Youtube comments of Philip B (@philipb2134).
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Accept this as you might, but est. over a quarter of Russia's initial forces engaged in its attack on Ukraine are no longer (killed, wounded , missing, captured, PTSD) available for operational service. The assault on Ukraine was the most incompetent genuine military operation since WWII.
Finland's armed forces are well staffed, highly motivated to defend their homes, and are equipped with the best equipment available, which commanders in Ukraine hold in their dreams. Don't mess with the Finns, especially because now it has security from Britain. Then again, Putin is obviously deranged, so we might see possibly even worse aggression initiatives against common decency,
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@dsamh That is inaccurate. In 2021, the European NATO allies which met the benchmark defense spending 2% of GDP were: UK, France, Greece, Poland, Romania, Croatia, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia. The 2 most powerful military forces in western Europe met the benchmark. Germany is putting in roughly 1.5%, a substantial increase: it used to spend 1% with the full blessing of fellow NATO members, as doubling the Bundeswehr would freak out the Russians; but they have been upping their commitment.
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I had been living in London at the time, and had followed the conflict at the time, met some Rhodesians after the conflict.
I had some problems with your video. For starters, the pronunciation. ZAPU was pronounced 'zoppu'; ZANU was pronounced 'zonnu'; what now is Harare was Salisbury - then pronounced, as is the original in England, as 'Solsburry'. The Selous Scouts were 'Selloo'. Frelimo was pronounced 'frayleemo', but definitely not 'fremmillo' 04:49.
Apart from being supported by different Communist powers, the liberation movements were heavily based on tribal ethnicity: ZAPU was mainly Ndebele, and ZANU was mainly Shona. That had led to occasional clashes between them during the Bush War, and severe domestic problems after full independence. You might have mentioned that.
04:43 Unlike your spoken commentary, Mozambique did not gain independence in 1945. You had also expressed that, in desperation, the UDI government later started to allow African natives to serve ini the armed forces, however the Rhodesian African Rifles had served since day 1 of the UDI regime, later being expanded from one battalion to three.
It would also have been proper for you to use representations of the South African flag of the time, when it was under the apartheid regime instead of the modern one adopted after that regime ended. I was also disappointed that you had not mentioned the liberation forces actions at their main target: Beitbridge, their primary supply line from South Africa.
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@khuret1773 You seem to place some value and credibility on the notion of an opposed Soviet amphibious invasion of Japan in the waning moments of WWII. If you had studied what it took for the western Allies to undertake landings under fire at Dieppe, Anzio, Salerno. Normandy... you might not have been so fast to proclaim that the Soviets, operating primarily out of Nakhodka and especially Vladivostok - could have been up to the task. The Soviet forces in the Pacific Far East were at the far end of a very long logistics chain almost exclusively served by the Trans-Siberian railway, and with a very small industrial base locally.
There was no way the Soviets in Summer 1945 might have gathered enough force along with the complex matrix of logistical solutions to carry out a successful invasion of one of the major Japanese home islands if these were adequately defended: the would . It invasion force was not fiy for task; it would have been pointless for them to do so if the islands were not adequately defended.
From what I have understood, they could not have staged an attack on the home islands, except for limited ambitions in northern Hokkaido - and then could not have done so except at the cost of casualties not acceptable to any other army.
Since Stalin didn't give a damn about Soviet casualties, maybe that might have happened anyway. As it turned out SU invaded and took ovee the southern half of the shared island of Sakhalin, several islands in the Kuril chain, along with with closer inshore Kunashiri, Shikotan, Etorofu, and the Habomai group - which Japan still considers part of its integral sovereign territory.
Fun fact: technically, WWII is still happening: an armistice had been signed between SU and Japan, but no peace treaty - because Russia (as successor to SU) will not restore Japan's occupied Northern Territories.
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@Raptorman0909 it also has zero to do with facts. it would not be worth their while for tuna canneries to disrupt their production flow just to "siphon off" what meager amounts of oil might be derived from the fish. That allegation is pure BS.
In the US, canned tuna is regulated by the FDA through the Standard of Identity, incorporated into the Food, Drugs, and Cosmetics Act. The SoI governed the permissible can sizes, the permissible species, the packing style, the color designations, the permissible ingredients, and more. For example, only albacore can be labeled "white meat. To be labeled as "chunk", 50% must be retained on a half-inch seive. And so on.
Wouldn't you find it more rewarding to write about something about which you weren't clueless?
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@Raptorman0909 Do I have an explanation for why the tuna you buy is not as good as you remember from yore? Yes: greed, and the race to the bottom.
When I was in the business, a standard can of chunk light was 6.5 oz net weight, but now it's 5 oz; more telling to your palate, is that better-established brands used to pack yellowfin as their default retail canned tuna. Nowadays they might offer skipjack, if you are lucky.
In their wisdom, FDA since approved all species of the Thunnini tribe to be canned tuna. A Taiwanese trader offered "chunk light" packed from auxis rochei - newly legal as canned tuna, but not acceptable to my clients.
