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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Afghanistan: Taliban take provincial capital | DW News" video.
At this rate Taliban may have 90% of the country including Kabul by end of this year. They end up better then before 9/11! It feels they have more pp support then in 1990s! It feels vast majority of Afghans support the Taliban. The government in Kabul has little support from their own pp and relies on the west.
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They should have out sourced the training to Russian's - Soviet Afghanistan lasted for few years. This turns out to be total overrun.
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Agreed. US lost almost every war since WWII. One of the reasons for being there 20 years was to defeat the Taliban and establish puppet state. On Feb 2020 US ditched that war reason and decided to "save face" by saying "Taliban may stay as long as they do not allow ISIS - people they fight with anyways, stay in Afghanistan". I wonder when US will ditch Kabul government and recognize Taliban as the government of Afghanistan. They will have to - even to control terrorist issues.
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@ihavenojawandimustscream4681 US predicted before leaving Kabul government will last 6 months. It feels now it will have hard time lasting 3. I.e. there will not be Kabul government as we know it today. Taliban are doing better then they did before US intervention - they may get to control most of the country, not just 75% of it.
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US may do just that. But it seems everyone else around Afghanistan will have at least behind the doors recognition for Taliban. Afghanistan is a big country in the middle of Asia - you cannot just ignore new rulers. Country is almost as big as Pakistan, bigger then France.
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Nah, this is way faster.
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@abcdedfg8340 Now it would be a miracle if Kabul does not fall this year. ISIS did not have much local support. They had rather large opposition from everywhere. Taliban have local support and US is only doing token attacks from all the way out to US. Without local support chances of victory are next to nothing. The support Kabul government has is far and wide less then the Soviet imposed Kabul government.
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@abcdedfg8340 In civil war scenario especially when there is little outside support (who exactly supports Taliban? - in meaningful way?) the actual winning side has the people - Kabul government even with token US support is being run over - clearly they cannot possibly carry the people. Since the Taliban are made of Afghani in AFAIK equal proportions (so no huge tribal differences) they represent similar combat capability as the Kabul government. Thus their swift winning suggests that Kabul has zero support and elections may have been thrown / unfair. I.e. if there were only 10 fighters in Afghanistan and the Taliban had only 2, feds 8 its impossible for these 2 to be winning with 8! What we see is opposite - the Taliban have 8, feds have 2 and are loosing quickly despite some token US support. Soviet imposed government had far and wide more support as it lasted years without Soviet support (token) - thus it was more supported by locals - in above scenario it had like 4 to 6. I.e. Soviet "dictatorship" was like 2x as popular as US "democracy". Remember in US "democracy" is reserved for US as a country - there is no provision of having the "others" have the same - hence why SA is such a big allay of US despite being absolute monarchy.
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