next city is 50km away! There are no major bastions - its just fields and few village far and between. Also it was a rout - i.e. disorganized, fleeing Ukrainian troops were chased out by the Russians with massive UA losses.
    2
  213.  @nudisco7882  so Russia is also doing great with their constant march in Donbass. Also if we go by WWII and WWI Russia is clearly winning. Both wars were won by the side that had better demographics and better production capacity. Here Russia clearly dominates even without general mobilization that Ukraine has. So you agree, Russia is winning?
    2
  214. Morale collapse. Everyone in UA knows war is lost.
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  215. ICC is not recognized by more than 2/3 of humanity. And most of the 30% are not too happy.
    2
  216. Its propaganda.
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  217. All these recent revelations, now officially confirmed, prove Russia had justification for this war. NATO is shown to be aggressive, untrustworthy organization aimed at world domination by any means.
    2
  218.  @vs-tm1ch  Cope. No one defends so hard something that has no value. Some of the best troops are in the area as well - you cannot have 20 brigades of just national guard. Come on - there is UA deployment map ;) Can check it yourself. This battle shapes up to be the pivotal battle of the war - like say "Stalingrad" or "Kursk".
    2
  219. Facts on the ground say exact opposite. Soviets invested heavily in air defense - same as with Russia - so establishing any air superiority and using air power by the west would be a distant dream. Look at Ukraine with their old Soviet era equipment. They were able to prevent any Russian adventures now for around a year. 100s of systems destroyed by the Russians - but still 100s operational. Strongest air defenses entirely in Europe - making countries like Germany look weak by comparison. Now imagine how strong are Russian more numerous and more modern defenses.
    2
  220. The 500k shows how big UA losses are. They are huge. I think this proves my estimate of 200k KIA minimum was spot on.
    2
  221. Mig statue has been smashed by UA. Come on. Everyone knows that. As for counter attack UA does not have forces to do this. It's just a joke. They may try smaller operation but are too weak.
    2
  222. Who will win? Obviously not Ukraine - they already lost. The fight is how much Russia will win. The fundamentals of this war are firmly on Russian side - i.e. they can more easily replace people and more easily replace equipment. As long as Russian will holds - and it seems so - Ukraine is done.
    2
  223. Well, it was not a mistake. They simply painted it as a mistake to get extra 3B.
    2
  224.  @giovanni-ed7zq  We have video confirmation.
    2
  225.  @rainman2222  Russians have far and wide better tank crossing ability that Ukraine. So what - tank crossing of water body for brand new T-90M which Russia has 100s of is not easy. You not only need to setup the snorkel system but also find a suitable spot to cross. For western tanks it is nearly impossible in real life - i.e. you will not see Challenger 2 cross a deep river 99.99% of the time. All immersion training for Russian tanks is done in concrete channel. The seals are of least worry of the tankers.
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  226. Some idiots think that this is somehow Putin's war. Putin will not live forever. His replacement will be a Russian as I do not think anyone sane will try to invade Russia & take over. His Russian replacement will be pro Russia - as he should. Thus it will be in his or her best interest to keep Ukraine out of NATO.
    2
  227. Flashlight is clearly illegal.
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  228. The elevation difference is over 100m near 4 villages. Its a death trap and a fire bag.
    2
  229. West run out of javelin. Then artillery then APCs then tanks. Now aircraft are on the menu.
    2
  230. Yeah, it had HK flag.
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  231.  @nudisco7882  With what? paper ones?
    2
  232. Russia may have lost single bomber. Or aircraft indeed were engaged without losses. Or Russian troops on the attack there are super close for bomb dropping. Or something else.
    2
  233. 😂😂😂 Sure. 😂😂😂
    2
  234.  @aidanloveridge1721  Population pre war 37m as per Kiev. 8.2 registered in Europe. Over 2m in Russia. At least 1m in territories taken over by Russia. You do the math.
    2
  235. Ukraine moved air defense close to the front to counter Russian air power - for that they got smashed. There is simply no way Ukraine can win this - they are too badly out gunned. Russia now has air supremacy in Donbass.
    2
  236. They will do as well as current fleet of MiG-29s - they are a direct replacement. Nothing to worry about for Russia - just keeping UA flying longer.
    2
  237. Yalta is for victorious not looser.
    2
  238. Are you crazy? No one is coming back to Ukriane. I talked to 25 year old Ukrainians in Canada. They admitted they would be already dead if they stayed. There is zero chance they go back. They are more likely to go to Russia. The men will simply not update their passports. I.e. They will let them expire. They may also ask for Russian passport.
    2
  239. Will the war even last next 12 months? When this war started I predicted war will last 4 years or 5 years if UA uses women heavily - max. Based on UA losses. There should be more of a push for Ukraine to surrender. The war is clearly lost. If the war is allowed to continue, Ukraine will loose more people and more land. There is next to zero chance of a frozen conflict as Russia is not interested in it at all. As for "land taken" it is total BS - look at WWI - we see similar thing. But it was rather clear by 1917 allies will win. Again, Ukraine should surrender, same as Germany in 1918.
    2
  240. Sure, but they cannot stretch Russians as they have force parity - so net effect is that Ukraine got drawn even more into the area making offensive operations anywhere else more difficult.
    2
  241. Scrap uranium prices... Dropped. 😊
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  242. Patriot is over 4m. I doubt they use these vs. these drones through. I bet a lot of drones simply hit targets - problem is they can be adjusted in flight so you can use them to take air defenses once spotted.
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  243.  @TheNilla2020  LOL no, they are using their old Soviet stuff and some old Soviet stuff they got from say Poland - but 90% of the Soviet stuff is their own. As for other countries the systems are drop in the bucket - they are next to none. Problem is where are they getting all these extra missiles - someone is making more, there is no way they would not have run out by now.
    2
  244. True - but given that at least 4 pipes were hit - some distance from each other and destroyed over wide area I have a feeling this was unlikely to be few guys with scuba gear. This could be done on the "cheap" but by a team.
    2
  245.  @aboner2551  So what - if the defender is already dead or has no means to take on attacker. The BS of "attacker takes more losses than defender" has been disproven in like 100 previous conflicts in the last 50 years. The attacker only takes higher losses when forces are roughly of similar fire power & do not differ hugely in numbers. Here Russians have huge advantage. What was US city fighting experience like again? Against determined enemy? That enemy took 10x+ the losses - as per US. I.e. all that artillery, aircraft and tanks are not just accessories you know - they do matter.
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  246. If it was a false flag, why would they not use a real drone. Please people, Fpv drone costs like 500. Why would Russia provoke there? It is unlikely they have strength now to go for Odessa.
    1
  247. Why would Russia negotiate? They would simply do a counter offensive and cut off all Ukrainian troops.
    1
  248. How can China... land grab Taiwan if as per international law and as per US and almost every country on Earth Taiwan is part of China???? Seriously? There is no international law - look at US wiping their rear end with anything that says "international". Russia is not interested in any "freezing" of the conflict - they been there and done that - not interested as per official channels.
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  249. LOL, no Su-34 is much bigger loss than a patrol ship on strategic and tactical level.
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  250. Russian partisants provided targeting.
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  251. Yes, Zieliński looses legitimacy after no elections take place. So valid target.
    1
  252. Well we know where Himars was precisely because they got smashed by Russian Tornado and destroyed. This shows very quick ability of Russinas to respond. Himars is no longer safe, it cannot run away.
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  253. Bridge connection is of PR value alone for Ukraine. It would sever connection between Russian regions figuratively.
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  254. Ukraine now is around 25m
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  255.  @cartoonfan959  What, F-16s? Yeah for sure.
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  256. Bridge to what exactly? There is only marsh lands there. You suggest they build a road over marsh land while Russians just watch ;)
    1
  257. Most shot downs are with targets. I.e. They were downed by colliding with a building.
    1
  258.  @Blashmack  Both Sweden and Finland are non issue. Both were essentially NATO and adding one or the other or both to NATO is not a game change. Nothing is gained. Not even missile placements as it is closer to station any missiles in the Baltics. I.e. this addition does not really make any change for Russia.
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  259.  @Blashmack  Consider Finland. 90% of the border is up north, without any roads and in the middle of forests. closest village on both sides is 100km away from the border. It is next to impossible to invade either country from that side. Its not close to anything of importance to either side. Ukraine on the other had is like Cuba for US - it is a problem. I do not think Moldova joining NATO is a big deal for Russia as long as Transnistria issue is resolved. Georgia is of a bigger problem - it is at soft underbelly of Russia.
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  260.  @Blashmack  Joining of NATO by both Finland and Sweden were strategic mistakes for both countries. Sweden was neutral for 200 years - i.e. long before communism was even invented and back when the memory of loosing against Russian empire was fresh. Nothing bad happened to Sweden thanks to that neutrality - at least one of paper. Finns lost like what is it, twice to Soviets? Each time they lost they paid more. Neutral on paper worked well. Now both are in NATO - means they are officially no longer neutral - thus they will participate in the next war. Why do they want to? Why? Stupid. Consider any nuclear exchange - now they will be leveled same as everyone else. Just plain stupid. I mean consider Sweden - they were neutral when Nazi took over most of Europe - and that did not get them to pick sides - and now little war in Ukraine does??? Really? Also Soviet Union is long gone - there is no Soviet threat anymore - strange as it is, why Fins did not join NATO where there was actual "fear" to be had??? You mean they fear Russia more than ... Soviet Union, LOL! Same deal for Sweden.
    1
  261. I bet they will get erased by elections. Like they will be goner. So no big deal, these plans will be canceled.
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  262. What will French teach Ukrainians?? How to surrender?
    1
  263. Please stop using pro UA map. It's not accurate at all.
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  264.  @jamescooke7243  No - you need more firepower - you need at least 3x or better 5x the *fire power*.
    1
  265. Trying not to lie and supporting Ukraine is now impossible.
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  266. Ukraine lies a lot so I would just ignore. Ukraine makes claims each time they loose on the front. Now Russia takes two villages par day on average... Please stop using Ukraine deep state map which is useless.
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  267. We know that if there is WWIII it is unlikely US will be able to transport any troops via ports to EU. We also know EU lost around 1/3 of its weapons in Ukraine. We also know EU is no match for Russia not to mention Russia + China in conventional war. It is clear west cannot go into this war.
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  268. US does not have capability to hit Russia hard with conventional weapons. If it did Russia could now hit US targets back. And we have WWIII. US threats have no meaning. Russians are credible as they have tactical weapons they can employ against any larger NATO force.
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  269. What is interesting we have zero proof North Korean ammo is being used. Also why would western artillery be better in any shape and form? Again, zero proof. Even commander of Ukraine intelligence says any quality difference is meaningless.
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  270. Lol, Russia posted 5.4% gdp growth in 1st quarter of 2024!!!!
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  271. Down voted for wasting my time with use of deep state map. If you know map is wrong, why use it???
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  272. No confirmation. Fake news it seems. Fighter bomber did not confirm any losses.
