Comments by "robheusd" (@robheusd) on "DW News"
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As a typical gas consumer, you have the option of a) doing nothing and pay for the gas you need to heat your building, or b) invest in energy efficiency (isolation, more efficient heating equipment, etc) and reduce your gas bill and break even over the investment period. There a number of factors involved here in making a decission about such an investment in order to at least reach break even, which are for example: how much do i need to invest for an x% of gas reduction, and what is the price of gas. Comparing western europe with eastern europe, two factors are beneficial for investing in eastern europe, namely colder winters (which would increase the amount of gas reduction) and lower labor costs (which lowers the amount that needs to be invested). However, lower gas prices mean on the other hand that it takes more time to break even. This however can partly be overcome by rerouting the gas which is saved by investing in lower gas consumption to western europe, and sell the gas at a higher price, which would reduce the amount of time needed to break even. This could even result in a surplus, which could lower the energy cost of the end consumer of which the houses get renovated for improved energy efficiency. Such an european gas leverage system (west europe pays for investments in eastern europe to reduce gas consumption and increase energy efficiency in return for part of the amount of saved gas) could benefit both sides (less need for russian gas in eastern europe and creation of jobs) and work beneficial in both reducing energy dependence on russia, and would be part of the climate goals. Replacing russian gas with LNG on the other had will only increase the price of gas and would also increase CO2 emissions, and is therefore not the right solution. Nuclear energy is also not the right solution, because you need energy sources that can be put online quickly to balance energy demand vs. energy production, and as more volatile sources are used in the energy mix (solar and wind) you need more reserve capacity to bridge the gap. Gas turbines and hydro power can do that, nuclear can not.
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It is frightening to see how european people are so brainwashed that they choose to blockade cheap gas deliveries from Russia, and were unconsciously dragged into this geopolitical conflict between Ukrain and Russia, leading to this war and all its consequences. Now we are the mercy of our bosses in Washington and a large part of our supplies now have to come from Qatar, a despotic country in the gulf region, with an absolute monarchy, no democracy and no human rights, and involved in all kind of geopolitical issues (the delivered the weapons to the rebels fighting Khadaffi in Libya, they supported terrorist jihadi groups in Syria, etc.). And how do people deal with on one hand the scientific concencus that climate change is manmade, and with enough efforts we can prevent catastrophic climate change, but when it comes to changes in the geopolitical climate, making Russia into the enemy of the west while europe was dependend on cheap russian oil and gas, we see no way to stop it and find ourselves in the catastrophy of a war that could lead to a full nuclear conflict if we are not carefull, and are facing an energy crisis. Didn't we realise that war is bad for the climate, and that there are other ways to resolve political problems, like in the case of Ukrain, not dragging the whole of Ukrain into the western sphere of influence, bt keeping it a neutral buffer state, and federalising it's government, etc? The gas problem is especially problematic as gas in the economical sense has lots of inertia, that is you can not easily shift to an alternative source, since the costs of gas delivery is mainly infrastructure (distribution, heating installations, storage facfilities). Replacing oil with alternative sources is much less costly, it is more easily storable, etc. I think we would have been better off not confronting Russia and not meddling in Ukrain, but instead had decided to transition away from fossil fuels in a more moderate way, at much lower costs and less economic instability in a period of 30 years. That is what it would take to transition away from fossil fuiels alltogehter. We can't do that in a matter of months or years.
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