Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "Everything Could Change, As The War Expands - Ukraine War Map Analysis u0026 News Update" video.

@flyingnorseman It's better than the alternative!
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@adam90670 Using cluster munitions against enemy soldiers is not a war crime. Using cluster munitions against central Donetsk City most certainly is.
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@jamesmorrow1646 Most of the West is moving in the Fascist direction. Look at how protesters against lockdowns and vaccines were treated throughout the West especially Australia and France and Canada. A country can't claim to still be a liberal democracy when peaceful protesters have their bank accounts frozen without proper judicial process or are savaged by unaccountable riot police. Look at the January 6th protesters in America, many are still in prison for no more than trespass. Look at how Julian Assange was framed with pretext crimes and persecuted for exposing lies and corruption. Is Russia really worse?
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@jaysimpson6857 Escalation is highly dangerous. Ultimately it ends with WWIII. Russia expects it can outlast the West and win a war of attrition therefore it has nothing to gain by escalating. It's simple game theory. That's why almost all the escalation has been from the NATO side. People keep claiming Russia will never respond to escalation and so escalation is safe (i.e. all Russian threats are bluffing) but that's a pretty stupid misunderstanding based on failure to analyse the Russian viewpoint. At some point Russia is forced to respond to escalations. That's how the failure to renew the grain deal is best understood too. Escalating Ukrainian attacks, broken Turkish promises. Anyway "taking the gloves off" would be a mistake for Russia. The war is costing them lives and money but Russia can sustain the current trajectory indefinitely, Ukraine can not. If this trajectory continues, Ukraine collapses - eventually. Therefore a dangerous attempt to change the trajectory is just not worth the risk for Russia.
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@mortmortannon6640 The kind of statistics your calculations are based on are from ethnically homogenous, highly nationalistic early twentieth century European countries with much younger populations than modern Ukraine. Most people in Ukraine have no interest in fighting for the regime. Indeed many of them would rather fight for the Russians. Compared to 1914-1918 Europe or 1939-1945 Europe, a huge section of that 40 million population are too old to fight for anyone. And it's not just women and children that have left. Fighting age men are resorting to bribery or other extreme measures to get out.
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@mortmortannon6640 I'm certainly not arguing that nobody wants to fight for the regime, there are still many such individuals and formations with high morale, just not enough. It's obvious they're struggling to maintain manpower after the hundreds of thousands of casualties they've taken. There are plenty of videos online of the police pulling teenagers and old men off the street for the army and there are lots of guys in hiding so they don't get drafted. Also there are many cases of Ukrainian units retreating without orders and refusing to return to the front much like the French army in 1917 and the Germans in 1918. Already the Ukrainian army is disbanding brigades which have been effectively shattered. Western European armies of the 1914-1918 war were extremely patriotic and nationalistic. Serious corruption was rare. Whereas corruption in Ukraine is chronic. Yes it's pretty bad in Russia too but worse in Ukraine. Everyone knows the rich pay bribes to keep out the army and are partying it up while the poor are having their lives thrown away in suicidal attacks or abandoned in defensive positions without support. Extortionate bribes have made those with authority to draft recruits multimillionaires. This is not a society which can take millions of casualties and keep fighting regardless. The population has already dropped below thirty million due to emigration over the past year.
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