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  273. ​ @Max_Da_G where???? Who in officially confirmed this???? Who??? Nobody. No one close to actual know how, such as fighter bober guy, confirmed a loss.
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  274.  @Max_Da_G  The same servicemen were called propaganda tools just few weeks ago when they denied any Su-30 were downed... so which one is it? They are a good source when convenient?
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  275. Yep but not better that BMP. No western weapon system proven to be much better.
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  276. I will keep down voting this guy as long as he uses deep state propaganda map.
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  277. They may actually push Russians back a lot again. So what - Russians will re-take the land. Before Germany was done they also did Battle of the Bulge. So what. The only positive is quicker end to the war.
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  278. LOL, few DRGs are not an offensive. Any attempt to cross the river by Ukraine in force there would be a total disaster for Ukraine. But hey, they can try. It feels more like just them trying to stretch Russian forces before some actual offensive takes place. offensive
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  279. We see in few days if Russia does rapid redeployment.
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  280.  @donohirst  That is quite a good ratio for UA. Notice ration in Mariopol was around 1:10. For comparison in similar battles US had at least 10:1 ration and frequently 12:1. Sure you can say UA losses are 7x Wagner as well - but I am not so sure about that - mainly b/c UA does have some weak artillery support and some weak armor etc. availability / it is still connected to the rest of UA forces. But hey, I could be wrong, and it indeed could be 7:1 losses as you claim.
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  281.  @kingkarlito  At least at 4x rate. Mariupol was 10x the rate. US usually has more than 10:1 ratio. Exactly, they take few buildings per day ===> very low attacker losses and huge defender losses. The 4x is very conservative, it could be way more, some claim 6x. There are a LOT of historical examples of heavy defender losses as defender vs. attacker conflict is more based on firepower of each faction. In Bakhmut Russia has at minimum 6x artillery advantage - probably more like 10x. Russian experienced Wagner troops are moving slowly, letting artillery do bulk of the work. Russia also does air strikes around 1 per hour. This all translates into high UA losses. In urban area, all things equal both sides would take heavy losses - but things are NOT equal. Russia has enormous advantage. Imagine guys armed with rifles in open field. Russia has 10 times they guys and attacking. Russian losses would not be 3x UA side - they would indeed be tiny, maybe 1/10 UA side, i.e. 1% vs. 100% for UA side. Same firepower idea plays here. If firepower did not matter in war, we would all just have riflemen - I mean why invest in expensive jets - if they do not give you any advantage or expensive tanks or expensive artillery pieces. Why fire 1000s of artillery shells if its "nothing" as many in the west claim???
    1
  282.  @johanmetreus1268  Not true - best example is WWI, WWII, Stalingrad and even D day landings. Artillery is very good at reducing enemy fortifications. Thus the idea of a siege gun - a heavy gun whose role is to reduce enemy fortifications. During WWI there was constant shelling by both sides - not just at enemy that was moving - but also against enemy fortified positions. One example stuck in my mind is Soviet attack on German positions during WWII. Artillery was used en masse. A group of surviving German soldiers, once barrage was over started running back. A sergeant was trying to stop them and they told him he can stay... well he did not. Artillery is used extensively in cities against enemy positions - again best examples are WWII but also more recent - such as US fight in Falujah. Air power is very similar to artillery - also very useful against fortifications. How else would you smash enemy defenses? What else is there that can go big boom? Artillery and more recently air power are the answer. All the way to cannons banging on the walls of enemy's castle.
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  283.  @johanmetreus1268  D day was too quick to remove all defenses. And certainly the big guns helped a LOT. There are examples of German tanks disintegrated by BB guns. Granted this is not a stationary fortification, but certainly more durable than any field prepared position. After WWII a lot of fortified lines were deemed ineffective - until war in Ukraine and other modern wars. Main difference now is that a tank is no longer as effective as it used to be in breaking through enemy lines. Without ability to maneuver we see combat in which artillery rules the day. Also fortifications that are raked by artillery can be re-manned - something we see a lot in Ukraine - artillery kills UA troops, but Ukraine simply sends more - and Russian armor push is repelled. Russia again rakes with artillery, kills a lot, but UA sends quick reinforcements and Russia armor is repelled.
    1
  284.  @johanmetreus1268  You under estimate the power of replacements. I.e. the other side, when heavily bombarded, did not just sit on their hands - they replaced. Neither side in WWI exactly run out of people. Artillery on average, killed 1 person for around 200 shells.
    1
  285. They need to have sex more. Takes over 18 years to produce a new one.
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  286. Nothing was targeted, these are like V1 rockets, area attack.
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  287. US?!
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  288. Well if you are a Russian fighting for your land and people you are in far better position.
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  289. Russians are running smaller offensive but they do so properly. Thick fog of war, no geo locating stuff - moving forward and accomplishing objectives. This is how you do an offensive. Find a weak spot, attack there, attack on flanks, expand. Well, prepared attack that has gotten Ukrainian side on the back foot and may as well be a total success if they manage to cross the ridge in the next week or so. In July, thanks to that attack, Russia taken more land than Ukraine - for all these pro Ukraine types so concerned with every square meter.
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  290. Zielinski may try to go for a desperate attack onto the nuclear power plant. I mean for god sake, who places mines on the roof??? Ukraine is now on the ropes. In 5 days they will present NATO with total failure.
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  291. Support for farmers!
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  292.  @tahulanyon3995  Ukraine was a major Nazi power in WWII. Their leader Bandera was the most ruthless killer of all Nazi leaders. Ukraine had most stringent racial laws of any Nazi power, Ukrainian Nazi did not recognize mixed Ukrainians, they only accepted pure bloods. I.e. Nurimberg laws were seen as too weak by Bandera. Murder of non pure Ukrainians was done with blunt tools, axes, saws, pitchforks. Nazism today is the main political force in Ukraine. Every other video made by Ukrainians themselves shows Nazi symbols. What will be next, claiming Germany does not have deep Nazi traditions?
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  293. Dude, it did have 1m. Now less. Numbers are going down. Same with equipment.
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  294.  @LD-pt5ur  Oh come on, I seen it - but it looked huge - felt like FAB 1500.
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  295. Main question is.... will we see big arrow offensive in spring / summer of 2024? Will Russia go for the risk of using big push to finish off the war with a big bang?
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  296. ​ @banta-pd8zj 2022 proposal was very generous.
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  297. There are no chances for Ukraine to win, no plan. For Russia, they won there war, they would need an effort to pull defeat for the Jaws of victory.
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  298. When did we see this before? Germany late 1944. Like I said, heavy push by Spring 2024 by the west to get Kiev to surrender.
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  299. Russians long term goal is pokrovsk. They want to take out 80% of logistics. Short term goal is flanking of New York. Ukrainians are on the run. There is a good chance Russia takes next village and make it 15km advance.
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  300. 😂 Guy is so delusional, Ukriane will be held to account by Moscow court for a use of anything deemed illegal. Unless they make a deal. Looser is always prosecuted for war crimes.
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  301. Ukraine did not report major attacks on their rail network.
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  302. We can all agree this guy is better than Dennys at spreading UA BS.
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  303. Both are bad. But eventually mud will dry and some stuff will grow.
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  304.  @eleveneleven572  Marsh will be passed by UA light infantry used to harass Russian side.
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  305. No. They cannot. As you see not even in lookout range. It's not for Ukraine.
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  306. Lithium has no issues with - 20C and under.
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  307.  @oleglovky  So your average SS man is now just a collaborator? Soon we see your average SS man as a victim of mis-information! Come on, enough white washing.
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  308. Goes through Poland. No one sane flies into Ukraine.
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  309. And who would rule over that western world??? West has only one master, US. That master also wants to rule over whole planet as absolute dictator. Good thing Asia stands in its way, with China in the lead to stop hegemony and save humanity.
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  310. It was a last chance offensive. Once lt failed, war was lost.
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  311. Its about as likely as Ukraine taking Crimea. As in less than 1%. About as likely as Ukraine taking Moscow.
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  312. What do you expect? Most volunteers from the west coming into Ukraine are neo Nazi. This is why they are totally fine with Nazi things.
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  313. Exactly! Freedom for Donbass!
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  314. It was predicted at the start of this year by many sources - say New Atlas - that Ukraine will eventually get long range missiles and jets. It was also predicted it will not make any difference to the outcome. They are simply pro-longing the war.
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  315. What if missiles are escorted by fighters and what if Russian Air defenses engage such aircraft? It is directly entering the conflict. This would put bases of these fighters as targets. China would be forced to help Russia and NATO would be set too loose the war directly.
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  316. Road of life was physically cut. Some dirt road is a joke.
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  317.  @Giganfan2k1  5???? Really? They got this equipment recently so a NO. 4??? Nope. They have not even scratched the defenses, so a strong NO. 3??? Nope. Combined arms means air as well, so its a strong NO. Maybe 6.
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  318.  @Giganfan2k1  Nope. Russia has massive artillery advantage, at least 5:1. In the beginning it was 1:1 - first month. Russia has very accurate artillery - they have used extensively Krasnopol shells on video to smash multiple armored vehicles.
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  319.  @Giganfan2k1  LOL, they have 9 brigades - that is not even 40k troops ;) Ukraine got around 1500 pieces of hardware. Russia is producing a lot of tanks, helicopters and as you can see more and more advanced drones Combined arms: "Combined arms hits the enemy with two or more arms simultaneously in such a manner that the actions he must take to defend himself from one make him more vulnerable to another." "For example, an armoured division, the modern paragon of combined arms doctrine, consists of a mixture of infantry, tank, artillery, reconnaissance, and helicopter units, all of which are co-ordinated and directed by a unified command structure." Russians do this far and wide better than Ukrainians. Note "artillery" and note "helicopter".
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  320.  @Giganfan2k1  Artillery is 5:1 in Russian favor and accuracy is roughly the same. Heck I would give edge now to Russia as long range attack drones can be seen as a form of artillery.
    1
  321. Yeah that was plain racism. Germany should be kicked out of the show.
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  322. LOL. If Putin died today war would not change one bit - or it would be pushed harder by Russia. I.e. the only way out is full defeat of Kiev.
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  323. Especially if it's fake. And you fake fighter bomber account.
    1
  324. Love idiots at Oryx finally went over 100% ;))))))))) See T-80BVU. How can anyone believe Oryx which uses photos which can be made up or of friendly tank is beyond me.
    1
  325. Ukraine aid is tiny. Of no concern. Ukraine strikes are few, of no concern. Desperation as Russia clearly won the war. Russia is moving forward. There is no chance to turn the tide. The main aim of aid is to let Ukriane survive to US elections. This aim seems .. In danger.
    1
  326. The neutral vessel shall be seized and in general subjected to the same treatment as enemy merchantmen: When entirely freight-loaded by an enemy government; i.e. international rules allow for Russia to size any ships loaded with Ukrainian grain. Now things get even more funny when you read whole set of laws clearly showing that the west is not neutral. Since it is not neutral its ships are open game.
    1
  327.  @chrissmith7669  LOL, what are you smoking?
