Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "Ukraine's river crossing can change the war" video.

  1.  @yohanannatanson4199  Yes, certainly, Allied airpower over Normandy was fundamental to the Rundstedt and Rommel debate. In Ukraine, I don't think air power is quite as important as most people do, even though the Russians have a huge advantage - because they can't use that advantage by safely flying sorties over Ukrainian lines.
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  2. No, there will never be thick enough ice that far south.
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  3. The difference is, in 1944, the Allies had an overwhelming material and manpower advantage, the only German advantage was the difficulty of attacking a fortified coast. In Ukraine, the Russians have the material advantage and manpower is pretty similar. It's hard for the Russians to crush the bridgehead but it's also hard for Ukraine to break out of it. The Russians have nothing to worry about. The Ukrainians have Avdivka to worry about.
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  4. Yeah that's why it will be impossible to break out of the bridgehead.
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  5. Ukraine can't get equipment like HIMARS across the river.
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  6.  @DIREWOLFx75  I mainly agree but claiming 20 to 1 manpower loss ratio is about as realistic as the NAFO guys talking about resuming the counter offensive next year. Those kind of numbers lose credibility for your overall argument.
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  7. Flat, soft sand several km wide with no buildings, no forest to then attack prepared positions in the face of artillery and Lancet drones.
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  8.  @harmless6813  The Russians don't care, they know the Ukrainians can't break out and Ukraine has the high ground on the west bank so the Russians don't want to fight at a tactical advantage. Their main efforts are in the east of Ukraine especially Avdivka. After Avdivka falls there'll be plenty of resources freed up to deal with this bridgehead.
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  9. A lot like the argument that Russian casualties were higher in Bakhmut because the Russians were on the offensive and attacker casualties are typically higher. This argument disappeared completely during the Zaporozhye offensive when Ukraine was attacking. A major Ukrainian effort across the Dniepr is just so transparently stupid it makes you wonder whether they have any kind of strategy at all. They will never be able to break out of this bridgehead and they can't fortify properly, they can't supply it easily, they're taking high losses in troop rotations, it's just madness.
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  10. Yes. That's why this river crossing is strategically useless and tactically unfavourable and the Russians have nothing to worry about.
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  11. LOL this isn't Lord of the Rings you clown. If the Ukrainians couldn't create more than small salients at the cost of hundreds of armoured vehicles and tens of thousands of men over the whole summer, they're certainly not going to be able to break through next year when the Ukrainian army is weakening and the Russian army is getting stronger. Ukraine has lost the war. Even the Western media admits it. Try to keep up.
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  12.  @ChucksSEADnDEAD  LOL the cope from you guys is awesome
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  13.  @ChucksSEADnDEAD  It's not easy to clear for Russia for the same reason it's not easy for Ukraine to break out of it - geography. And unless Ukraine can break out - which they can't - it's a really stupid place to keep pouring resources into.
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  14. Yeah it's a complete waste of men. It's hard to fortify and support, hard to supply and troop rotations across the river are too dangerous. Even though it's hard for the Russians to actually storm the beachhead, it's impossible for Ukraine to break out of it. It's actually in Russia's advantage to leave this bridgehead in place.
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