What the brands you buy will put in your mouth is unlikely to be the same fish you had as a kid. Heck, when I was in the business, pretty much nobody ever listed yellowfin on their label. Yellowfin has since become relatively expensive versus other tunas.
Anything else you want to know about canned tuna? If you are generally interested in various tunas, you might check out the excellent FAO Species Catalogue:"Scombrids Of The World." It is also available online.
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Candy bars are shrinking because the prices are ""sticky". While other items can have price increases passed on, candy bar prices are firmly anchored in the consumer mind, and there is stiff resistance to increases.
That also applies to canned tuna; worse, canned tuna is often used by supermarkets as a loss-leader, which puts additional pressure on prices. The most effective way manufacturers could increase real prices,weres by cutting the packing size. In the tuna business, this is informally known as "the candy bar trick".
'But,' you might protest, 'a can of tuna is a can of tuna, right?' Well, no. Today your familiar can of chunk light tuna in the US is 5 oz. In the late 1980's , it was 6.5 oz, as mandated by law (the corresponding Standard of Identity.) If someone tried to sell you a 5 oz retail can of tuna, there would have been legal hell to pay.
The nominal price hasn't budged, but you're now getting nearly a quarter less in your "can of tuna." Adjust recipes accordingly.
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+Cooper How much do you know of the Soviet economy? It would be grotesque on my part to assume that you are not familiar with the Gosplan; however, the inadequacies of a centrally-planned economy within a highly dynamic international competition are not immediately apparent.
The many variants of capitalism - all with some ruthlessness in the allocation of resources - functioned without the need of a vigilant, preferably non-corrupt. overseer
Corruption was endemic in the USSR - communist ideology had not eliminated greed nor other human foibles; the concentration and monopoly of power had given these more scope to do harm.
In a centrally-planned economy, the output of one unit of production will be the input of another, and neither of them had much autonomy - they're part of The Plan. .If the output of Factory A makes the downstream output of Factory B, that messes up the Plan. Not to worry, the Soviets had their own mechanism for resolving such issues: Gosarbitrazh.
When Gorbachev took over, the caseload of Gosarbitrazh was increasing exponentially. Among the many problems, the hated West was evolving far faster than any master Plan might handle. Up to the early 80s, approximately, government investment in the West had discretely subsidized technologies applied by the private sector; then the reality flipped, and the public sector became a net importer of tech. The Soviet Union did not have a vibrant private sector which could support the State's requirements.
When the collapse came, it was not because of Gorby. He did the best he could with a poisoned hand.
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+blurglide
You are using an assumption that humans are by nature lazy and will only be productive if there is sufficient external motivation to overcome that laziness. That is not the case. Certainly laziness is a character trait found among humans, else we would not have it in our vocabulary. One does observe the phenomenon, however, of people giving of their own free time to provide volunteer labor; it is quite common for heirs to vast fortunes who could easily lead lives of indolent hedonism, instead devote their lives to, say, scientific research.Work in and of itself can provide dignity and meaning to life beyond ensuring one's standard of living.
The Soviet economy was deeply flawed as a system capable of building and sustaining an advanced industrial society, but one of those flaws was not motivating workers under "the crack of the whip" after destalinification. The Soviets had developed an interesting and somewhat effective system of incentives which relied on rewards rather than on fear - the brilliant economist, Mancur Olson, had analyzed this lucidly. I regret that I had studied this well over a decade ago and so can not give you exact references.
"Relying on natural consequences..." You might not mean this, might have expressed yourself poorly - but you seem to deny ANY possibility of kinder forms of society between your "crack of the whip", and devil-take-the-hindmost capitalism red in tooth and claw. Would that be misreading what you had expressed?
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+M Rey
Giving "the government" more power is not always a bad thing. For starters, mandatory quarantines have saved indeed many lives.
Given your attitude, I would suspect that you're American, and on the right wing. I would invite you to take a closer look at other electoral advanced "western" democracies, and not that many of them defer much more power to their respective governments, yet retain similar levels of freedom as do Americans. True, in some of them you won't have the right to keep firearms at home - but OTOH they give their citizens freedom from want, and freedom from fear in ways that Americans can barely comprehend.
Your opposition seems to be based on political grounds alone. Could you please explain why there might not be any opportunity to devolve power to address man-made climate disruption factors... down to the community level?
But, let's get back to the topic at hand. Do you accept or deny that * certain gases, among them CO2, trap heat in the atmosphere?
* that a sharp increase in atmospheric CO2 will trap more heat, and so result in temperatures higher than would be the case if there were not this increase in CO2?
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Commentators will, at times, seek to wrap themselves in a cloak of righteousness before they rap.
As far as Christianity goes: there are more than 1,000 denominations in existence today. Not all of them will necessarily agree on any given point of theology.
For example, some denominations (heavily represented in the US,) claim that Earth and all... is no more than some 6 to 7 thousand years old; meanwhile, a priest from Catholic University of Louvain consensually is credited as the earliest known proponent of the 'Big Bang' theory.
Islam has many traditions, some of which can quickly become repugnant; however, though having grown up in a Christian tradition, I am vastly more comfortable among Muslims of the Sufi tradition than. say, among the ilk of Ken Ham.
