Comments by "M gronich" (@mgronich948) on "The Spectator" channel.

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  4. Interesting comments but some significant misunderstandings. When Russia took over Crimea the Russian troops were welcomed a liberators. But in western Ukraine, there was a large anti-Russian and even neoNazi population. And between 2014 and 2022, the CIA and US army rebuilt the Ukrainian army from the ground up. Ukraine elected a Russian leaning president before the 2014 coup. Immediately after 2014 the Ukrainian army was in horrible shape where many in the army refused to shoot at the rebels in the Donbass for exactly the same reason the Russian troops were reluctant to fight in Ukraine. But in the 8 years since 2014, the CIA helped the Ukrainian army get rid of all the Russia sympathizers and multiple the neoNazi groups dominated the Ukrainian armed forces. Currently there is no equivalent group of neoNazi's in Taiwan. The other thing about China invasion of Taiwan is, why would China invade. For example, if the US convinced the Govt of Taiwan to let US locate medium range missiles in Taiwan that can hit Chinese cities. Basically the US repeating what it did in Ukraine to "provoke" Russia to attack. It's not clear China would invade but if there were for examples demonstrations in Taiwan against the deployment of US offensive missiles and China used that as a pretext to invade, the PLA troops would not have a morale problem in attacking. The US is actively trying to persuade the Taiwanese government to be do have offensive missiles. But right now there is no threat to China's cities from Taiwan but if China invaded anyway the PLA troops may have a morale problem. But in the event of US putting offensive missiles into Taiwan, this might trigger a naval blockade and a US-China confrontation rather than a Taiwan - China confrontation.
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