Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "What might happen if Russia does attack Ukraine?" video.

  1. So far Binkov, same as with Armenia, over estimated defensive potential. After day 1 Ukraine does not look too good, Russians moved in at least 25km deep and easily won border conflict. They have also taken both port cities and control airport next o Kiev. Losses of life so far have been light.
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  2. If US had troops there invasion would be certain.
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  3. Russia is one of the world's biggest producers of food. They will not starve. They simply will not be able to afford to buy goods in the west. As far as Putin is concerned, lower rubble means more R for each unit of gas. Payment is in R, so he has more $$$. Its a tradeoff.
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  4. Most of the planet is neutral. Take for example India.
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  5. Spot on. Russia would suffer less then 10k killed. Ukraine more then 30k killed. I expect "run to the river" would be 5k+ killed Russians, about 3k+ killed separatists and around 30k killed Ukrainians. Ukraine would loose total of about 250k killed, captured etc. and more or less have very little defensive capacity.
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  6. They forgot about that according to the west ;)
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  7.  @mirandadonovan1272  But I am not in Russia. Yet the wheel barrow scenario still seems real.
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  8.  @mirandadonovan1272  Umm, Putin is a master politician, probably the best world leader on Earth right now, at least of major power. His tactics so far are excellent. What corner? You mean he placed Ukraine in the corner? Actually Russia almost entered NATO like 20 years ago, but they wanted same status as US ;) He has almost double the support of Russian people then Biden in the US. No need to kill his opponents, he can marginalize them. Opponents cannot be dead or there will not be "systemic opposition". The concept is that there always will be opposition, its better to know who it is and control it vs. destroy it and never control it. LGBT people are disliked by Russians due to wester woke push. Zero to do with Putin. Russian people are almost certain to pick a hand picked by Putin replacement, in fully democratic elections with EU watchdog at the door. Russian people, same as Afghan people, do not feel the need to accept US ideas - they freely choose their own future, their own goals etc. Who are the Americans to tell them its wrong? Same ones that "civilized" the native people?
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  9.  @jackdanson2  LOL, ISIS also had no issues stomping on US trained and US equipped Iraqi army. Heck, they did it faster, and more outnumbered. Hence we should conclude ISIS >> US military, no?
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  10. Lets be hones, the run to the river would take a max of three weeks, probably less - similar to Iraq. Then Russia should consider removing the bulge & leaving Kiev to western Ukraine. Aim would be to create separate Ukraine, not to enlarge Russia. Whole active phase of the campaign should not last more then about a month. Most inner city conflict would be avoided. Losses would be 3-5 times higher for Ukraine. Russia is currently winning the "war" so no worries of any invasion. They keep it up till April & see results. Ukraine should go bankrupt by then.
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  11. Why would Russia want problems, at least for itself - it only wants problems for US.
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  12. Nah, last time Russia was close to collapse China sent a life line. They cannot loose Russia.
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  13.  @peterb9038  Holodomor is not a genocide as it does not fit the definition of one. Genocide is a targeted attack against one ethnic group, which Holodomor was not, as the Ukrainians amounted to at most 50% of the victims. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holodomor_genocide_question
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  14. Sure, Hitler said the same. US also says the same, but has no issues building bases all around. Economically Russia is doing fine, it is close to level of Poland - so not too bad, about 3 to 4 times richer then Ukraine. Per person. Difference between Poland and Canada and Canada and US are about the same - Canada is the middle for these 3.
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  15.  @zooldoo  Problem is in Ukraine, in difference to most places on earth extremists are allowed to form armed units & country laws support them. Also in Ukraine they have huge support, west Ukraine has 70% support for Bandera! NATO is an alliance of countries that US has heavy control over. US frequently gets token support of NATO in its wars. Many wars. Lots of wars. Thus by far NATO is not defensive only alliance. Defensive only alliance would not be involved in more wars then any other country / group on earth. Azov battalion (or is it division now) is sure to end up with Javelins and NLAW etc. Come on. If moving NATO troops was not done to "offend" Russia - why main demand of Russia is to decrease these numbers - I mean they were high before Ukraine. US builds 100s of bases all over the world for control purposes. Poland dislike of Russia is based on the fact that they guy whom controls the government, aka the duck, thinks they killed his brother AND even before that he did not like them (commie red stuff). Through even he said that Ukraine will not enter EU with Bandera. If Russia is shadow of Soviet Union, why everyone is scared of it? Finland / Sweden had an understanding with Soviets they will not join NATO. I guess Russia being weak now is prompting them to join? Or is it pressure from US? Regarding Ukraine & respecting borders, why NATO does not respect border of Serbia? Why NATO carved out Kosovo? Why NATO wants "freedom" for Taiwan - if they respect borders so much, does it apply universally, or ... more selectively. Personally I am tilting more towards people in the regions deciding their fate, similar to as post WWI - Crimean wants to be with Russia, let them. east Ukraine wants to leave Bandera, let them. Taiwan wants to be outside of China, sure. Catalonia wants to separate from Spain, why not? Etc. One has to point out also no conditions in Ukraine for any minority to live there. They do not have even a hint of laws present in EU. They have even less then another "Nazi" which are the Baltics. How is EU tolerating the Baltics is beyond me, but I guess not all minorities or not all people are equal.
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  16. Well, and would immediately have invasion threats. The only other ones are Sweden and Finland. Especially Finland managed to stay out of any war with Soviets by simply staying out of NATO.
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  17.  @SlavicUnionGaming  Finland is not in NATO.
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  18.  @Tonius126  It did, Soviets won the war with Finland and got all territories they demanded of Finland. Check your history.
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  19. EU pays less for gas then China does. Putin selling to China at EU prices == total win for China, and OK for Russia. Better, Putin selling more to China, less to EU at current prices, total win for Russia, total loss for EU and OK for China. Remember there is limited gas on earth, if Russia does not sell to EU, someone else pulls stuff from China & does not sell there - that stuff goes to EU. Current big winner is EU - That is why Germany is on such huge defense - they want to keep the current deal!
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