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@adamf7089 That were a good general principle. You might explain to what extent Disney might not be paying its "fair share". As this video had pointed out, that part of FL was only marginally developed, so in exchange for Disney bringing in a huge amount of local development for which the Mouse had to shell out huge amounts in infrastructure investment, Disney was granted a certain amount of fiscal autonomy within the territory it had upgraded, to protect its investment. That was the deal.
Any economist worth his salt will tell you that a pioneering enterprise which sets up in an undeveloped backwater, might make it thrive beyond the government just adding a few roads, bridge, and dams - do you really expect that Orlando would have an international airport if it were not for Disney?
Yet, you ask a fair question. In what way do you have a sense that Disney were not "paying its fair share"? Do bear in mind that Disney, as an international corporation, is under scrutiny elsewhere for ESG: Environmental, Social, and Governance - and that is not only by governments and NGOs, but also by investment funds which have noticed that "woke" i,e non-nasty corporations tend to yield higher returns. Paying your fair share of taxes is a must.
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You will have your own personalized interpretation of imperialism. For the record, the US has no colony in Europe, such as 'colony' consensually is understood. NATO is a mutual defense pact focused on military matters. If, as you contend, it also had an economic agenda: then it failed dismally in such an effort for more than a generation.
There was broad support for the establishment of ECSC, which later evolved into EEC. There was no coercion to have other members join - indeed, France had vetoed UK's accession on several occasions. To this day, old-time NATO members such as Norway and Turkyie are not EU members, and UK had even seceded. Meanwhile, Ireland and Austria are EU members, but not in NATO; for some time, Sweden and Finland have been EU members, but not in NATO - although recently they had changed their minds, backed by popular support. UK, Denmark, and Portugal were founding members of NATO, but only joined the European economic project much later. You've been caught with your pants down.
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@chepinchan You confuse military power with the number of troops - these concepts are not equivalent. A platoon from a first-rate modern army could handily defeat a Roman cohort. India might put more uniforms on more of its citizens, but the budgetary burden of making them an effective fighting force fast could cripple the government.
Japan punches below its weight because of limitations written into their pacifist constitution at the insistence of the United States. Several Japanese governments have tried to increase their country's military power, and the current one appears to be succeeding in refashioning its military doctrine to allow more muscular responses to threats or aggression.
Germany got by with its comparatively weak armed forces because it would have freaked out countries which remember what happened last time there was a major land war on European soil, and because Germany's own citizenry had become 'gun-shy'. For Germany to reach the NATO 2% GDP target for military spending would just about double the Bundeswehr, which would have been unacceptable to USSR / later Russia. What Russia thinks is no longer as relevant, now that it has launched a full-on war against Ukraine. In the wake of that, the German government announced a sharp increase in military spending, but of course this will take time for it to work out in field realities. And BTW, the Fulda Gap no longer being a problem: US, French, and British armies in Germany had significantly scaled back their presence in Germany.
You mention Canada as a country that punches below its weight... yet Canada has repeatedly deployed her forces at the service of UN peacekeeping missions. That is not the behaviour of a country with a paucity of military resources; Australia arguably is better protected by geographic isolation than by "US protection."
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@ardalan hamidi = in reply to your comment of 3 days ago...
EU is a supra-national entity with no organic capability nor military structure for going to war with anyone - EU has no more ability to go to war than does the Universal Postal Union. This is a no-case scenario. Most member states are NATO members, which - if attacked - will trigger Article 5 and automatically bring the UK into the fight anyway; OTOH if the Russians attack, say, Austria: the UK will not automatically be compelled by NATO treaty obligations to join in common defense. Meanwhile, the totality of the armed forces of EU members (even including the UK) do not have anything close to the capability of conducting an aggressive war against Russia - so that is a no-case scenario.
_
I have no idea what you refer to when you allege that "EU sells staff to countries outside of EU". Slavery is illegal throughout EU, as is human trafficking.
_
"...planes from none EU countries fly to EU every day (even from hostile countries like Russia ". Indeed they do - planes from countries with which there are existing agreements. By leaving EU, there will no longer be an instrument governing flights between EU member states and the UK. That's not to say that one can not be devised and ratified - but all commercial air traffic between UK and EU will be in legal limbo. That's not scaremongering - it's just the way it is.
_
Without a formal agreement to the contrary, post-Brexit UK import tariffs, by the way, are not set by EU, nor are they set by UK - they are set by WTO. There is a standard schedule into which any WTO member can request to incorporate modifications... but agreement is subject to unanimous agreement by all WTO members (27 of which will be EU members, each with a veto.) If you think negotiating a favorable deal with EU was hard, that will be nothing compared with trying to clear tariff schedules by unanimous consent within WTO.
