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Anders Puck Nielsen
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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Three ways Ukraine can win the war" video.
What Ukrainian advance? There is no advance. HIMARS caused superficial damage to the bridge that was fixed in 1 day.
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Chechnya is a major allay. There are no other fronts. Belarus is unlikely - they are not as stupid as Ukraine. No one else wanted to join grand war against Russia and rather negotiate. Ukraine already lost the war - we are waiting till September to find out extent of the loss.
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Russia won the war already like two months ago. Ukraine "win" is simply re-defining loss as win. Such as, sure we lost half the country, but we got to keep the other half!
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@eeeertoo2597 Germany lost by 1944 - everyone knew it, even by 1943. Yet the war kept going for a long time!
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Victory for Ukraine now looks like loosing Crimea, Donetsk, Lugansk, Kherson, Zaporoze and say Kharkiv. I would say that it would look actually good if they only lost that much. It would also mean victory for Putin. Loss for Ukraine is loosing more or all.
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More or less. I mean its like saying - what if Hitler turned things around in 1944????
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@TaTvsU Russia would simply liberate the villages from Ukrainian occupation. In the worst case to protect sovereign Russian territory Russian constitution allows use of nukes. At first tactical then on cities.
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@richardjoseph9002 Ukraine is further and further from its objectives while Russia is on home stretch. War win or loose is based on getting your goals or not getting them. Thus Russia is clearly winning and more or less won already for some time - same as Allies were more or less winning and already won by 1944. All that was needed is to do the final stretch. In WWI people were not as stupid as now or in WWII - Germany instead of dragging it out quit early - and even by WWI standards it was late (all other central powers quit before it). Sure it was later used by Hitler etc. But what was the point of dragging the war for say 2 more years to make sure allies are near or in Berlin? Ukraine should admit they lost and cut their losses.
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@hedgehog3180 Russian supply chain switched to war mode almost two months ago. These would not be "fresh conscripts" these would be reservists. I.e. people that had around 1 year of military training. These troops would be used to simply stretch Ukrainian defense over the whole border area. Kremlin does not operate on "optics" as much as Kiev does for whom public opinion, especially international one, trumps all. Kremlin operates on what military needs to not only finish the operation (which is soon) but broader war. It is clear that end of operation may not mean end of the actual conflict. Thus regime change in Kiev and more broad territorial changes may be needed. You simply cannot do this with currently used troops. Thus mobilization is almost certain in near future. Hence why switch to war economy. Remember when Kremlin pulled from Kiev area? They are doing sound military decisions not based on BS.
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Well, not so fast - Putin will not let that place fall into chaos.
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@eeeertoo2597 Russia did not loose any ground around Kharkiv for like 2 months. Same with Kherson - no lost ground as well. In the last 20 days they have made major advances in Donbass - just today they finally taken over a power plant that was in the south. UA defense lines in Donbas are slowly colapsing again and we should see another major gain like Lisichians - Severdoneck soon. Then one more step and Sloviansk - Kremators are taken ==> end of special operation.
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@hjoseph777 In school in America. How much Ukraine is paying you?
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@Olaf Sigurson Russia won the war at least 6 weeks ago.
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@enpakeksi765 These objectives were stated by Putin at the beginning. Verifiable objective (since "denazification" as an example is hard to verify) is control of all of Donbass. Putin already liberated Lugansk and is well on his way to liberate Donetsk. As a bonus he also captured most of Kherson, Zaporozia and large portion of Kharkiv.
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But none of Russian soldiers will be knifed per day as many are actually former Ukrainians fighting within visual range of their homes. Who is going to knife them? Their wives? Maybe their grandpa? Cousin?
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Nah, if Crimea was in danger it would be clear cause for Russians to mobilize to push Ukrainians back. Invasion of Crimea would mean full mobilization of Russians. Even if NATO helped war would turn nuclear as Crimea is part of Russia as seen by 95% of Russians. It would be like taking Texas out of US by force and re-gifting it to Mexico. US would fight hard to keep it especially with Texans on US side.
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USSR never got annihilated in Afghanistan!
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But how - Ukraine latest offensive there was soundly crushed with huge losses. Russia is slowly gaining and setting up for another mini collapse in Donbass - it looks like Putin will take back Donbass by September.
