Comments by "Paddle Duck" (@paddleduck5328) on "Trump's Pollster: Bernie Would've Won" video.

  1. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html Trump vs. Hillary http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html Trump vs. Bernie Current National Polling November 6, 2016 Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,638 registered voters across the United States. The poll was conducted on November 6th and has a margin of error of ±2.4% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using interactive voice responses, with the results weighted by voting patterns. If the Presidential candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? Sanders 56% Trump 44% http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/Gravis_Sanders_Election_Poll.pdf Bernie Sanders would have crushed Donald Trump according to new pre-election poll. The poll, reported by the Huffington Post, found that the Vermont senator would have likely earned 56 per cent of the vote, while Mr Trump would have only received 44 per cent. Democratic Congressman Alan Grayson, who endorse Mr Sanders during the primaries, commissioned the poll by Gravis Marketing. Hillary Clinton did not fare quite as well in the poll amongst Independent voters – who could not vote during the primaries, resulting in Mr Sanders' loss to the former Secretary of State. The poll found that Mr Sanders led Ms Clinton among independent voters 55 to 45 per cent. Ms Clinton suffered a major blow Tuesday night from that particular demographic, losing independents to Donald Trump 48 per cent to 42 per cent. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/bernie-sanders-beaten-donald-trump-pre-election-poll-a7412636.html
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  2. Check out the polls on RealClearPolitics or other places. They were pretty accurate. Most polls have an error margin of 3% or so, some up to 5%. Hillary polled against Trump by about 3%. Bernie around ten if I recall. So Bernie was clearly ahead outside the margin of error, and Hillary was within the error margin. Most of the polling released to the public that included asking about Bernie ended in June. But the campaigns had their own private polling done also which weren’t released to the public. However, there was even a poll done the day before the election in November, and Bernie was still polling around ten percent against Trump at that point. (I have the links saved somewhere if you don’t believe it or don’t want to verify yourself.)
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  3. 10% against Trump had a lot better chance of winning vs. 3% against Trump. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html Trump vs. Hillary http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html Trump vs. Bernie Current National Polling November 6, 2016 Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,638 registered voters across the United States. The poll was conducted on November 6th and has a margin of error of ±2.4% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using interactive voice responses, with the results weighted by voting patterns. If the Presidential candidates were Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump, for whom would you vote? Sanders 56% Trump 44% http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/Gravis_Sanders_Election_Poll.pdf Bernie Sanders would have crushed Donald Trump according to new pre-election poll. The poll, reported by the Huffington Post, found that the Vermont senator would have likely earned 56 per cent of the vote, while Mr Trump would have only received 44 per cent. Democratic Congressman Alan Grayson, who endorse Mr Sanders during the primaries, commissioned the poll by Gravis Marketing. Hillary Clinton did not fare quite as well in the poll amongst Independent voters – who could not vote during the primaries, resulting in Mr Sanders' loss to the former Secretary of State. The poll found that Mr Sanders led Ms Clinton among independent voters 55 to 45 per cent. Ms Clinton suffered a major blow Tuesday night from that particular demographic, losing independents to Donald Trump 48 per cent to 42 per cent. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/bernie-sanders-beaten-donald-trump-pre-election-poll-a7412636.html
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  4. The Clinton people’s “pied piper” strategy helped Trump.
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  5. That poll literally says Biden would win 14% over Trump and Bernie would win 13% over Trump. We’re splitting hairs over a 1% difference. That’s essentially a tie. And it’s one public opinion poll. I’d want to see a group of polls to get an average. But anyway a 1% difference is nothing to argue over folks.
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  6. True about Kasich.
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