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Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar
Alexander Mercouris
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Comments by "Black Cat Dungeon Master\x27s Familiar" (@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311) on "Russia Counterblow, NYT Admits Ukraine Massive Losses in Stalled Offensive; UK Teeters on The Brink" video.
@gilberttessier1871 Agreed, Russia is unlikely to resume trade with Europe while its huge foreign reserves remain frozen.
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@arthurtane6505 Time will tell which side needs the other more, Europe is going to have a very hard winter and European industries are already migrating to North America. Fertiliser and aluminium production especially has largely shut down. Not to understate the economic cost to Russia and the pressure on their budget, I acknowledge it will create difficulties for them but the economic damage to Europe looks to be devastating.
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@arthurtane6505 I doubt Germany has 90% of the gas it needs, gas storage capacity is not designed to get through a winter without any supplies, merely to even out supply and demand in normal circumstances. The other important point is cost. LNG imports cost several times as much as cheap, piped Russian gas. Industries which use a lot of gas like ammonium based fertiliser production just can't compete using LNG. It doesn't matter that US workers earn more, if much of your cost is energy inputs. It's not speculation, it's already happening. Plenty of European manufacturing has already closed down. In Britain too.
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@PassivePortfolios That's no different from the Ukrainian army chasing men down the street to conscript them. The large majority will fight nevertheless.
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The West needs Russian gas and oil but Russia also needs Western markets. So yes Russia would definitely want to resume selling gas, also it's strongly in Russia's interest to have good relations with Europe.
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@damjanm3585 Everything people like you criticise about mobilised Russian reservists could equally be said about Ukrainian conscripts. Reservists are trained soldiers who left full time service. Russia has a huge stock of small arms and infantry equipment, they've been preparing for this for ten years. Your speculations are unrealistic.
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