Comments by "" (@steemlenn8797) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

What you said in the middle of the video is 100% concur to the general concepts from "Dictator's handbook - Why bad behavior is almost always good politics". The theory in there is that dictators will be hugely dependend on outside personal for resource extraction like oil, because those need intelligent, thinking people and intelligent thinking people are a threat to any dictator, so they are... not encouraged to be in the county by several factors. This is one reason for the "curse of resources". On the contrast democracy tends to breed in resource-low countries, because there intelligence and playing agaisnt each other is the only way to make big money.
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Pray tell me, how do the Russians transfer all that gas to China und India without ships or pipelines? I'n not saying it doesn't happen to a certain amount (as for oil), but there is a huge difference in the amount and the profit per unit for Russia. Germany cut it's gas usage by 20% in 2022. Not import, usage. Some of that will come back for a certain time, but indutry IS trying to go to other fuels instead of only talking about it. Russia will never again export as much oil an gas as it did before Corona. Putin has thrown his Great Russia back by 20 years economically.
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"The Elite" didn't shut down. The companies did who didn't want to pay the price for gas. And afaik nobody lost their job because of that, since it was only temporary.
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@EverlastGX the gas tanks are full. That was part of Putins strategy, since one of our former chancellors had no problems to sell some of them to the "fine democrat" Putin, Gazprom, the gas company, did not fill up tanks in that winter.
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@saulgood2366 You can build a gas pipeline over thousands of km in a matter of weeks? WOW! Other countries need decades for that!
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@saulgood2366 you do realize that there were practically no natural gas facilities in German harbors? I think there was exactly 1 before 2022 that could take liquified gas. afaik we build 2 more in (for Germany) super speed by now. But that is still not enough - by far - to supply demand alone. Not to mention that something like another several-week long blockade of the Suez canal at the worst time would still leave Germany empty in this scenario.
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