Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Inside Taiwan’s Strategy to Counter a Chinese Invasion | WSJ" video.

  1.  @jzhng250  vast majority of the world recognize Taiwan as part of China. May I ask you, if Crimea is part of Ukraine - why no Ukrainian planes fly over it?
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  2.  @ksben2966  US as an example - US recognizes "One China policy". "he United States acknowledges that Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China." This may be intentionally ambiguous for 1970 but not today - given that Taiwan is recognized as "China" by like 10 states and PRC is recognized as China by like 200 (including US) we can see that in vast majority of cases - like 99,9% of humanity China === PRC. So "Taiwan is a part of China" ==> Taiwan is part of PRC as China == PRC. US stance is also mirrored around the world.
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  3. Nah, China would do island hopping - i.e. it would get closer and closer to Taiwan. Eventually Taiwan would loose its missiles or run out. They could not make any more as their factories would be on fire. Also China has nice asymmetric methods to transport a lot of troops.
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  4.  @ChickensAndGardening  So would you extend the right of self determination to other people - and self governance - to say anyone? Say people of Africa? What about Russia? Anyone in Europe? Or is it just Taiwan?
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  5.  @jzhng250  "In the Joint Communiqué, the United States recognized the Government of the People's Republic of China as the sole legal government of China, acknowledging the Chinese position that there is but one China and Taiwan is part of China." I.e. US and most of the world recognize Taiwan as part of PRC. So exactly opposite of what you said. This makes sense - US recognizes only PRC. US recognizes that Taiwan is part of China. Since US does not recognize any other "China", Taiwan must be part of PRC.
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  6.  @Potato_Smuggler  Now US however, wants to make Taiwan go independent - tables have turned. Status quo is of course best for China and Taiwan but not so much for US.
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  7.  @DY-fy2jh  China by a wide and increasing margin.
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  8. A much better strategy is to play nice with China and do not force their hand - this way Taiwan can stay semi independent for decades.
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  9.  @慧-x8n  not 2nd - largest economy in the world - China is about 30% larger than US.
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  10. Nah, just isolate them with sea mines, and drones. Slowly grind them down. Eventually they need to be nice with mainland or they will be part of mainland by force.
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  11. LOL, one of the largest landing fleets in the world... Chinese.
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  12.  @thomashsiai6250  These are strongly over exaggerated. All models predict much stronger growth in China than in US. Also look at US - they have lots of issues. Lots. Bottom line is China still has a LONG way to go while US is at its peak. Every 80 to 120 new empire rises to rule the earth. The time of US is over.
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  13.  @geofflepper3207  So you do support Crimean and Donbass as part of Russia then? You also support US leaving Syria, support US and France leaving Niger? Correct?
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  14.  @shepherdsknoll  no US does not recognize officially any right of Taiwan to exist independently. US recognizes Taiwan as part of China. There is no recognition of any independence.
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  15. US wants war NOW! China is not stupid. They do everything they can to push the war into the future. They know time is on their side. In 10 years they have large advantage. In 20 crushing one.
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  16. LOL, and China can out produce Taiwan here like what, 20:1 or is it 30:1? Not to mention China has like what, 10x as many targets? LOL.
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  17.  @CedarHunt  I would wait around 5 to 10 years. Sink US fleet - and then totally humiliate US by crushing it if it goes to war against China. Once US is defeated in defensive war, slowly grind Taiwan into compliance. I.e. it is doubtful today US would have much of a chance to even tie China in a war one on one - under even terms.
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  18. LOL - Philippines do not have any meaningful navy. Taiwan can defend for a while but eventually it would be defeated.
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  19. Iran storing their jets under a mountain --- idiotic. Taiwan doing the same --- smart idea. Also US admits Taiwan is part of China - yet it sends arms there and says it will defend the rebels --- while at the same time, Russian arming of people of Donbass and assisting them against Ukraine is seen as bad.
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  20. As Ukraine war shows - where Russia is clearly winning, do not under estimate Chinese will power. Also it may prove to be difficult to supply Taiwan - Ukraine has gotten biggest military aid ... ever.
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  21. Exactly - just play both China and US and live in peace. China cannot reunify by force if Taiwan is their friend.
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  22.  @TPM188  Yes of course. Each Chinese leader is elected for a term. Xi made waves when he was elected for extra term. Election process is very similar to US - where small electorate elects a president. In case you wonder whom elects these - its a pyramid - guy at the top is elected by lower level. China actually has very democratic (by western standard) election process at the very bottom - with no more than few 1000s of votes at village level.
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  23.  @kali7148  You don't need a simulation to figure out who would win in the long run - China. Why? They have well over 2x production capacity of US. Just like in WWI and WWII the stronger wins. Its that simple. And to make it worse for US - China is only getting stronger vs. US.
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  24. Yep - German unification good. Chinese bad. Supporting rebels in Taiwan good, supporting rebels in Donbass bad. West is a joke.
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  25.  @Lawre.J  Not according to 99.99% of the world. For that 99.99 the one China is PRC as seen by where there are embassies - they are in Beijing not in Taipei. US uses idiots in Taiwan to bang against China (PRC) for its own purposes - even it does not recognize Taiwan as anything more then part of PRC.
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