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#5 was total win for Soviet Union. They got all territories they asked for. This was solution for Ukraine, but Ukraine refused. Fins were smart. Ukraine is not. Ukraine lost the war already - we just need to see how bad is the loss. Is it total (no more Ukraine) or partial.
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@henrik8812 It is simple. THEIR MAIN AIM WAS TO GET THAT USELESS LAND. Clearly for Russians / Soviets it was not useless. War is about objectives. That was their objective. They gained objective and won the war! Once Russia controls all of Donbass, i.e. its objective sometime before September, then we can look into negotiations with Ukraine and proposed peace. Even if Russia gives good terms to Ukraine I bet they will refuse. Thus, Russia will have no choice as to removal of Kiev regime.
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@henrik8812 No, not at all. If Soviets wanted all of Finland there was not much that could have stopped them from taking all of it. See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moscow_Armistice Also one has to point out that Moocow was not interested in say Austria post WWII - once direct military rule ended, Soviets simply moved out. Thus it is not true that Russians wanted everything. Some things, they simply did not want.
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@henrik8812 Of course nothing was stopping the Soviets - you are looking at the wrong war ;) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Continuation_War
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@henrik8812 What is your point? They won OK? They gained their aims. Everyone sees it as a WIN. Soviets lost more troops then Germans but they did win WWII. Now in Ukraine, if be some strange act Ukraine won and lost 5x as many troops it still a win.
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@henrik8812 They did not need to go 3rd time - they won on the 2nd time in continuation war. Everyone recognizes it as a win. Fins lost the war. If Soviet wanted to push for all of Finland there was little Fins could do. But in difference to idiots in Ukraine, Fins were smart and agreed to a LOT of punishing terms, anything to appease and don't give pretext for Soviets to absorb them. Russia won in Ukraine. Full stop. War is won and Ukraine lost it. Now we are just determining terms of that loss. It feels Ukraine does not want to exist. Finland - smart. Ukraine - stupid. Finland is still here. I am not so sure about Ukraine being around in the future.
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@henrik8812 Why - to me it feels exactly that. No sane country would do what Ukraine is doing if they still wanted to be on the map later on. This is why Ukraine lost the war. Their existence as viable entity is more or less no longer possible. Its not just about current lost land (which has least meaning) - its lost people, destruction, no future prospects.
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@henrik8812 Lots of reasons - main deal with Russian security.
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@henrik8812 LOL, no, most is simple logic based on facts confirmed by both sides.
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@henrik8812 Why did US push Ukraine after 2014? Before 2014 all was nice and cool. Ukraine was total pile of garbage with pro and against Russia governments but things never got too bad. Then in 2014 with some unproven US help both nationalists and Nazi got into power. Their main goal was to eradicate minorities, create "clean" state and as a nod to US join NATO. Ukraine is probably the very first nation on Earth that wants to join "defensive" alliance in order to have a war. They know Russia cannot allow this and it means war. Anyone whom loves their country would not allow such a step. Finally, if a large portion of your country was a bit different it seems Canadian model would be preferable. Sure Canadian model means two languages and more or less slavery to the French - but at least it does not lead to civil war (which more or less was close in 1970s). What do you mean what kind of logic it is that they were scared? US uses same logic - why was US scared of a little Soviet base in Cuba? Big powerful US scared of a little tiny base??? At least Fidel loved his country and did not want to go to war over this tiny little base! It goes even deeper then that - no one can have a military base within like 1000 miles of US. So I guess US is far and wide more scared then Russia and more then willing to go to war over this "scare".
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@henrik8812 Sure, you look it up as well, maybe while at it see whom supported current president of Ukraine. You are the one that is deep into propaganda.
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@henrik8812 In Ukraine half were moving west half were moving east. The problem after 2014 is moving neo Nazi. Who do you think sponsored Zielinski? Look it up.
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@richardjoseph9002 LOOOOOOK at objectives of both sides in this war. Russian objective - Lugansk captured - check. Donets almost captured. Thus Russian objectives almost done ====> total victory. Ukrainian armed forces are weakening not growing stronger or they are weakening vs. Russian forces as Russia is advancing. There are Ukrainian counter attacks and were but they are ineffective. There is no chance of Ukraine invading Russia - mostly b/c Russia would be forced to mobilize and call a war. Yes, thanks, over a dozen T-64s were captured in Lisichainsk alone and displayed for everyone to see. I am sure after repainting they will be given to DPR forces.
