Comments by "Qing Zhou" (@qingzhou9983) on "GZERO Media" channel.

  1. There is another likely explanation. That is China thinks that US and West already decide to defeat China, so softer policy would only loss advantages and not change the policy of the West. And the harder policy will have the benefits of consolidating the domestic support and unity.
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  2. 1st time I heard a high level Western official admitted Russian Moral is high. The key of this, beside it is winning, is Russian People agree with Putin NATO expansion is targeted and a threat to Russia. This is a Classic Army Race scenario: the move considering as defensive on one side is treated as offensive on the other AND the resulting Defensive reaction to That Action on the other side is considered as Offensive on the 1st party. And they are all expecting the other side to recognize the Dangerous Reality to change, but no change needed from their own side since they are purely defensive.
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  3. Chinese leaders, unlike others, always focused on the domestic issue first. So they are not going to open up just for the international pressure or cost. And I totally agree with that.
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  4. What Alina dose not understand is the Key Advantage of picking the Right Battle Field. If West and Russia have to fight, Russia wants to fight on Ukraine or Belarus and West wants to fight on place like Poland or Romania. This likes the case if US and China will fight, US does not want the battle field to be North Korean, Vietnam, Pak, or Taiwan. It wants to fight around Japan, India or Philippines.
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  5. We heard this domino effect before. Ukraine is very different from other former Soviet Republics. Hence the support of Russia people, Russia Speaking People in the Former Republics, and the outside world view are totally different. If the difficulty of Ukraine issue for Russia is 1, then the other one , like Poland will be at least 3 if not much more. Even from a Strategic point of View, West wants to fight Russia on Poland, not Ukraine.
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  6. I am little disappointed with Ian, an expert on China. Xi has been in total control of CCP for years now. Hu did not and is not actively against Xi. Hu actually is an example of clean retirement unlike Jiang before him, so there is no need for Xi to intentionally humiliate Hu at all. Ian is projecting his and West’s bias here. Hu can sit there because of Xi’s approval. Hu knew better to not make a scene (it is useless anyway). It is most likely Hu was losing awareness of the situation. Hu is known to have health issue in past few years.
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  7. You have right to your view. But you can't change the Fact. There is a reason your "country" name is Republic of CHINA and it is not in UN. Like in any Civil War, one side could not decide the outcome Alone, None in the long history of Human. You better understand that, otherwise you will cause a disaster for both Taiwan and Mainland.
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  8. A very silly point. President in US is not that powerful, despite the fact that he is the most powerful person in US government. That is by design and by the nature of bureaucracy. The real point is that Trump failed as a President miserably. And the 2nd point is that US does not have a powerful bureaucracy anyway, thanks in part for people Like Niall Ferguson. It is very Rich that a person for Small Government criticizing that small government could not do much in time of crisis!
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  9. Isn't it weird that Soviet and Stalin, which definitely are much worse than Russian and Putin, did not push Finland to NATO and Finland had peaceful decades during the Cold War? Who changed, Russia or Finland?
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  10. I am very disappointed in his self-contradicted reasoning. 1) Deep diving is much more difficult than all the other tasks Ukraine did. Especially in the areas that are heavily surveillanced by NATO and Russia. 2) IF Poland or Ukraine did it, there is no way US or Germany intelligent agencies did not know. HE made the same argument against the "Russian did it". 3) CIA has a long track records of hiding from Government Supervision, congress or not. This is not a very convincing argument.
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  11. IF Russia is totally isolated and has nothing to lose, it will use its military might to gradually grapping more Land. And Land occupied by a nuclear power is forever. Russia is not North Korea or Iran. West needs to carefully consider that.
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  12.  @markbantz9699  Useless Comments. No Facts and Logic.
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  13. I am so disappointed that Ian did not mention the biggest possibility that US blown it up. Poland dared not praising US if it did it.
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  14. You clearly only speak from your wish, not reality. Check out the human history. Now there is a real danger of at least tactic nuke usage in Ukraine. If you have doubt that Putin will use nuke before he loses the war, you are just childish.
