Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Ordered To Hold - Ukraine Map Analysis Update - Nord Stream Sabotage" video.

  1. True - but given that at least 4 pipes were hit - some distance from each other and destroyed over wide area I have a feeling this was unlikely to be few guys with scuba gear. This could be done on the "cheap" but by a team.
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  2.  @aboner2551  So what - if the defender is already dead or has no means to take on attacker. The BS of "attacker takes more losses than defender" has been disproven in like 100 previous conflicts in the last 50 years. The attacker only takes higher losses when forces are roughly of similar fire power & do not differ hugely in numbers. Here Russians have huge advantage. What was US city fighting experience like again? Against determined enemy? That enemy took 10x+ the losses - as per US. I.e. all that artillery, aircraft and tanks are not just accessories you know - they do matter.
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  3. No the other way around - it was important, then it was not, now back in. Or something like that ;)
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  4. I assume he was Russian - I doubt to many Ukrainians can walk out - maybe run out through the fields?
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  5.  @whyukraine  How much UA bots are paid?
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  6. Yeah they do - this is probably well overdue confirmation - they basically hold the east side of the river. No shock there - again this probably should have been reported 48h ago.
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  7.  @HvdHaghen  True - but you have to hit in multiple areas - I think minimum of 4. Also it was not just one small hole - I think they destroyed like 50m of pipeline. So multiple charges x4. You need a demolition crew, lots of explosives and a ship. This always sounds easier than it is.
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  8.  @firebird4491  Not really - UA artillery can only be from one side - and they can be flanked - also much smaller and with fewer shells. Russian advantage is at least 6 to 1. Probably more. This is why UA is taking huge losses there. Z says to hold as he + west have no clue as to how they are supposed to continue the war - there is no victory strategy so they just do what they did day before.
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  9.  @firebird4491  What shell hunger??? They are making gains - do not believe in all sort of mis-information - Wagner boss likes to make strange claims that are meant to disinform. What testimony? What soldiers? What do they know of ammo shortage??? Come on. Russia is firing at least 6x as much as Ukraine - so there certainly is no "shortage". What precision and range??? Precision is on Russian side as they have far more drones and did so from the very start. Also range is the same as both use similar systems. The few western systems Ukraine as can be matched by same number of latest Russian systems (which actually have tiny bit of an edge). So Russia has slight edge in accuracy, same range and at least 6x the volume. Ukraine does not have any strategy - if it did - do you know it? Does anyone? Mystery strategy. What could it be? Wait for miracle? I guess its a strategy - wait for miracle. I was hoping through for more ... military style strategy rather than praying. Russian near term strategy seems clear - wear the enemy down in war of attrition & force the enemy to the table. If such enemy did not have had enough - continue the grind till they run out of people. As front shortens land will be taken - eventually either Ukraine come to their senses or Russia will be able to take all of it.
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  10.  @Stephen-4722  No they are not. Both roads are under direct fire control - and there is speculation as to one being physically cut. You can try to get supplies by trying to drive very fast or something like that - but it is semi -suicide. Fields may be an option for small squads but are under direct or indirect fire. Essentially they cannot get 5 brigades out of there - so they are telling them to "hold". They will try to counter attack to break them out - but have too little forces.... this is shaping up like Mariupol +++
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  11.  @Stephen-4722  How do they get these supplies??? Off road? They sacrificed over 10000 troops in Mariupol. It is no longer their choice. I.e. window to move out close about a week ago. Now any pull out will be with huge losses. This is same stupid crap as Germans did in Stalingrad. Once 6th army was encircled they were forbidden from breaking out - they held 6 Soviet armies. We will see - or already seen relief effort attempts by UA - same as Stalingrad. Eventually UA will pay with about 5 brigades. Same as Germans did at Stalingrad.
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  12.  @Stephen-4722  Cannot do that anymore. They could do that a week ago but now not so much. Main reason is that the fields are under direct fire control in many instances and if not even a group of 10 soldiers is valid target for mortars. Even when they try to do this they will need to leave a big rear guard or Russians will out run them. Finally, all equipment will be lost for these brigades. Essentially what you are asking is small groups made up of 10 men to run few km across fields which are under enemy fire control - while there are 1000+ such groups. Sure some will make it - but a lot - maybe most - will not. Besides I think we can agree on that 1000s will be left behind to rear guard the line. There is speculation of UA retreating in groups a bit bigger, every hour 24h a day - for about 2000 troops per day.
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  13. LOL, what ... hardware. Seriously you think few brigades worth of equipment will be "something"? LOL. Only a fool would buy time this way - there are 4 to 5 UA brigades or what remains of them in the city itself - once these are liquidated they will free more Russian forces that UA gets western hardware.
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  14.  @user-user-user-user.  .UA is defending this pile of rubble b/c it is important pile of rubble. If it had no value - no one would have fought so much for it. No one pays a lot for garbage. No one that knows US believes in their war "know how" for the last few decades they have shown they are clue less. They have no strategy as to what to do next. None.
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  15. Bakhmut is where Ukraine troops die in huge numbers. Eventually they run out of troops. This could be a turning point of the war - i.e. once city is taken we will see collapse of UA defense. We see this moment as part of history book narrative - maybe. But it is high maybe. UA is loosing the war clearly now and a lot of western sources are in damage control - there will be a big push from Germany and France after failed Ukraine "counteroffensive" later on to end war.
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  16.  @Girtuczi  You can compute losses from facts. Fact, both sides admit huge Russian artillery edge. Fact, surrounded on 3 sides. Both sides agree to more or less the map. Fact, both sides admit all roads under direct fire control (i.e. from MG). Based on these facts Ukrainians are taking huge losses - Russians not so much.
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  17. Sure, you just go to the market and get some exclusives then ;) AFAIK the explosion was done on a large section of the pipeline - something like 50m and multiple pipelines were hit - some distance from each other - so we are talking about a lot of diving.
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  18. Between 4 and 6. 7 seems a bit extreme. But UA is certainly loosing far more.
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