    1
  328.  @chrissmith7669  Russia lives in reality, Ukraine in Barbie land or something similar. Good comparison.
    1
  329.  @user-yx3by4we1w  Not really - they got pushed in Donbass, and just got like 3 (soon 4) villages into a gray zone in the sailent. Nothing at all. The plan was to reach Russian main defense line on day one ... not turn few villages into gray zone by end of week 1 (!!!)
    1
  330. I would say mostly Ukrainians have shown to be terrible with POWs. The message to the Russians is clear - you are fighting true Nazism. Either you stop it or you die. If you do not stop it your family will die.
    1
  331. Good news, UA finally starts to run and Russians are able to just walk in without any resistance.
    1
  332. That would be very risky. I think main Russian strategy is to remove Ukrainian operational forces via idiotic offensive and once its done crush Ukraine with a counter they cannot deal with.
    1
  333. Germany was more advanced than US in nukes. Hitler did not want to invest more into them as he hoped war will end much sooner. If Soviets stayed out Germany would won the war. It would turn into cold war scenario.
    1
  334. Well, what acts like a Nazi, looks like a Nazi... is a Nazi. Clearly Ukrainians are Nazi. Question is whatever West really forgotten what happened last time Nazi were supported to fight the reds. Say no to Nazism. Putin is no angel but far better choice than Ukraine.
    1
  335. Sure, as long as Ukraine leaves Russia - deal?
    1
  336. Not 6 inches - 60mm - around 2 3/8 of an inch. And they are very rare - T-34s are museum only.
    1
  337. It's more like 110 year old.
    1
  338. That west blew up!
    1
  339. No the other way around - it was important, then it was not, now back in. Or something like that ;)
    1
  340. UK cannot afford even close to that.
    1
  341.  @georgemanifold6802  It is all of A, b and c plus Ukraine is now much, much weaker than it was in 2022 while Russia is much, much stronger than in 2022. Russian air defenses learned how to cope with Himars attacks, Russian are less sloppy with their supplies etc. Of note is that Russian reports of smashing Ukrainian ammo and fuel depots also came down. So its not like just one side learned a lesson. Also I question this 2022 softening of Russian defenses by Ukraine - it totally failed in Kherson where Russians smashed Ukrainian attacks causing massive casualties. Despite having weak defensive lines. I honestly think Russia is patiently waiting for Ukraine to do the famous offensive, stop it and counter for a knock out punch. Russia wants to get these precious Ukrainian reserves out in the open, destroy them so it can attack without worrying that Ukraine can throw anything at its forces. I.e. the sooner Ukraine attacks, the sooner Russia can crush the attack force and the sooner Russia can deliver knockout blow ending the war - well unless Kiev wants to fight to the last Ukrainian. Main goal now is to convince Ukrainians they indeed lost the war. Cannot do that with killing 1000s of Ukrainians daily - this info will never be admitted by Kiev. It can only be done with massive land grab that cannot be denied by Kiev.
    1
  342. It's UK, they want same thing they got from China with Hong Kong. Despicable.
    1
  343. Maybe for approaching aircraft that does zero ma overing. In short this was 100% malfunction.
    1
  344.  @giovanni-ed7zq  After oryx claimed that Ukraine lost or damaged like 10 leopards when you could count 28 on videos for me and vast majority of the world they moved to "unreliable 100% of the time" category. I knew they were fishy before but now concrete proof they are just propaganda. Ukraine commander in chief claimed that Russia has 10:1 advantage in Zaporozia in artillery.
    1
  345.  @giovanni-ed7zq  That is strange as they have only 2 or some claim 3 left. My propaganda is backed by video evidence - what is your backing? Pictures from Oryx from unknown source?
    1
  346. The original accounting was correct - i.e. you use replacement value as you need to replace stuff. For example, in house insurance, the insured value is not actual value but replacement value. Actual value is almost always lower. Reason is pp want a new house if their current one burns down. This is just a sign of desperation on the side of the looser - i.e. Ukraine / US - they are trying to push every little bit they can. What will they say in September? It will be a hard sell.
    1
  347. They say they killed millions Russians.
    1
  348. Probably - or some suggested they want to do PR stunt to draw Russians in.
    1
  349. Wow, two war crimes! Ukraine are over doing themselves! First war crime is that you cannot kill wounded enemies - Additional Protocols of 8 June 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, para. 1620 The 2nd one is mutilation of the dead. Nothing new - Nazi do what Nazi do. Once war is over a lot of them will be prosecuted by international criminal court for crimes in former territories of Ukraine.
    1
  350. There is no false flag planned - Belarus is simply warning that in the upcoming Russian offensive if Ukraine tries to invade Belarus to draw troops away Belarus will not only defend but could even use nukes.
    1
  351. Let's not side with the reds, side with Hitler instead, better choice, oops, guess you skipped as well.
    1
  352. Ukraine lost the war. Giving 60b is not only a waste but also cruel for Ukriane. It allows idiots in Kiev to prolong the war for another year. Sad. There should be push for surrender not fighting in a lost war.
    1
  353. Yeah, super idiotic plan that we see as total failure. Once Russia wins it can only get stronger. I feel like the west had... NO PLAN. They hoped some light weapons will deter Russia. Than artillery, then some tanks, then some missiles and soon aircraft. What a total failure.
    1
  354. Exactly. The actual Russophobia is coming out. Western Europe was never a nice place - they just covered the evil nicely.
    1
  355. The estimate is 30 to 35 Su 35 and 10 Su 57 per year. This is due to work 24 /7. So around 40 new aircraft of this type per year.
    1
  356.  @Intreductor  Not even close. Ukrainians are going back to the days of their Hero of Ukraine Bandera. So they are original Nazi. Wagner has just strong Neo Nazi links - same as many units in US army. Not great but not terrible. Ukraine however, it is bad. These guys are true Nazi, not some racists.
    1
  357. Yeah, I am not sure why this is even mentioned - even if Ukraine troops went that far they would be crushed with a counter offensive. May as well aim for Moscow.
    1
  358. 50k casulties per month for Ukraine per month is very conservative. Very. I calculated over 60k per month as UA casulties.
    1
  359. In our hearts ;)
    1
  360. It makes for great PR.
    1
  361. Well Ukraine got new general, know for sending troops to their death. He promised to hold the city. Party in Moscow. War will end sooner! Also glide bombs are not FAE. This is TOS system 😊
    1
  362. ME is nail in the UA coffin. Iran showed a lot of power. Israel would not survive without damage in longer engagement. It would be a gross mistake for Israel to go into a war with Iran. As for F16s they are not going to be used for Air defense. Lol! Ukraine tried that and lost aircraft to Russian air long range air defenses.
    1
  363. It will be a miracle if Ukraine lasts said 7 months without being forced by the west into a solution in a loosing war.
    1
  364. Right - they show any gains right away - like Pietihatki fiasco - we have now dead soldiers celebrating.
    1
  365. War is and has been from the start with Russia - i.e. time works for them. Every week they destroy more of Ukraine not of Russia. I.e. every week Ukraine is getting weaker and not the other way around. This is from the start. You do not get strong from getting bombed.
    1
  366. The smell of defeat. The reality is slowly sinking in that Ukraine lost the war. Something normal people knew from like month #3.
    1
  367. Well, in Nazi Germany maybe 10%, at most, were hard core Nazi. Probably less, and we are talking about adult population, working age only, excluding Jews, communists etc. If we include whole population, less than 3%. Similar can be said of Ukraine. Azov units are maybe at most 10% of total and many now have conscripts making majority, as originals were dealt with.
    1
  368. About 10,000 now.
    1
  369.  @timothywright2953  Yeah, too bad they are Russia's friends or allies as well ;)
    1
  370.  @giovanni-ed7zq  LOL, what modernized MiGs??? These are old planes not modernized for decades. They are slightly upgraded from basic A variant from 1980. To see what JDAM can do just look at Ukrainian positions that Russians are attacking with JDAM. Heavy use near Adiivka now.
    1
  371.  @timothywright2953  Actually it is quite impressive - notice that only 13% of the planet placed sanctions on Russia and almost all anti Russia UN resolutions (full assembly) have failed.
    1
  372.  @giovanni-ed7zq  Actually JADAMs are cheaper - Russian kit is under $1000 so I doubt US kit is 20x more. Ukrainians are preparing what exactly? In Kherson it was epic Ukie defeat! 100s of vehicles destroyed, 1000s killed. And they hit Russian radars with what exactly? Super slow HARM missiles? And what do Russians have, HARM missiles that are 4x the speed of US junk sent to Ukraine.
    1
  373. Wake up?
    1
  374. Nah, losses are low, look at BBC. We came long way from Bakhmut loss level. Now 5x less than UA losses.
    1
  375. ​ @EnFlaMEd not really. Biggest hit caused 2 week fuel delay. Ukraine power plants hit in return are off for years or forever. UA again is foolish.
    1
  376. Massive UA losses as well, Russia can afford. Ukraine cannot.
    1
  377. Ukraine per year gets 2x what Soviets got per year. Per soldier it's 20x!!!! So what does it mean? LL was not that important.
    1
  378.  @VonKanata  Well, per soldier current aid is 20x that (money adjusted apples to apples) than during WWII. That is huge. Imagine if Soviets got what Ukraine got, they would have wiped Germany out in 1943! Biggest help for Soviets was actually rail cars - rail and food. The 20x should put into perspective what help Ukraine is getting and STILL loosing the war.
    1
  379. He is a bit clue less weapon type wise.
    1
  380. Nah, unless they really want to fight to the last Ukrainian. Why would Russia negotiate a year from now? With whom? Dead people?
    1
  381. Doing much better than EU and G7.
    1
  382. If Ukraine is still fighting by 2024 than it is clear they will fight till last Ukrainian, i.e. till about 2025 and at that point all of Ukraine will fall to Russia with Russia creating a new pro Russia state.
    1
  383. Abrams is a better tank? Really? Why?
    1
  384. Yeah I was like, what, seriously, anyone made... Less accurate weapon, on purpose? Crazy idea.
    1
  385. He is heavy pro UA. Not crazy like Denys.
    1
  386. US is improving situation - for themselves at the cost of others.
    1
  387. They can get Russian passports!!!! Russia will get them documents!
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  388.  @teddypicker6969  25k
    1
  389. ​ @VHS_NEON  ukraine did have such army, not anymore. They are now shrinking and getting weaker every day.
    1
  390. There is a video of Ukraine army trying to recruit a guy without a leg.... This is 1944...Ukraine is dead. French instructors are legit targets and would be specifically attacked. If French said they cannot be attacked or else Russia 100% would hit extra hard.
    1
  391. I don't think any plane was hit and damaged. I don't even think planes were hit as they were not even... There.
    1
  392. ​ @JohnDorian-j7x no Russian confirmation by well know channels such as fighter bomber. None.
    1
  393. I assume he was Russian - I doubt to many Ukrainians can walk out - maybe run out through the fields?
    1
  394. One can estimate Ukrainian casualties based on Russian losses - just multiply by 4. Reason is artillery superiority + air power + armor.