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+Chad Clemen, evil troll What allows you to declare that Obama "wasn't" (he's still alive, BTW) black? Until rather recently, in many states south of the Mason-Dixon line, he would have been legally considered so - however he identify himself. His presidency was far from disastrous. The current expansion - our 2nd longest so far - began in June 2009 and continued through the end of his presidency, even to this day - an uninterrupted 80 months of economic expansion, i.e. longer than the previous expansion rebounding from the dotcom crash. Unemployment fell from 10% to 4%. Tens of millions obtained health care. He restored confidence among America's allies after this had been frittered away by his predecessor's unjustified invasion of Iraq. Iran's nuclear program was constrained. The US signed the Paris Climate Agreement. That is far from being a failure, let alone disastrous. Historians will likely give him a grade of B..And FYI, he is not, nor had ever been, a communist - no matter how often nazis like you insist otherwise.
.
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The initial transfer of weapons was reasonably fast. At first, Ukraine received significant quantities of Warsaw Pact-era weapons systems (Mig 29 fighter jets, T72 tanks, etc.) , which the Ukrainians know how to use. In some cases, modern western systems could not be rapidly supplied to Ukraine because those ex-Soviet systems were only transferred on the understanding that these would swiftly be replaced by Western equivalents - which meant fewer available for Ukraine. Apart from the US, most NATO .members have deployed weapons according to their needs, with some reasonable spares and reserves - so little left to spare.
There were impressive early deliveries of easy to use infantry-deployed systems such as Javelin MANPADS and NLAW anti-tank missiles, These helped defeat Russia's attempt to take Kyiv. These were shoulder-mounted munitions which are easy to use, and cheap. The war in the Donbas is very different: its key element is artillery duels. Artillery systems are for more complex, vastly more expensive, and with a much longer replacement led time than those infantry-manned systems.
I would prefer that Ukraine got the weapons it needs much faster, but there are complications.
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@marcusonesimus3400 "There are military generals, typically one per nation"...you really don't know what you're talking about, do you? In the US Air Force, there are seven 4-star generals.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_active_duty_United_States_four-star_officers
and there are many more generals of lower rank, I n Western countries: among field commands, a 1-star general typically commands a brigade, hence the title "brigadier general" (there are plenty of them); a 2-star typically will be in command of a division, and so on.
You deride commentators on this thread as "armchair generals", but there actually are civilians who are very well informed about military matters. Some people learn a lot about sport; others learn a lot about warfare.
I applaud Tiago Gomes. I had studied Operation Overlord, and am well aware of the risks involved in an amphibious invasion - and the Allies had better odds at succeeding in 1944 than PLA would have now. IMO the PRC would have a better chance if they went the same route as Operation Mercury: the Germans started with an airborne invasion of Crete, and once the paratroopers took the airport a Meleme, they were able rapidly to fly in reinforcements and conquer the island.
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@amercanmade2685 The USSR had the word "socialist" in its official name, but - except for the US - it was recognized in the rest of the free world as communist, not socialist. Before the Velvet Revolution, Czecoslovakia was the
Czechoslovak Socialist Republic (again, communist instead of socialist.) In Yugoslavia there were constituent republics: Socialist Republic of Bosnia and Herzegovina, Socialist Republic of Croatia, Socialist Republic of Macedonia, Socialist Republic of Montenegro, Socialist Republic of Serbia, Socialist Republic of Slovenia. Unlike the various countries of the Warsaw Pact, Yugoslavia is often considered as having been socialist instead of communist, as it maintained higher levels of personal freedom and did not operate under a centrally-planned state-run and owned economy.
Mitterand was President of France from May 1981 to May 1995; the second Socialist President was
François Hollande (May 2012 - may 2017). The yellow jacket movement happened under Macron - from the center-right, currently in office.
Some areas of Spain were under a socialist government during the Republic, before that was wiped out by Franco and his fascist allies from Germany and Italy. Many would consider the mixed economies of countries such as Sweden, Denmark, and so on as 'socialist', although, like the SPD in Germany, they officially style themselves as "social democrats".
Unlike you, I pay a lot of attention to such matters. I lived in and either worked or went to school in 6 countries on 3 continents.
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+TrueReality
All - repeat, all - theories are "made up": they first are formulated by the human mind. Classical electromagnetism, for example, was not revealed in stone tablets engraved by bolts of lightning. By definition, theories are the product of human thought.
In this video, the presenter states that the climate has always been changing. Is your quarrel with him? Do you contend that the planet is not experiencing a rising trend i mean global temperatures? If so: what is your peer-reviewed source?
Do you dispute that CO2 and some other gases trap heat within the atmosphere? If not: is it your contention that the effect has essentially maxed out, and that additional CO2 can not trap more heat than already is occurring?
As to your question: why aren't we afraid of the ozone layer anymore? We never were afraid of it - instead, we were afraid of its rapid disappearance as was observed in polar regions: since it's what protects us from intense deadly UV radiation. Our fears have much abated because we acted: we recognized the danger, and implemented the treaty instrument known as the Montreal Protocol to phase out ozone-depleting chemicals such as CFCs.There are still alerts in Australia and especially in the bottom tip of South America, where the threat persists and yet triggers public emergencies warning citizens to take shelter from the heightened solar danger. If you live in Ushuaia, worrying about the hole in the ozone layer is truly not a thing of the past.
For my part, I am more worried about the shorter-term threat from ocean acidification caused by humans burning fossil fuels.
