Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Zeihan on Geopolitics" channel.

  1. You forgot to mention obesity Peter. What percentage of the population don't fit the requirements because they can't fit through the door?
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  2. Great content, at least what I caught of it, but unbelievably low sound and only in one channel. Peter this is your face to the world. It doesn't matter how great your message is if no one can hear you! All the best.
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  3. It could have been much worse than the French. One word - Belgium.
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  4. While everyone is concerned about a war between Iran and Saudi Arabia causing an enormous disruption in the energy flow out of the area, what is often forgotten is that Iran itself uses a lot of energy. Iranian domestic production of oil and gas supplies the majority of its energy and it refines the vast majority of its own petrochemical products. This production and refining would allow it to be domestically virtually unaffected by the closure of the Straights of Hormuz. Conventional thinking would target Karg Island to stop Iran being able to export crude oil and hence cripple Iran economically. If however the USA (or possibly Israel) were to target Iranian refineries then Iran would be forced to import refined products, probably from Saudi Arabia, or face massive civil unrest, possible revolution and economic collapse. This would force Iran to keep the Straights of Hormuz open and improve its relationship with Saudi Arabia. It would also reduce the Iranian budget which would be a good thing. Of course Iran could rebuild its refining capacity, but that could be costly and they could always be destroyed again. Iran and its regime is IMHO much more vulnerable than it appears. Just a thought.
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  5. Yup, it's well past the time that Germany woke up. Sigh.
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  6. Ah, something that I know a bit about. 5:30 The British didn't allow the pound to be used in the colonies because it was backed by gold and if it was used then gold would flow out of the UK. This is why a lot of former British colonies (eg the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, about 20 countries in total) use Dollars. Dollars comes from Spanish Dollars, also known as Pieces of Eight, which were commonly available. Although it didn't matter as much back then as they were all gold and it was the weight and purity of the gold coins that was important. I suspect that the Spanish didn't care that their currency was being used everywhere because they had such a huge influx of gold from South America (but I'm not sure). All the best everyone.
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  7. I love the Dutch, I lived there as a child and speak some Dutch. It's a great country and great society. Zeihan's comment "they are brusk and abrupt" is however spot on. Sometimes they tell it how it is too much. I don't know why so many of them have this trait, but it does mean that it's quicker to get to the point. 🤣👍 All the best everyone.
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  8. Bulgaria overview next? 🤞 Thanks Peter this series is brilliant. 👍
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  9. How bad does it have to get for the US to fix it's politics? I don't mean change the Constitution, rather the parties need to fix themselves and more importantly the public need to demand excellent candidates. Really, where did all the adults go? Maybe the USA just needs a credible threat to wake up? China? I sure hope that this election is the low point. All the best from a politically much worse Scotland. 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  10. I suspect that it they end up in Benghazi they will just sit there and rust until they can't leave.
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  11. This analysis is great Peter, however you say that the entire Ukrainian male population has been mobilised. That doesn't mean however that they are all on the front lines or even in the armed forces. Ukrainian adult males are now required to not leave the country, however unless a person has military experience they have not been called up. The Ukraine still has a vast number of, so far, untrained men which it can call upon. All the best. PS The audio is STILL terrible.
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  12. Very few Americans understand Europe, including the UK. They have never understood the world much (apart from the Communists who absolutely threatened them) as America is huge and virtually self sufficient in every. A huge generalisation, I know, but far more true than not. All the best. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  13. The American populists/isolationists want to retreat from the world, while at the same time retain the ability to dictate to the world. Choose one or the other, not both. 🇬🇧
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  14. Well observed. 👍
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  15. Yea, France will be a better solution for Indian arms requirements. There's no overlap in their spheres of influence or resource requirements, whereas India is bound to clash with the USA every so often. Actually I see French arms exports increasing in many parts of the world because the French are only really interested in a limited part of the world. Their arms are top notch too. 👍 All the best.
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  16. I agree with your assessment completely. I hope that the Ukrainians have an experienced oil and gas engineering team to assist their special forces. There's plenty of open source information available on Russian refineries, storage depots, loading facilities, pumping and compressor stations and pipelines which could aid targeting. I believe that the reason Ukraine has not struck Russia much is political, but I suspect that this is about to change. Special forces attacks are probably the best route, rather than missile strikes. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  17. If that was at all true then I am astonished. I suppose that's what a country gets when they don't elect to best for the job, but rather the most in vogue colour. 🤦‍♂️
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  18. Incredibly generous of you. Thank you Peter. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  19. Even that won't work well as the clutter is still present if there are any waves. Marine drones, which intentionally have a very small radar radar signature or which could even be submersible for the terminal attack stage, are extremely difficult to detect and the target ships may only have seconds to react. This technology would be very difficult for any modern navy to counter.
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  20. I doubt it unfortunately. Argentina was amazing until Peronism - that's a monumentally difficult addiction to combat.
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  21. Please note that over the years it has become obvious that Peter really, really, really dislikes the UK. 🤦 I wonder who pissed him off sooooo much - my guess, an ex. 🤣
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  22. I know what you mean. I really struggle with some of his key concepts, like that the US Navy is going home, which may eventually come to pass, but for a start I don't think that the US President is ready to relinquish that level of power just yet. Until the invasion of Ukraine, Europe has not had a significant external threat since the end of the First Cold War and so far although the rhetoric is positive Europe is not showing great unity. The entire continent has still not ramped up military production significantly; Germany's military is still a joke; France is ominously quiet; and the only significant contributor outside of countries very close to Russia has been the UK. But consider the EU without German cash. No cash = no voice. What does the EU look like without Germany? Who are the EU's net financial contributors then? France, the Netherlands and Scandinavia? Does the EU in its current state benefit them? For that matter will the financial beneficiary states want the EU when they won't get money anymore? Also what does a banking stress test look like in the EU without German cash to bail it out? I know that it's really hard to imagine life in Europe without the EU in its current form, but gigantic changes are coming whether we like it or not. I think that the way that the UK left the EU was extremely badly managed to say the least, but it may work out well for Britain. I think that this will only happen if the politicians in London get their act together, which is a huge task. All the best.
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  23. Wrong Peter, pagers never transmit. They're only receivers.
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  24.  @fffwe3876  Yes, he sounds very confident about everything, even about things which he has no idea about. This is required for his job, but it's likely to be his personality. There's a very fine line between being confident and overconfident. If he doesn't keep this trait in check then it could well be his downfall. All the best.
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  25. Despite all the hype, I'm pretty sure that they were heading to somewhere near Vladivostok and that it sank because of good old Russian incompetence.
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  26. 😂
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  27. They lost. 😐
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  28. Recently I have actually been wondering if our entire taxation system is anti- children. I am starting to suspect that income tax and sales tax are the key problems. I also agree with the space argument for having children. Apartments are not suitable for raising children, as is shown in the data.
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  29. Interesting. Thanks. No one could accuse Israel of not having complex politics and society.
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  30.  @Phookutube  "No one ever expects the Spanish inquisition!" 🤣 Yea, you're right. I was recently speaking with a Bulgarian who grew up under the Communists - essentially under Russian control. Most Bulgarians really can't stand Russia, but if forced to choose between living under the Russians or the Turkish control they would go choose Russia any day. Thank goodness for the EU and NATO. I really hope these institutions last. All the best from bonnie Scotland. By the way if you are curious, the vast majority of Scots get on well with the English, it's just that those who don't have loud mouths. 🤐
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  31. Interesting if a strong Germany invokes Article 5 regarding the sub sea cable attacks. The Baltic Sea could well be shut down. Interesting times. 🇬🇧🇺🇦
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  32. ​ @chrisnamaste3572 We can't fix the world to stop immigration into the EU and the sooner that Europe recognised that reality the better. Hard borders and navies are very, very easy to implement once the political will is found. If there is famine worldwide because of the Ukraine war then it will hit Africa particularly hard and refugees will flood in, how will that increase the food supply is a mystery. Something has to change and change quick.
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  33. If the US leave, and it's looking increasingly likely that that is the case, then resources in the Mediterranean are up for grabs. This means that those with military might will rule. In a word Turkey. However they will not be able to exploit it. Hence they will have to get a partner with a NATIONAL oil company like Total or ENI, because an independent company would leave at the first sight of trouble. It would also have to be tolerated by the other power in the Mediterranean, France (with assistance from Italy). This may mean that the Eastern Mediterranean oil and gas assets never get exploited. It will make sense for France to try to impoverish Turkey as much as possible as they are regional rivals.
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  34. If they're smelting with coke then their production should not be affected. If they use electricity then Peter is correct.
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  35.  @lilacer6841  Russian bot. 🇷🇺🤡
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  36. I like how Operator Starsky refers to "The Alcoholic Medvedev." 🤣🤡 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  37. Yes, you absolutely can leave, however I suspect that you will to an extent be back because isolationism leads to a lack of control and America really, really likes being in control. Abba Eban March 1967 in Japan, “Men and nations behave wisely when they have exhausted all other resources.” Erroneously credited to Winston Churchill. All the best. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  38. They didn't really device Russia. Russia had enough troops to hold territory, but high losses eventually meant that in order to reinforce one place they would have to withdraw troops from another part of the front. Ukraine stated an offensive West of the Dnieper which forced Russia to reinforce or evacuate it. They chose to reinforce and Ukraine hit the bridges and ferry's trapping maybe 20k troops. Great Ukrainian intel probably with the help of the US and occupied Ukrainians told them what part of the line was weakest. This was helped by the UA being inactive around Kharkiv. It was a very good strategy against Russia as they've made huge gains in the north AND Russian troops are still trapped down south (and will not survive the winter without food). All the best.
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  39. But the Greenies are scared of nuclear. 😫
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  40. ​ @quinkana1 The Independence questions has absolutely nothing to do with the monarchy. These are two totally separate issues.
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  41. Incredible. A video that not only has Peter giving us good news, but he's giving us extremely good news! 🤣👍 Happy days. I can't wait for the Stalin-esque retributions to begin. I wonder if Putin will sail barges down the Don showing the executed like Peter the Great did. 😂🤞 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  42. They bring "challenges".
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  43. I really hope that you're correct. 🤞
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  44. Indeed. I have heard of a Ukrainian torpedo type drone that is being developed with a pretty big payload, 1000km range, but only a slow speed. I suspect that it's target will be a certain famous bridge, though Russian tankers better watch out too. 🌻💀🌻 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  45. ​ @lukaszmalinowski8675 But if this turns into a frozen conflict for a decade or more, then when will Ukrainians start worrying about the future? Demographics is simply too easy to postpone. People just aren't wired up to think on a multi decade timescale. It wasn't so much of an issue before birth control. Now would be parents want to wait until everything ideal before considering starting a family, often when the woman is fast approaching not being able to have children. It's a VERY difficult problem. All the best.
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  46. ​ @roejogan9322  Not true. Indian Hindus will care and they are the ones who count.
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  47. Coupled with the EU insisting on imposing EU minimum taxation rates for all British Overseas Territories. The EU's mission creep is relentless and utterly unacceptable.
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  48. ​ @benhardsatrio8222  But where would those oil and refined imports into Russia be coming from and what ports are available for Russia to use? Would Russia import them into Vladivostok? No, the distance to European Russia is too far and the only producers of any significance are Western. The Trans Siberian Railway has also been running at capacity for a long time now and increasing traffic to transport oil is not possible. Would Russia import them into Murmansk? No, it's too far from the source of the oil and lacks the infrastructure to transport the oil south. Would Russia import them into the Baltic? Not for long because Europe could shut this route down. That just leaves the Black Sea and as these products are essential for the war they are valid and legal targets for Ukraine. Tankers would also have to come through the Mediterranean which is controlled by NATO. My guess is that tankers would burn and then stop.🔥 That just leaves pipelines through the Caucuses and I'm not sure about them, but it wouldn't be enough to fuel a war. Imports through Belarus will also need to be restricted. Russia is checkmated if Ukraine keeps targeting refineries and then tankers, but NATO needs to grow a pair and get tough. This would essentially be a blockade of Russia though which has consequences. All the best.
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  49. "So Donald, if you could vote who would you vote for?" 🤣
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  50. ​ @t.r.2283 I was visiting my father in hospital in the UK. He's 86 and an occupational therapist asked him what advice he would give to younger people. He didn't reply, so I said "have children" and she nearly had a fit! "Why would I ever want to do that?" She was probably in he mid thirties. I resisted the temptation to tell her that she won't get looked after by the state in old age as she plans. People are unbelievably out of touch with reality. All the best. 👍
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  51.  @none3763  Protecting against sea drones is actually much more difficult than against air drones.
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  52. ​ @kth6736 Iran is far less competent militarily than India. This is because their military is really just a domestic police force now that Iraq is destroyed. Iran is constrained by their geography, so will never be able to have a navy of any size (which is why they are betting on missiles and drones). Also Theocracies tend to be bad at everything IMHO. All the best.
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  53. Perhaps someone who is a patreon would ask Peter what his geopolitical views are about Europe importing ver large numbers of Muslims. Thanks. I personally cannot afford any type of subscription.
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  54.  @markbernier8434  Because the West still doesn't enrich enough uranium, so we are reliant on Russia and Kazakhstan, which is under Russian influence.
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  55. Renewables will not be a solution for Morocco. Your only assets are, as far as I'm aware, phosphate and you buy arms from the USA. The phosphate is essential, which is good, but whoever controls the mines will export it, which less good. Algeria will probably either get invaded by France or arms from France, my bet would be invasion. I suspect that Morocco will be ok as it should survive because of phosphate, but it's not worth invading. Your biggest threat is likely that you might not be able to feed yourself, but wars are a solution for population control and if France needs North African colonies again then a war between Algeria and Morocco would reduce Algerian capabilities. I suspect that the world is returning to more Machiavellian state politics.
