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Comments by "" (@tomk3732) on "Russian invasion of Ukraine [29 April 2022]" video.
@mrforce301 Russians are moving forward in heavily defended Donbass. Russians had lots of land a month ago, but no use for it - some even say it was to fix Ukrainian forces. So they moved out. Russians can do these things as war is in Ukraine - not in Russia. The weapons Ukraine gains are tiny percentage of what they have. And the west is running out. For example, Ukraine got around 100 towed artillery. It is unlikely they get much more. BUT, they started the war with 2000 pieces of their own! Same with tanks. Even if the west somehow manages to double Polish contribution (which is close to max) it will only be 400 tanks - out of 200 set for delivery. This sounds impressive, but Ukraine had around 1200 tanks in the first line. And has around 1000 other useable tanks in storage. Ukraine lost over 1000 tanks already and about 800 of these permanently. So they desperately need tanks as they are running low. As time progresses Ukraine is going to run out of equipment. In two months at current loss levels they will have 500 tanks with no reserves. West is simply not capable of delivering enough weapons.
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Nah, it takes time to take even small town. They advanced few km - again. Again for the past few days. Ukrainians are in total retreat mode. At this rate in 10 days they will advance 50-70km.
7
They lost over 1000 tanks by now. At least 800 permanently. They need at least 400-500 tanks per month to just cover their losses. But the west cannot provide them even close to 400-500 tanks per month. So Russians are patiently waiting till they run dry not just in tanks but artillery.
5
@moist_ointment But it cannot supply - we can see it today. They simply do not have enough equipment. Ukraine had more equipment then all of Europe combined. Sanctions have failed. Russian central bank just dropped interest rates today to 14%. Russian ruble is higher then before the war. Russian bond yields are at exactly same level as before the war showing confidence in Russian industry. As an example, Polish bond yields are up over 2% - i.e. there is far less confidence there. The GDP idiocrasy is exactly WHY the west under estimated Russia - its tiny! Too bad they did not realize that Russia supplies tons of raw materials which are needed to make expensive stuff. Without raw stuff, there cannot be value added! So Russia punches about 10x more then its GDP, i.e. about 2x the power of Germany.
5
@karlyo6937 Yeah, and it took like many months - I think close to a year for Aleppo.
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Nah, another day of the offensive on all fronts. Russians are now crushing Ukrainian defenses everywhere. At least as compared to say a week ago.
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@mrforce301 If Ukraine was not running out of tanks they would ask for some other systems they are low on, like say long range drones. You can see what they are low on by asking for it. Using your example of money exchange, the exchange when say running low on USD would ask people and anyone for more of it. If they had plenty they would lower the spread or even refuse to take it unless it was for like free. BTW, I do travel the world and you would not imagine how hard sometimes it is to get rid of USD not for free. Sometimes you have to beg people and they are doing you a "favor" by taking it. If you using some obscure currency then the spread can be ridiculous even at large exchange. They will pay you say equivalent of 30 US cents of say 1 CAD. So yes, in money exchanges, when they do not need certain currency then they will actively not ask for it and shun it away or only take it for free. At the same location close to Chinese border, the yuan was like 100x more popular then USD - showing little red bills got a smile from people - they wanted it - any amount. Spread was almost not existant. As you can see Ukraine is asking for certain things, but more for these it NEEDS. Same as money changer you used - he or she will take a lot of different stuff, but some stuff they love more then others. By looking into their eyes you can tell what they desire. Also spread.
3
@gheorgheionut3783 I see you know better then Ukraine how many tanks they had! Ukraine claimed over 3000 tanks in front line and storage at the start of the war. Using 50% availability (taken from Russia BTW) of storage tanks we have between 2000 and 2400 tanks for Ukraine. It is hard to imagine them having less then 1000 of these in front line. They also destroyed almost 200% MiG-29s. So what? Ukraine does get extras you know. Turkey sends new drones every few weeks.
2
Wow, Russians are advancing now on all fronts! If they continue like this for a week whole Donbas will be taken and they will be close to Mikolayev. Looks like Ukrainian forces are close to breaking point.
2
Oh come on, Russians just took Croatian playbook in Ukraine - wasn't it you guys that "pushed" around 1/2 million Serbs out of "your" land so you have no minority issues?
1
Yep, they getting their ass kicked hard now. I expect by May 9th whole Donbass will be taken.
1