Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "What I Think Will Happen In 2024? Huge Losses Mount - Ukraine War Map Analysis u0026 News" video.

Western support for Ukraine is dropping off - even if the USA picks it up again it's still down on what it was especially in artillery ammo the most important category. And Ukraine has used up willing recruits. I seriously doubt Ukraine can last another year.
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@tombombadil8709 European economic health is not great as you say but even worse is European democratic health. Political leaders have never been as unpopular in the entire post WWII period as now.
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@Leiska86 I don't question Europe's willingness to support Ukraine, I question its ability. Actual money is insufficient and there just isn't the industrial capacity for stuff like artillery ammunition and SAMs. As for Russia, even if support drops, it has a long long way to go before there's a serious problem replacing losses. Look at Mediazona tracking Russian deaths, Russian losses aren't actually that high compared to say the Bakhmut battle. Russian men were reluctant to go to Ukraine when there was a shortage of men and it was highly dangerous to be a Russian soldier covering an undermanned line. The situation now is completely different. Yes the Storm Z guys have a short life expectancy but the typical soldiers have a very good chance of coming back in one piece with a bulging bank account.
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@Leiska86 Europe is in severe economic trouble. If Europe had a dictator like that, Europe would have a revolution. It's already having minor revolutions as it is. Money isn't everything. Saudi Arabia has plenty of money but it still has a well funded military which most neutral commentators regard with derision. Furthermore, nominal exchange rates are highly misleading. The US economy for example still has a strong dollar but seems to be heading for a financial collapse given its huge deficit spending.
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They don't have the manpower less for another offensive.
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@Leiska86 What do you mean by economic output? Looking at money is misleading. Russia's industrial output is huge if you look at the stuff that counts in this kind of war - heavy industry. Yes theoretically if Europe were controlled by a dictator who was willing to cut social spending and build up heavy industry and military production then yes European munitions production could expand but that's not going to happen. Only a few countries like Poland, Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania will be willing to make the sacrifice. In Slovakia and Netherlands the Russophobe politicians have already lost elections. Next elections the current German government will fall too and maybe the same in France.
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@Leiska86 The smartest thing Finland could do would be to have a good relationship with Russia. Every time Finland fights a war with Russia, Finland gets smaller. Joining NATO means Finland will now have a much larger Russia force on its border and will require higher military spending indefinitely. Also it loses cheap Russian gas. I see no advantage whatsoever.
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@Leiska86 North Korea produces vastly more artillery ammunition than all EU countries put together. Yes, you're right that Europe hypothetically could increase armaments production massively. But it's an entirely hypothetical argument. In such a serious emergency that doing so out prioritised economic health and social spending. It's not going to happen and even if it did, by the time they've finally build up that industry the war is over. Let's stick to what is likely to happen, not hypothetical speculations about something we know will not happen. What I expect to happen is new European leaders are going to want nothing to do with Ukraine.
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