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  56. ​ @Movetheproduct I think that there's an over reliance on gas. I'd be happier with more nuclear and even coal.
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  57.  @0my  They certainly are openly contemptuous of the people and the democratic process. Many of those in power in the EU are appointed and not elected, so their attitude is hardly surprising.
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  58.  @Double_Vision  Do you mean that we need a bigger door? 🤣
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  59. Agriculture has been hammered here in the UK for decades, but if necessary I'm pretty confident that we could be virtually self sufficient. Everything would cost more and some things would be unaffordable, like avocados and soft fruit out of season, but that's ok. We still have open sea lanes and can keep most open because we have the Royal Navy. The US will be virtually unaffected. The rest of Europe will cope, as will most of South America and Asia. The Middle East and a lot of Africa could someday be screwed, but maybe then they wouldn't support those who are actively trying to tear the system down (I'm looking at you Yemen, who relies on food aid from the UN) - it's a choice. We are not responsible for them and never have been, we've just become too soft. We have to get really tough and prioritise ourselves. All the best and remember - fear sells.
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  60. How much aid did Slovakia get from the EU? Because Scotland won't get a single Euro.
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  61. Bingo! We have a winner. Seriously, I'm very afraid that you could be right. ♥️🇺🇲 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  62. ​ @concernedaussie1330  Yea, bank confiscations could be real. Australia will crash VERY hard, probably more than Canada.
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  63. 🇬🇧 am I nothing to you? 😂 Seriously, two carrier groups and some top of the line hunter killer subs are not to be sneezed at. God save the King. 🇬🇧
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  64. ​ @fickle1207 Very well said. It's like this all over the West. Lots of politicians and not a single statesman.
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  65. You should not delay leaving Russia. I know that it's hard, but if you value your life you should act before the coming enlistment waves. Also when economies slow one of the first things that they do is stop immigration. Act soon. Best of luck. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  66. ​ @hawklord100 Yea kind of, until South Africa sells gold on to the market.
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  67. The reason that we had a huge movement upwards in the price of gold was because the Nixon (?) ditched the gold standard.
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  68.  @MrDamon888  Yea, I agree. His whole argument doesn't really make any sense considering that Russia has nukes. That is the one question that I'd like to hear him answer as he may have an excellent reply, but until he does I think that the 2022 invasion of Ukraine was 100% about Russian internal politics. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  69.  @Jimmy_The_Goat  Yes, those numbers sound right. I believe that with sufficient material assistance from the West that number of troops will be able to hold against Russia and then later as the Ukrainian numbers rise they can concentrate to push back at selective locations. Considering that an attacker requires 3 to 5 times the number of troops to advance than the defender, Ukraine should be in a favourable position. I have heard Peter talk about how Russia has trained for a war where they just destroy cities with artillery. Well, it looks like their artillery will be out ranged by Ukrainian counter battery fire and drones. Since 2014 Ukrainians have planned for Russia's invasion and prior to this year 400,000 Ukrainian troops had combat experience in the east of the country. It certainly looks like the Ukraine has trained for this war better than Russia! All the best Jimmy. Slava Ukraine!
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  70. Because technology could mean that Russian nukes become outdated eventually.
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  71. ​ @rainbowodysseybyjonlion Ummm, I'm not so sure about that. If the KSA and Iran went head to head, I suspect that Israel would happily let the two slug it out hoping that the end result would mean that both would be severely weakened. Ok, during the chaos we might find that Israel destroys some Iranian stuff, but I don't think that they would do much more. Anything else just isn't in their interests. The KSA and Israel are currently close solely out of convenience, deep down they are enemies. Of course I could be totally wrong, but I doubt it. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  72. I suspect that it can help to a degree with military production (especially ammunition and missiles) which seems to have a lot of demand currently and probably for the next decade.
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  73. Exactly. My first thought was Pearl Harbour. Actually Hawaii as a target would still make sense. 😬 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧 And freedom for Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
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  74. Yup. Just for laughs. 😂
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  75. Agreed. The Jones Act is still vital for US interests. A huge change is necessary to increase waterborne traffic. Opening it up to foreign interests which are at odds with America is not one of them however. I'm not American and even I can see that. Just look at the recent mess of British ferrys to see how a repeal of the Act would work. All the best.
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  76.  @6140LIBRA  Not a problem with the women. 🤦‍♂️
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  77. ​ @mermadone6465 The US was reluctantly drawn into WW1 & 2 in Europe, not because they wanted to assist the Allies, but because they had to. After WW2 the US rationally thought that if they have to fight Russia, then they would have to station equipment and men in Europe and if they were going to do that then the US may as well be in charge. Hence NATO is formed and the US calls all of the important shots. Now we have Russia in Ukraine and without NATO equipment (90% of which is used and about to be scrapped) they would have succeeded in taking the whole country. So why should the USA care? Well, Putin has stated that after Ukraine comes the whole of the former Warsaw Pact. Theses countries are all in NATO and if Russia invades we get a nuclear WW3, which no one on earth can avoid. That's why the USA is giving Ukraine support. Unfortunately most people find this scenario too complex to understand which is why I'm grateful to have intelligent people in our military. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  78. Or maybe he's filming... in the morning?
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  79. Judging by what he offers on Patreon it doesn't look like he has anything else to offer which isn't at the margins. But ultimately there is he must be paid enormously well, yet wants more, more, more and we are all "cheap". I presume that his donations are tax deductable. Cheep, cheep, cheep.🐤🐤🐤
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  80.  @cugelchannel4733  Correct. It was unbelievably horrific, which is why I mentioned Belgium. At a stretch Belgium may sidestep responsibly as the colony was technically the King's personal possession, but I don't think that excuse is either legally nor morally justified.
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  81. I sure hope that US politics stabilises soon, not just for the USA, but for the rest of the world too. And yes I know full well that no system is perfect (I'm a Brit 🤣), but we have bigger issues to focus on IMHO. The West needs more grown up statesmen and fewer childish politicians. Cold War 2 is here. All the best everyone. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  82. All of Europe has a gigantic problem regarding immigration. No country is yet to decisively address this. The EU is emphatically for it, though for the life of me I cannot understand why. Any country's politician who is pro-immigration will soon be voted out. Energy policy is another subject which the EU clashes with both reality and the people. I don't think that these these two problems can be resolved with the current EU structure. I think that something will break soon and I don't think that the EU will survive in its current form. I actually hope that the EU is torn down and replaced with what it originally was - a trade union, nothing more.
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  83. ​ @Neon-Covenanter He's probably talking about WW2. I would add WW1 in too. The USA got dragged screaming and kicking into both (after trying to profit as much as possible before entering, but hey that's business). I fear that it will happen again. I think that China will be relatively easy to defeat, realistically Russia is hard, though I would love that. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  84. Wow, that's harsh, but maybe a true assessment. Long live the UK. 🤞
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  85. No. Vodka hurts Russia. Leave it alone.
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  86. Shhh. 🤫 You'll ruin a good clickbait video for those who will be scared of covid for the rest of their lives despite what anyone says.
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  87. I used to be in this field and I can tell you now that it's Western companies and workers who dominate it and we won't be going back to Russia for decades. The companies lost too much and it's too dangerous for personnel at any price point. So who's left? Indians are competent as individuals, but lack the companies and the Chinese are remarkably incompetent in this and most industries. So the Russian oil and gas sector will continue to burn and crumble to dust. They shouldn't have picked a fight with Ukraine.
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  88. ​ @paulranderson6991 The change over happened in 18 hours, but the planning and preparation took years. Having said that I totally agree with you. This has been a known issue for Ukraine and neighbours for over a year. Being generous they should have been laying track for the last 9 months. If it hasn't happened it's probably because of vested interests, rather than incompetence, considering that Ukraine has demonstrated how efficient and innovative it can be fighting this war. Agriculture is Ukraine's primary export and the revenue from that pays for the war. Someone needs to get the finger out and change the gauge to Europe's. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  89. ​ @wiser3754  British here. Please don't look at the UK's nuclear energy and extrapolate that this is the cost of nuclear outside of Europe. The UK has spectacularly increased the cost of building nuclear due to incredibly poor management, constant government tweaking and government regulations designed to make new nuclear power plants unviable. The true cost of a nuclear power plant even in the USA would be a fraction of this.
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  90.  @dfgyuhdd  Really?! Wow. Though now you come to mention it in ways I'm not actually that surprised. I'm in my late fifties and when I was at school there were a few pupils who were plain stupid (because back then we had something called honesty), but really really the percentage was less than 5% and that's ok because they got menial jobs which need done. Today in my child's class there are probably over 20% who have some condition. The rest are normal, actually the rest out perform which probably reflects better the education system, but of those who can't that's a 400 to 500% increase (at least!). This is in a middle class area and this class is not unique. Every class is about the same, between 20% to 25% of them have special needs. And before someone chimes in, it's definitely not because of over diagnosis, these kids have real problems. I know that when I was at school there were special needs schools which reduced the visible numbers, but not by much as I had experience of that personally and those schools concentrated on physical disabilities. I don't know what is happening, but it's kind of terrifying.
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  91. ​ @sumotony It's just a pipe. A pipe is easy to repair, even for Russians.
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  92. ​ @davidwburkhart Time will tell now if it was genetically modified (gain of function) as we are now allowed to discuss this. I saw an Indian professor on YouTube a while ago explaining the reasons why he was 100% sure that it was altered. It sounded convincing, but honestly there are so few top level experts who could critique this that I don't know. Also India is not exactly unbiased towards China. All the best.
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  93. The ground is still not hard enough for Ukraine to advance yet. Donetsk in particular will be very challenging. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  94. Wow! Great news. 👍 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  95. I'm not. China is heading to having sanctions imposed upon them, which they may not survive. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  96. ​ @shelleyscloud3651 It's also religion. And some cultures are formed by religion. The solution must come from Europe as the United States has a blind spot about freedom of religion stemming from the formation of the country. I suspect that a few more well travelled Americans know the truth, but it is a taboo subject. The vast majority of Americans are Christian and so they can afford to think like that. We in Europe because of the large percentage of non-Christian immigrants know better. Some religions can never integrate and fundamentally want to destroy everyone who isn't them. This is the biggest problem which Europe ever has had to deal with and we avoid the topic whenever possible because a peaceful solution is not possible. So every year it gets worse and worse until it gets so bad that action is unavoidable. I'm afraid that this will end very, very badly.
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  97. ​ @victor38542 Look a little deeper and you will find that everywhere where they aren't vastly outnumbered there are problems in East Asia.
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  98. ​ @manmonkee Being Scottish and having spoken to many pro-independence people over the years I am constantly dismayed by how little logic plays a part in their stance. Nationalism is one of the easiest forms of politics - it's easy to convince people that everything wrong is your big neighbour's fault.
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  99. Yup. 😐
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  100.  @shelleyscloud3651  I am talking about a post independence scenario, not whilst we were a part of the EU. Again, but clearer I hope: In the future Scotland will not get a single Euro from the EU IF it becomes independent, until it joins the EU. And even then it is not guaranteed. The Eastern Block countries which joined the EU received aid from the EU to improve their physical, governmental and judicial infrastructure and not to fund economies which had structural issues. Scotland already has a sound political, judicial and physical infrastructure so would not qualify. There was also a huge political consensus for security reasons to help Eastern Europe, which again does not apply to Scotland.
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  101. I think that's the Israeli plan and Egypt doesn't have an option if it wants the continued revenue from the Suez Canal. Truly it's the best option for everyone. Gaza has become a footnote in history.
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  102. Well observed.
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  103. I'm so glad to hear a fellow Scot who can see through the lies of power hungry politicians and make a sound decision.
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  104. And coal. 👍
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  105. In the UK new-build housing and public buildings like schools are designed to last... 20 years. No kidding. Yes, they will last a lot longer, but will require MAJOR work probably around the 30 year mark. And yes indeed, I would definitely describe some of the materials as cardboard, which should never be allowed near a building. Buildings are no longer inspected by local government and everything is "self certified", hence things like insulation is sometimes omitted entirely (yes really). Cowboy builders who go belly up after they dispose of properties and disappear only to be reincarnated with no liability. I now don't trust anything built after about the '80s. An extraordinarily sad state of affairs. Rule Britannia... NOT. 🇬🇧 Just don't get me started on the rabbit hutch, no storage design philosophy. Having said that we will cope with less energy, but it will cost us dearly. All the best.
    6
  106. You have to stand up to bullies. Don't live in fear of the Chinese.
    6
  107.  @howtoappearincompletely9739  Yes. I have only heard Afghanistan referred to that way. The Yemen would be pathetically easy for almost any power to destroy them. Yemen's population is way beyond the capacity of the land to feed them. They literally survive on Western aid. Enough said.
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  108. ​ @cowboybeboop9420 Yes, ethnic Bulgarians are good people, but what about Bulgaria's Turkish population? I know that there's the Turkish Party, which in itself is worrying, but I'm not sure if they're also Islamists hiding in plain sight. If they are Islamist, then as someone of Jewish he should make himself aware of potential problems down the road. This is just my thoughts/fears as I think that you probably know of the reality better. Either way I'd be interested in your opinion. All the best.
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  109. Yea, I used to wonder about this until I realised two things: 1. Russia doesn't maintain its nukes. This isn't speculation, their military budget has no provision for very expensive nuke maintenance. 2. Russia is thinking ahead to when the West will be able to shoot down any missile easily and the West can probably already sink all Russian nuclear submarines before they could launch missiles.
    5
  110. Don't hold your breath. Russia has huge gold reserves and can nationalise gold mines any time it wants. That's a LOT of gold.