    1
  395. So west sends troops to Ukraine. But they don't have enough troops to matter. And when they get defeated it will look very, very bad. Also at that point China may move to more active support.
    1
  396. Hey, North Korea is the democratic Korea.
    1
  397. Lol, it is impossible to bring people back. I talked to many young Ukrainian men. No way. They will not move. They know they will end up dead. No one is that stupid.
    1
  398. Not yet, still 3 more weeks.
    1
  399. Strongest economy in Europe? Yeah Russia is doing great.
    1
  400.  @morganodonnell1239  Umm, I think you are on something - Russia has well over 3% growth as per IMF.
    1
  401. Penetration aids are a thing, BUT these were usually used on bigger missiles!
    1
  402. Who cares about deep state map! Stop using that BS!
    1
  403. White Rex. As Nazi as it gets!
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  404. LOL, they moved backwards for past 30+ years. Country depopulated, economy collapsed. How do you expect them to rebuild AND beat Russia?
    1
  405. Ukraine cannot have terms of service. Reason is they don't have enough troops to rotate. In entire country. This is why they lost.
    1
  406. How, they cannot drop bombs there 😄
    1
  407. Wagner strikes ... Ukraine runs! Around 95% of Bakhmut has been liberated as of the time I write this. Only the high rise area and surrounding territory still stands. But it may take a while to take these last few patches of land.
    1
  408. Russia forward! Putin, end this war!
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  409. Umm, they also have free health care....
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  410. No. Its a region that separated from Moldova after Moldovans did not want to give these pp freedom of language and culture.
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  411. There is some proof for 2 Su-35. No Su - 34 were downed.
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  412. Better yet, when there is US war with China, Russia should fly spy missions close to US naval assets and give info to the Chinese.
    1
  413. There is no evidence of even a single Su 34 in the last two months. I.e. Russia has full air supremacy over the front line. Heavy bombing and no losses.
    1
  414. Russia had no issues building some fortification right at the front line. Look at failed UA offensive. So why UA could not do it?
    1
  415.  @kkrolik2106  Deeper? Russians advanced already more than UA during 2023 (!) i.e. they are deeper! Ukraine only managed to pass first defensive line tiny bit near Robotyne (now fully under Russian control). US delivery of ATACAMS is of no major effect in this war as it is too few to make any difference. Russia has at least 50:1 long range missile advantage. Russians did not have 1000s of deaths ;) LOL.
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  416.  @martincerny3294  Without Wagner. With Wagner its around 25k + We know exact numbers as BBC counts the graves. Two weeks delayed Russians suffered 18023 KIA.
    1
  417.  @alfatejpblind6498  Well, we know exact numbers for Russians, approximate for DNR and approximate for Wagner. The exact number of Russians +-100 2 weeks delayed is 18023. So even if you double this for Wagner / DPR you get 36000. Not even close to 60k you claim. Also if we go 60k - 18k we get 42. Divided by 2 we have 21K. 21K is impossible for Wagner nor DPR as for Wagner it would mean with heavily wounded their entire force (!) Similar for DPR. UA casualties are conservatively 4x, pessimistically 6x. So UA losses should be well over 140,000 KIA by now.
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  418. PR
    1
  419. 😂😂😂
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  420.  @whyukraine  How much UA bots are paid?
    1
  421. Not even that - whole Warsaw pact.
    1
  422. As for the losses, Russia is around 80k or so, at least, Ukraine 250k KIA at least. Ukraine has around 600k permanent losses.
    1
  423. If 60b was not passed Ukraine could have collapsed before US elections. So democrats did all they can to pass the bill. This will allow Ukraine to last to 2025.
    1
  424. Yeah I seen the video - crazy stuff. They used idiot to point targets for them.
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  425. Unlikely.
    1
  426. Ukraine fight with PR. Once Russia is taking major city then UA will go for the bridge.
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  427. ​ @glassini lol, it's not 500b on interest, it's more than twice that 😅😅😂😂
    1
  428. How exactly did Russia loose control of the black sea??? Because they lost few transport ships??? Other then their old bit modernized cruiser they had few combat ships damaged. Nothing major, nothing this year.
    1
  429.  @evgeniya7853  correct, Russian black sea navy is fine. They did loose a cruiser and some transports, few other ships were damaged but their missile carriers are all fine. They have Crimea and air bases there from which they can project power onto whole Black Sea.
    1
  430. Yeah they do - this is probably well overdue confirmation - they basically hold the east side of the river. No shock there - again this probably should have been reported 48h ago.
    1
  431. Russia got a little prick, Ukriane got slammed. As usual. I mean come on, just count the number of missiles and drones and payload delivered. Russia is what, 100x Ukraine?
    1
  432. War is clearly lost. Look to German propaganda from late 1944 for clues.
    1
  433.  @k-matsu  Of course he is - this is called propaganda. He lies a lot as everyone else does. Come on. Also they now claim they have regained the high ground to the north of the city. We can only be sure of some limited stuff that is geo located - such as that Bakhmut is under Russian control 99% of the time for 99% of the city. Its close to the front line so there can be short incursions possible. Also this is as of the time of this writing - things can change.
    1
  434.  @k-matsu  LOL, this is low lands and there is no true "high ground" the elevation differences are tiny. Besides - Russians already retaken the tiny hill to the north. Cope. City is lost. Russians hold both flanks around it. Its low lands there are no "mountains" Diem Bien Phu had French surrounded not facing an enemy on the 1/5 of the axis... i.e. they were SURROUNDED. Now look at the map in Ukraine.... and cope.
    1
  435.  @k-matsu  Exactly - you are classical example of not knowing how to read one.
    1
  436. Russia never targeted Zieliński. In fact when he visits a section of the front it goes quiet.
    1
  437. ​ @JohnDorian-j7x bro he... Lied. It was not confirmed by anyone but Ukraine. Some Russian bloggers reposted stuff from Ukriane. Well know channels such as fighter bomber, located in Crimea, did not confirm any losses. None.
    1
  438. Anyone can see this with even half a brain. Even if Ukraine does have some success in an offensive, Russia will simply take it back. The war fundamentals are firmly with Russia. I.e. Russia has more weapons, more people etc.
    1
  439. All terrorism is bad. All needs to be condemned. There are no good terrorists. Especially dangerous are attacks on journalists.
    1
  440. Yeah Russians are liberating Donbass one village at a time. So all good news for all these that believe in freedom of people to decide their future.
    1
  441. There are no men left now. They are shrinking.
    1
  442.  @ZootyZoFo  Sure, Mosin is a good long range weapon - can be used by 2ndary troops as a designated marksman rifle. No issues I can see. It is a decent rifle. I have no clue why someone whom knows guns would ... criticize it. Almost NOTHING they made was dependent on "western components & technology" come on be real. So far no one listed even a single such components. There were few attempts to list things but quickly I found out with a help of a credit card that there are no restrictions on buying it. So, thus far. not even 1 component. Well, and gee look at 3rd world country (so who is 2nd world???) kicking the ass of US - must be some kind of tradition now ;) So far the only Russian T-55/54 tank I saw was as mobile bomb. Did not actually see one yet in actual combat. I am unsure as to how many are available to even be used - few hundred? In case you wonder - there are few dozen T-34s - just enough for parades. Also, may I point out that M60 tank, still in active service with NATO and western aligned nations is from 1957 with service entry of 1959. "This became the Ob'yekt 155, and entered production at Uralvagonzavod 1 January 1958 as the T-55." I.e. T-55 is within weeks of the age of M60. So please enlighten me why NATO is using such junk still?
    1
  443. The author of the video is pro Ukraine dude - maybe not super pro Ukraine like Denys but pro Ukraine. He is biased. Of course the least likely scenario is that Russia did it. As it has the most to loose by doing so.
    1
  444. Please stop using deep state map. It's useless.
    1
  445. This was in the past. Once market realized this is of no significance it stopped moving the price marker.
    1
  446.  @brownie43212  Why would you support Nazi Ukraine? Why? Why anyone would support country that is a total absolute dictatorship with zero human rights? You support North Korea as well?
    1
  447.  @benjifoucher  So is CNN, your point?
    1
  448. Russians also observe.
    1
  449. I predicted UA failure with almost exact gains, and I don't like Musk calling me a fool or idiot. He is correct through about progress of the war. And about Russia taking Odessa. Yes, Ukraine needs to surrender ASAP.
    1
  450. There was no treaty between Poland and Germany. Czechs invaded Poland in 1920s and stole land Poles were majority on. Poland took back land from Soviets where Poles were a majority. Poland acted in spirit of WWI ending. Poland acted as Russia does in Crimea. Should Russia give up Crimea?
    1
  451.  @OniksR  we have census data. There were very few Russians. Large UA minority. Russians never lived in large numbers so far west. Like Lwów. Even in Soviet times after WWII. Russians preferred Baltics to move west. West Ukraine today as in post WWII Soviet union was poor. No point to move there.
    1
  452. Nah, not happening. Could escalate rather quickly. Besides, it would force Asia to the war & could end with conventional weapon defeat of NATO & US.
    1
  453. ​ @OniksR Poland did not attack czechoslovskia. Poland liberated land Czechs invaded after WWI. This land had polish majority. Czechs invaded Poland with just idea of taking land.
    1
  454. ​ @steveclancy7832 there were only few systems destroyed. Russia has many more. Of bigger significance is Ukraines loss of few helicopters as they don't have many left. This is like boxing match. Bigger stronger boxer, Russia wins, this does not mean they don't get hit.
    1
  455.  @steveclancy7832  You do know there are millions of cars in Russia and hence drivers ... and they are mostly ICE. So we would know...
    1
  456.  @Warren_Peace  I would not call US most powerful nation on Earth - that would be China.
    1
  457.  @LumineScientiaeFidei  I bet Russian air force is now like 105% of what they were in 2022.
    1
  458. Super offensive but a bit funny as well.
    1
  459.  @HingalshDealer  They did not confirm any losses!
    1
  460. Why not show Russian drones in actual combat? You need to look more at pro Russian sources, where you see combat use.
    1
  461.  @HvdHaghen  True - but you have to hit in multiple areas - I think minimum of 4. Also it was not just one small hole - I think they destroyed like 50m of pipeline. So multiple charges x4. You need a demolition crew, lots of explosives and a ship. This always sounds easier than it is.
    1
  462. ​ @thehappyclam3942 not a good idea, the front line troops can let enemy through or even join the enemy. Or flatly surrender en mass.
    1
  463. ICC was created to prosecute people west did not like. This is why Israel, which US sees as part of the west, cannot be touched. ICC is a joke. It's EU court. Especially going after Africa can clearly be seen what ICC is.
    1
  464. Why? Russia strong. They have massive advantage. They could move faster but save people. Ukraine patches all holes with blood. That blood is now... Almost gone. Now we will see almost non stop Ukraine retreats.