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  15. Macau had the similar National Security Law for decades. Its One Country Two System has worked very well. Of course you can’t use Hong Kong as a base to undermine China anymore. This is what One Country means.
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  16.  @Courage2006  First, the US didn't split China. Second, Taiwan has never been part of the People's Republic of China. => You are so ignorant of the history and current event. Without the US 7th fleet in Taiwan Strait 1950, Taiwan was already part of PRC. And PRC vs ROC are still in a unfinished Civil War.
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  17. On the flip side, because of QUAD etc, PRC will be more focused and united against outsiders. So at the end, it is whether China will win or lose. If China win, then QUAD is a bad idea since it makes PRC stronger and if China lose, then QUAD is the last straw that breaks Camel's back. Let us wait and see.
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  18. He is already one of the most rational and reasonable voice on US side. War will not break out for Taiwan this year or early next year, but China is clearly preparing for it since all sides agree that the peaceful unification is dead. The best possible outcome is Taiwan gives up under PRC's overwhelming Military Pressure. The worse is a war between US and China.
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  19. War has its own life, just like Army Race. You can see the collision is coming, but you can't stop it. Only enough serious damage or out-right defeat of one-side (unlikely in tis case) can result in settlement.
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  20. With the rise of oil and gas price caused by new sanction again, Russia may get even more revenue just like they have more GDP now due to the oil/gas bonanza than before sanction.
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  21. HK still has One Country Two Economic Systems AND One Country One & Half Political System (the half is pure local political issue, not anything touching National or International Issue). I hope HK can keep it that way by working with Mainland like Macao.
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  22. Just human-nature. Same story for thousands years all over the world for the unfortunate countries or tribes around any Powerful Empire.
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  23. 1) These concerns are real. But “no one is above the law” is much more important than all of them. 2) When all these cases become apparent with evidences and convictions, enough voters will be convinced that Trump is unfit for the Presidency. I have this faith about The Voters.
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  24. One thing I strongly disagree with Ian is the Risk of Taiwan Conflicts. He views the source for more conflict last year as from China. Hence the need for peaceful environment for Olympic and PRC important meeting mean more Peaceful Taiwan Strait. I think the more conflicts last came from Taiwan's feeling of their Chance of Independence is slipping away due to PRC's steady Rise and US's domestic political needs for Tough On China. So that means 2022 could be even worse than 2021 depending on how far Taiwan would push the independence.
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  25.  @TaichiStraightlife  You are right that Russia took all these lands from someone. But you also forget or maybe intentionally to skip the fact Russian is persistent, tough, intelligent and powerful. It beat all these foes, including many Western Powers.
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  26.  @KashiARTW  You miss the point. Taiwan's ROC and its Constitution (please read it) are proof that It is part of China, not an independent country. This is different from even Korea and German situations (they were created by occupying force)
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  27.  @Paerigos  If you want war, then there is nothing we can discuss about. I hate War for its suffering. To avoid War is the highest duty of a country's leader. In that sense, Finland before Winter War was bad, like Ukraine now. And the Peace Finland enjoyed for Decades during Cold War was Great. and this Finland ex-officer forgot that and is leading its people to War again!
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  28. He is so wrong. He implied China has to first stop its rising for two sides to make peace. That is impossible. The only real solution for US is admitting the reality that China will pass it as number 1 in near future. The only question is what kind the relationship, friendly or hostile, US wants after China becomes clear number 1 power.
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  29.  @brucel7430  You don't even realize that you are contradicting yourself. You said Xi wanted Hu to be there to show unity, which I actually agree. Then you said Xi wanted to prevent Hu read the document and maybe protest so he removed Hu In Public Eyes. So which one of these you believe is true? If the 2nd one, why Xi allow Hu to be in Public at all? Can you answer this contradiction in your two statement?