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  111. ... everywhere across the world. 🤣
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  112. 🤣
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  113. ​ @AaronBoone-x6c  We have never had more demand for food banks (food charities) in the UK. 😐 🇬🇧
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  114. ​ @rtqii  Italy is not in control of its borders or immigration. The faceless bureaucrats of the EU are and their agendas do not favour the needs and wants of the people. I don't think that EU policies are sustainable at all. The EU has become a self feeding creature. I don't know how long the EU has to go, but I've thought this for over a decade! 😐
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  115.  @peterflohr7827  TORPEDO BOATS!!!! 🤣🎌
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  116. ​ @ЯАга-я4л It was mentioned on William Spaniel's channel in his video yesterday. I don't know if there was a reference.
    5
  117.  @ericjohnson7234  I feel like the only way that many migrants could be removed from Europe would lead to a civil war for the continent that could surpass the loss of lives of the World Wars. This would certainly be a poor outcome, but possibly inevitable. The only politicians who favour it also embrace many other divisive policies. I am certainly not optimistic about the demographic trends in Europe which have led to such massive levels of migration, particularly as the integration social experiment has so obviously spectacularly failed. Europe certainly appears to assimilate migrants less than the US, but it is difficult to measure. All the best.
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  118.  @ffarmchicken  I'm not surprised. At the extreme, I know a family who's two children never go outside (literally: they don't go to school and maybe leave the house once every two weeks!) and they never do anything physical. Both are incredibly weak and one has developed childhood scoliosis (twisted spine). I'm sure that the other one will too. It's very sad.
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  119. Teleportation. 👽
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  120. Exactly. And it may take a lot of Saudi refineries being destroyed by Iran for the Saudis to accept a deal that satisfies the USA. So it's in the US's interests to not make a deal now, rather someone should behind the scenes give Iran the green light for hostilities. 😉
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  121. Zeihan described them as kids or children. How old were they?
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  122. The US has a very long history of dealing with today's problems today and leaving tomorrows problems for tomorrow. Although this strategy has its downsides, it has been very successful and arguably is a very efficient use of resources. All the best.
    5
  123. We can't. 😐👍
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  124.  @wolfgangpreier9160  Jesus, what world do you live in? I would bet good money that in every single European country bar none that there will be some old and/or vulnerable people who have to choose between food or heat. You may not know any, but they do exist. Demand for food banks in the UK is at record highs and often the people using them work.
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  125. ​ @Decocoa  Correction: "a BMI of AT LEAST 35" 😐
    5
  126.  @tonywilson4713  Same here. I can remember when engineers were respected, but I'm old. It may be a function of social media or watching YouTube videos that make everything look easy. I'm guessing though, I don't know. I have found that in order to understand the Green movement I first had to realise that it's a religion. Belief beats logic and reality (up to a point). Read the comments here - a sizeable percentage of them are talking about how wonderful solar is! It's very frustrating and pointless utterly talking to them. A few years of being cold will sharpen the fools minds though. All the best Tony. 👍
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  127. Great point. 👍
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  128. Fear sells.💲💲💲
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  129. ​ @brokenaura23  When you stop questioning science becomes religion.
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  130. It would be just fine by me! 😁 Actually, why not both? Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  131. You know that it's a religion, right?
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  132.  @devalapar7878  Solar panels must be kept clean and you need water for that. Also Europe will not be beholden to anyone for the lifeblood of any civilisation - energy. We learnt that from Russia. Better to stick with nuclear and hydrocarbons and if we don't have it ourselves then multiple sources are better than relying on one (North Africa).
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  133. ​ @Gazzapa57 You are correct, worldwide debt levels are far too high, particularly government debt. But if what Peter is saying is true and globalization is dying, then the cost of commodities is bound to rise. If most commodities cost more then what we have is called inflation. Inflation reduces the burden on the debt holder. The debt is not going to be as bad in a decade or two if inflation stays at say 10 or 20%. It's funny how things work out.
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  134. Big, big time.
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  135. Because lack of manufacturing is a security issue. The USA is actually a great place to manufacture, apart from high wages, as it is business friendly, raw materials are relatively cheap as is transport and most importantly energy is extremely cheap. Automation will solve some labour problems.
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  136. Interesting.
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  137. I took a wrong turn driving in Strasbourg about a decade ago and ended up in a bad area. I was in a rental car from Germany and I was given an upgrade - a brand new Merc. I turned around and left fast. I was shocked at the place and people.
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  138. I questioned his statement too.
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  139.  @wintermute-  Ain't that the truth. I miss Ronald Reagan. 😢
    4
  140.  @fatwombat2611  It won't work. Undersea cables are too vulnerable.
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  141. Nose ring? Really? Wow, how the mighty have fallen. 🤦‍♂️
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  142. ​ @inq752  Well said. Russia is impotent.
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  143. Yes, you are correct.
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  144. I don't think that Central Asia is interested in becoming "integrated" with Turkey though. It hasn't been long that they've gained freedom from the Soviets and they don't want to be under the Turkish yoke.
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  145. As you should be aware if you read the comments, it doesn't do Peter's popularity among Americans to talk about some US domestic matters. US domestic business opportunities YES. US domestic politics NO. Don't ask him this type of question, he won't talk about it. This is the most political video which he has made and judging by the comments I'm sure that in retrospect he would probably regret posting this. All the best from the UK.
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  146.  @personzorz  🤣👍
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  147. Except of course predicting Russia invading Ukraine and China being in demographic collapse. Just saying. 🤦‍♂️
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  148.  @msytdc1577  Correct. This will be a lifeline for Turkey's finances. Then when Turkey gets a good taste for all that extra money for nothing the EU will threaten to take it away unless Sweden and Finland get the green light to join NATO. It's a language that Turkey understands. Still Russia won't get a brown penny. Pretty neat trick. 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  149.  @googacct  Unfortunately I'm seeing more Russians with good winter clothing. Let's hope that their supplies don't reach where they are needed.
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  150. ​ @wizard0313 Just having looked at his channel he's getting 321k views per video for the 42 videos in the last two months (excluding this one) - that will not be chump change. His production cost is also extremely low. However he wants more, which is ok. The fact that he irritates many of his subscribers by the launch of his Patreon is down to him - his people skills are extremely poor. He may increase his revenue by using Patreon, but unlike every other YouTuber who has gone this route, I personally hope that it goes badly for him. 🐤🐤
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  151.  @wizard0313  Thanks for your reply. I am genuinely happy for people to use Patreon and get paid for what they do. I don't think that Patreon is insulting. You may not be aware that in the video when he launched Patreon he called everyone who wouldn't/couldn't subscribe to his Patreon as (and this is his word) "cheap". This insult has mildly irritated me and confirmed in my mind that we are listening to someone who has an unpleasant character, but I should probably let it go as it's a waste of my time. You're quite right that his content is not at all time sensitive and I am fine to wait a week for it. I hope that you have a great weekend Wiz. 👍
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  152. ​ @hosmerhomeboy Really? None? What did your first computer cost and what does one with equivalent performance cost now? In the sixties a first handheld calculator cost $100, now a scientific calculator costs $5. Unless you mean inflation based on an economist's definition (in which case you should reexamine the data), I suggest that you look at each product separately as we all experience increases and decreases in prices of items concurrently. All the best.
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  153. Yup, add to that a 5 to 10 year long recession/depression and some manufacturers (Tesla?) will go belly up. It's going to be unbelievable. Today most people who are union members in auto manufacturing are just trying to get by and unfortunately probably not able to predict even the near future. During the great depression many people accepted wage cuts just to keep their jobs. I wonder if workers will be smart enough to do the same next time. Time will tell.
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  154. The sun is going to rise tomorrow.
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  155. Just as well that we are heading into a worldwide recession/depression, because it gives the West time to reorientate our manufacturing, particularly heavy manufacturing. I can see a lot of green issues being pushed pack on, despite the public's current enthusiasm, due to these industries being vital for our economic survival. I realise that this statement doesn't sit well with many, but along with nuclear energy we will be forced to embrace them. Just my 2¢. All the best everyone.
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  156.  @NyalBurns  The Japanese seem happy. 👍
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  157. That's not going to happen. Let's get real. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  158. Quisling. 😐
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  159. Interesting. That explains a lot. Thanks.
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  160. Yeah, until the Republican party gets itself a decent candidate and then Trump's appeal will slowly fade to nothing... at... all. Whomp, whomp.
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  161. What could go wrong? 🤣
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  162. 100%
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  163.  @bighands69  Or even India.
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  164. I don't have high hopes for Italy. 😞
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  165. If anything in a post American world (But is the USA really ready to give up that power? I kinda doubt it.) I see the UK being able to hold on to the Falklands more easily. In the event of another conflict the UK would be able to take the gloves off and use its submarines. I'm pretty sure that some unrestricted submarine warfare against Argentina would bring any conflict to an end rapidly (and even force Argentina to leave the Falklands in the unlikely scenario that they took them again) without aircraft carriers or American support. Since the end of WW2 the secondary nations like the UK haven't faught an "anything goes" war where the enemies commerce, infrastructure and population are all legitimate targets and hence most people think that such a war would be impossible today. I believe that especially if the US is no longer a security guarantor that historically brutal wars will return with a vengeance. The dream of American isolationism has always been an unrealistic dream and probably an domestic political tool which Zeihan seems to have fallen for to a degree. I agree that the USA is currently in one of its navel gazing phases when it disengages somewhat, but sooner or later it will be forced to sober up and realise that it actually needs the rest of the world. The pendulum swung too far towards globalization, next it will swing too far in the opposite direction, ad infinitum. All the best.
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  166. ​ @vicomte5047  Yes. This is exactly what Peter meant and this strategy would have merit from the Russian perspective. Russia would wait until there are weak leaders in NATO. The solution is for the front line, in this case Poland, Ukraine and Sweden to have their own nuclear weapons, in which case that type of threat would (how do I phrase this in order not to get my comment deleted?) evoke an immediate and decisive response. 😉
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  167. 🤣👍
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  168. ​ @CESmith  I find that hard to believe. 😐 China however has subsided shipping costs to the West by 100% for many years.
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  169. ​ @bcanuck US refiners have been resisting updating their refineries so that they can take US crude and do without importing crude for too long. This may be a bit of a wake up call for them.
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  170. If the US becomes seriously disinterested in North Africa, and I suspect that they will in time, then I really wouldn't be surprised if France went after Algeria and Tunisia again. Morocco and Libya pose no threat and the Sahara is like a sea and can be patrolled by drones. France would get oil and gas by pipeline which it needs and it would also secure the Western Mediterranean. The immigrant problem could then be controlled. It makes a lot of sense. The same goes for Italy taking back Libya, but Egyptian proximity poses a problem, but I think that Egypt is screwed if it doesn't expand. I suspect that it would be worth the gamble for Italy and France would likely assist them. An alliance between France and Italy may be needed to counter Turkey. I don't think that Spain would be interested, or even capable of taking Morocco, though I could be wrong. I'm very unsure about Spain's future - could it become a forgotten backwater? Very hard to say. France must first fix it's domestic problems with it's fractured population, though France could be Machiavellian and use a war in Algeria could get rid of people. It then needs to be an incredibly ruthless colonizer, much like Russia and not be bothered by human rights and rule with an iron fist, which reminds me of the pre-19th Century world. I wouldn't be surprised to see France and Italy back in North Africa in my lifetime. Time will tell as things are bound to happen which are unforeseen. Raw geopolitics is a really cutthroat and dirty business. The US world order was objectively a force for good. All the best.
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  171. Politics
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  172. Indonesia and the Philippines have been extremely promising for decades, but it never happened for political/closed market and corruption problems which have constantly been downplayed. I hope that they overcome it this time.
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  173. This sounds like a great series Peter. Thank you and have a wonderful Christmas. ❤️ God bless and greetings from bonnie Scotland. 🇬🇧
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  174. I don't think that Russia cares. They are busy losing a war in Ukraine. 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  175.  @Xaran001  I beg to differ. The Mediterranean Sea will be ruled by NATO as will the North Atlantic. The Pacific is huge. Japan will secure its own trade routes. The US will probably secure trade with Australia. The Indian Ocean is where the US Navy is pulling out first. There are virtually no alliances between the countries that use that region. That is where I see trouble first. Will this hurt the US? Zeihan thinks not, I'm not so sure. As Chinese manufacturing diminishes, so too will trade with Europe. The Indian Ocean will be a test-bed. Saudi Arabia has been borderline hostile to the US lately, which is a dumb move. Iran and Saudi Arabia are regional rivals. Eventually Saudi Arabia will probably need assistance. The US may come back or they may be on their own. Their carriers will mean that they can sail back anytime and devastate an opponent, leave and return any time they want. The Middle East will revert to an incredible mess. Everyone hates their neighbours. They have oil, but can't feed themselves. You can't eat oil. The US is sick of them. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  176. ​ @Girtuczi Yes. An accident at Zaporozhye nuclear power plant by "it wasn't us, honestly" Russia would most likely affect Turkey. That could really piss off the Turks and close the Dardanelle Straight to Russian traffic for good.
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  177. Chinese EVs don't need to be equal to Western EVs though. All cars are currently too expensive and Chinese EVs are more affordable because their labour cost is lower. If their labour costs go up then China will devalue their currency. So in the next decade almost all cars will be produced in China because they have a structural advantage. The reason why China wants us to buy their products is that the CCP fears only one thing - the Chinese people, so they will not allow high unemployment. Also if our society will stop functioning because we can't make anything anymore then China has political influence over us. What you say would be correct if all transactions were happening inside a single country. You've heard of "War is politics by other means"? Well, tariffs are a political tool too.
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  178.  @protorhinocerator142  Yup, they both have advantages and disadvantages. Modern coal power plants with scrubbers pollute far, far less than older technology if as I do, you don't count CO2 as as a problem. If you have very large reserves of extremely high quality coal then it makes absolutely no sense whatsoever to ignore it.
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  179.  @Neon-Covenanter  Fair enough. Look after yourself man. 👍 Greetings from Scotland. 🇬🇧
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  180. He's not good with people. I think that technically it is called arrogance.
