Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Russia’s David vs Ukraine’s Goliath? Manpower woes explained." video.

  1. A lot of fake info here. Donbass troops are very experienced. There numbers are 35+40k conscripts and growing. There are also at least 10k, more likely 20k Chechens. And few 1000s others - wagner, Ossetins etc. Actual Russian army is around 100,000. So Russian currently deployed (no support) troops are at most 200k. Russia can increase these numbers by max 50k. Maybe from other sources another 10k or 20k. But this is it. Russian forces were outnumbered in Kiev region by 4 to 5 to 1. This is why they could not advance and were pulled back. I think Ukrainian losses are at least 50% higher then Russian losses (Russian proper) - going on the attack does not mean higher losses - see Armenia war from 2020. AM in the mountains lost 1/3 more (!!!!) and this was Donbass style forts in the mountains.
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  2. I say the other way around. Ukraine is loosing both more hardware and more people. We cannot explain with reverse of that the fact Russians are still moving forward despite being out numbered at least 2:1, and only pausing when 3:1 or more. I calculated Ukraine lost at least 300 tanks to air and helicopter attacks alone during this war so far. Russians have significant tech advantage, they have better artillery, better aircraft, better helicopters etc. This is allowing them to advance despite defender having a numerical superiority. Essentially its Ukrainian blood for a Russian tanks / helicopters etc.
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  3. Russia is clearly winning. I use all sources. I have no idea what are you talking about. 100% of Lugans is taken and almost 60% of Donetsk. Russia is even floating the idea of "liberating" province / republic of Kherson. Russians have soundly won battle of Izium and partially encircled the best troops of Ukraine in Donbass. Russians moved out of Kiev - whole northern front & can now throw it in the south - east. Ukraine will find it very difficult to match that deployment. Putin stated officially he wants the end or almost end by May 11th (10th).
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  4. Not sure it is. Ukraine had larger air defenses then Germany - i.e. largest in Europe. Ukraine has most tanks in Europe, I think more then all of EU combined (would have to count). Ukraine has most APCs in Europe, would have to check, but I think all of EU is more. Main weakness is airforce. Ukraine also the largest army in Europe.
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  5. Nah, he is still winning the war, so far no need to go overboard. Heck if you are infantry you cannot go to war as no jobs open in Russia for infantry. All taken.
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  6. Same with AM-AZ war - 6 weeks.
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  7.  @mikecollard3783  the 72h goals were mostly made up by CNN. Granted Russia failed in say Kiev rather badly - but that is just one front.
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  8.  @w0mblemania  They did not take Kiev b/c it seems they were as shocked to go as were Ukrainians. Notice how well things went down south vs. North. Morale was good. This is a total BS. Same as training. We can see that they resisted being kicked out by UA troops even when out numbered at least 4:1 sometimes 5:1. I think one person is to blame for poor decision making, and that is Putin whom make "snap" decision to invade. Down south they just opened envelopes. Up north they had lots of issues - even with air force - ground setup.
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  9.  @benc9802  Well, some towns were non mountain forts - every house is connected to every other house underground. Lots of concrete used. They are heavily fortified. Like ... super heavy.
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  10.  @Draconisrex1  Use so called pigeon hole principle. Basic math. You have 200k Russians and for them you have 400k Ukrainians. By that principle, there has to be situation where there are more Ukrainians then Russians. About half of Ukrainian army is in Donbass. Most of troops form republics are in Donbass (95%) Russia had to use like what, 50k in the south given territory they are holding? They had 30k in Belarus. They need at least 10k+ in Donbass just for support role. But that leaves only 10k in Kharkiv front. So the whole northern front is maybe 30k, Kharkiv 20k and Crimea 40k. You seriously are telling me, Ukraine had just 30k of troops in Kiev area, Chernihiev and whole north east???? They given away like how many rifles in Kiev????
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  11.  @celebrim1  Russia could not send 74 vs. Kiev as its total forces are 100k. I think I calculated above 30-40k for whole northern front - i.e. the whole thing that retreated was just 30-40k. Probably 30k. We know the 60km convoy or whatever you want to call it later on was 12k. So maybe when they moved some troops from Kharkiv front later on they had maybe 45k-50k with some chechens. Your math is impossible. Reason is that Ukraine outnumbered Russians and still does in this war - currently roughly 2 to 1. So it would mean, if you are correct, that on some other front Ukrainians out numbered Russians 10:1. Which I find hard to believe. I mean there is only so much you can do with total force of 100k. Plus around 10k Chechens and later on 5k wagner / others. If Russian forces and chechens (all 10k) accounted for 74k, then it would mean whole kharkiv, support of Donbass and whole Crimea was just 36k troops! If we remove say 15k for Kharkiv at the very least, and even tiny number like 5k for Donbass we are left with impossible number of just 16k for Crimea - they probably need at least 10k now to even hold the territory. Please be reasonable.
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  12. Also 95% of Russians, including all opposition support Crimea takeover. Even pro western opposition. Even pro pro pro western.
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  13. Maybe. But having light infantry weapons like Javelin is no match for a tank.
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  14.  @antza4393  Sure they did. So why they could not counter attack? Why they lost so many tanks captured to Russia that even Oryx website lists 12 ex Ukrainian tanks as destroyed in combat? We hear so many losses, so much this and that. But why is Ukraine on the backstep then, they have 2x as much manpower, capture tons of tanks, started with lots of tanks... so where are all these tanks?
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  15.  @AnamolHouse  And Russia is using good old Soviet idea of "deep battle". This is why they advanced so much. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_operation Main Russian problem is they have not enough troops to do deep battle well.
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  16.  @S2uMANCHU  But they did not pick that strategy. You are reading it totally wrong. Recent changes in strategy show that Russians are thinking and doing things better. I mean they moved two huge fronts so fast and without Ukraine ever blinking. That took a week of planning and was executed perfectly. Now they are already on a train or off it at Donbass. It took some balls to pull this off and it feels cold calculus of Putin behind it. Again, you are not reading things right at all.
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  17.  @AnamolHouse  But they are no longer in that situation. Russians moved out of it. A bold move!
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  18. Zero. It would be a success if war ended with current territorial losses of Ukraine. That would be Russian defeat.
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  19.  @joshuabrant3487  Simple, DPR and LPR is 35000 plus 40,000 plus a bit more now (I have no data). Russian troops around 100k. Chechens at least 10k. Others max 5k. So total is 190k or so, maybe 200k max.
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  20. They are uber low. Maybe few people. No one is that stupid. OK, maybe some are, like few people. Mentally unstable or something.
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  21. Yeah, situation does not look good for Ukraine. With Putin moving troops from the whole northern front it looks very bad.
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  22.  @AEB1066  Negative, one hub for the way there was taken out of commission & even if it was not any train movement is out of the options - it would be ... LOL reduced to ashes. Only two words are not under artillery cover, both are watched 24/7 only small tiny convoys can go through. Thus there is absolutely no way Ukraine can move faster then Russia, which can use railroads.
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  23. Most pp do not. Use logic. How can so few Russians kick in the ass such a huge UA army? And how can Russians take heavier losses? Someone is lying big time.
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  24.  @vladizt5943  But I can remove some BS out using logic. Like for example large Russian casualties. Simply b/c there is not enough Russians ;)
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  25.  @vladizt5943  Well, you can tell some tank types apart. You can also see some camouflage. But generally you can get a feel for the losses by simply looking at troop performance.
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