Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "Improved Positions u0026 Tactics - US Says 'Crimea Is GONE' | Hard Truths u0026 Reality - Ukraine Map u0026 News" video.

Why would Russia risk stopping at the four oblasts when there's the likelihood that anything they don't take now becomes an enemy again later? Why would they want to risk enemy nuclear weapons being stationed closer to Moscow than they can avoid? Now the Ukrainian army is starting to break and Russia can make further gains at acceptable cost, it seems likely to me Russia will want everything east of the Dniepr, even just for their own future security.
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Oryx has been shown to classify Ukrainian losses as Russian, inflate Russian losses, count duplicates as multiple losses and ignore Ukrainian losses. When challenged about this, one of the Oryx founders said we just don't have enough time to improve quality. Which is maybe true but the bias does seem to be all in one direction. Realistically, if Oryx were accurate, Russia would no longer be able to make the armoured gains it makes now every day.
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Nobody would sign a deal to ban drones. You can ban gas because it's not that useful militarily - in WWI only about 1% of the fatalities were from gas. But you can't ban something which is militarily essential. Or if you do ban it, the ban will be ignored. Both sides are using flamethrowers in Ukraine and thermobaric explosives aren't too different from flamethrowers anyway.
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@schepvogelk5971 Yes Russia is losing a lot of men but the only hard evidence we have as to numbers (Mediazona) shows that Russian fatalities are much lower now compared to earlier in the war while their gains in territory are much higher. Given the Russian government has already paid a high price so far, it doesn't seem plausible they will refuse to pay a much lower price to continue now they're making gains. It's like suggesting the Allies should have made peace with Germany in January 1945 to save casualties. No, if the only consideration was saving casualties they would have done it in 1941.
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@PitchBlackTales That's delusional. Nobody wants a war with Russia. In Germany or France, that would bring down their governments instantly. Professional European armies far too small to take on the Russians and in any case, the Russians have two years hard experience now fighting a major war, European armies have at best counter insurgency experience, nothing more. As for the British army, it'd be out of ammunition in the first few days. The Danish army has already given Ukraine its artillery. Who's going to replace casualties? Muslim immigrants? Only NATO airforces are going to be a match for the Russians and what's to stop the Russians waiting for them to deploy to Ukraine then using tactical nuclear weapons on the airbases? If European governments thought they could miitarily defeat Russia they would have joined the war long ago. Only the Baltic governments are insane enough to want to fight Russia and Putin would love an excuse to squash them.
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