Comments by "" (@TheHuxleyAgnostic) on "How Many Coronavirus Cases Do We REALLY Have?" video.

  1. Look at countries that are flattening their curves. They've gotten ahead of the virus by testing beyond those showing symptoms. Their total infected and confirmed infected numbers have to be close to the same, to get ahead of the spread, and largely contain it. S Korea's mortality rate is about 2%. Australia's curve appears to be flattening, and their mortality rate is about 1%. A cruise ship also provided us with a control group, almost all of who were tested in Japan. Their total and confirmed numbers are the same, and they had a mortality rate of 1.5%. The virus appears to have an actual mortality rate of about 1-2%, which is 10x deadlier than the flu. Factors, such as an older population, more smokers, more diabetics, more people with heart disease or asthma, more pollution, etc., could increase that rate. Likewise, less of those things could lower that rate. So, if 26k deaths is 1-2% of the actual total infected, then the US would actually have about 2.6-5.2m infected and, unless you speed up testing and find most of those missing hundreds of thousands of infected, quickly, they will go around spreading the virus, and those numbers will just keep increasing. Personally, I think the US is too far behind the virus, and is fucked. You should be at, at least, double the number of total tests, by now.
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  2. @UCikBhPF4HkoDJqZNcUhDQPw You might want to be skeptical of those optimistic .4% estimates. The ones out of China didn't include Hubei. Including Hubei, their mortality rate is 4%. There were also lower estimates out of Germany, when they were impressing the world with their .4% mortality rate, which has now jumped to 2.6%. A .4% mortality rate just doesn't seem to be born out in reality. Places where the total and confirmed numbers are converging, or a control group where they're definitely the same number, seem like the best figures, to me. They're real.
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  3.  @fionafiona1146  I didn't include China, originally, because they didn't know what they were dealing with, out of the gate, and Germany hasn't really flattened their curve, yet, so who knows.
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  4.  @fionafiona1146  Rofl, over 1k cases in a day is still significant. They may be heading toward flattening, but that's not flattened. If China flattening their curve by about 80k cases is unprepared, then how unprepared then how unprepared do you have to be to have 500k cases?
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  5.  @fionafiona1146  You seem to be having a different conversation. Have fun with that.
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