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  181.  @paulklee5790  Un-freaking-believable! 🤯 I suppose that they had to keep the functional alcoholics from going through withdrawal. I hadn't heard that one. 🤣👍
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  182. ​ @robkafczyk2752  It must be tough to be ilitterratte. 🤣
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  183.  @billmiddlebrook6477  Oh no... the illiterati! 😁
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  184. Done.
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  185.  @LRRPFco52  Yes, I'm sure that the French will be at the forefront of change in Europe. 👍
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  186. Spot on. Terrible video. 👎👎
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  187. USE AN EXTERNAL MICROPHONE! 🎤
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  188.  @aaronrandolph261  I wouldn't say fine.
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  189. If I recall correctly, when asked about the Federal Debt I think that he said that he wasn't currently worried about it and that it would have to be 3 or 4 times the current level to be concerned. In a different interview he also said that in the event of a nuclear war (with China? whatever, the maths works with any nuclear war) US cities would get hit and the cost of rebuilding ONE would be $5 trillion. I'm sorry that I can't remember the specific interviews which he said this, but it was pretty recent and perhaps someone else can fill in the specifics. I saw them here on YouTube. I hope that this helps. All the best.
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  190. Perhaps Guyana could do some lateral drilling to the west! 😁👍
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  191. Ok. Now take your meds.
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  192.  @StereoSpace  The Ukraine doesn't need to shoot down any Russian missiles to defeat Russia though. The missiles strikes are making the Ukrainian people suffer for the internal politics of Russia and will not influence the outcome of the war which will be won on the battlefield.
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  193. IMHO Peter got everything right here and I think that doesn't happen often when he is talking about economics. However he missed something... something really big. Demographics dictate that the lack of demand caused by the boomers retiring and transferring their savings from stocks to bonds is going to hugely affect the economy. They do seem to be hanging on to their stocks for longer than anticipated, but they will eventually or they will die and pass on their savings and the next generation will buy houses probably. The net effect of this and also the very sharp contraction of the money supply in the US will be to cause a recession likely within the next two years. House prices will fall, stocks will fall, bonds will rise, the USD will rise and people will lose their jobs. If you're lucky and have an indispensable job you will be laughing as you'll be able to lock in a very low rate for a home. If not you could be worried about getting your next meal. Buckle up, it's going to be a very rough ride. Good luck.
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  194. ​ @Rob_F8F I have heard it speculated that if Japan wanted nuclear weapons then it would only take them a year to build one and the ballistic missile to deliver it (assuming that they don't already have a nuclear weapon, which I personally doubt). South Korea would also be capable of building a nuclear weapon, but it would take a bit longer, perhaps two years, although they do not have ballistic missile technology (yet/that we know of). Underestimating these two nations could be fatal. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  195. ​ @edratcliff5873 Soon being in China will be very bad for your health, you may want to think about leaving - while you can.
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  196. ​ @revelationsix Pipeline pumping stations aren't so easy to repair so also a good target.
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  197. Antarctica! 😂
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  198. You should talk with more non Germans. To me this is incredibly plausible and likely.
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  199. "The Alcoholic Medvedev" as Operator Starsky likes to call him. 🤣🤡 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  200.  @out_spocken  Because he irritates me.
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  201.  @wizard0313  So he earns about $45k from YouTube. Which is great for a side hustle. Good on him. He then insults us to try and get more money from us. Can you honestly say that this is a good way to treat people? I'm genuinely interested in hearing your answer. I have not unsubscribed and never said that I will simply because I find his commentary useful. The price I pay for that is to watch advertising and be insulted.
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  202. ​ @thedadstale Agreed. Winters in the UK have been consistently milder for decades. This winter was not an aberration, rather probably the norm.
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  203. Very true. It was a little bit more complicated than that, but that was probably the primary reason. 👍 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  204. ​ @uuclmusic2711 I'd happily pronounce Xi "Panda bear" name wrong just to annoy, because I don't respect that genocidal murderer one iota. 🤬
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  205. I don't think that pronouncing your enemy's name correctly is important.
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  206. I'm not as worried about deflation as Zeihan. I think that deflation is also self correcting, just on a longer time frame. He talks about how the only thing that really saved the world from the deflation of the Great Depression was the Second World War, but I think that is no coincidence. War is a political tool to combat deflation. In democracies people vote in extreme parties, either the hard left, the Communists, or the hard right and both eventually choose war to stay in power. What I worry about is that the USA, indeed the entire West has accumulated a wartime debt in a time of peace. Deflation is absolutely coming. We haven't had as large a contraction in the money supply since 1929, so we're going to have a depression. As Steve Hanke says "It's baked into the cards." If government debt to GDP rises to over 100% then that debt can only be inflated away (unless they default). Inflation is in reality just the devaluation of the currency. Inflation is actually easy to achieve, as a government only has to continue to pay government employees more. The reason that Japan didn't do this was a choice - a very bad choice as is evident by their demographic decline. I suspect that the reason that they did not was that Japan is a massive lender to Asia. They're now seeing some inflation probably because they see a depression coming and will not be able to lend. Back to high government debt in the West. The reason that this is a problem is that it positions the government poorly. How does it create inflation when the economy is contracting with incredible force? It can't expand the state's percentage of GDP if, as now, that percentage in the West is already at record levels. It can't afford to go to war. It's hands are tied and countering extreme deflationary forces becomes extremely difficult without altering the society. The West is in a very bad situation, but at least we're not the rest of the world! Wow, I went on forever. All the best everyone.
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  207. Correct on both counts. 👎👎
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  208. Isn't. 😂
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  209.  @ChucksSEADnDEAD  Correct.
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  210. ​ @ajr1775  And at one point were rivaling France for having short lasting governments. ❤️🇮🇹❤️🇫🇷 🤣 As a Brit I can say that since Truss set our record. 😂 🇬🇧
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  211. ​ @DuelyusSeazer Ukraine won't accept a negotiated peace now. Ukraine has a good chance of defeating Russia on the field of battle. After that Ukraine can negotiate from a position of strength. 💪 A better question IMHO is: If Russia knows it can't beat Ukraine and a LOT of Russian troops are going to be trapped in Crimea, then why isn't Russia pulling their troops out of Crimea? I think that the answer is that Russians are incompetent. 🇷🇺🤡 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  212.  @thedadstale  Electricity prices are capped for individuals, not for companies.
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  213. ​ @Samir-oe7zf Fear sells.
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  214.  @kjubone26  I meant is Slovakia a net contributor to the EU or a net beneficiary.
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  215.  @seriouslyyoujest1771  The FSB had a long term project to convince the German public that nuclear energy was incredibly dangerous, because Russia wanted to sell them oil and gas. It worked.
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  216. His broad geopolitical and demographic insights are excellent, but his short term economic comments have been appalling IMHO.
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  217. Why?
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  218. ​ @curiositycloset2359 Agreed 100%.
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  219. Much of the instability of the Balkans to this day can be attributed to the Ottoman occupation of the region. The religious persecution of Christians and practically forced Islamisation of communities there have left wounds which will likely never heal. Zeihan's ignorance on the matter is truly stunning.
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  220. Really! 🤦 🤣👍
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  221. ​ @davidhowse884  Exactly. Poland, Sweden and Ukraine.
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  222. Very true words. India knows the problems you describe all too well sadly. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  223. He's NOT a professor.
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  224. Exactly. Europe has the capacity and capability to re-industrialise, but simply lacks the will - it's almost like a death cult. It's mind blowing how everything that was easily possible in the 60s is now utterly impossible. What happened? Maybe it's demographics? Young people are optimistic, but if there are too many old people a society becomes pessimistic? Who knows, but one thing is for sure: it has to change and fast.
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  225.  @wolfgangpreier9160  The difference that the sanctions make is that very little of the money gets back to Russia. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  226. ​ @universauniversisveritas Unfortunately Russia will not stop even if it is resoundingly defeated IMHO. Why change the habits of the last 400 or so years. 😢 They're barbarians. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  227. ​ @Munin497 With any luck! 😂 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  228. Maybe that's why Russia was so upset about the plan to put Patriot missiles in Poland. A nuke is no good if you can shoot the missile down. Also I suspect that many Russian nukes simply won't work because they probably haven't been maintained enough. I believe that each one needs to be rebuilt regularly (maybe every 10 years?). Do you think that the Russians actually do this? I don't. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  229. Fear sells.
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  230. No, not at all.
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  231. Does the wind blow all the time?
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  232. I suspect that India would act if the Chinese entered the Indian Ocean (and the US too). In that case my money would definitely be on India. If China could move forces into the Arabian peninsula in quantities large enough to guarantee Saudi security, then China could threaten world oil flows. Even the European maritime nations wouldn't tolerate that! Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  233. Yea, Trump spouting how he would leave NATO, yet wanting a conflict with China. 🤦
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  234.  @jager6863  From what I know Australian military procurement is a farcical disgrace and must change. I agree that Australia should get boats from the US and also that most of the maintenance can be done overseas, but when things get bad in the Pacific then Australia will find the budget for at least four and their crews. The current military budgets of 2% of GDP are historically tiny and are bound to rise by several fold in the coming years. We have a peace mentality towards defense spending which can change on a dime, just ask any Ukrainian. One thing is for sure and that is that the situation with China will eventually get very messy indeed. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  235. Gabriel, a couple of hard winters with people going cold will focus German minds and help them make decisions based on reality and not wishes.
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  236.  @robertj.thirlby8166  I'm not fond of any politician, but Trump was 100% correct on that one.
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  237. They would have to grow a pair first.
    2
  238. It depends entirely on how often the batteries need replacing and how much that costs. An ICE vehicle doesn't need to replace the fuel tank... ever. Currently there is no question that batteries are too expensive to replace. Also, all EV makers say that their batteries last longer than they actually do and they simply can't be trusted whatsoever. Still, I doubt that EVs will ever be cheaper than ICE vehicles if actually comparing like for like.
    2
  239. Good things come to those who wait. Don't fall for FOMO. Be patient, as far as housing is concerned you only need to get one great deal in your lifetime and you are set. You have an indispensable job, so when a recession comes (and boy it will) you will be able to buy and lock in a great deal. Focus on saving and improving your credit score for now. Good luck. 🤞
    2
  240. 🤫
    2
  241.  @Corny80  🤣
    2
  242. We'll need popcorn. Lots of popcorn! 🤣
    2
  243. You answered your own question. There's too many spongers. If you want to protect your shipping you need to build a navy.
    2
  244.  @Kohagaan  Fantastic news! 👍👍
    2
  245.  @Kohagaan  🤞
    2
  246. Absolutely. Pumps and especially compressors are complex machines with long lead times. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  247. It doesn't really affect the USA at all. But they're a step away from genocide and that is hard to watch.
    2
  248. To build it, absolutely.
    2
  249. Well said. The EU has had massive mission creep. Also I am sure that we are heading towards a global recession/depression soon, if we're not there already. Given the coming economic nightmare then Italy, and perhaps others, may decide to leave, because Italy will be in a huge mess. There may be too deep a divide between northern and southern Europe and also between eastern and western Europe to survive another 2008 Financial Crisis X 1.5 to 2. Scary.
    2
  250. They will emigrate as much of their companies and people to the USA where inputs are all cheaper.
    2
  251. Give it long enough and it is.
    2
  252. And all chemistry is just physics. Touché.
    2
  253. All presidents stand on the shoulders of those who came before them. Carter did some good things and not so good. Undeniably however - Carter was a weak president. ❤️🇺🇸❤️
    2
  254.  @juniorjames7076  Stranger things have happened.
    2
  255.  @JoeCole_social  I just googled it. 😁
    2
  256. Russia. 1970s. Iran. Inspections? 🤣
    2
  257. Because it's not true. It's just Chinese propaganda.
    2
  258. ​ @mysterioanonymous3206 And they were psychologically castrated after WW2.
    2
  259. How do you watch the forbidden YouTube behind the Great Firewall? 🤔
    2
  260. Control.
    2
  261.  @thomasherrin6798  You are talking about a game, recreation, sport, pastime, etc.
    2
  262. When is this fantasy going to end?
    2
  263. 😜👍
    2
  264. I've seen photos of the rail bridge supports. The railway is only open to light traffic. 😂
    2
  265. @jimmyjamsburner6944  Yup. It's a crying shame that the most prosperous nation on earth by a country mile is currently in incredible debt during peacetime. Why? It really makes no sense whatsoever. I know that the founding fathers detested debt. It's just a shame that they didn't come up with a method to limit it. Look after yourself man. 👍
    2
  266.  @VinSeG  My comment was deleted. 😐
    2
  267. Yup, Germany will be fine accepting ever increasing numbers of immigrants. You may not recognise it as Germany anymore though. Or worse, unrestricted immigration may lead to civil war across Europe. Do you know why there's so much tension in the Balkans?
    2
  268. Hello from Scotland my friend! Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  269. About a decade ago some mechanical engineering colleagues of mine visited an offshore wind farm and were allowed to inspect it. I don't recall the manufacturer. Long story short they concluded that those wind turbines would not last very long, about 10 years, 15 max. The manufacturer had a maintenance contract for 10 years and did the bare minimum while saying that they be good for 30 years. This is normal in this industry. Wind is never going to be a good solution despite what Peter said.
    2
  270. We don't. "N'interrompez jamais un ennemi qui est en train de faire une erreur." Napoleon Bonaparte "When your opponent is making a false move, it is wise not to disturb him." Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  271. Who will counter Russia? Without meaning to be insulting, Austria has been freeloading on its security since the end of WW2. Are things going to change now?
    2
  272. I see what you did there. 🤣
    2
  273.  @robkafczyk2752  Did you have your sense of humour removed surgically? 😑
    2
  274.  @robkafczyk2752  Have you not noticed that this whole thread is a joke? You were explaining a joke to someone. You must be fun at parties. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Forget it. Over and out.