    1
  465. Duda was not truthful. He was nice to Ukriane. Also Crmean and Donbass should belong to Russia. They are on the right side of history and law. WWI ended with a "no more war" idea. This was undersigned with freedom of nations and people. West once again, acts counter democratically and blocks freedom of people to make a choice.
    1
  466.  @always831  You?
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  467. The only game changer I see is direct NATO involvement. Without NATO troops on the ground and in the air there is zero chance for any Ukrainian victory - even one where front lines as they are now are frozen. Russia is easily brushing aside Ukraine without breaking much sweat.
    1
  468. They for sure encrypted it but I am quite sure the room was bugged.
    1
  469. LOL, if Russia used nukes west would know they are desperate and the very last thing is use of weapons of any kind against Russia. Heck, China would immediately offer unlimited aid to Russia & west would immediately stop supplies to Ukraine - if they are sane. This scenario is so remote I think we may as well talk about "what if aliens landed in say New York".
    1
  470. Not only that fighter bomber account on telegram does not show what he shows on the video!
    1
  471.  @firebird4491  Not really - UA artillery can only be from one side - and they can be flanked - also much smaller and with fewer shells. Russian advantage is at least 6 to 1. Probably more. This is why UA is taking huge losses there. Z says to hold as he + west have no clue as to how they are supposed to continue the war - there is no victory strategy so they just do what they did day before.
    1
  472.  @firebird4491  What shell hunger??? They are making gains - do not believe in all sort of mis-information - Wagner boss likes to make strange claims that are meant to disinform. What testimony? What soldiers? What do they know of ammo shortage??? Come on. Russia is firing at least 6x as much as Ukraine - so there certainly is no "shortage". What precision and range??? Precision is on Russian side as they have far more drones and did so from the very start. Also range is the same as both use similar systems. The few western systems Ukraine as can be matched by same number of latest Russian systems (which actually have tiny bit of an edge). So Russia has slight edge in accuracy, same range and at least 6x the volume. Ukraine does not have any strategy - if it did - do you know it? Does anyone? Mystery strategy. What could it be? Wait for miracle? I guess its a strategy - wait for miracle. I was hoping through for more ... military style strategy rather than praying. Russian near term strategy seems clear - wear the enemy down in war of attrition & force the enemy to the table. If such enemy did not have had enough - continue the grind till they run out of people. As front shortens land will be taken - eventually either Ukraine come to their senses or Russia will be able to take all of it.
    1
  473. Freedom for Donbas as well!
    1
  474. There were few survivors and they can now be conscripted back... as they have experience. I doubt this is numbers of note.
    1
  475. LOL, Russia can simply do area denial and there goes any trade route. It would have a valid reason to do so. The coast is too close for Ukraine to be ever able to secure it for shipping against Russian intervention.
    1
  476.  @tomlobos2871  Russia is a land power - blocking its ports will not significantly effect it. Blocking its ports however, is an act of war. I.e. Russia and allies would be justified in fighting off NATO. NATO is posed to loose such war even with conventional weapons. Thus I doubt they would want to go into it - this would leave US - and US is not that stupid.
    1
  477.  @tomlobos2871  LOL. Sea blockade is an act of war - any google search will show that. Russia does not have to pass any territorial waters of any NATO country. It passes through navigational channels such as Bosporus once in a while but these cannot be denied as per treaties signed. NATO is not set to win a land war. It has lower population by a wide margin and lower capacity to produce everything. It would eventually be forced to use nuclear weapons for defense. Both world wars were won with a factory in hindsight. Here if it goes WWIII again without nukes use NATO is toast. It simply cannot match more than half of the worlds production & cannot match sheer troop numbers. Nor population numbers. Polish army btw, which I know very well is very weak ATM. They are weaker than before the war. I doubt Polish army would force Russia to mobilize more than 300k. You need to think logically. Why do we have this war & why west supports Kiev regime. The war is about West loosing control. West does not want to loose control. The war will be a convenient place in history books to say that from its end Eastern civilization started to lead the earth. I.e. the war is to end dominance of the west & start the dominance of the east. Actual players direct - Ukraine and Russia are of little importance. Ukraine (West) lost the war - BRICS passed G7 before the pandemic and by 2050 would be more than 2x the size. With every year that passes Russia is getting stronger.
    1
  478. US production, official last year 180,000 - Russian incomplete official 750,000.
    1
  479. Sure, but they did not change the flow of the war.
    1
  480. There are not that many patriots to spare. When you look at who could, you see only US. So coming up with 25 is impossible. 7 would be very difficult. System is super expensive. It is a true lemon. Let export cost for a single missile of between 6 and 10m sink in. That is more than any Russian missiles cost few times over! US has only less than 500 systems. Rest of the planet no more than 250. Ukraine is asking for more systems than all of Europe has at current time...
    1
  481. I agree but you over estimate I think UA KIA - yes they took huge losses but over 50k KIA?
    1
  482. Man power will take 19 years to fix 😂😂😂 but I think there is also shortage of women and men for production.
    1
  483. This is exactly what happens with a house - you get replacement value, not actual value. Military needs to replace tank X. It cannot replace it with used version of X, but new X. Thus replacement value needs to be used. With a person and a car, there is no such problem - but we see this with houses - you cannot replace with equivalent "used" house - same as in the military. I mean regular houses not mobile stuff.
    1
  484.  @mattsavage9960  We will see more in 24 / 48h. 4 brigades as units from these are used. They attack in multiple locations. Not one or two - across two fronts. We know Ukraine has 10 brigades and few hundred pieces of western equipment. So they are utilizing already 40% of their forces. That is a lot. What do you expect - they send whole brigades??? 1000s of troops have been used today in these attacks, not just a 1000 as you claim.
    1
  485.  @Stephen-4722  No they are not. Both roads are under direct fire control - and there is speculation as to one being physically cut. You can try to get supplies by trying to drive very fast or something like that - but it is semi -suicide. Fields may be an option for small squads but are under direct or indirect fire. Essentially they cannot get 5 brigades out of there - so they are telling them to "hold". They will try to counter attack to break them out - but have too little forces.... this is shaping up like Mariupol +++
    1
  486.  @Stephen-4722  How do they get these supplies??? Off road? They sacrificed over 10000 troops in Mariupol. It is no longer their choice. I.e. window to move out close about a week ago. Now any pull out will be with huge losses. This is same stupid crap as Germans did in Stalingrad. Once 6th army was encircled they were forbidden from breaking out - they held 6 Soviet armies. We will see - or already seen relief effort attempts by UA - same as Stalingrad. Eventually UA will pay with about 5 brigades. Same as Germans did at Stalingrad.
    1
  487.  @Stephen-4722  Cannot do that anymore. They could do that a week ago but now not so much. Main reason is that the fields are under direct fire control in many instances and if not even a group of 10 soldiers is valid target for mortars. Even when they try to do this they will need to leave a big rear guard or Russians will out run them. Finally, all equipment will be lost for these brigades. Essentially what you are asking is small groups made up of 10 men to run few km across fields which are under enemy fire control - while there are 1000+ such groups. Sure some will make it - but a lot - maybe most - will not. Besides I think we can agree on that 1000s will be left behind to rear guard the line. There is speculation of UA retreating in groups a bit bigger, every hour 24h a day - for about 2000 troops per day.
    1
  488. What???? Ukraine's troops did not even reach first line of defenses - the UK intelligence is now pure copium ;))) Russian air force not successful? We have videos dummies from UK - on which we can see Russian air-force having a field day. Ukraine failed to make any gains beyond some fields. They failed to capture even a SINGLE village. Not even one and hold.
    1
  489. If they are legally in Canada they should continue to live normally without any harassments. Are you Canadian? Do you know of charter rights?
    1
  490. If Russia uses nukes and Ukraine has no nukes its game over for Ukraine. Even tactical ones. Chances of this happening are near zero. There is zero need for Russia to do so. Besides, China would be forced to step in support for Russia. West cannot support Ukraine more - they are maxed out. If west changes to war economy - China would be forced as well, and west cannot win atrition war with China - any heavy moves would mean sooner or later NATO would use nukes defensively.
    1
  491. I actually think Russian losses - on par of 70k seem realistic, on the high side. I also compute UA losses at 200k+ up to all the way to 300k. All KIA. Add WIA and other and you get to numbers that suggest Ukraine is running out of people - which they admit they are. Russia does not need any major risky offensives - of course they can surprise - they are winning the war.
    1
  492.  @proudtitanicdenier4300  Your math is WAY off. In the middle of 2022 Ukrainian president said that the army had 1 million combatants. Same combatant can be wounded multiple times and most wounded do come back to the front. Also since middle of 2022 Ukraine did more mobilization. So They had to have more people in - lets say 1.3m total mobilized. So way have 300k + 500k wounded not coming back for an army deployed of 500k. Seems legit. Remember this is upper limit - for 200k KIA and even 400k not coming back, we have 700k available still with 500k deployed and 200k in reserve. Math makes sense & also explains why they are running low on men.
    1
  493.  @proudtitanicdenier4300  Sure, it took me like 30 sec to find it - July 10th 2022 - google "Ukraine has one million ready for fightback to recapture south". You are not "mobilizing an army" your are mobilizing mostly men into the army - for Ukraine it also means many women - even in combat role (there is footage). Yes, Ukraine now has serious issues on the home front as well as so many have been mobilized - not everyone is in front combat role - most people are in the support. "Tooth-to-tail ratio" the ratio of 4:1 is very low for support - this is WWII ratio. Now its more like 8:1 or so ... but even if Ukraine has 4:1 I do not see a problem with this at all - a lot of casualties are in the tail - probably more then in the tooth.
    1
  494. Yep, people on Donbass as the good guys and evil Nazi from Kiev on the other. Once again, world faces Nazi. Except this time west is in love with Nazism. I wonder why.
    1
  495. Well nukes saving lives is US way of saying why killing 1000s of civilians is justified. US won the war, they make the rules.
    1
  496.  @zanitzeuken  There was no prolonged conflict planned. You need to read some history books. Japan's emperor commanded the government to surrender. US decided to push them a little bit with nukes. US was justifying use of nukes by the fact that landing on Japanese islands would cause massive casualties for both sides. There was no back and forth planned for this war, just heavy US push against civilians armed with sharp bamboo sticks.
    1
  497.  @zanitzeuken  But would it last long - emperor commanded surrender. Soviets attacked Japanese army in China - Soviet threat of invasion bring heavy fear into hearts of the Japanese. Thus, once can say the Empire of Japan may have surrendered officially roughly at the same time with or without use of nukes. Say war lasted two more weeks - would that prolonging of the war really cause more lives then both nukes?
    1
  498. Many pp think that Wagner did not Mutiny at all. It all went way too smoothly. Fishy.
    1
  499. Remember this guy cannot be trusted 100% for anything. He is probably hard core Nazi and grandpa was most likely SS officer. Either that or he is an idiot. How can there be independent units - what - they got their own weapons ammo etc. ??? He did not meet any Nazi in Ukraine? LOL! Swastika stands for fighting commies? LOL! Who believes this crap? Seriously? Nazi white washing. If Russians are so piss poor at fighting why are they winning the war? Why is this guy not looking like a soldier at all? If they are taking so many POWs why so few Russians are POWs? WHY? Why so many Ukrainians are POW?
