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Willy OAM
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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Increasingly Worse Than Reported, You CAN'T HIDE This - Ukraine War Map Analysis u0026 News Update" video.
He is heavily pro Ukraine. Not crazy like Denys through.
10
Lol, look at what was struck, we have images. It's a hotel or dormatory. We can see inside. Please stop spreading Ukrainians BS when there are videos and pictures.
4
Lol, if you are a parent in Ukraine and your kid is 17, would you wait for them to be 18????? Lol, God no. You would send them away from the death fields.
3
Regarding refinery damage, minimal to none. Better check out videos of massive damage to Ukriane electricity power plants. It will take years to fix.
2
@leejones4429 In July 2022 Zielinski said that they have 1 million army. That was 2022. I assume that they did get some more troops in, correct? That is just in few months! Lets say that Ukraine adding pace slowed down a LOT. Clearly they should have been able to add 500,000 over almost two years as replacements. So that gives us 700k deployed. Math fully supports Ukraine loosing permanently 800k - or else Ukraine would be storming Moscow. It also fully underscores the need for 500k that was said at the beginning of the year - on top of "regular" efforts. Alternatively you can look at Russian losses - then use any handy WWII book about losses in static positional war - get any western source about Russian artillery superiority, get statistics of kills per round etc. and you also come up with huge UA losses.
2
Ukraine took heavy losses.
2
It's PR attack.
2
Ukraine now is around 25m
1
They are just taking now pp over 24. The 18 year olds cannot leave. They are maybe 2 waves away.
1
I think it's more. Average death rate is over 10k dead per month. So if 5 wounded per 1 dead we have 60k plus casulties per month. If you use these numbers, you see 700k pernamenet losses up to 800k. Now getting 500k more makes sense.
1
@leejones4429 When this war started - like right at the start I said that if Ukraine is to fight to last Ukrainian they may last 4 years, if to last woman, 5 years. I think I did well. Lets looks at the losses in detail - so far Ukraine lost say under 350k per year. So at 4 year mark that would put as at most at 1.4m permanent losses, probably less. Is that impossible? Not really, during WWII it was common for around 1/10 of the population to serve, or maybe touch under it. Taking Germany as an example, and looking at the same metric for them - given length of war is similar, we see Ukraine, based on population of around 27m (after all pp that run away) has capacity for around 2.7m or say 2.5m - so after 4 years of massive losses, you can still have sizable army and still would be able to say defend Dnieper line. Regarding Russian losses they are roughly 1/3 that of Ukraine. This total non recoverable losses - i.e. much higher than actual killed people. Ukraine is now trying to do what Germany did in 1944 - try to take pp from the pool of non recoverable losses and "recover" them - thus push for people without arms and legs to go back to service. As time progresses we will see larger UA losses and/or much smaller Russian losses if positional fighting continues - especially when Russia starts better dealing with primitive PVP drones. Note Ukrainian ability to hold an army of men may be less than Germany in WWII as a lot of males escaped BUT Ukraine can lean more on women that Nazi Germany did - thus it all may end up being the same number. Thus by say late 2025 we may se half of UA army made up of women.
1