    2
  275. With a little help from the UK maybe?
    2
  276. ​ @farnarkleboy  Legal immigration? Just a thought.
    2
  277. I think that the drop in the Pound can be squarely attributed to the budget being at odds with the actions of the BoE. The budget is politically populist, it could only be effective in the short term and burdens the UK with even more debt. It shows the ineptitude and irresponsibility of Truss and probably a complete lack of understanding how the current debt cycle will inevitably play out. This government's days are numbered.
    2
  278. 🤞👍🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  279. It sounds like you need a new Prime Minister.
    2
  280. ​ @magellannh645  Are grid scale batteries currently available?
    2
  281. 0:40 Isn't it "most of the MEN don't work"?
    2
  282. ​ @ianfromthephilippines  It was a brilliant strategy to peel China away from the Soviet Union during the Cold War and hence entirely necessary. The delusion came afterwards when the West thought that by continuing China would abandon the CCP. It was after the fall of the Soviet Union that the vast majority of harm was done to Western industry. All the best.
    2
  283.  @Ian-iu2tl  Correct.
    2
  284. Because they can. Eventually they will accept a big enough bribe.
    2
  285.  @janvesely3279  Do remember that 600GW is the maximum theoretical output and absolutely not the actual amount of electricity generated. EG a 1KW soar panel produces 0% of 1KW at night, the same solar panel when installed in Spain will probably provide 1KW, however if installed in Scotland will never produce 1KW, also a 1KW wind turbine will produce nothing when the wind stops. Also some countries, for instance Germany are EXTREMELY disingenuous with their reporting of renewable energy. All the best.
    2
  286. Even if the lights stay on in Europe the high cost of energy is going to tip the whole continent into recession. Recession = unemployment. Governments will have to help their people, which will have to be paid for by increased taxation. There's a global economic slowdown happening. A lot of countries are turning to the IMF. Do you think that people will buy more or less expensive cars like a Tesla given these circumstances? PS All government subsidies for cars, solar panels, etc are going to end too.
    2
  287. Don't rain on his doom parade. 🤫
    2
  288. What!?!? Are you saying that Communist Vietnam won't be an American manufacturing paradise? 🤯 It's like the USA is making the exact same mistake as continuing prioritising China after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Brother you couldn't make this up. 🤦🏻‍♂️🤣 All the best.
    2
  289. Russia and Germany are close, then at war, then close, then at war, then close, then at war, then close, then at war, then... get the picture? It's been ongoing since before the USA was a nation.
    2
  290. ​ @RoboKubik8  Several car transporter ships catching fire may show problems with Chinese EVs.
    2
  291. Look up the UK's Ministry of Defence assessments of the war in Ukraine. Russians will say that it's propaganda, but it's probably the most realistic and accurate assessment of casualties. The numbers on both sides are horrifyingly large. All the best.
    2
  292. Wait. 4:45 Did Peter say Sweden was defeated (by Russia?) in UKRAINE!?!? 🤯 I really have to brush up on my Swedish and Central/Eastern European history. I really hope that Sweden join us soon like Finland has. 🇸🇪♥️ 🇫🇮♥️ Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  293. That would take a lot of Russian manpower, which they don't have.
    2
  294. ​@@Bob-lq6dtNo, no, no. Don't say that, he won't listen. Instead why not try "Oil is going to zero ⬇️ and your Tesla stock is going to the moon! ⬆️🌛" 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  295. Yes, we have definitely entered an inflationary wage spiral, which was guaranteed once government employees got raises and will ultimately lead to devaluation of the currency. Unfortunately the reason that workers demanded raises is due to the cost of energy having increased, which the UK had little control over, which then increased food costs. Concurrently the US Federal Funds Rate was increasing and again this was outside the UK's control, however the Bank of England was in turn forced to raise rates to prevent currency flight. The average person who had a mortgage and renters are squeezed by this combination almost to breaking point. The net result of this inflationary wage spiral will only result in the UK being more costly and less competitive and the value of the Pound will be forced down. Many more will suffer from this than from the rate hikes which are temporary and the energy increases which we see are already coming down. The only upside, kind of, is that the economy is slowing and during the coming recession/depression those who have negotiated higher wages will probably get fired and re-employed at a lower rate, which will reset the needle quicker. Perhaps the only beneficiary may be the UK government whose debt will be eroded somewhat, though that will be offset by increased borrowing costs.
    2
  296. Peter has repeatedly stated that an invasion of Taiwan would probably result in a blockade of oil from the Middle East to China. Game over.
    2
  297.  @prst99  The USA? India? Even better the world could just be too scared of sanctions from the US to trade with them. That would work brilliantly even if it was only 75% effective. Let's face it, the only reason that Russia is allowed to export oil is because Europe needs time to transfer to other suppliers. Then there's insurance. Do you know how much maritime insurance is handled by the West? What country in their right mind would let a tanker into their waters without insurance and no one would trust a Chinese insurer to pay up. Checkmate paper kitty.
    2
  298.  @JohnnyAmerique  Anti ship missiles in large quantities would certainly help Taiwan. Unfortunately Whinnie the Shit is so isolated and devoid of intel that he is a bit of a loose cannon and unpredictable. Fortunately he and China seem to be turning inwards which probably reduces the real threat to Taiwan.
    2
  299.  @yuchoob  😜 No, it was a challenge. And he didn't have to learn to march. 👍
    2
  300. I would say that Libya is a more realistic option though.
    2
  301. ​ @mmurphy1533 By 2040 maybe also robots?
    2
  302. ​ @brendanalfo411  No. You can get inputs from anywhere. It's better to produce where the demand is. That way the local politics align with manufacturing needs.
    2
  303.  @brendanalfo411  Consumption will continue to be dominated by the West. The West can produce much more inputs if it wants to. Inputs come from across the globe because of globalization (bad for security) and cost (it's always better to go after low hanging fruit), but also because of the green agenda which for example bans coal in the West, but not in China, India, etc (a truly insane policy if you believe in the green agenda, in which case carbon emitted anywhere has equal importance, or if you don't believe in the green agenda, in which case you are harming Western economies and benefitting our enemies). Madness. 🤦
    2
  304. The sun came up today and will tomorrow. 😑
    2
  305. It's not going to happen. It's impossible to store because the atom is so small it cannot be contained. That's a physics hard stop.
    2
  306. As a Scot who voted to remain, but accepts reality, I can honestly say that I understand both of your points of view.
    2
  307. I don't think that he has a choice, he has an unbelievably obnoxious and smug personality.
    2
  308. It's preferable because that's the system that they have. Sorry if this is an annoying answer.
    2
  309. We did, and look how that's working out for the country that released it (intentional or not).
    2
  310. Weed no doubt.
    2
  311. 😎👍
    2
  312. Very true and very sad. 😢
    2
  313. I don't know if they are or aren't selling donated weapons, but objectively if some are unsuitable it could actually be a good idea.
    2
  314. If the EU suceeds in getting a military and expands then will non EU nations that have currently good relations with the EU then consider it an inevitable threat? How would the USA, UK or Turkey view the EU then? A potential rival perhaps? With a huge military comes the temptation to use it. Just a thought which occurred to me now.
    2
  315. Brutal.
    2
  316. Maybe wait until the northern routes are free of ice before making plans? The climate models lack required confidence or an accurate timescale at present. All the best.
    2
  317. China could then be easily blockaded of oil from the Middle East by the US Navy. Or even the Indian Navy for that matter!
    2
  318. Nope.
    2
  319. I'm extremely bullish on America's future, with two caveats: the US is bettig big on Mexico, which considering all the problems is bound to disappoint to some extent and the US thinks that the shale oil revolution will last - it won't. Will these problems derail the US juggernaut? No. Will it have to think again and adjust its policies to adapt. Yes. Just something to think about IMHO. All the best everyone.
    2
  320. ​ @JoanneVanNess-w4w  That sounds wonderfully normal to me. You are lucky. Meanwhile in the UK we've never had such high demand for food banks (food charities). I've heard that in the UK 60% of people young enough to have children never intend to have any and quite frankly I suspect that is a low figure. This is literally slow motion suicide. I'm Scottish and of three children I am the only one to have a child. All the best Joanne.
    2
  321.  @burklowe2483  Fusion energy has been a only decade away for my whole life. Both up to now and in the future. 🤣
    2
  322.  @kurt1391  Very true and very sad. There are no responsible politicians left in the whole of Europe only populist fools who knowingly make decisions which will destroy us while they get fat pensions and perks.
    2
  323. Eternal SNAFU. This is what happens when the world's only superpower doesn't have a credible threat - it turns on itself. A sad state of affairs indeed.
    2
  324. This is even more great news! RIP China. 🤣 🇨🇳💀🤡 Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇬🇧 and long live free Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
    2
  325. ​ @piligrimius82 I have to agree. I trust Peter's geopolitical and to an extent his demographic insight, (though he hasn't made the connection that the rise and fall of demographics is what shapes the economy) however his macro economic insight appears to be awful. A LOT of data points to the whole world (thanks globalization) is way overdue for a significant deflationary event (stock market crash, etc) and a deep recession which will probably last for 5 to 10 years IMHO. Just my 2¢. All the best.
    2
  326. Garbage video. Carter was a weak president.
    2
  327. Excellent news. 👍 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  328. ​ @joelbenford9327 Underestimate your enemy at your peril.
    2
  329.  @ianagtsk  You are very welcome and our support with not diminish. I have followed the war every single day from the start, unfortunately not from 2014 as it wasn't publicised, and if I was young I would be in Ukraine now. Victory will come and Russia will be pushed out and damaged so badly that they will never be able to try again. 🌻💀🌻
    2
  330. ​ @wisenber  Bear in mind that Argentina has constant high inflation as a result of unsustainable government debt (since about the end of WW2?). In the first half of the 20th century Argentina was an economic powerhouse. It's amazing how politicians can screw everything up. I had huge hopes for Milei, but then he didn't shut down the Argentine Central Bank, so it doesn't matter how well he does because the next regime will just borrow like crazy. 😢
    2
  331. "She" - picturing him in an evening gown. 🤣👍
    2
  332. A huge discovery in Norway too? I can't quite recall.
    2
  333. Can you imagine having to put up with him in person. That wouldn't end well.
    2
  334. ​ @bthegawd8113 I've heard that fusion powe is only 20 years away. The problem is that it's always only 20 years away! 🤣
    2
  335. ​ @larssrensen2400  It may be possible with some of their shadow tankers and a literal boat load of spares, but I doubt that they have the competence.
    2
  336.  @larssrensen2400  Yeah, you have a good point. 🤣👍
    2
  337.  @JohnSmith-ti2kp  If those Russian ships can't use the Suez canal then there's no way that they'll make it to the Indian Ocean, let alone Vladivostok. They'd have better odds risking an icy death trying to get to Murmansk. Russian opinions are actually all dilemmas. 😂👍
    2
  338. I agree with a lot that Peter says and fundamentally he's right, but there are two problems. 1. The government spending by the USA has been hugely irresponsible and pushing rates higher will become unaffordable. 2. A financial crisis and stock market crash is on the way and the fed will not raise rates under such conditions, it will cut them to zero. Given these two points the US government could hold rates low and let inflation rip until the deficit is a healthier percentage. This would be a sneaky and horrible tactic for the people, but a smart move for the government, so guess what they will probably do. After that, and we're talking probably about two years, I agree with Peter that rates will rise substantially. Peter's strength lies in long term forecasting, but his short term is not so good IMHO. All the best.
    2
  339. Be afraid! Ahhhhh!
    2
  340. ​ @Newbmann Wait until certain minorities get large enough and trouble will come to the US too. It has less to do with nationality than religion.
    2
  341. ​ @TheHighborn Very true and everyone knows this in Eastern Europe. We cannot progress however because we are not allowed to speak the truth.
    2
  342. Germany doesn't have a credible military and its leadership lack balls. If you're German please don't take offence, I happen to love Germany, or at least what it used to be.
    2
  343. That's not the way the real world works. Countries do whatever they want to do, especially if fighting for their survival.
    2
  344. No, no, no. China in the Stans would eventually lead to mushrooms growing. 💀
    2
  345.  @Ian-iu2tl  No. I'm afraid that I can't agree. He was literally so boring that I couldn't follow it. He shouldn't be on screen.
    2
  346. Oh yeah, China is formidable, but not in the way which most Western analysts focus on. The West focuses on China's air and sea power, but ignores the nuclear ballistic missile threat. China has way more than 400 nukes, probably double that. In a full scale conflict between the US and China, China would lose a conventional war very quickly so such a conflict would likely escalate to a nuclear one fast. Everyone assumes that China will take a beating, but not go nuclear and that is absolutely wrong. Could the US protect its cities against Chinese ICBMs? Not 100%. So say only 5% got through (and this figure is probably way too low), that's at least 40 nukes hitting US soil. Ok, it would be much, much worse for China, but the USA would suffer catastrophically. Just my 2¢ of course.
    2
  347.  @matthewmcclary7855  Anders Puck Nielsen (not sure about the spelling) did a really good video about it a few days ago here on YouTube.
    2
  348.  @chrismckellar9350  Very true.
    2
  349.  @QuantumAscension1  You definitely are in the minority.
    2
  350. ​ @justanamerican9024  Except in court. 😐
    2
  351.  @georgespragens7589  That's just a variation of the actual quote, which Churchill never said either.
    2
  352.  @ChrisWatson762  It's good to have friends. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  353.  @guillaumeroussel8633  Thanks. That's much clearer. 👍
    2
  354.  @guillaumeroussel8633  Thank you for your posts. Ultimately I think that the only peaceful solution is to vote for the far right. I hope that if they get into power they don't go too far, which they have a history of.
