Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Military History Visualized"
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@geodkyt I seen on video at least 100 tanks of Ukraine were captured by Russians. Then we have air force losses, we have 200 sorties per day. Say 100 are close air support. Say half of them are against moving targets. Say only 10% of these are tanks. And each aircraft kills only 1 tank per mission, we have 5 tanks per day - this is a bit of a low ceiling as say in Izium front yesterday aircraft destroyed like 8. Times this by days of war, so we have about 300 tanks taken care of by air force. Double that for helicopters.
So 600 tanks destroyed. Russian tanks are also taking out enemy vehicles, they also have man portable weapons in large quantities. They have much more powerful artillery. They have drones. Etc. So one would assume a number here of say 200. Add this up and you are close to 1000 tanks destroyed.
If you find above hard to believe lets assume your position - if your side was true, Ukraine would not only defeat Russians they would be heading in Moscow direction. Also Ukraine would not be so desperate for tanks - they would have plenty of their own. Germany would not need to think about sending old Leo 1s.
One has to remember that both sides started with roughly same # of tanks, over a 1000 deployed. After loosing a 1000 Ukraine went to its reserves - which on paper are huge, but I doubt they have more then 1000 tanks they can use - rest are ghosts. So this perfectly explains desperation, old T-72s and Leo 1s etc.
Also one has to note army sizes deployed. Russians only deployed, as per US army, today 78 BTGs. These have at most 1000 soldiers each. They are supplemented by Donbass forces and others. Given size of Ukraine armed forces and conscription, Ukraine has at least 2:1 advantage in man power deployed. If they actually did so well as you claim in equipment department I doubt Russians would be attacking.
The actual number of destroyed Ukrainian equipment is likely higher - thus the panic in Kiev. Note out of that 1000 many may be salvaged - but this is not so likely if terrain is taken by Russians - i.e. looser cannot salvage equipment. Thus the offer of say Poland to "fix" equipment in Poland. Remember, Ukraine started this war with most tanks in Europe, biggest air defense system in Europe and largest artillery core in Europe in addition to largest army in Europe.
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@ddshiranui No we watched same videos you are just very easily swayed by propaganda and simply do not use logic. Let me fix that for you and use only facts, no "expert" opinions, no CNN just facts.
1. It took US weeks to get to Baghdad despite facing an army that lost a major war, was not supported by anyone and had no will to fight
2. It took US 6 weeks to take Falujah despite having 10:1 advantage and facing poorly armed and trained insurgents.
3. It took Russians also 6 weeks to take Mariupol, despite having only 3:1 advantage and facing the very best unit in Ukraine, Azov Nazi regiment.
4. Ukraine had the largest army wholly in Europe before the war started. They had the most tank, the best (!!!) air defenses (1 more battery of similar vintage AA then Germany (!))
5. Ukraine is / was supported by all of NATO. As well as few western countries. Poland alone spent billions in aid and sent more then half of their own T-72s it had in storage.
6. At first Ukraine received only hand held weapons. Then S-300 (that was destroyed in like 24h), Polish offer for MiG-29s was rejected as provocation. But now, about 10 days ago parts to MiG-29 were sent as well as whole aircraft. Every NATO country is sending heavy weapons, tanks, artillery, AA systems. US almost enacted 33B in extra aid (!!!) US spending on Ukraine this year, total will, including 33B approach 50B (go check it out).
7. Russia never had more then 100k in Ukraine, Ukrainian army is around 300k, most 97% in ground forces - air power is small, navy does not exist. Ukraine has mobilized and added another 200k. At least 100k of that is in extra brigades.
8. All countries in Europe, not just Germany, reacted by buying guns. Lots of guns.
9. Donbass militia is armed with ex Ukrainian stuff, their numbers are at most 70k, including Chechens.
Lets look at above facts and facts only. Compared to US I do not see Russian forces doing badly - in fact, they are doing great & much better then US forces did! This is comparing apples to apples. Facts only. We see small Russian force, mopping the floor with huge, western supported army. This reaction to Russian show of power - not a paper tiger - has forces the west to give everything they got. It also is forcing western countries to arm themselves much better.
Your conclusions that Russians have corruption issues etc. could be true - but then if a corrupt army can do what Russians can do I fear that not corrupt Russian army is made of Gods.
Conclusion is that Russian military capabilities were vastly under estimated. Look at facts and facts alone. This is why west though some RPGs will be enough ;)
But this is not all - EU also vastly miss calculated sanctions where Russia did their math well!
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