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+TrumpFoundation
New York went Democratic in the last 7 presidential elections. In 2012, Romney won Putnam, but not one single county south of there. Of the counties Romney won, his highest total was barely larger than Obama's margin of victory in Albany County alone. Apart from Albany, the other counties carried by Obama with at least 60% north of NYC were Tompkins, Clinton, Franklin, and heavily-populated Westchester, Meanwhile, Obama carried 4 of New York City's 5 counties by 4 to 1 or better (9 to 1 in Bronx), except for Richmond - which Romney lost by less than 1%. Obama even carried Nassau by more than 6%.
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+commnter10
Coincidence is not causation. Since the first test at Trinity site, cancer cases have risen [choose your adjective of woe.].
Part of that will be due to better diagnosis, and that people are not dying from a lot of previously fatal diseases: even the most prosperous used to drop like flies from TB. Now it's become an anomaly even among the poor among advanced economies.
Since Trinity, lots of things have changed, many of which reasonably then contribute to higher rates of cancer. Among them are the rapid rise of non-nuclear atmospheric pollutants, - not just from industry, but also from a massive increase in car ownership, combined with more lead-belching miles per vehicle.
We have also subjected our populations to an uncontrolled epidemiological experiment in exposing them - us, me, you - to a barrage of novel pharmaceuticals, including some which tweak hormonal levels;
-new chemicals incorporated into our larger environment, our homes, our personal care items, even our foods.
In large, non-localized populations, it is tauntingly difficult to tease out any one among a bewildering variety of factors which increase or decrease rates of cancer incidence.
A test ban treaty, CTBT, had essentially eliminated (with scant alleged exceptions,) atmospheric testing ~ about four decades ago. But the overall rise in cancer cases yet has not flatlined, neither has the trend gone toward remission..
I will not suggest that atmospheric testing had caused NO unlikely cancers { that would be severe denial); but OTOH your fear/ maluscious projections might not be sustainable,
once given at least some review, some scrutiny.
Gaudete
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"...Judging from your reply, you are a european leftist who has never visited USA.." DEAD WRONG. i was born In the USA, and I live here now. I used to have to commute through Harlem, and admit that I often felt fear - but it that was not unjustified, nor was I alone in this. South Bronx was worse, as was Bed-Stuy. There are parts of cities such as Miami or LA where outsiders do not go - out of fear. I doubt you would easily be persuaded to take a 3-hour casual stroll alone through South Central between 10 PM and 5 AM..
Another figment of your diseased mind is your hallucinating that I had made any "argument of Americans living 'fear of guns'. " I had done no such thing, and in fact I quite enjoy handling guns with care, and using them responsibly. I have friends and family who live in remote areas, and fully support that they arm themselves for protection. What i had done in my comment, however, was to point out that the the right to keep firearms at home is uncommon in Europe.
A lot of hard working Americans live just one paycheck from disaster; one bad injury, and you rapidly go bankrupt. If you think this does not cause fear and anxiety, you're just plain stupid.
Speaking of which - you wrote. "deaths by guns is a tiny percentage compared to deaths of americans by cars". Well..., that's a weird way of interpreting the official figures: in 2013 there were 32,719 motor vehicle fatalities (per NHTSA) vs 33,169 deaths related to firearms (per CDC&P). According to WHO - in 2012, an estimated 372 000 people died from drowning worldwide - with low- and middle-income countries accounting for 91% of unintentional drowning deaths: so even if the US accounted for every single death by unintentional drowning, that would be 33480 - slightly more than US gun deaths. Actually, according to CDC&P, the 2005 - 2009 average annualf atal US drownings came to 3,880.
You: "...for starters america does not even ranked in top 100 nations where most murders occur." That might be true, but it's also irrelevant. Much of the world is in conflict, or has weak institutions. Let's instead compare what is more credibly comparable. Based on UNODC figures: the US, with a rate of 3.8 per 100,000, comes in 4th among 28 members of NATO, 3rd among 34 OECD members.
You are just so full of crap.
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+MALayhee700
Not a fan of due process, are you?
Oh, and by the way, lots of people took lots of shit in those days. If you worked in a factory or a mine, and the boss passed by: you would stop what you were doIng, stand up, take off your cap, and bow - no matter where you were, except in church.
If WWII vets had had the internet in 1900, they would mostly later have been too old to serve in the armed forces roughly FOUR DECADES AFTER 1900. Most of the service members were younger than 39 or so at the outbreak of WWII. Basic arithmetic is not your strong point either, is it?
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+Fart Bart
You do understand that those trillions of dollars in debt are not loaned by Martians or Klingons, but by other humans.
Taking on debt is not always a bad thing. How many people do you know who have bought a home and paid in cash? Have you ever worked for a company which bought goods and services and paid net 30? Think about it: an economy which did not allow credit and debt would never have grown so large.
The absolute size of a sovereign entity's debt is not as consequential as other matters, such as its ability to service the debt - unlike humans who eventually all die, typically countries rarely do, and there seldom is a higher power which comes to liquidate in order to collect.
And then, the debt which has been incurred did not all go up in smoke 100%. Some went into investment in infrastructure and human capital, such as education - which typically has a very high rate of return. Some actually went into assets which have a merchantable value: buildings, vehicles, and so on.
