Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Russia Launched Surprise OFFENSIVE in Luhansk" video.

  1. How about quite from Miley - US commander in chief. Ukraine lost about 30% of the 17 brigades, 63000 troops. So around 20000 troops KIA / WIA / other. Since this is Zaporozia only, and they were not the only troops there x2. So 40,000 on that front. But it was not the only front, heavy battles on other fronts - and zaporozia is like less than 1/3 of the front line - so multiply by x2. You get 80000 as per US. Use 1:5 KIA : WIA and you get US stating Ukraine lost 13,000 KIA and 74,000 WIA in just one month. Extrapolate to a year and decrease a bit - you get at least 100,000 KIA per year. add another 100k for severely wounded. So in 2 years Ukraine will loose at least 400,000 troops - either dead or too hurt to fight. This is about 1/3 if their total potential.
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  2.  @instructionalvideos2309  Poland before WWII had max mobilization of 1.8m - absolute max, never planned to go that high. Ukraine max population right now is maybe 26m - 27m. Absolute max. Using these numbers from WWII we get absolute max for Ukraine is around 1.3 to 1.4m mobilized troops. Their population is again and most kids left. So using 400 - 500k casualties per 2 years war can last max 4 years even if they defend on Dniepr river line at the end. If they use women extensively max 5 years. Realistically it will be hard for them to end 2nd year of the war - i.e. fighting in 2024 will be hard without withdrawing beyond Dniepr river by say summer. Ukraine does not have some huge population - the numbers I am using are peak - they are probably a bit lower. Even worse is equipment side - there is not much left that can be send to Ukraine.
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