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Emil Cosman
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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Pelosi is expected to visit Taiwan defying China. If China doesn't act, they lose face." video.
China is not ready for a full blown war. But it is clear to everyone that war is necessary. US made sure to drive that point home.
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@brianwesley28 Sure, but how are you planning to do that exactly? Preventing it from exporting chips for example, naval blockade? But that is WAR. How to prevent them from getting weapons from US? Again, blockade? Sanctions? Sure, but you certainly cannot sanction US weapon sales. What about chips - not sure you can sanctions much of that production line. Other sanctions? Sure, but will they really make a huge difference - on Taiwan only? This is not as easy as you make it seem.
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@brianwesley28 Well, certainly Taiwan would see it as war and would intervene with its navy and air-force. It would be interesting to see what US would do. It certainly would throw whole world economy into deep recession. US could threaten intervention - and certainly would try to sanction China - it would be dangerous gamble to play. Imagine US breaking the blockade by simply sending ship through it - would China fire on them?
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@gti500 They do not seem to have tactical deployment right now. Or at least no one knows about it. But on strategic level they do not seem to have a lot of LSDs and similar craft for large scale landing. The seem to need 5 to 10 years. But then again. in 5-10 years Taiwan may be much stronger.
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