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  30.  @brucel7430  You are contradicting yourself again. Xi must approve the final documents. IF there are contents that Xi does not want Hu to read (I doubt it since Hu already retired for 10 years and he actually was the example of the clean retirement, unlike Jiang), Xi would not allow Hu to sit there at all. Again you and I both agree Xi is in total control. But you don't understand the Fact Hu had Xi's permission to sit there. And the important CCP meetings were all arranged and settled before hand. Xi and other CCP Supreme Leaders would not allow any accident, unless it is like medical one here.
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  31.  @brucel7430  One more fact for you, one day before this final meeting, all Hu's favorites candidates were all out of the group of 25 top senior leaders. This means Hu already knew all his men were out of powers for the top 7 which comes out of the top 25. There is no So Called Surprise Candidate List here Westerner guessed to prevent Hu to read. You better checked that out. What happened is the guy next to Hu noticed Hu lost sense and hence he started talked to him and helped him organized the files in front of him. Hu actually mistaken Xi's documents as his own. You need to view the full version. And before that was almost half day of closed door meeting and real voting. Hu knew everything and Xi could remove Hu before the reporters coming in. You need check these facts out.
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  32.  @gnolan4281  You are so funny. Russia does not just sell oil to Europe right? India is buying at 10x their normal rate. China can step up at any time. And that 90% cut is the target at year end. You need to figure out why Russia economy is not collapsing like West expected and is actually Growing. But the Inflation at West is going over the roof. Russia could easily last 10-20 years in this wars. Let us see whether West can last that long and pump up Ukraine at around $100 billion a year.
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  33. He lives a real world and you are living in a dream world. He said vey right that Every country has the right to decide its own action, but no one can escape the reaction or price to its action, including the mighty US.
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  34. These guys just asserted the short-term pain of open-up is much less than long-term pain of zero policy without any evidence. 1) They assume the zero policy will fail with Omicron. This is not likely at all. 2) Even if zero policy will fail, it is much better than open-up in short term. They both agreed with that. 3) At worse, China should only open up when there is clearly evidence the zero policy will fail, like Xi'an could not get to zero in a month etc. Otherwise all these discussion is baseless. 4) For long-term, China should open up after either the next variant is much more mild than even Omicron or it has its population vaccinated with more effective mRNA vaccines. Both could happen in 1-2 years.
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  35.  @OlJackBurton  Time will tell, right? China clearly contained Delta (Xi'an is Delta and Tianjin is Omicron). Let us wait for few months to see whether it can contain Omicron.
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  36.  @flyjet787  Just possible, not the likely everyone is talking about. This is playing Trick by downplaying the possibility.
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  37.  @delbass6723  Like you said yourself "I believe". Since the use of Nuke is such an existential threat, I suggest you to rely less on your belief and more on the cautious assumption. Let us keep Ukraine, also Finland and Georgia, not joining NATO and see whether Putin will use Nuke. Worse that could happen is the fighting moves to Poland. But that is a Price worthy paying to at least try avoiding Nuclear War.
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  38.  @delbass6723  Nuke is existential to all of us, except Putin is losing anyway right? Like Putin said many times, if Russia does not exist (meaning Putin does not exist), why we (means Putin) need the World to Exist? You really need to think about this Hard. The simple fact is that Ukraine in NATO is an existential threat in Putin Mind and Ukraine inside Russia is NOT an existential Threat to NATO. This imbalance causes the possible use of Nuke by Putin and no response from West when that does happen. You better really think through this.
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  39.  @delbass6723  This clearly shows your fatal problem: "If Putin starts using nukes the world will have no choice but to stop him." NO. If Putin starts to use Nuke in Ukraine, the world either yield with only more economic sanctions (which I predict because Ukraine is not worth the West dying itself for) or start a Nuclear war with Russia that We All Die, even the Chinese or African from Nuclear Winter indirectly. You need Get that Right. All you other guesses are Useless in the Face of Death of the whole human race.