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@richardjoseph9002 Russia has reasons to invade Ukraine - to create buffer zone for DPR and LPR. Why does Ukraine occupy LPR / DPR? These pp do not want Kiev regime troops on their door step - Russia stepped up (not for free) to help free these areas from occupation. It is not 100% certain what Kiev operation was all about - I believe it was a gamble to take the city quickly with tiny force. Once that gamble failed it was called a faint. Russia does not use T-64s and no videos were created with them. You probably mean T-62M given as aid to light Donbass infantry. US helicopters also liberally use unguided missile pods. Don't seem to be a problem for US. US HIMARS and its predecessor are not exactly "new" and main stocks are of dumb unguided missiles. Sure, sunken ship - may I remind you of that wonderful US operation to save pp from Iranian embassy - how did that go? How many sons of US senators and members of executive in harms way? None? Oh I thought so.
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@jamesmedina2062 There is no way Ukraine could ever win a war against Russia. It would be as if someone said "Canada can gain lots of weapons and occupy US" LOL! PRC is the new world leader - US can delay that but again, not forever. It is simply numbers gain, PRC does not need amazing GDP, it needs GDP per person that is equivalent to say Mexico to already vastly surpass US. This is not a huge goal to achieve. As for India - most of the planet earth is either neutral or sees through West hypocrisies and does not support it. This is best seen at UN where outside of the western countries support for Ukraine is more or less gone. Sanctions are enacted by only 13% of the planet. As this continues I expect more support for Russia not Ukraine.
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@jamesmedina2062 You are not to experienced in the science of war.... If it was all about tech US would not get run out from Afghanistan by bunch of flip flop wearing Taliban. This is BTW, not the first time for US, they got kicked in the teeth by Vietnamese whom did not even have footwear. Numbers matter - as seen in Ukraine - where Russia has much more & modern equipment while Ukraine has more numbers. As Ukraine pays with blood for Russian equipment advantage it is bound to eventually run out of pp or Russia low on equipment. But even if Russia runs low on equipment it still has numbers on its side. Thus it is impossible for Ukraine to win. It indeed could last 10 years or even more, but we already know the winner and the looser.
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@jamesmedina2062 So do you really think that Russians will just one day wake up and leave their homes? It is about as likely as one day Texans waking up and leaving theirs. Russians weapons are as sophisticated as these of Ukraine & provided by the west - I hope you do not think Russia is poorly armed or has low tech - I think the west made that mistake once already. War is fought in Ukraine & Ukraine is a failed state. They cannot pay their bills. This is why there is no path to victory for Kiev regime. They simply priced themselves out of it by having too high expectations. Finally the rest of the planet outside US and their "allies" clearly sees through it all.
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@jamesmedina2062 And that is why Egypt, like 2nd largest user of M1 after US, decided to upgrade M1 to T-90 ;) MLRS of Russia uses GPS guidance same as US one, its just their local GPS system not US one. Also has longer range. Russian artillery out ranges anything in NATO by few km. Russia is getting quite a lot of drones. Sure jets of US are superior but Russia has best air defense on earth.
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@MarcosElMalo2 What conquest? They are taking back what is theirs and does not want to be part of Ukraine. Conquest is taking what is not yours. Both Crimea and Donbass do not want to be part of Ukraine due to rather harsh discrimination faced. Germany in WWII was not content with taking German speaking territories. They wanted more - they wanted land of not just Poland but also Russia. They wanted large empire where they would eliminate and crush other races. If German wants and needs were similar to Russia there would not be WWII. In fact Germany got far more then Russia wants.
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Crimea is Russian territory and thus even if Putin was gone any future leader would defend it even with nukes as needed. So Crimea will never "go back" to Ukraine. Russia soundly won this war at least 6 weeks ago, maybe 8 as it is achieving all of its goals set for the operation.
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Nah, in the unlikely event of UA advance I am sure Putin could simply declare war and start mobilizing. Chances of that happening are maybe 3%.
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@GlowyBoi Sure he can mobilize any day - but there is a price to pay. Since Russia is clearly winning why pay a price???
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