Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Russian invasion of Ukraine [17 March 2022]" video.

  1. Mariupol is about to fall - once it does big things will happen within days on southern front. The other place to watch is Irpin. If its taken & Mariupol forces regroup it will be the beginning of an end of army group Donbass. Once Donbass group is taken care off it will only be a cleanup operation to take all of Donbass and Putin can off ramp the war if he wants to.
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  2.  @celebrim1  Well, it took Russians 5 weeks to clear Grozny and 6 weeks for US to take Fallujah. When center is taken one can claim city is take, but it may take weeks to clear enemy from every house - so the other side can say "not taken yet". Same thing here. Mariupol center may fall by the weekend. By say Wednesday or Thursday these forces may finish regrouping. Then they need to move somewhere to attack. Then attack. Then actually push enemy. So by next weekend we may see them moving behind units of Donbas army. And if these units don't escape it will take more days to actually encircle them. Then more days to tighten encirclement. Then a long time to finally finish them off. At that point Putin can simply end the war or continue - we don't know his exact goals. We have stated goals but they are also kind of fluid as to interpretation.
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  3.  @celebrim1  a) if it was true he would not recognize Z as the legitimate leader. He also does not have even close to the force needed to take Kiev. Finishing off Azov in Mariupol is denazification. b) Demilitarization - removal of military power. It can be said to be already achieved or close to it c) Peace keeping - simply having bases in the new republics - depending on Z we see how many there are, so far 2 but if Z insists there can be more. He does not want USSR back as he himself seen problems with it. Not even close. That is why there are "republics" not Russia. Get it? There is Belarus - but not Russia. See? He is also only interested in areas where there is no colonization needed - for example, in the east. He does not need stasi back - Russia never left that area off - they always had stasi - same thing as US has CIA - that never went away for either. You can read about the ideas openly in Putin's favorite newspaper. Komsomolska Pravda. There it is outlined exactly like I did. The question is how long will Z wait. If he waits too long half of Ukraine will secede.
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