    2
  355. ​ @dontcomply3976  It must be true, this year it's been colder than last year. See. 💚🤪💚
    2
  356.  @bervasbervas7565  Although Hungary does have some tax breaks for parents, that is not what I am considering. I think that personal taxation of all kinds, primarily income tax and sales tax, should be reconsidered. Property (land) tax and import duties used to be the norm pre 1900 and the insidious proliferation of these taxes, which at the time were intended to be temporary, coincides with our demographic decline.
    2
  357. What is wrong with these people?
    2
  358. Nah, demand is reducing due to a global economic slowdown. Besides you can't trust the Saudis to do what they say, not to mention the rest of OPEC. But I agree, if the USA agrees to provide protection to SA then the USA gets to dictate production. Security for a degree of independence and sovereignty. Simple.
    2
  359.  @Gary-bz1rf  But surely it's 💚 greener 💚 to use other countries oil and gas than our own! Deeeeep sigh. 😔
    2
  360.  @fareshajjar1208  She won't hear you. She's too focused on her career being a spoilt victimised depressed saint. 💚
    2
  361.  @mitoschumacher  I believe that the Russians didn't have to make much up about the Ottomans. I agree with your comment and think that Peter Zeihan is extremely badly informed. He does appear to like Turkey and be optimistic about it despite history's warnings of them. I am not so optimistic about their future. They will never be a member of the EU IMHO and although they are a useful member of NATO due to their location and ability to prevent Russian access to the Mediterranean, they prove themselves to be untrustworthy allies time and time again. This of course is just my opinion though. All the best from Scotland. 👍
    2
  362. Very true.
    2
  363. Old societies are always boring. Youth = life.
    2
  364. My response to this video is... Oh what is the word I'm looking for? Oh, yes GOOD.
    2
  365.  @paulsondj  Ah. Thanks. 👍
    2
  366. No way. The region is in a forever war.
    2
  367. ​ @HyperFocusMarshmallow Then Europe needs to build LOTS of nuclear reactors and FAST. It's a choice, nukes or coal. By the way freezing and no economy is not an option.
    2
  368.  @baddolphin1423  The best time to plant an apple tree is ten years ago. The second best time is today. Germany's energy problems aren't going away so they should start building nuclear power plants now. A lot of them. One advantage of nuclear power not mentioned is that a building full of uranium can power a country for a decade, unlike any other fuel. That's exactly what Japan is quietly doing.
    2
  369. And Chinese energy problems would be solved because they would glow in the dark. 💀
    2
  370. I thought that California's offshore oil reserves were large. Isn't Trump going to stop California from banning offshore drilling?
    2
  371.  @quinkana1  Gotcha. 👍
    2
  372. Yup. Many EU companies are like social employment programs and completely disregard shareholders. I gave up on investing in the EU a long time ago.
    2
  373. Mongolia? I didn't catch that one. I must have blinked. 😑
    2
  374. Yup. 🤣 🇬🇧
    2
  375. Years, perhaps a decade as another commenter observed. Mines, less young people, destroyed infrastructure, a capital intensive process in a time of reduced worldwide capital. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧 🌾🌽🌻
    2
  376. What planet do you live on?
    2
  377. ​ @RaidRoyce  And where did the girls for the hareems come from or the boys to become Janissaries? And (how can I phrase this so that it's not removed by YouTube) the boys would never be fathers, which is another fact conveniently forgotten by history. Do you consider the "child taxes" in the Balkans as Ottoman tolerance? Today if you ask any Christian in the Balkans who is not completely ignorant of history if they would prefer to be ruled by Russia or Turkey they would choose Russia and the vast majority hate the Russians with a passion. What the Russians did was terrible and in living memory, but it doesn't compare to the centuries of being under the Ottoman yoke. Like the OP said - the Ottomans were Barbarians.
    2
  378. I smell a Russian troll. 🌻💀🌻 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  379.  @mainepants  Now I'm surprised that Australia is different in this respect to the UK! 🤯 Are you absolutely sure that this is the case in Australia? Ta.
    2
  380.  @freddiepizerhall8324  Yes and I just heard that more will go, but my point was that a very large number have not yet gone.
    2
  381. Great point. Especially since it would rapidly also stop all Russian commercial shipping too. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  382. The Spanish have said that Scotland is never getting in.
    2
  383. ​ @fuzzyspackage 😂
    2
  384. He doesn't. He should stay home. He's too old to travel.
    2
  385. Xi, and hence China, have become diplomatically incompetent and irrelevant. China is withdrawing from the world again. Good riddance.
    2
  386. This was the deep dive. 🤣
    2
  387. And english literature majors (etc) working in coffee shops or on disability because they're cracking up as they realise that their education is worthless.
    2
  388. Meh. Mexico being Mexico. Who would have guessed.
    2
  389. I'm a Brit and I'm finding it impossible to find information about these meetings, surprise, surprise. Can anyone please let me know exactly which countries are meeting with the EU. I assume that the Ukraine will be one and Belarus won't be there, but who else? Thanks a bunch. 👍
    2
  390. Very. For a grid, choosing a less dense energy is ALWAYS a bad choice.
    2
  391. Yea, and when the empire was at its height Christians were terribly persecuted. They did not respect religious rights whatsoever.
    2
  392.  @DieFlabbergast  Ta. For the life of me I couldn't remember how to spell it, so looked it up online. Brusk may be the US spelling? Regardless, I prefer the Queen's English. (I suppose that's the King's English now! 🤯)
    2
  393. A couple of things which was said regarding this on the Asianometry video was intriguing: 1. He said that ASML were trying to sell their lower end machines which are currently allowed to be sold to China as fast as possible before more sanctions kick in. 2. ASML probably have a kill switch in their machines which make them inoperable. It's not too much of a leap to speculate that if further sanction against China do kick in blocking the sale of the lower end machines then the USA may insist that the kill switch on Chinese owned machines be implemented. This would kill all aspirations of China to manufacture these chips. Interesting times for China. All the best.
    2
  394. Yes! I emulated the PSP version on an android tablet recently too and it worked perfectly. 😁👍
    2
  395.  @Rob_F8F  😁 🎮
    2
  396. A big if at the moment. All the best.
    2
  397. ... which Western satellites can definitely listen in to and decrypt in real time. 😁
    2
  398. I agree that Ukraine needs to inflict more damage to Russia, particularly it's infrastructure, particularly oil and gas, rail and factories involved in military production and those which supply them. I don't think at this stage, if ever, America will supply them with long range missiles. I could however be pleasantly surprised. They may well be covertly assisting Ukraine develop their own, but Ukraine has a long history of aeronautics and may not need much help. I am extremely surprised how little Ukrainian special forces have been active in Russia. Targets are plentiful and of all the nations of the world, the Ukraine has the biggest advantage to successfully infiltrate Russia. Not supplying enough weapons to Ukraine is undoubtedly prolonging the conflict, however the loss of large numbers of young men can not be sustained by Russia as it has extremely poor demographics. The higher the Russian losses the less of a threat to NATO. How many more men will then leave for other lands rather than being mobilised? The US has a very long and consistently successful history of fighting today's wars today and tomorrow's wars tomorrow, including proxy wars. Nuclear proliferation is not today's problem, doing as much damage to Russia as possible is. I am sure that if there were peace tomorrow that the sanctions against Russia would continue for a long time. Which hurts Russia's economy and reduce its capacity to wage war for decades to come. All the best Michael. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  399. ​ @wertigon  Scaling batteries to grid size is not possible with current technology.
    2
  400. It's also that the GRU executed the world's largest and most destructive cyber attack against the Ukraine in 2017. Arguably this attack was premature and allowed not only the Ukraine, but also the West and private businesses to harden their systems to an extent. If anyone is interested the worm used was NotPetya and although it primarily affected Ukrainian business and infrastructure, there was also severe spillover outside the country. Maersk and FedEx were the most notable companies affected, which caused severe global disruption. The amount of damage caused to Ukraine was immense, however the attack was probably not as targeted as the hackers hoped. This type of indiscriminate cyber attack against the West would likely cause severe damage to Russia in the event of a full scale attack and I suspect that its use is analogous to nuclear weapons, where they can't actually be used for fear of the consequences. As FedEx was affected I would be amazed if Russia wasn't threatened by the US government of the consequences of continuing this behaviour. If anyone is interested in further information simply search NotPetya or there's a fairly detailed and entertaining documentary here on YouTube by Jack Rysider titled Russia vs. Ukraine: The Biggest Cyber Attack Ever. All the best everyone.
    2
  401. I'm pretty sure that the UK would give Sweden, Finland and Poland technical assistance.
    2
  402. Honestly I don't think that Georgia has anything at all that the West wants, so they're not going to get any meaningful help from the West. When Georgia was part of the Soviet Union and later when under the Russian sphere of influence the West had reason to fuel Georgian independence, but now that has been achieved they're on their own. That's how geopolitics works. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    2
  403. Called "Pooh: In my head"? 😂
    2
  404. ​ @artman12 The US thought that Pakistan was useful for a while and they may be again, but the West is under no illusions when it comes to them.
    2
  405. They may find one.
    2
  406. I think that many may not survive unfortunately. Look at what is happening in Pakistan currently. Their population is at least 220 million, though I've heard it as high as 238 million. Unbelievable.
    2
  407. And it was extremely choreographed.
    2
  408. Less drama, drama, drama in this one.
    1
  409. No. BRICS is irrelevant.
    1
  410. Yes please. 👍
    1
  411. Because their competence is very, very low. Their workforce is amongst the lowest educated in the world. They are good at making plastic trash and not much else. Their fighters may look good, but they don't sell any because then everyone would know that they are fake. It's just propaganda. Don't fall for it. It's a third world country, but shiny.
    1
  412. I wonder if he will keep insulting his subscribers for the next week?
    1
  413. Which country exactly is going to go rouge and start pirating shipping? Almost no country on earth would profit from, let alone could survive being excluded from international shipping. So who is going to be a threat? Russia? Don't make me laugh, they still export a lot. The Houthis? They're irrelevant if we decide to stand up to them. Who exactly? Come on.
    1
  414.  @indigocolossus  Monetary devaluation will merely make property prices seem to be going up.
    1
  415. The Boomers downsizing and then dieing will reduce property values over the next decade or so too.
    1
  416. Very true. Russia has a dilemma. 👍 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  417. ​@JohnnyT-fw9cu Literally a slave state. You ok with that?
    1
  418. 2:20 Don't apologize to Russians for anything. Ever. They've used up their goodwill for all of our lifetimes.
    1
  419. I thought that the biggest exporter of wheat is Russia, with Australia coming a close second.
    1
  420.  @tilapiadave3234  Thanks. I went to the source to confirm the article. 👍
    1
  421. If you want sources then buy his books. This is free.
    1
  422. Keep taking the meds. You're hallucinating again. 🤣
    1
  423. Smart cookie. Sweden needs to join NATO as quickly as it can.
    1
  424. Bingo! We have a winner. 👍👍
    1
  425. ​ @DoloresJNurss  Prior good intentions and acts are irrelevant after someone commits a terrorist attack.
    1
  426. It will absolutely, but that may take time. Before that China may go to war with the USA, which would be the worst thing for China ever, but may be in the interests of the CCP. If the CCP has to choose between losing power and their heads or distracting the people with a war, it's obvious which they will choose. Every single possible outcome IMHO is terrible for both China and the CCP and I doubt if Xi has the brains or moral compass to choose a less terrible option for the vast majority. At this point I would actually be surprised if this doesn't end in war and within a decade. May you live in interesting times is a Chinese curse and that's exactly where they are now.
    1
  427. But the next time the democrats are in power could it be more tempting for Alberta and/or Saskatchewan, especially if Canada is in turmoil because Quebec wants to leave.
    1
  428.  @tiber574  If Québec leaves Canada then the USA will face a security threat and the probably that the US slowly picks off the Provinces is increased IMHO. You can see my post on this video if you want to see what else I had to say - unless of course it has been deleted.
    1
  429. It could make sense that if your allies wouldn't defend themselves because of insufficient funding of their military and became economically dependent on Russia, the US might push Europe to do the "right thing" (I'm not saying it's not) and sanction Russia. All this with the knowledge that Europe would become poor and economically destroyed for a decade while the USA was enriched at the same time. Russia would be severely weakened at the same time. Remember America made money out of WW1 and 2, while it was very costly for Europe however you measure it.
    1
  430. I've of heard the coming demise of the US$ for ALL of my life. Ain't gonna happen. I'll bet on long duration US Treasuries.
    1
  431. Um, the USA is a huge exporter of all hydrocarbons.
    1
  432.  @thunderstorm6630  The proven reserves are massive in the USA. The supermajors are buying up the smaller players and concentrating on getting a lot more out of shape fields and I personally have very high hopes. Many offshore areas, like California (🤦‍♂️) have not been fully explored. Also American has over the last few years increased its maritime claims enormously. For instance the area newly claimed north of Alaska and unfortunately disputed with Russia and Canada, is larger than California and likely has gigantic oil and gas reserves. Ultimately if the United States ever does run out of hydrocarbons and the technology to grow it using algae or something similar doesn't exist then you can simply go back to importing. Due to demographics, worldwide demand should be in decline or possibly just flat line for about a decade. Wind, solar and nuclear could also reduce demand somewhat. Then there is Venezuela. They have gigantic proven reserves and are so incompetent that they will soon be importing. The communist dictatorship is hated by Washington DC and it wouldn't take much if oil was required to "liberate" it in the name of democracy. Their threatening of their neighbour Guyana could be beneficial. The USA has many, many options and is in a great strategic position. All you have to do is sort out your politics. 🤣 All the best.
    1
  433. Perhaps it is useful for the US to fight some small wars not to "win" them, but rather to keep it's military and military industrial complex active. Think of it as exercise. Just a thought.
    1
  434. I can see Chinese (and maybe Russian too!) vessels getting banned from the whole of the Baltic. The Baltic Sea is a NATO lake is the new reality. Like Peter said, they're going to find out.