    1
  500. Russia is in no hurry - its Ukraine which is running out of time - it is Ukraine whose economy is sinking more and more, and it is Ukrainians that are running into EU. So why change that - why hurry? Take it easy, let the artillery crush them. Minimize losses - losses are bad PR. If Ukies want to die for their country, let them.
    1
  501. Well doh, obviously.
    1
  502. B/c it is.
    1
  503. And what will they do exactly with concealed armor there? The whole land is super marshy. There are no roads. Any armor that crosses there would be eventually found with a drone nd destroyed by artillery. The island is a nice place to "play war" with the Russians. Dima frequently has a lot of fantasy - its not the first time.
    1
  504. Yes, a bit traumatic. But accidents happen.
    1
  505. There were no losses reported in Crimea strike. From reliable sources. Total UA fail. Please don't rely on some photo from unknown source. Photoshop exists.
    1
  506. Nazism is coming back!
    1
  507.  @attilamarics3374  I think he is doing part of his job - confusing the enemy. Confusing western UA supporters. When he is strong, he pretends to be weak and vice versa. Just war propaganda. Give enemy false hope stuff. He knows UA is loosing the war - but why make the loss long and painful for Russia - make UA do stupid things - pressure public to pressure UA into on offensive on well prepared multi line defensive positions.
    1
  508. LOL, what ... hardware. Seriously you think few brigades worth of equipment will be "something"? LOL. Only a fool would buy time this way - there are 4 to 5 UA brigades or what remains of them in the city itself - once these are liquidated they will free more Russian forces that UA gets western hardware.
    1
  509.  @user-user-user-user.  .UA is defending this pile of rubble b/c it is important pile of rubble. If it had no value - no one would have fought so much for it. No one pays a lot for garbage. No one that knows US believes in their war "know how" for the last few decades they have shown they are clue less. They have no strategy as to what to do next. None.
    1
  510. First 40 aircraft. Then 40 ships. What will be next? Stupid UA propaganda. And rather stupid people that believe in this.
    1
  511. Never?
    1
  512. Too few troops for such big operation. They just spreading miss information.
    1
  513. So was was Ivaniske been liberated or not yet? Chasiv yar is next.
    1
  514. 😂 What partisants, there is no one mining that track. If they did no front carriage would save them from derailing. You cannot stop train on a dime. It is probably for repair equipment. Or inspectors etc.
    1
  515. Actually they did not say that. They said on RT that such war would be a catastrophe.
    1
  516. Yes we did. It's like sweeping the floor and rolling the crumbs.
    1
  517. Parked safe on the airfield? I hope we see these in few days.
    1
  518. Well, they were forced to be on Soviet side, they volunteered to be on the German side. They were "accidental" good guys.
    1
  519. Well, EU is 3rd tire military so no match for Russia.
    1
  520. North Korea set around 2.5m shells not 1m. As per west 6700 containers of ammo. Quick math shows well over 2m shells. Or are you saying they filled 40%???
    1
  521. Mark my words, no one will even notice F-16s are deployed. I.e. they make no difference.
    1
  522. Millions of men, that would be Ukraine. Any source of 3m men leaving Russia or you talking about Ukriane? Kiev post reported present population of Ukraine is just 20 M.
    1
  523. Russians are now liberating two villages per day! There is a chance they break through into open fields.
    1
  524. No. China would be attacked by US as well. It will be everyone vs. everyone.
    1
  525. Denys is on the total fake, this guy is smart fake. There is zero chance of Ukraine victory. Propaganda ties in a knot now to try to run away from that concept.
    1
  526.  @eljanrimsa5843  And while all is flooded do tell how Ukraine would attack? Flooding is used as defensive tactics. You now made whole terrain favor heavily the defender..
    1
  527. No. Only citizens. Army is not welfare.
    1
  528.  @OzzyBloke  exactly, all people have the right to be free, even Russians. If Fins want to go back to their Nazi ways, the world needs to unite to stop them.
    1
  529.  @georgem9686  exactly, if we go back few decades before to ww1 Finland was whole part of Russia. So maybe Russia should demand all of Finland as it... Stolen, no? Come on, currently living people should decide where they want to be.
    1
  530.  @terryharris1291  Majority rules - Ukies should move back to Ukraine if they don't want to live with Russians.
    1
  531.  @damn6  There is no risk of any collapse of Russia. Revisions of WWII borders are not a good idea.
    1
  532.  @TheGrace020  Why would they move -- majority rules. I.e. if minority does not like - they can move.
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  533.  @austinsmith3011  Why would they want to be Fins? Would Fins like to be Russians? Would say Brits want to be French?
    1
  534.  @austinsmith3011  Most people are OK through living in Russia - these that do not like it can immigrate. In all (or all I know) countries in the world if you do not get prison time you get cancelled. So in Finland if you step out of line they destroy you financially. Compared to that "prison time" seems like a way better idea. I.e. I like Russian way of dealing with dissent than western way. I wish more western countries just imprisoned dissenters like say Russia and openly labeled them political prisoners vs. cancelling. BTW, my country is better than Norway & the particular city I live in usually scores in top 3 in the world. And we all know we are neither free nor a democracy, so certainly Fins, ranked lower, are not. As far as you ethnic comment goes, in Soviet Union you either left or became Soviet - so yes, no Fins left or became Soviets. Similar system is now used in Ukraine, they either expel or kill anyone that does not immediately becomes ethnic Ukrainian. With full support of the west.
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  535.  @TheGrace020  Yes, it is Russia. Ukrainians were the ones that moved in. As to your kids example, just do not let them in. This is not the first time this has occurred in history - there are MANY examples of what you say. Sometimes you have no choice - they move in with some force. Why do you think there are wars? In Kosovo most Albanians moved in, then the west said it is their land. Somehow in Donbass or Crimea same rules do not apply, why is that?
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  536.  @TheGrace020  Again, in majority of cases native inhabitants are Russians. This is why Ukraine is against any referendum - even one where "native" population was to vote. The land was clearly for a very long time pro Russian - before this war and even before fall of Soviet Union. What sparked heavy separatism was Nazism in Ukraine. Imagine you and your family lives in a shared home with another family and all of the sudden these other people become Nazi and start prosecuting you. Clearly you would resist and ask for help. It is far and wide easier for Ukrainians to live in Russia (which has the largest UA diaspora in Europe) than Russians in Ukraine. Heck, you cannot even be Russian in Ukraine - you cannot even speak your own language - fine is 5000 Harvina for such offense.
    1
  537. Robotyne mostly taken, Russian flag geo located.
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  538. Lol I doubt these Awacs will be even used. Russia would immediately shot them down. There is nowhere to hide and Russia has a lot of long range missiles specifically against such targets. This is of zero help to Ukraine.
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  539. Russia captures new villages daily now. Advances few km every day. Ukraine in full defense mode, total loss of initiative. UA is overwhelmed. Russia advances nicely in Bakhmut and around - maps tell the truth - no stalling, constant progress. Russian advantage now is very clear and with every week Ukraine is weaker and weaker. There could be a major collapse of UA soon.
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  540. Yep, war may end this year once west pushes Ukraine fearing total collapse.
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  541.  @richard7071  What?
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  542. What? Ukraine had Maiden square and kicked the president that was elected with mostly Donbass votes! Ukraine allowed murder of ethnic Russians and even burning them alive. It was Ukraine that made Bandera an official hero and Build him 100s of monuments. It is Kiev regime that daily bombards Donetsk city - today they killed 20 year old woman and wounded her 2 year old son. The first line of defense is 17km back, the front or line zero is contact line, followed by security zone. This is followed by defensive line and then more defensive lines spaced about 10km apart.
    1
  543. Maybe British are a joke?
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  544. Well, it was liberation from a big monster by a smaller monster - but still overall it was better to be red than ... dead.
    1
  545. They are simply to weak. Even if by some miracle they get to the defense line they will have hard time crossing it. They will fail and Russians can push them back - if they feel like it.
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  546. Ukraine has success in build up areas? Really? You sure? Artillery is most important together with air power in build up areas. Exactly opposite what was said here.
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  547. Not very - Philippines are not a military power.
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  548.  @user-ox4ys  What do you mean - there are far more videos of Ukrainians killing Russians POWs than the other way around. Even strongly pro Ukraine "international" criminal court has more cases of war crimes of Ukraine than that of Russia (!!!) And we are talking here about 100% pro Ukraine court. "And honestly if the person was injured bad enough it may have even been more humane to execute him than let the person suffer for God knows how long before they can receive the proper care, if they even last that long." Ummm, that is a war crime. One can say it was more humane for Germans and Ukrainians to execute Jews in WWII than keep them alive - do you agree with that? There is no humane "execution".
    1
  549. And what, they release not even 2 brigades of 3rd rate troops???? This is a joke.
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  550. We shall never forget important part current Hero of Ukraine - Bandera - played in WWII as a leading Nazi leader. It is true that today once again there is fight against Nazism - and once again the east has to fight the west. Some things never seem to change. It is ironic Zielinski says Ukraine fought Nazism in WWII while being one of the largest Nazi supporters (if we use territory of present day Ukraine as basis for "Ukraine").
    1
  551. We have detailed sat photos and Ukraine attack did not cause any losses or damage. Ukraine attack was fake news.
    1
  552. They are just taking now pp over 24. The 18 year olds cannot leave. They are maybe 2 waves away.
    1
  553. What new weapon Russia has to quicken the end of the war? Ukraine has nothing in that category.
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  554. So they are saying that once Russia takes Kharkiv they will spend a lot of $$$ rebuilding it....
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  555. He is not objective. He is heavily pro Ukraine. Not a comedian like Denys.
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  556. Problem is there is no armement for 500k other than AK rifles. Also Ukraine gets around 350k casulties per year, at least. So you will not get extra 500k. What you get is maybe stabilizing front line for a year. Then what do you do??? Another 500k? From where???
    1
  557. What do you mean? Russia won the war.
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  558. I think it's more. Average death rate is over 10k dead per month. So if 5 wounded per 1 dead we have 60k plus casulties per month. If you use these numbers, you see 700k pernamenet losses up to 800k. Now getting 500k more makes sense.
