Comments by "TheThirdMan" (@thethirdman225) on "The Humanist Report" channel.

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  10. Having the army on side is predictable but not a cast iron guarantee of much. People go into the armed forces for a variety of reasons. To be honest, I would be more concerned about those forces being used to fulfil an expansionist agenda than the extent to which they might be used against the public. At this point it more helpful to divert from comparisons with Hitler - which have been quite legitimate - and start to look for patterns elsewhere. Then there’s the question of the National Guard. The American structure is quite different from a lot of other countries. It’s possible that the Jefferson concept of a weak union of strong states might make for a bit of a safety net. I’m not familiar enough with the system. I would be more worried about far right groups like The Proud Boys, The Oaf Keepers and The Three Percenters than I would be about the formal services. That’s where the trouble will start. At some point a far right gun group is going to drive into a black neighbourhood… It almost happened the other day in Cincinnati, when a bunch of Neo Nazis started a protest on a bridge before they were chased off by the locals. But what happens when everyone is armed? If anyone wants to see an example of this, read Laura Silber and Alan Little’s excellent book, ‘The Death of Yugoslavia’. Yes, the formal army was used against individual states but in a lot of cases, the trouble was the crimes committed by the paramilitary groups. These were the ones who performed most of the ethnic cleansing. I think this is how a potential civil war will start. The road map is the civil war in the former Yugoslavia.
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  18. A few points I’d like to add if I may. I’m Australian so I have no direct connection with any of this, though I have an American work colleague who is planning to return to the United States in the next year. First of all, it seems to me that there is a historical context through which this could be viewed. During the period between the implementation of the constitution and the bill of rights, there was considerable debate about how the bill would work and there was a lot of horse trading between the Jeffersonian Republicans and the Federalists. Jefferson wanted a weak Union of strong states (so he and others could keep their slaves) and Madison wanted a strong Union of weak states (to maintain a stronger trade position). In the end, the Jeffersonian Republicans won more than the Federalists did (ironically, the second amendment was one of the bargaining chips). So the question becomes one of states rights. If Trump is going to impose these conditions on all Americans, at what point do blue states — who would presumably be opposed to such measures — start to resist? Where, for example, is the cutoff point between what ICE, a federal agency, can do and what a state can do to stop them? Secondly, there is a nasty rumour afoot that Trump may impose martial law as early as this week. Whether or not that will actually happen or whether it even has any truth in it remains to be seen but at some point, there will be some kind of resistance from some blue states. That’s when federal troops come up against the state’s national guard. This would surely be a trigger for civil war and split the country into two major parts: the wealthy, blue, east and west coast states and the red states of the Midwest and the south.
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