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M gronich
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Comments by "M gronich" (@mgronich948) on "Retired general predicts how Russia's war will change in the winter months" video.
The generals know that what wins wars is logistics. The US is not willing to ruin its economy to let Ukraine win. Ukraine uses 6000 155mm shells per day. THe US produces 100,000 shells per YEAR. One year's production lasts 2 weeks. The NASAMs can shoot down the Iranian drones but at $1.2M/missile, and $20K per drone, we lose every time we shoot down a drone. Propagada talks about courage and fighting for your home land. Tell that to the Iraqi army or better yet tell that to American Indians 130 years ago. The generals understand logistics. Folks listend to US propaganda.
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In 2014 the Ukrainian army was a mess. But the CIA went in, recuited tons of neonazis who were eager to fight. And the Ukrainian army was rebuilt from the ground up by the US (DoD/CIA) with lots of money. That's why they stood up so well at the beginning. But Russia has adapted. And you shouldn't believe all the US dis-information. Scott Ritter the marine colonel who ran WMD search in Iraq says Ukraine casualties are several times that of Russian casualties. But Russia now has a "war time" economy meaning not just 300K new troops but whole companies are conscripted to make weapons/ammo. The sanctions hurt but the chips in Russian (and US) missiles are found in washing machines and toaster ovens. Russia has had 9 months to find which companies in China has these and also have zero business ties with the west. Milley and Marks know this is happening. The US is not going into a war time economy. So we will run out of weapons to send to Ukraine while Russia will start cranking out 1000's of drones and missiles and IFV/APCs. The public (and the propaganda) says courage and fighting for your country is what wins wars, the generals know it's logistics wins wars.
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Putin is worried about Russian casulaties, very worried. US is not at all worried about Ukrainian casualties. In part because Ukrainian casualties is a well kept secret. Although S. Ritter says Ukraine casualties are above 100K. Will the US propaganda about Russian alleged "war crimes"? generate more support? NO The US has already maxed out on propaganda. Ukraine has over played this card. Interesting the "Spider" Marks agrees with Gen Milley that Ukraine can not win. I think all the generals see Russia pull back in Kherson to easily defensible areas, and sit there while the 300K new troops are trained, orgainzed into fighting units and the equiped, with 1000's of Iranian drones, millions of N. Korean 155mm ammo, and a war time Russian economy that got started only a few months ago. It may take a few more months but Ukraine will run out of HV transformers as will Europe. US sends 2 NASAM- batteries a total of ~150 missiles? Ukraine says they shot down 70 RUssian missiles and drones in 1 night. Using a $1.2M missile to take down a $20K drone is not sustainable. They should get a $$ quote on the Chinese SHORAD system. Except the Chinese might not sell them to Ukraine.
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