    1
  559. ​ @leejones4429  When this war started - like right at the start I said that if Ukraine is to fight to last Ukrainian they may last 4 years, if to last woman, 5 years. I think I did well. Lets looks at the losses in detail - so far Ukraine lost say under 350k per year. So at 4 year mark that would put as at most at 1.4m permanent losses, probably less. Is that impossible? Not really, during WWII it was common for around 1/10 of the population to serve, or maybe touch under it. Taking Germany as an example, and looking at the same metric for them - given length of war is similar, we see Ukraine, based on population of around 27m (after all pp that run away) has capacity for around 2.7m or say 2.5m - so after 4 years of massive losses, you can still have sizable army and still would be able to say defend Dnieper line. Regarding Russian losses they are roughly 1/3 that of Ukraine. This total non recoverable losses - i.e. much higher than actual killed people. Ukraine is now trying to do what Germany did in 1944 - try to take pp from the pool of non recoverable losses and "recover" them - thus push for people without arms and legs to go back to service. As time progresses we will see larger UA losses and/or much smaller Russian losses if positional fighting continues - especially when Russia starts better dealing with primitive PVP drones. Note Ukrainian ability to hold an army of men may be less than Germany in WWII as a lot of males escaped BUT Ukraine can lean more on women that Nazi Germany did - thus it all may end up being the same number. Thus by say late 2025 we may se half of UA army made up of women.
    1
  560. Like anyone sane believes in that propaganda. Look at their past ability to predict.
    1
  561. Lol, democracy 😅 Same as in North Korea, ask how good Kim is as a leader.
    1
  562. Red & black is not Ukraine nationalist flag - this is like saying that Nazi Germany state flag is a "nationalist flag" - its down playing its significance!
    1
  563. Women, children, elderly! Come on like Germany in 1944.
    1
  564. So total failure of ATACAMs. S300 luncher is not worth much. Like over 1000 made. Russia this year totally owns Ukraine as far as long range strikes on weapon systems go.
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  565. Bakhmut is where Ukraine troops die in huge numbers. Eventually they run out of troops. This could be a turning point of the war - i.e. once city is taken we will see collapse of UA defense. We see this moment as part of history book narrative - maybe. But it is high maybe. UA is loosing the war clearly now and a lot of western sources are in damage control - there will be a big push from Germany and France after failed Ukraine "counteroffensive" later on to end war.
    1
  566. Bradley's smashed as war moves into manouver war. This is terrible for Ukraine.
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  567. Ukraine should switch to total defense - you do not win wars with defense through... so they can only prolong the war. Why? If you cannot win, negotiate. Any other choice is idiotic.
    1
  568. So how did Ukraine attack Bekogrod? Clearly no restrictions were in place.
    1
  569. Ask Ukraine to negotiate.
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  570.  @URUNicoM  LOL!
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  571.  @URUNicoM  Ask occupiers to stop occupying - freedom for Donbass!
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  572. This would be immense escalation by NATO. It would be wholehartly condemned by the entire world outside of the west. Russia would now easily sail to conventional victory with active support (i.e. military) of multiple Asian nations. Such delivery would ensure Putin's victory both on military and political front.
    1
  573.  @nudisco7882  You made a mistake from copy and paste - Kharkow is for east Ukraine - Kherson is on the other side of the river - look at the map. The reason Kharkiv is nice to have as it is hard to squize between it and Donetsk. But Russians have Donetsk - so each side has 1. There were few battles in WWII in exact that area - so all of this is very well know to anyone.
    1
  574.  @malcolmt7883  Nah, they are probably using one of the guys that made concrete elements for apartment buildings. Without environmental taxes concrete is cheap. Steel in these dragon teeth may be more $.
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  575.  @nudisco7882  What I said there were many battles in Kharkiv region. It is common knowledge and there even youtube videos about the battles, strategy employed and how it is difficult to go in between them.
    1
  576.  @nudisco7882  What do you mean why not? Kharkiv region and Kherson has little Russian population. Bakhmut and Donbass has clear majority. Also in Bakhmut there was an opportunity to kill a LOT of Ukrainians. Also Kharkiv region is only important on its close to Donbass side - for taking back areas of Donbass - city itself is huge undertaking and would only be of use to pressure Ukraine. A lot of this war is just pressure through land grab. Kherson was too expensive to keep - other side of the river & constant attacks against bridges and the dam. Imagine UA blew up the dam when Russian troops would be on the other side. Since it was too expensive to keep pressure on Kiev that way - and risky - Russians moved out. So to answer your question, Russian MOD did what supported main goals of the operation. Why do you think Kherson city for example should be kept at any cost? Its main purpose was to pressure Odessa. And cut off from sea for Ukraine. Main errors of Russian MOD were in not convincing Putin earlier there is no way he can win without mobilizing some troops. Even now Putin is bending backwards not to mobilize more. Russia claims large inflow of volunteers... but still, maybe they should mobilize another 200k to be more on the safe side.
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  577.  @nudisco7882  Nope. History shows that crossing that river is very, very hard. We have actual historical examples. Thus there is no need to worry from Russian side that Ukraine will be able to cross that river and hold right hand side bridgehead. As for focusing on terrain that is "key" Russian is doing that - they are concentrating on key terrain in areas where they have majority population. As for "long range" capability I am unsure why Kherson city matters at all - Ukraine has about the same ability from the north. They can also attack from the sea. I have no clue why Kherson city would be so strategic here. If you go to google maps and measure distances you notice that distance to almost any point in Crimea is about the same from Kherson City as from opposite bank of Dniepr river Ukraine always controlled. Thus I do not get your argument here at all. Every part of Crimea and all major cities are within 300km of the area UA always held - that includes Crimean bridge.
    1
  578.  @nudisco7882  I read dozens of books on the topic. I am very well versed. Military history has been my hobby for over 30 years.
    1
  579.  @rafomic4210  We already saw what Leopards did - few of them left are killed off. Number of F-16s is insignificant. They don't have 5 million - they are struggling to get anyone else - anyone. This is the main reason for not passing the 500k mobilization bill. They are now on defense and will stay that way till the very end.
    1
  580. Both sides are waiting for Ukraine offensive. Ukraine crossing the river is a diversion. They could not kick Russians out when they did not have a river defense. Now with a river defense they want to kick them out? LOL. It would need to be an epic mistake by Russian command to allow Ukraine some success there. As to Russian logistics - they are good. Come on, Ukraine fires 5x less artillery shells and people say they have good logistics ;) LOL!
    1
  581. Most channels ignore clearly UA bullshit such as the bomber. Clearly it was an accident. So why waste time on this???? Come on man. Accidents happen.
    1
  582. Nina can get Russian citizenship. And then they can be sent back to Russia if deported. I advise all Ukrainians to simply drop UA citizenship. File paperwork you are not Ukrainian.
    1
  583.  @jtothecc2421  Of course Russia does. They mention it all the time. Even go to UN.
    1
  584. Lol.
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  585. PR.
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  586.  @braxxian  On active duty at one time - more if full service is counted. 14th SS had almost 50k total serving.
    1
  587.  @misc376  Ukraine started the war with 1000 tanks, and over 2000 tanks in storage out of which they clearly could bring out 1000. They also received over 600 tanks from NATO.
    1
  588. I have no idea of why people still think sanctions will do anything - it is clear as per world bank that these have failed - WB clearly shows that Russia GDP is going to grow in 2024 better than any G7 country. So Russia has clearly won sanctions war. I.e. Russia has far more crippled Europe which has economic issues than the other way around.
    1
  589.  @andreasmichaelides3581  But he would love to speak German - that is the language of his masters.
    1
  590. Don't forget these teeth are also near useless as they are way top small.
    1
  591. It's closer to 14b. It may slow russinas down but not enough to turn the tide. It is clear now that money will not solve it unless billions are found for mercenary units.
    1
  592.  @transkryption  Not sure - this is old stuff from US.
    1
  593. That would mean Ukraine is smart - but they are not. They will attack, they will loose and Russia will counter. By the time west forces them to the table Russia will have 1/3 of the country.
    1
  594. What I find strange is that I predicted Ukraine will start disintegrating by Spring. What I expected is west to push for peace to save some Ukraine. But instead west wants to continue. Which makes zero sense.
    1
  595. Reverse, like offensive toward Kiev.
    1
  596. Right, sure. Reds were not exactly nice but a massive improvement over Nazi.
    1
  597. I thought they made comparison with Zielinski and Hitler - why would anyone compare Putin to Hitler?
    1
  598. Well, present day Germany and Ukraine. Ukraine was (and is now) a major Nazi power. In present day Germany Nazism is hard to prove, today's in Ukraine its like everyday thing, same as say in Berlin in 1943. Most of the German "Nazism" today is through ignorance - but hey, allies did ignore concentration camps as well.... during WWII....
    1
  599. Nah, 80% of world problems would be eliminated if US stayed out of international meddling.
    1
  600. Its a great idea - before the end all loosers go for an offensive - the bigger the better. This will quicken the end of the war. So its a good idea. Heck, they may even unblock Bakhmut! War fundamentals do not change - Ukraine will loose the war - better sooner than later.
    1
  601.  @vs-tm1ch  Ukraine lost the war a long time ago. The reason they lost is simple, they cannot replace material and people at the same rate that Russia can. Russia is also not deterred by current loss rate. Thus Russia will win the war, whatever the actual "win" will look like. In order for Ukraine to win, fundamentals would need to change - and things such as direct NATO entry into the war are unlikely. Even then, I suspect the ending would be a tie.
    1
  602.  @vs-tm1ch  The war has shown that you cannot do everything with just more hardware and sometimes need plain troops ===> see results after Russian mobilization. Russia is not using its full power, while Ukraine is - Russia can mobilize another 300k, than another 300k if it needs to. Ukraine cannot. Russia can switch to more total war its economy -- Ukraine cannot as it already is at it. I.e. Russia can throw in way more resources and have far more rapid gains - but there is no need for such action right now. Gains may be sluggish but they are still gains. Losses are low and that is what is currently important for Moscow.
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  603.  @vs-tm1ch  The mobilization has shown that Russia can cross a lot of lines - if things went very bad, even the nuclear option. Both sides are willing to sacrifice everything. Bakhmut shows the weakness of Ukraine and stupidity of its command. 20 brigades defend the city and the region around it. Russians are making gains every day. If it makes you feel better, it took 4 years to take Syrian city of Aleppo. Today for example, there is a video from freshly liberated steel works in Bakhmut. Also Russians made gains in the south of the city as well as moved few km to the north - west of the city. Eventually Ukraine will run out of meat and you will see similar collapse as Nazi Germany - i.e. it will start crashing down quickly. Also before collapse you will see some offensives - even ones that have some success.
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  604.  @vs-tm1ch  Again too much propaganda watching. They hold it b/c if they let it go there is nothing much for Russians to be stopped at before Krematorsk - Sloviansk. And Krematorsk - Sloviansk are last two cities in Donbass - taking these means Russian can legitimately say they won. Yes, Bakhmut is huge meat grinder for Ukraine - they are loosing LOTS of troops - especially now that they are tactically encircled. Russian artillery and fire from all sides while what is left of weak UA artillery is far away. The reason for "no experience" troops in many areas to be used as a gun meat - i.e. it does not matter if they blow up a marine or a school teacher with artillery. Or to quote a UA soldier from the motorized brigade that defends south of Bakhmut "Russians are coming here to shoot like if they were shooting bunnies." To get to Sloviansk you need Bakhmut. So Bakhmut is of importance as well - plus it serves as a nice meat grinder now for Russians. Again, you do not defend a small city of no importance with... 20 brigades.... if we see a major counter attack in that area - you do not expend precious resources and sacrafice your "spring/ summer counter offensive" for "area of no importance".