If the debts were such a problem, the financial markets surely would have factored that into their calculations, demanding higher premiums - particularly on longer maturities. As I write, the yield on 30-year US Federal debt as reported by Bloomberg (USGG30YR:IND), is 3.0343%. Not high.
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If you take out debt servicing, defense, and prohrs Trump promised not to touch (e.g., Social Security), the remnant federal expenditure is $1.7 trillion: so even if Musk managed to get rid of air traffic controllers, safety officials, NASA, park services, customs agents., courts of Law, highway maintenance... all other government activity: Musk can not meet his target.
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@cdfdesantis699 Except that he never said it. He must have known that there are a number of human activities which require doing the same thing over again and expecting different results - in fact it is necessary in some cases, particularly in education or in training for a sport. If at first you don't succeed: try, try again.
"Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results." — not Albert Einstein
Different versions of this quote appear everywhere (doing the same thing twice, expecting the same result, etc.), and we owe none of them to Einstein.
After Michael Becker, an editor at the Bozeman Daily Chronicle (a local paper in Montana), let the wrong version slide into an editorial, he did some research on his personal blog.
Becker traced the original back to Rita Mae Brown, the mystery novelist. In her 1983 book "Sudden Death," she attributes the quote to a fictional "Jane Fulton," writing, "Unfortunately, Susan didn’t remember what Jane Fulton once said. 'Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results.'"
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The left one (Papantonio) suggested that Facebook/or whatever it's called, is spending millions of dollars on taking out Tiktok. That does not sound like a determined effort from a company which has a net income in the billions.
People might also want to refresh a sense of reality. Those who propose that 170 million Americans are on Tiktok, are telling you that more than 1 in 2 American residents, of all ages, of all economic status... Of All kinds... were on this platform. After all, there were approx 330 million residents as of the last Census a couple of years ago, and we lost over 1M to Covid.
Once you remove the babies, toddlers, kids whose parents can't can't afford the connection or even the equipment to get connected... Parents who are working 2or 3 jobs while trying to raise their kids snd don't have time for online fun... and remove the elder folk (i.e. most of those who are over 40)....
It is ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE for 170 million Americans to be on Tiktok. There might be 170 million accounts on the company's books; but that likely will include inactives and duplicate accounts.
It's a shame, and kind of scary, that we have people seeking to influence legislative power and likely paid to do so, who have such a feeble grasp on rudimentary statistics, but get away with it.
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07:02 Take it with a pinch of salt that 13% of food was lost due to inadequate cold chains. Let's start with: most of the food calories eaten by humans were not subject to a cold chain. We eat foods from dry products - beans, wheat, rice, millet, other grains - which need no refrigeration. For millennia our species has relied greatly on foods preserved otherwise: drying, smoking, pickling, fermenting, salting... and salt was a key survival technology. Roman soldiers were paid in salt - their 'salarium', where we get our noun 'salary', and the expression "worth his/her salt." Some will eat what they grow, and need no cold chain; some grow crops, such as potatoes, which have been preserved without artificial refrigeration for centuries.
In many parts of the world, the deficient cold chain is because none practically exist; in many cases, it's because establishing one is not economically viable. Dispersed smallholders who grow a wide variety of fruits and vegetables can pose a defying range of challenges to middlemen/wholesalers in countries where expensive foreign parts must be used, and energy for refrigeration can't justify the cost. The BBC had aired a podcast under its series: "People Fixing The World", where an initiative in India sent out small mobile facilities which could take un-merchantable produce - those otherwise would go to rot, then pelletize in a dry, stable, nutritious food which otherwise would have gone to waste. Cold is good; but not the exclusive way to secure how to feed Humanity.
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The first Gallic Roman province was not today's Provence - it was Cisalpine Gaul.. This was centered on tho Po Valley, running from the Alps to the Rubicon, which marked the border with the Republc. Under Roman law, it was forbidden for a general on external campaign to enter with his troops, except by invitation from the Senate.
When Julius Caesar crossed the Rubicon in force, the die was cast: he was now guilty of treason, and would either prevail... or die.
When Caesar crossed into Italy, Rome was not yet on the brink of civil war, but it became increasingly obvious that the governing structure of the Republic was no longer adequate for their sprawling empire. Julius became dictator.
It was after his assassination that 3 prominent Romans - Pompey, Marc Anthony, snd Octavian - ruled in the Triumvirate. It eas only after this collapsed that civil war broke out. Octavian was victorious, and became the Emperor Augustus.
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IMO Japanese law enforcement officers assume that they will face little pushback.
1986, Fukuroi. It's not on the tourist trail, but I took a slow local train to get there - I was inquiry into zen, and there was a local centre which might light my lantern.
With time on my hands, I rented a bicycle, and wandered for the fun and needed exercise. In the middle of rice fields, a local cop car intercepted me. I had done nothing wrong, had observed all road regulations.... but yet, was stopped for no reason. One of the officers spoke English to a creditable level, and seemed to accept that nit were absurd that i might steal a low-value bike after having travelled over 10,000 to get there.