    1
  435. Simple, they don't allow offshore drilling or enough refineries.
    1
  436. No one is going to hand this information over to you on a plate. How about YOU investigate before saying that it isn't true. I KNOW that your comment about the only coal is under cities is completely wrong.
    1
  437. "And that's why I... " 🤣
    1
  438. ​ @TheAmericanPrometheus  Give it time. 😐
    1
  439. ​ @zacksmith5963 Cope harder 🇨🇳🤡. Your country won't exist soon. 💀 Enjoy your government job while you can.
    1
  440.  @peterflohr7827  Agreed. 👍
    1
  441. Ukraine didn't just pose a threat to Putin and his oligarchy as you stated, but also an opportunity. More resources. Imagine how much power he would wield over the global South by controlling all Russian and Ukrainian grain, fertilizer and energy. Also if Ukraine were conquered Russia would gain millions of men for their military which would allow them to continue expanding.
    1
  442. ​ @t.r.2283  The Greenie religion is why.
    1
  443. France doesn't do cooperation. Source: History.
    1
  444.  @slimdiddyd  🤞
    1
  445. We are taking about the Middle East and if the US stops policing then all hell breaks loose! 🤦‍♂️
    1
  446. A new haemorrhagic fever in the Congo? Naturally or artificially derived? Until Covid this wouldn't cross my mind.
    1
  447. In their strike against Israel half of the ballistic missiles blew up on the launch pads. I'm not even sure that they can spell incompetence. 😐
    1
  448. ​ @axelhopfinger533  Remember how fast Germany built the LNG import terminals? If they're serious then they can rearm incredibly fast.
    1
  449. Now that's a thought. Stranger things have been funded.
    1
  450. I heard that 50 years ago when I was a child. Europe would freeze. Still waiting...
    1
  451. I don't know why Volvo is still considered European. All Volvo cars are 100% made in China. It's a con.
    1
  452. If Crimea were to fall then I suspect that Putin's days would be numbered. I wonder how many troops Russia has in Crimea?
    1
  453. And the other half are disengeuous.
    1
  454. ​ @Halbared Please let that be true!
    1
  455. ​ @lxbanos Two Tier Kier hates free speech and liberty.
    1
  456. I fear that the religious problems in Europe will lead to civil/religious war eventually. History tells us that Europeans are extremely tolerant, until they're not. It won't end well.
    1
  457. It was a Mil-8.
    1
  458.  @adairjanney7109  Why would there be an investigation? It's Iran, where the President is a cleric. It is the will of Allah. 😐
    1
  459. I really doubt if that would work. "Liberating" Libya is far more realistic.
    1
  460. Absolutely. If they are actually there and the soldiers aren't guarding lead filled dummy warheads. Dummies would serve the same propaganda function. I know where I'd put my money.
    1
  461. Man, that's a can of worms. You're asking for a series of multi hour videos.
    1
  462.  @shamster7182  It looks like my reply was deleted. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  463.  @onehairybuddha  Do you wash your windows with air? Your car? Do you take air showers? Do you know how much water is required to grow crops? Desalination to grow food is sheer fantasy and sounds like something that crazy oil rich yet incredibly uneducated and stupid Dubai would try to get their slaves to build. If people worried about the environment then why would you build gigantic solar farms to desalinate seawater? That's insane! And exactly how could Morocco afford all this? Look, it's this simple: ANY country which can't feed itself and relies on imported food will eventually find out that food will be used as a weapon against them and there will be famine. Egypt, Pakistan, Somalia and Eritrea will absolutely have gigantic famines when food gets scarce. Eventually there won't be enough food for everyone in the world and then a lot of exports will stop and the little surpluses will go to the rich and militarily powerful countries. Many millions will die. Overpopulation = War and Famine... EVERY... SINGLE... TIME.
    1
  464. Why are you so concerned about how a murderous dictator's name is pronounced? Don't you realise that Russia and China are our enemies and have wanted us all dead for many decades?
    1
  465. Eastern Europe has incredibly low birth rates.
    1
  466.  @JoeCole_social  Poland 1.5 and declining, Czech 1.8 and slightly rising, Hungry 1.5 and rising, Bulgaria 1.8 and declining. These countries seem to be representative of Eastern Europe, between 1.8 and 1.5 and generally declining, though there are large regional differences even within countries (Bulgaria varies from 2.1 to 1.6 regionally) and minorities (eg Muslims and Gypsies, if we're allowed to comment on them?). The figures in Eastern Europe are slightly better than Western Europe, but it's not great. Nowhere in Europe approaches 2.1, but almost everywhere in Europe is seeing immigration (even Poland which socially was very much against immigrants I believe!). IIRC Ukraine was one of the worst before the invasion and now is definitely the worst in the continent. It's a fascinating subject. I'm really interested in Orban's tax breaks in Hungary (despite it looking like he's not a fan of democracy), but there really doesn't look like there's a clear answer as to how to reverse the demographic decline. In the end if it's not too severe and every country is experiencing this then, apart from how to support an ageing population, is falling birth rates a bad thing? Maybe not. Are we panicking about nothing? It's very hard to say. It may just be a change with both positive and negative implications. All the best Joe.
    1
  467. No. If you're talking about the debts from Belt and Road Policy, it has been winding down for years and a huge amount of it is in default with absolutely no hope of ever being repaid. China's bribery of corrupt politicians around the globe to accept these terrible loans along with their bullying Wolf Warrior Diplomacy, though what it has to do with diplomacy I'll never know, has done nothing but earn China enemies who will turn on China at the first opportunity. In technical terms China is utterly screwed no matter what they do.
    1
  468. Plastic junk.
    1
  469. It never lasts though if history is a guide.
    1
  470. Incredibly bad economic policy combined with terrible Turkish demographics and great Kurdish demographics. This makes for a very volatile mix.
    1
  471. Off your meds again? 🤦
    1
  472. ​ @infidelheretic923 We're talking about the country that is still proud of their One Child Policy despite it leading to a demographic nightmare and 650 million forced abortions. China will likely kill off its old people en masse. It will probably starve them. They're barbarians pure and simple.
    1
  473. Historically China has gone from have a very strong central control, to a very weak central control with city states and warlords, but they constantly rewrite their history books to make it look like there was always very strong central control. This is probably the route that China will follow. With the demographics being so poor there will probably be famine and the old will all be killed off. The worse that could happen is that China will pick a fight with the USA, or vice versa, and China will be destroyed and fragment. There's your answ I'm afraid. Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇬🇧 and freedom for Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
    1
  474. ​ @tenochtitlan2430 I really don't think that an EU military is possible without GIGANTIC changes and the EU is REALLY going to have to spend a lot to be able to do without the USA. Quite frankly I doubt it is possible. If you are American and read this and think "good, who cares what those scrounging Europeans do", then think again. The US was dragged into WW1, 2 and the Cold War, because it couldn't afford to economically lose Europe and have either an enriched Germany or Russia as a geopolitical rival. WW3 would be no different.
    1
  475. I'm pretty sure that they're not against serving in the military, rather they just prefer to get paid to do nothing but worship. 😑
    1
  476. The UK is the same as Australia.
    1
  477. Don't hold your breath. Wave, tidal and subsea currents have huge amounts of energy, but in very little time those forces and the hostile environment destroys equipment. There has been a lot of work on this for about the last 50 years and in truth there has been almost no progress because of this. And the "experts" wanting funding for it don't publicize this problem. It's just not going to happen at any scale to be meaningful in our lifetimes IMHO.
    1
  478.  @keithdrummond1003  I hear that the Iranian people are happy that their president has managed to burry himself into a mountain. He wasn't a nice guy. 😐
    1
  479.  @orboakin8074  Thank you.
    1
  480. And everyone in the Middle East hates each other! 🤣
    1
  481.  @fumble_brewski5410  In addition the Egyptian and Ethiopian form of Orthodox Christianity is different from Eastern Orthodoxy in the same way that Greek Orthodoxy is different from Eastern Orthodoxy. Although in Africa there is the Greek Orthodox Church and the Coptic Orthodox Church. It is complicated and I my knowledge is not great however. All the best.
    1
  482. Hydrogen is too difficult to store or transport. It's physics and impossible to solve. Move on - we already have a solution. Diesel is great.
    1
  483. So you don't have a pension then? If you do it will affect you, just as 2008 will have affected you.
    1
  484.  @travisadams4470  It's just different terminology in different countries.
    1
  485. If there's a huge crash and recession then I suspect that his business model is over.
    1
  486. I read your comment and thought "Surely that can't be right." But I checked a local large retailer in the UK and lo and behold they have no stock nationwide either! I could have an Xbox of any flavour in my sticky hands in 20 minutes however, so there a solution to your problem if not an answer.
    1
  487. Great question. 👍
    1
  488. ​ @mrgyani  Don't be complacent in the USA, you have an open southern border. 😑
    1
  489. Honestly I think that the Welsh are smarter than my fellow delusional Scots.
    1
  490.  @fpham8004  Radio Free Europe! Now that's a blast from the past. I never listened to it myself, but did tune into Radio Caroline and felt like an outlaw. That was using transistors though. My uncle had an old valve set which he had built and he used to fire it up when we visited. Amazingly both of them are still on the go (and it looks like Radio Free Europe's original remit is appropriate in Russia again). Great memories! All the best.
    1
  491. ​ @ingusmant  What is the literacy rate in Germany?
    1
  492.  @whitescar2  Are you including new arrivals or do you mean that they can read some language, just not necessarily German?
    1
  493.  @jessefisher1809  No. Like it or not YOU personally cannot live in the modern world without coal, no matter where you live. Try living without steel, concrete and most pharmaceuticals for a start. Next, factor in the cost increases from all of the existing coal plants switching to gas. Do the maths. It doesn't add up.
    1
  494. @cowboybeboop9420  Look at the electricity prices in Norway and Sweden and tell me that the situation isn't bad in Europe. Also immigration wise the situation in Western Europe is incredibly bad and that includes Italy and Spain (Spain to a lesser extent because they depart for other countries). There's a good reason that political parties which want to stop or even reverse immigration are on the rise all over Europe.
    1
  495. @cowboybeboop9420  My reply to you has been deleted.
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  496.  @Neon-Covenanter  Do you think that NATO is dead then? I honestly would like to hear your opinion. Thanks.
    1
  497.  @theforsakeen177  Chinese steel. Do they have enough iron ore? No. Do they have enough coking coal? No. They import it. China is the world's largest importer of food and energy, to name just two critical resources. The US Navy is more than capable of blockading China. I'm not worried about China. Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇬🇧 and long live free Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
    1
  498.  @nunyabidness3075  Ok, I stand corrected. 👍 From a security point of view wouldn't non transmitting pagers be preferable for Hezbollah?
    1
  499. I really don't understand the enduring controversy about WMDs in Iraq. Iraq had chemical weapons before the invasion. They used them against Iran in the Iran -Iraq war. They used them against their own people. Remember Chemical Ali? It's all documented. They had Scud missiles to deliver them. The coalition didn't find them. Fine, they were no longer in Iraq. A while later Syria used chemical weapons against their own people. This is verified by the UN. Iraq and Syria have a huge border. WTF makes this puzzle so hard to understand? On the point of Australian housing I think that you're in for a huge shock. Best of luck mate. 👍
    1
  500. No. I really doubt that.
    1
  501. The US is betting big on Mexico and I can't help but wonder if this is a huge mistake. Mexico is technically a shit hole run by corrupt incompetents and drug gangs. What could possibly go wrong? 🤦‍♂️ Oh, and as an aside, i doubt if the US shale revolution will last long. Then the US will be back to importing oil and they will have only two choices: Saudi Arabia, if it hasn't been destroyed by Iran, or turning Venezuela into a colony, which probably makes a lot more sense. Meanwhile all countries in the West should start building a LOT of nuclear reactors ASAP. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  502. It's an interesting proposal. Of course the real thing that's needed is to reduce government spending and debt. I've recently been wondering which taxes are more favourable for people to have children. Currently the system is broken and many people who want to start a family aren't able to and that's VERY, VERY BAD - in fact I'd go as far as to say that it's a nation killer, if not a civilization killer.
    1
  503. It's actually an intentional feature of the system. If all it takes to stop a candidate is to jail them, then democracy is more fragile. All the best.
    1
  504. Because of two world wars.
    1
  505. The only thing that would be viable for growing is Weed.
    1
  506. Maybe if Russia collapsed, in which case why stop there. The Kamchatka peninsula has all the oil and gas which Japan would ever need. But that would be quite a gamble and Japan is cautious these days.
    1
  507. Oooooh. I forgot about down voting. Thanks. 👍👍
    1
  508. No. That was just rhetoric to undermine Russia's influence in the region. Oh and Turkey has always been the worst ally of NATO, though France gives them a run for their money. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  509. 🤫
    1
  510. Popcorn is all sold out. Ukraine bulk bought it ALL! 😂 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  511. Some people will still be wearing masks because of Covid in 50 years time. 😷 You can't fix stupidity - ever. 😂
    1
  512. I don't think that Peter is the one to answer short term macro economic questions.
    1
  513. I seriously doubt if real nuclear weapons will be moved to Belarus. The same effect can be achieved by using dummies, with no downsides.
    1
  514. I really, really doubt it. 😐
    1
  515. I think that ship has sailed.
    1
  516. Oooh, I've not heard about this. Do you have a link? Thanks.
    1
  517. Yeah, he had one chance to get rid of Argentina's Central Bank and formally Dollarize. He didn't, so he'll fail. Simple.
    1
  518. ​ @blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311  He's really going into overdrive now though. I wonder why? Paetreons leaving? Talks cancelled? CIA funding withdrawn? 🤣
    1
  519. The only question is: mustache or not? Strong leaders don't have a great history in Germany.
    1
  520. ​ @idiottv6499  Even in their so called golden age they didn't apply their knowledge much at all though.