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  605.  @Girtuczi  You can compute losses from facts. Fact, both sides admit huge Russian artillery edge. Fact, surrounded on 3 sides. Both sides agree to more or less the map. Fact, both sides admit all roads under direct fire control (i.e. from MG). Based on these facts Ukrainians are taking huge losses - Russians not so much.
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  606. ​ @banta-pd8zj why would you use this ship for supply and logistics???? Heave you heard of trucks, trains, civilian large transport ships????? Have you? I assume you did not. Now you know, they exists.
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  607.  @banta-pd8zj  They use ports for cargo - they are small transports in that regards. Or a very small ferry. They are not designed to carry huge amounts of material. They are not backup for Kerch bridge - the backup is made of civilian ferry ships - not like its needed - they have road and rail land connection. The main role of the ship is to be medium sized LST. They can carry company of tanks. Provide some fire support for landing troops. All ships in this class are old. Many were already retired. Most of Black sea fleet is old - as it is a fleet that does not have access to the ocean - similar to Baltic fleet.
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  608. Yeah, so all Russian side - Russia has the artillery and lots of mines.
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  609.  @giovanni-ed7zq  But Russians are using JDAMs - they are crushing Ukrainians with them, not the other way around.
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  610.  @giovanni-ed7zq  Exactly - poor Ukies - most of their artillery got smashed and now have to rely on 105mm junk from US. These Russian glide bombs, precision Tornado strikes and long range Mista Bm artillery are going to turn them into even more meat. Ukies no longer have Turkish drones btw, you did not hear of any use of them for many, many, many months now ;) Face it, Ukies lost the war long time ago, they cannot sustain the losses in man power nor equipment.
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  611. It's super minor damage. Like a small fire you could put out yourself.
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  612. The western weapon use restriction is fake and used to explain UA failures.
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  613. LL helped a lot at the beginning. Later on it was of little or moderate help.
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  614. There will not be any long war. Ukraine lost. Russia will win. EU and NATO are unable to exit with saved face. Western states cannot keep rest of the planet under their foot. They stand for freedom. And freedom cannot easily be contained now when it has powerful friends. Maybe these friends are not exactly interested in freedom, but this is a nice side effect.
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  615. No taking Z out would not do some unions etc. It would be taking out a clown. Someone more competent would come in.
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  616. Yes, but buckets will slow things down... Till elections.
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  617. French do not have ability to deploy force. Bark with no bite. They can be rulled out. We have clear example of France luck of ability. French doing this will not effect the war.
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  618. I think it is clear that Ukraine will never join NATO. Any treaty at the end will specifically ban any joining of NATO.
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  619. Nope they will be in Ukraine. Not a game changer at all - they just run out of MiG-29s that is all.
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  620. Russia has like 10x more. That is why Ukriane wants all for all exchange. This will indeed happen when Ukraine officially surrenders.
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  621. He means casulties. It is still to high.
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  622. Russia is moving forward and Ukraine is on downward spiral. I think only crazy people now think Ukriane can win. We will see acceleration of Ukraine downfall. Question is, how bad will Ukraine loose.
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  623. Its just BS by stupid people or plain gas lighting the public. Like if Putin died tomorrow things would have changed even one bit.
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  624. Nah, predicted. Ukraine was running low on MiGs so they need between 50-60 in 2024 if they plan on flying.... not a big deal.
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  625. As per Oryx Russia is now loosing more thanks than it ever had ;)
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  626.  @freemanreed5228  No. There are absolutely not T-34s in Russia - they had to import T-34 for parades from Asia like few years ago! In Belarus there is a law prohibiting their export. So no, you will not see T-34 ;)
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  627. They are super high. And no one knows exactly how high. But in July 2022 Ukraine has 1m army. Now it has maybe 600k despite 2 years of recruitment. This aligns with losses of 800k or so troops. So 400k KIA or so, maybe 350? Maybe 450.
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  628. Same thing in Yugoslavia. 1% started the war. In Ukraine it is the Banderites. Aka Nazi.
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  629. God who cares about Zieliński 10 point plan, it's a joke. A new 10 point plan needs to be introduced, from victors point of view.
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  630. If you look at these "Russians" you clearly see Azov. I.e. These are hard core non Russians. There are no Russian partisans. There is no Russian legion. After failure of Bakhmut Ukrainians staged a diversion attack. It could not be staged as we have lots of video. Hard to fake video. In summary Azov units invaded Russia, took heavy losses and were pushed back.
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  631. Please, why would NATO do conventional assault on Russia if they know nukes would be the response as Russia is out of other options. I.e. only proper thing NATO could do is go for full nuclear attack - which they will not. Essentially they would try to a) force Ukraine to surrender and b) humiliate Russia and make it a pariah state.
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  632. Why he is pro Ukraine.
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  633. No. The 500k is to be made of women, older men under 65. Teenagers. Etc.
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  634. Russia is moving fast forward - there is talk of opening new front against Ukraine to stretch its forces even more.
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  635. Lol, Russian revenue from oil increased, so not so cheap. Also trade in local currencies is great. It saves money to both sides. This is why everyone is doing it now. Russia just kick started a movement.
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  636. So what, attacking Russia from nordic countries is a no-no. Very hard terrain. Russian air defenses are quite good. Not really a major threat.
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  637.  @agffans5725  True, but they can go a long distance so Finland is not exactly needed for this. You also cannot hold terrain with air power alone.
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  638. He is clearly pro Ukraine - just not crazy.
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  639. They have the latest systems.. or had.
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  640. Lol.
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  641. ​ @martinwinther6013 Zieliński is Ukrainisn Jew. He knew.
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  642. Still no confirmation. Looks like fake news. I.e. No losses for Russia. This shows desperation of Ukraine as they are faking destruction of A-50. Or IL-22. Again it's been more than 24h and zero confirmation. If you need such fake stories, how bad it has to be?
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  643. First of all Ukraine is unable to put hurt on Russia. If by some miracle they did, Russia would escalate. It will galvanazie Russia people for victory. Also I have no clue about Russian weapons under performing. They work fine, just as western weapons.
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  644. Its a joke propaganda from UK.
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  645. Yeah, from Lviv ;)
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  646. True - but in the end they switched sides and liberated Poland. Everyone at that time was about conquest - Soviets were correct, in their actions - once Germany started to take over Czechoslovakia and Austria Soviets were correct to take on Fins and Baltics. Heck, Poland was correct to also take a bite of their own land occupied by Czechoslovakia. War was coming and the more you grabbed the better.
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  647. It is a war crime - Additional Protocols of 8 June 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949, para. 1620.
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  648. LOL!
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  649. Current AI evolved from essentially huge IF statement systems to more recently (last two decades) into statistical models. This makes the models far and wide superior to any IFs as it simulates understanding. For past 20+ years we also used similar models to do image recognition - essentially pattern match. This again is "good" but not ideal. We need 3rd step - 3rd advancement before T-1000. At least.
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  650.  @niv8880  I doubt we move far - as you mentioned current stats models have been worked on for a while and are peaking. We need something NEW - a new revolution - new way to look at things - maybe quantum computing will help. Stat models are reaching their max ability right now.
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  651. 3 days to Crimea!
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  652. They have nukes, nukes provided almost 60%. Population dropped by almost 50%. So deficit maybe 20%. Well within import ability. Russia is simply running out of targets.
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  653.  @dmitryletov8138  In that case they just do rolling blackouts or brown outs and get it down to 20% deficit. They can also restrict use in residential communities or even per residence.
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  654.  @attilamarics3374  They cope.
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  655. Using riot control agents VS say VX gas. Big difference. It's like speeding VS. Murder. Speeding is illegal. Murder is illegal. But there is rather big difference.
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  656.  @aidanloveridge1721  The 43m includes Crimea and Donbas that was under Russian control. So 37m under UA control. At start of 2022. UA does know how many taxpayers it had, sort of needed info, so 37m as per UA. As for census "The 2001 census was the first (and so far only[4]) official census of independent Ukraine. " For 2021 "2021 41,167,336" (excluding Crimea) Donetsk Oblast 4,062,839 Luhansk Oblast 2,104,531 As you can see all numbers match nicely to 37m. As per UA - UkrStat. Crimea alone is around 2m --- so 43m is UkrStat 41m + 2m.
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  657. Canada had very young population. Ukraine does not. Ukraine also took very heavy losses, current population of Ukraine is above 20m. So by Canada WW2 stats Ukraine maybe able to bring forward 1.2m if they lost 600k and need new 500k, That would exceed Canada in WWII by 25%.
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  658. No 120 km confirmed. Russia claims over 200 sq km.
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  659. I do not think warships are that vulnerable to drones - SMALL ships are - patrol boats etc. Notice Ukraine took out mostly ships that have few MGs for defense. No missile or CIWS defense.
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  660. True. But so are current MiG-29s.
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  661. Massive Ukrainian losses in Odessa. Russian partisants given coordinates for Russian strikes.
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  662. Victory for Ukraine is impossible. Victory for Russia is certain.
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  663. About 30 F-16s with some spare parts and some limited ammo. Maybe 15 if you have more ammo and pilot training.
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  664. They not saying from where its coming as it is a fantasy ;) Why 800k - why not 8 million?
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  665. Ukraine received some freedom. Almost 100% of missiles went through as we can see on various videos. Ukraine air defenses are more or less done.
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  666. ICC is a joke.
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  667. Sure, you just go to the market and get some exclusives then ;) AFAIK the explosion was done on a large section of the pipeline - something like 50m and multiple pipelines were hit - some distance from each other - so we are talking about a lot of diving.
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  668. That was kv2. It was mobile bunker. The tank you are talking was penetrated many times but Soviets still kept fighting. It was finally finished off by infantry that threw granades through holes in Armour.
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  669.  @td6460  Really? I see them gaining ground now every day! Check out the maps! Also epic losses on UA side.
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  670. Wast majority of false flag stuff, terrorism, etc. Was done by Ukraine.
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  671. To use effectively they would need to train pilots - minimum training is 18 months. I guess they can always have half trained pilots. In any sense, it will not make much difference.
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  672.  @pogo1140  Someone that has basic ability to fly, fly and land etc. More or less what west does to UA infantry - basic condensed training - so they do not kill each other.
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  673. 5 now.
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  674. F16s will. Be based in Ukraine. No one is flying then to Poland. That is a joke.
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  675. Between 4 and 6. 7 seems a bit extreme. But UA is certainly loosing far more.
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  676. Well, its no shocker when we see Ukraine commanders that are captured in Moscow courts when this is over.
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  677. Russia will go on an offensive when UA army is almost done. Other operations are stretching.
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  678. Russia moves so fast now that mappers have hard time keeping up. This is why difference in maps. Syriak wants more confirmation so he actually now laggs behind UA maps.
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  679. Mediazona does good job. They show Russian losses are at all time low despite pushing UA out.
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