It started to rain, hard; I was getting soaked, the cops were better equipped. I pointed out that there eas a bus shelter abt. 120m ahead, and can't we continue this out of the rain?
They agreed, and sped off. They left me with a very bitter sense of Japan's enforcement of Justice.
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@rockjockchick I find it difficult to accept how a doctor, sworn to the Hippocratic Oath, would have sent a report of dire medical urgency to the White House instead of to, perhaps, the CDC, or NIH, or Johns Hopkins, WHO, the Mayo Clinic, NEJM, The Lancet... any respectable source of medical learning?
The answer might reside in your contention that there allegedly had been a 100% recovery rate. That almost never happens in real life, as there often are co-morbidity factors which inevitably will drag survival rates down.
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VERDUN, fin de siecle
.
.
I walked astride the remnants of trenches
Ancient now
That the flame eternal
Flickers with less passion
come the passing of the grandfathers
Decades escaped from this grave.
.
.
A sprightly progeny's foot alights
On shards of bone,
On rifle breach,
On buried rations past
Their futile manufacture -
And what was saved?
.
. *
.
They lie alike
In the same violent rest:
The brightest, and the best,
And the wastrels, and the dull,
And the young who never lived their full,
.
Crashed and fallen in the pounded crest
Of yet another of another assault wave;
.
And none can know them by the skull.
.
. *
.
Safe, and placid, and pacified,
.
We can ignore a latent cringe
And never mourn and grieve
For comrades we had never known...
.
.
But - lest we forget,
And be forced to repeat the sins:
.
Let no more generations discover
How masses can be made to believe
"Survival of Civilization"
.
hinge
.
On brother slaughtering brother.
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@Matthew_85k In what way are 'Christians' ..."under attack"? I am not omniscient, so I will defer to your wealth of evidence, should you be kind enough to share.
What had long since come to my attention, is that Black churches are more likely to be burned or bombed or shot-up, than White churches. That violence was, at times, as a result of white racists who spouted pseudo-Christian doggerel.
In much of the US, Jews have reason to fear going to synagogue, Muslims can fear going to their mosque, and even Sikhs had cause to fear after one had been assassinated by a 'Christian' who took divine inspiration to kill someone who did nothing more threatening than to wear a turban.
Just because our society is more diverse than your bigoted family upbringing would like it, that doesn't demonstrate that "Christianity" is under attack, though your own insecurities with a changing society might give you that impression.
Do please search to wrap your head around the concept that there are many churches in Christianity, not all of which might be as bigoted as yours. Ponder that.
If you are not afraid toddler into matters of intellectual interest, consider this. Constantine, Emperor of Rome, had a problem. On ascending to the throne, he had hitched a ride on Christianity, and won. After that,he found that - unlike Roman religion, Christianity of his time was a noisy mess - there were more Gospels than you could shake a stick at. Well, that could not be helpful for the administration of an empire which rested it's legitimacy on overthrowing the old Pagan order.
Constantine gathered the /best and the brightest/ in Niceae, who came up with the Four Gospels you know today, conveniently the ones which best suited Constantine's retention of power. If you think that Christianity is under attack now, imagine what it might have felt like if your Christian faith did not bend to Imperial power.
Reminder: there were NO approved Gospels written down in the life of Jesus, not even in the lives of His apostles. You might care to look into the non-canonical Gospels, available online. My favourite is the Gospel of Thomas: unlike recounts of JC's life and movements and miracles, this is a compendium of what witnesses heard He say.
There are more ways of being a Christian than to brood in imagined attack. Christianity has been there before, and survived without your Brandon false outrage.
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You might further wonder. During the period you reference, there have been pro-freedom and pro-Kremlin governments in Kiev. One might wonder why an eastward-looking Ukrainian government might continue to accept training by Western advisors.
At the outbreak of Russia's Special Military Humiliation, there were ZERO American combat troops in Ukraine. As for "arming Ukraine": at the outset of Russia's full-scale aggression, NATO had supplied to Ukraine a full sum ZERO of: armoured vehicles, fighter jets, short/long-range missiles, MANPADs, anti-tank infantry systems, HIMARS, mobile artillery, Patriot batteries... etc.
None of the above weaponry had been provided to Ukraine for its defense until after Feb 24, 2022.
Why must you lie?
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@victorstone3329 Similar increases, or worse, happened at the same time in
Germany, Ireland, France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Austria, Australia, NZ, Finland, Poland, Norway, Canada... and the list goes on.
In what way were this world-wide phenomenon "Biden's inflation" ???
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@DccAnh The Japanese army in China remained a potent military force up until the end.
It is the Chinese army which had major supply and logistics difficulties. There was no port available for the Allies to provide supplies - these had to come over the Burma Road (or the Ledo Road, at other times), with some most urgent shipments airlifted over the Himalayas. In contrast, Japan's essential major logistics point of vulnerability would have been the narrow transfer of supplies from the home islands to Korea - for decades administered as an integral part of the Japanese Empire; and Korea was a significant component of Japan's military-industrial complex.
