Comments by "andy99ish" (@andy99ish) on "He Predicted a Trump Win in 2016. What's His Forecast For 2020? | NYT Opinion" video.

  1. I am Joe Biden. And I applaud this message disapprovingly. And so do my hairy legs.
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  2. So is this a prediction of popular vote OR of electoral college vote?? If it refers to popular vote then this nerdy professor needs to be reminded that Trump lost the popular vote in 2016. It takes no guru to predict the same outcome this year. And it takes no professor to understand that popular vote is irrelevant.
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  3. Taking out some Iranian general is not a major success. Hong Kong is a failure. To take lead in a trade war is not to win it (besides Trump did not manage to get other countries on board). "Restructuring" trade deals is not even close to a major success. Seems you have low standards for a "major international success" of a superpower. Which reflects the diminishing global role of the USA in the last two decades or so. Let me therefore remind you of some real MAJOR international US accomplishments: winning the Cold War (Reagan); winning the first Gulf war war (G. Bush). Taking out Bin Laden after years of search came close to a major success (Obama).
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  4.  @golfmc7941  That refers to past predictions. Not to this one: Applying one system to the whole voting population, as he does for 2020, is hardly a valid system for predicting electoral votes. There is a disconnect between 3:04 and what he does for 2020. Applying one system for the whole country implies two things: that voters in different states display the same sensitivity to say, foreign policy. And that a citizen's vote from California has the same weight as a vote from say, Alaska. Neither implication is true.
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