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  40.  @delbass6723  Thanks for correcting my English. Since you understand my argument, despite my English problem, And did not dispute my argument, I take it as either you Agree with my Argument or unable to rebuttal it. Again, I totally disagree with you on your statement "Once again, if Vladdy uses a nuke, I guarantee that every Russian will die (not dye). " Please reread my previous Arguments! In short If Putin uses a nuke in Ukraine, the West will either ignore it (most likely) or will respond with a nuke and We are ALL going to die. If you think West will willing to die for Ukraine, then you are brainless. They did not even dare to send one Solider to Ukraine Now.
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  41.  @july4cat  You clearly do not know the new Cuba Chinese Spy Activity scandal in US. And you also do not know the old Cuba Missile Crisis.
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  42.  @Courage2006  @Zack Wang That's like saying that Australia, Canada, and India are part of the British Empire. Or that Ireland is part of the UK. Or that California is part of Mexico. Or that Pakistan is part of India. => This is so funny. Do you know PRC and ROC are still in an unfinished Civil War? Please learn some history before you make your comment.
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  43.  @Courage2006  You are so funny. You did not rebuttal my point at all and then claimed I was wrong. Before 7th Fleet came in at 1950, everyone knew CCP could defeat KMT again and retake Taiwan. Please address this Point. It was a Civil War then and still a Civil War now. Please address this point. These two facts make your argument Taiwan was never Part of PRC useless. Do you see that! By the way, when you claimed China Pays me to lie, please show your evidence. Otherwise you are Lying. I claimed you do not know history and I proved it by showing you the Key Historical Facts that you do not know. This is the difference between You and Me.
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  44.  @Courage2006  Also exactly because the West humiliated China for the past almost 200 years including 1950 7th Fleet and 1996 again, the Chinese People are determined to defend its Honor in recovering Taiwan (lost to Japan first and then to US 7th Fleet). You under-estimate their resolve at your own peril.
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  45.  @Courage2006  Show me an international law that forbids PRC to finish its civil war? You have no right to force Mainland Chinese to give up their rights for their country. And show me another decode old unfinished Civil War you claimed existed (Korea and German do not count since they were created by occupying force, not civil wars). Please don't just assert something without an existing example.
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  46.  @Courage2006  You have to prove PRC is more like Nazi or Imperial Japan than PRC itself in Korean War and Vietnam War. I think the Taiwan situation is more like US Civil War and PRC will fight to the End. Just be aware, it will be worse for US if it involves than in Korean War since PRC is much more advanced now.
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  47.  @Courage2006  1) A civil war is a civil war whether it was thousand years ago, hundred years ago or now. As long as one side does not give up the military option, it will be decided on battle ground. 2) You really need to learn the fact that in US military's own war game about Taiwan in past decade, US lost every time and got worse each year. 3) The only wars US lost on battle ground is Korean War. US better be careful not to repeat that experience, especially since PRC is much stronger now than in 1950.
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  48.  @Courage2006  The US military disagrees with you. They lost in war game to China ten years ago and it got worse every year. I am pretty sure they know the US vs China military capability around Taiwan Straits much better than you. Since this is a war in China, there is no way US military could win it since they could not control the Mainland itself where the fighter jets and missiles based. The only question is whether China is willing to risk the economic sanction. Judging from CCP's history and similar situations for Russia, Iran etc, economic sanction would not stop PRC to unify China. For Korean War PRC drove US army from Chinese border to 38th line. This is a military defeat by Chinese Troop by any definition. You better learn the real history. By the way, I am still waiting for you to cite the international law you claimed that prevents PRC to finishes its Civil War.
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  49.  @PavelZaitsev  @Qing Zhou genocidal commie discourse => useless assertion. Please backup with facts and logic!
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  50.  @PavelZaitsev  @Zack Wang nah China is part of Taiwan. You got it wrong way CCP roaches don’t like people to know => Funny, when Taiwan considered Mainland part of ROC (President Ma's 8 years) there was Peaceful across Taiwan straits. I am sure you don't understand Why. So Please make sure the Current Taiwan Leadership agrees with Your Opinion.
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