You might have been led astray by a recent trend in "just in time delivery". The Japanese commanders, like commanders elsewhere and at other times, would have pressed hard to get what they needed for the prosecution of their military objectives - with a large margin of error.
"The US provided significant support to China, but you will be resistant to this notion (and I don't ant to waste too much time correcting your bovine excreta. "They never once send troop nor help to China"... there was an unofficial combat air corps, commonly known as the'Flying Tigers, sent to help China even before the US was at war.. Read and learn.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flying_Tigers
Your response was not highly informed. Unlike your assertion, US financial and material aid to China in WWII was massive under the Lend Lease program, including 125 P-43 Lancer fighter planes in 1942... etc.
You can red more of US air engagements over China at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aerial_engagements_of_the_Second_Sino-Japanese_War
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We have not been brought into a hideous global war since we became serious about providing foreign aid.
Although we are the #1 providers of foreign aid in gross tonnage, that is also because America's economy AND its population is huge. In relative terms, we have nothing to boast about.
The last time I had a similar argument, was before the pandemic. At that time, the US officially gave a bitpver 0.3% - yes, zero point three percent - of GDP to foreign aid. Norway gave more than 3x as much as a proportion of their GDP per person. [/BTW, Norway is darn rich.]
Other countries which gave more official foreign aid on a percentage basis of their GDP, include: Japan, Australia, NZ, Denmark, UK, Ireland, Sweden, Finland, Germany, Canada, Netherlands, Belgium, France, Spain. Portugal. Italy, Switzerland, Austria...are you getting the picture yet?
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@joeyhoy1995 At the outbreak of WWII, the Kriegsmarine had offensively become a dangerous submarine fleet, but there was effectively little else operating from northern Norway. The Allied Murmansk and Arkangelsk convoys mostly got through, over time. The Soviets ,later today's Russia,still refuse to acknowledge the harsh sacrifice of the Merchant Marines, nor the help provided to the Soviet Union.
Manifestos of ships safely arrived at dock, show that Western allies provided 42,000 trucks. Plus huge supplies of fluids ,fuels, food, ammo , needed to fight.
Please take a moment to pay respect to the brave who kept the Soviet Union supplied in the.common Demand against inhumanity.
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@Mikesorrento3344 The current high rate of inflation is primarily due to supply chain disruptions. If you can actually get your products loaded into your FCL (if you can find one, that is), shipping a container from the western Pacific costs 8 times more than prior to the pandemic.Once it gets to the US West Coast, your cost continue to go up because of the delays to get the ship into port, then to get a truck with a skid and a driver.
As you might have noticed, inflation has gone up sharply in Britain, EU, Japan... well, pretty much everywhere. Because of covid, we spend less on services or experiences (travel, concerts, dining out, haircuts, and so on) and instead spend more on physical stuff. That drives up prices.
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Accusing anyone of having an affair with a gang member, is a serious matter. Defaming someone is not a criminal matter, and litigation shall be decided on the preponderance of evidence - unlike a criminal trial, which requires the unanimity of a jury. Trump IMO is slandering his feared adversary in Fulton County, GA, in full knowledge that if she were to defend her reputation in Court:, that would run out the clock - and if she failed to do so : he would take that as a tacit confession. Trump truly is a puke in billionaire's clothing.
Then, Trump might like to walk a little of this back, for political reasons. Bo Biden had served in our armed forces honorably. None of Trump's kids had served. Come to think of it, Trump got a dubious deferment on "medical grounds". He had some sort of bone sut, which somehow had not been detected in his years at a military academy, although a private one. Vets don't like it when a draft dodger dumps on a departed veteran.
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I had an unfortunate evolution in my education in mathematics. I followed our school (1960's) curriculum and was competitive with the best; then my dad's job moved us to Switzerland, where the curriculum switched into New Math. After that year, I returned to the common curriculum where all of my classmates had one year's advance over me, a head start in algebra. I could not recover from that loss of a year.
Nobody helped. Early in the transition, I asked: what is this 'x' - and was told: that's we are looking for / i.e. go away.
Please for the love of Humanity, explain to young minds more carefully that you will be substituting something recently real in their lives (10-13 years) gently for them, but it is going to feel weird - but follow patience and with curiosity and this will make sense.
I yet managed to deliver potent results in business because I could do basic math. It helped that probability was not a subset of algebra; and I aced that; in our our class, we all were new to calculus, where I ranked second. Maybe I wasn't crap in math, as some suggested.
I would request that you, with colleagues, find a way to keep students from crashing in Algebra. We can not waste more minds for procedural reasons.
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Dr. Reich, I have listened to you over many years, and have been rewarded from receiving your wisdom, and from challenging it. Ideally, so should flow education.
In this instance, I shall throw a grain of sand in your analysis: Trump is a self-assisting narcissist, without any clear grand vision beyond his own stature and means. We can join together in a contest of how much we hate Hitler; but in clear context of larger discussion, Hitler had a view beyond himself. By all accounts I have read, he was quite ascetic, while Trump is all about indulging in luxury.
Hitler fully was about a "Master Race" and its destiny myth; Trump is about Trump, and will use whatever tools are at hand.
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