    1
  521. All governments ultimately rule with the consent of the people. It's the job of the "real" Iranians to change their government and they have had plenty of time to do so. You're right about not caring about the Iranian people though thankfully. It's the job of governments to look after their own people. You are free to go to Iran and help the "real" people though. Good luck with that.
    1
  522. Stiff up lip old chap. 😉 God save the King. 🇬🇧
    1
  523. ​ @MDK-c4x  Are interconnected electrical grid robust compared with national ones though? For instance are interconnected systems more vulnerable to cyber attacks? Also if there is a shortage then which country is prioritised - has this ever happened in Europe? France recently had to reduce the energy produced by their nuclear power plants because it would impact the temperature of the river water.
    1
  524.  @atix50  I used to live in London during the first Gulf War. Certain parts of London were getting bad then and I hear that it has become much, much worse. This small boat "crisis" (the crisis is that our military is not allowed to defend the UK!🤯) is bound to make everything worse. I'm glad that you were ok and learned from the incident. All the best from Scotland. 👍
    1
  525.  @atix50  No I hadn't heard about the problems in Dublin. The BBC should really be called the English Broadcasting Corporation, they even tilt the weather map to make England look bigger than Scotland. I understand the logic of their focus the English population is huge, but it's not particularly relevant for me now, hence my news input is lacking. I have heard that unless you are either very rich or poor that it has become impossible to raise a family in London. Mind blowing! I feel for your family. You're right about the advantages of being able to relocate. I don't think that the colour of your skin matters in the slightest. My family have many heritages British, Eastern European and Jamaican currently and we range of colours from very dark to pale blue with frequent sunburn (me! 🤣). Culture is hugely important and most European cultures are extremely compatible (with a couple of exceptions possibly due to history - looking at you Albania and Serbia and I'm excluded that insane mess called Russia). Religion wise is similar. We mainly get along with a couple of exceptions. I am pleased that a religious hotspot disguised as a political problem, Ireland, is slowly resolving it's issues. I wonder if this is because religiosity there is generally on the decline and/or people now appreciate the peace. Either way it's a good thing. In truth every country has its good and bad points, but it is extremely sad and troubling to have to consider leaving your homeland because those in power neglect to protect what we have. It's worrying to think that I wouldn't consider any politician a statesman since the end of the Cold War. This may not be a coincidence, as we probably make better decisions when facing a credible and apparent for. Sorry about the ramble. 😁 Good chatting. 👍
    1
  526. 🤣 The downside of being the boss: nobody tells you to smarten up your act.
    1
  527. I believe that Mussolini managed to destroy the Mafia in Italy with government sanctioned extreme violence. One of the few things which he did right. The US used the Mafia in the invasion of Italy and paid a hefty price for it.
    1
  528.  @muhschaf  Yes I understand where you're coming from, but if it's possible to repress it for long enough it should be able to be stopped. It's not like a particular people have genetic predisposition to organised crime. Governmental or social structure may enable certain groups to thrive however and these would in addition need to be addressed. All the best.
    1
  529. A pipe dream! 😂
    1
  530. Bingo! We have a winner.
    1
  531. Methinks that he overvalues his worth.
    1
  532. ​ @emceeboogieboots1608 The ability to lock in interest rates like you do in the USA and Canada is not possible in most of the world. Everywhere else has variable rates. You are lucky. All the best.
    1
  533. Why doesn't NYC charge exorbitant taxes on vacant apartments? Besides it won't matter soon when the mother of all market crashes and pops the gigantic real estate bubble like a kid with a pin! 💥 Hang on tight, it's going to be a wild ride. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  534. Great question. You kind of answer it yourself though. The capital should return, less care costs, tax and inflation. The inflation is the wildcard as governments may let it run hot to reduce the size of the deficit (most likely IMHO) or control it if they can.
    1
  535. ​ @pseudoscientist8010 ... in the slightest.
    1
  536. 100% 👍
    1
  537. ​ @Nick-bh5bk The Green Movement is a religion to many and hard facts are irrelevant given that mindset. Greens reject nuclear, because it's bad and nuclear weapons scare them so instead they want to wait forever for fusion to save the earth. Hydro electric is bad because dams change nature. Hydrocarbons are bad because they all pollute. What's left is solar and wind which the Greens love because they can't do basic maths. Also many don't want children because of this, but one of the hidden dangers of not having children is that being a parent forces most people to grow up and stop believing in fairy tales. Ultimately at the core of the Green movement is something which they don't discuss openly, which is that they view humanity as a plague and want the population to decrease drastically, though they aren't suicidal so would prefer undefined others to disappear to reduce global population. Today the Green Movement is very similar to a cult IMHO. All the best.
    1
  538. The world is going to reject EVs and green religion soon IMHO.
    1
  539. No way! We got out of the Empire business post war and there's no way we're going back. Good riddance. 😂 God save the King. 🇬🇧
    1
  540. ​ @blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311  Bingo! We have a winner.
    1
  541. Oh, there absolutely could be a revolution. Remember that those 10,000 clerics could all disappear in a day if the people decide that they've had enough. I don't think that we're there yet, but this may be the start of something unstoppable. 🤞
    1
  542. They are and then the ultra corrupt local government officials manipulate the data, then the mega corrupt central government officials manipulate the data and finally we get given the data which makes them look good to the world. If that's not bad enough Xi probably has only minimal information about the problem. It couldn't happen to a nicer bunch than the CCP! 🤣
    1
  543.  @MarcosElMalo2  Well said. 👍
    1
  544.  @ImAliveAndYouAreDead  In 77 years it may be uninhabitable?
    1
  545. ​ @adwarfsittingonagiantsshoulder  The ones who will lose elections.
    1
  546. Another reasonable comment deleted by YouTube. Isn't it great to live in a post truth world. 😐
    1
  547. Yea, I actually expect the grain corridor to keep working, because if Russia pulls out then ALL Russian commercial shipping is fair game in the Black Sea - grain, oil, everything, going in and out. Russia knows this and I don't think that they can afford it. Correction. RUSSIA ABSOLUTELY CAN'T AFFORD IT. They'll beat their chests and threaten all the time, but if it stops then Ukraine is going to put some Harpoon Missiles on a speedboat and target Russian civilian shipping. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  548. ​ @protorhinocerator142  I wouldn't say that it was an outcome of socialism at all. The energy decisions in Germany have been highly influenced by Russian propaganda. Russia has since the end of the Cold War been waging a propaganda war against nuclear power. Russia is a major exporter of hydrocarbons and nuclear power reduces demand for oil and gas. Russia wants Europe to be dependent on Russia for political reasons. Lavrentiy Beria when head of the NKVD (later the KGB) famously asked Soviet scientists to come up with reasons why nuclear technologies were bad in order to scare the West from using them - they theorised that nuclear war could cause a Nuclear Winter, but there has never been any validation of this concept, yet politically it worked. Later the German Green Party was heavily influenced by Russian propaganda and likely funded by them too. They essentially condemn all forms of carbon emissions without providing any alternative solutions. IMHO their energy policies are completely unrealistic and will impoverish Germany. Thankfully support today for the Green Party is fast falling. The EU has recently also made it impossible to build any new nuclear power plants by making it a requirement for there to be absolutely ZERO risk from a nuclear facility regardless of circumstances. I am sure any fool could think of many situations which could pose some risk. The EU has used covert ingenuous bureaucratic means to completely halt the construction of any new nuclear reactors in all of the EU. (As an aside, I used to live in Germany and find it very interesting how, up until now at least, they are probably more easily influenced by such propaganda than most other countries. A German national trait is that they are extremely law abiding and love rules/laws. All that is required to get the German people to do something is to enshrine it in law. The Russians managed exactly this with Net Zero, while also getting them to reject nuclear energy!) All the best.
    1
  549. This can be done in the West given the will, but I doubt that it will happen in the rest of the world where the majority of coal is used.
    1
  550.  @bighands69  I agree with you 100%. My issue is that many countries choose coal because they can't afford anything else and they can't afford, or are simply unwilling to spend the money on, on the additional equipment to scrub the exhaust gasses or the additional capital cost of replacing a coal fired power plant if adapting an existing plant is impossible. It is indeed a moral dilemma and the poor of the world are bound to suffer and pay proportionately more as usual. All the while the rich and powerful shamelessly jet off to carbon reduction conferences with no compression of the irony. Why build a completely new infrastructure? Follow the money for your answer. Most decisions can be explained by money and power. It's a global problem as the CO2 disperses evenly very quickly, if, and it's a very big if still despite the confidence of its proponents, global warming has as big an effect as predicted. My problem is that for literally my entire life there has been a constant percentage of the population who have preached that The End is Nigh and We Are All Doomed! Same shit different global catastrophe. Global warming has become a religion and I fully intend to sit this one out. I'm not a traveller or big consumer so I have less impact than the vast majority anyway. Good chat, have a great day.
    1
  551. No, more likely his father had a crew cut.
    1
  552. There is absolutely no question in my mind that this will end catastrophically for China. It is not a robust Western society. China is a fragile dictatorship, no rule of law, corruption of historic proportions, has the largest debt bubbles in history, has insane military ambitions, a demographic problem the scale of which has never seen in history, an uneducated population, has to import the vast majority of its raw materials, energy and food, has enemies on all sides due to it bullying every single neighbour and to top it off an utterly incompetent government. They are not going to get a recession and stagnation.
    1
  553. If just one ship is sunk then insurance will stop and ships will not come. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  554. ​ @dingoeatswolf3663  Where are you talking about? China or USA? Thanks.
    1
  555.  @dingoeatswolf3663  Ok. Thanks. 👍
    1
  556.  @sernik_z_rodzynkami  Wow. Interesting. So China tries to conceal their tariffs. Thanks. 👍
    1
  557.  @ivandjartovski3578  What is roadsx???
    1
  558. 🤫
    1
  559. He probably just needs a good microphone.
    1
  560. No. Slaves.
    1
  561. Europe, and I'm including the UK, will eventually have to wake up, get their fingers out and actually do something about energy. We have lots of options, including nuclear, coal, gas (the Groningen fields and onshore UK are currently banned 🤦) and also war. Yes, WAR. Europe may have to put troops on the front lines in Ukraine and end the war. Russia would run out of options fast. Italy and France may have to take the gloves off and go back into North Africa. If they were to fight like their forefathers then they would succeed. France is a nuclear power. The world has changed and eventually the civilised rulebooks will probably have to be torn up, like it or not. WAKE UP! 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  562. Wow. I told the truth and my comment is still there! 🤯
    1
  563. ​@georgej8647 India will continue to import Australian coal and any other raw material which it needs.
    1
  564. Probably ⅕, but it's very unclear.
    1
  565. Peter what would scare the US? Russia using a tactical nuclear weapon? Pakistan selling its nukes to Saudi Arabia, Turkey and/or Iran? A war with China (even a declining China)? Even an incredibly economically weak country like North Korea is a credible treat to the western seaboard of the US (and if it's not now it will be very soon). Also although you have stated that the future of the USA is to use Mexican labour, how could that be achieved? Mexico is a incredibly criminalised and dysfunctional nation which would have to be fixed in order for that to be possible. All the best.
    1
  566. Thanks everyone! I've got some reading to do. 👍
    1
  567.  @Rob-me8vp  Yes, absolutely. Russia is an imperial power with very little geographic security currently. Under the Soviets they had that security and lost it with the fall of Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. Putin has stated that he wants that security back. If the United States gives up on Ukraine and NATO then Putin stands a pretty good chance of fracturing European alliances and getting what he wants. But it isn't just Putin, this is the core strategy of Russia. Expand until they reach a defendable position. Geographically Russia is in a very poor position currently and that is why they are in Ukraine.
    1
  568. If Putin tried to launch even just one tactical nuclear missile, the US (and probably the UK and France and possibly even China) would know everything about it and we would see a much heightened response from the West to say the least. Such a response would not be able to be hidden from the media. We probably wouldn't know exactly what was going on, but we would know that something was going on. So, the West isn't freaking out because Russia hasn't pushed any buttons. End of story.
    1
  569.  @jimthain8777  My comment was yet again deleted. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  570. ​ @lutherblissett9070 How is that going to improve productivity or reduce high labour costs? That sounds like a solution for communists. Oh wait a minute. 😂
    1
  571. ​ @hughjass1044  Stop kidding yourself. He meant to insult those that refuse to pay him for his speculation. This lines up exactly with his character.
    1
  572. I suspect that offshore California could have significant results.
    1
  573. Namibia? Interesting. Onshore or offshore do you know?
    1
  574. No.
    1
  575.  @prst99  There's been a lot of talk that this is the end of the US$ because they "weaponized" it. I call that BS. If you invade a country, you face international consequences and that includes financial. Simple. I think that this will become much more common in future. All the best.
    1
  576.  @bighands69  Unfortunately if North Korea ever did start anything it's incredible number of fortified artillery would devastate Seoul and everywhere near the border. It is just wishful thinking to write off the nuclear threat and chemical artillery rounds would be very effective against the cities in range. True the North wouldn't stand a chance of an actual invasion, but South Korea would be destroyed. Any war would rapidly escalate and would certainly be a death sentence for almost everyone in North Korea which they know. China would also be extraordinarily angry at them for disrupting the balance of power and forcing the US to become directly involved in the region. Remember the Korean War was not good for China. Therein lies the deterrence, so let us hope that it remains effective.
    1
  577.  @prst99  Do you think that Western leaders have ever cared about South Africa? It has virtually zero geopolitical significance to the world apart from being a supplier of some minerals which they continue to do despite the country's incredible recent decline. There is a huge difference between what politicians say and do.
    1
  578. I used to know someone who did his national service in the 50s in the UK. He was sent to the Isle of Wight and was only allowed to communicate in Russian for 18 months, if I recall correctly. He loved it. One of the good stories about the Cold War. All the best.
    1
  579. ​ @obcane3072 No, they use different rail cars.
    1
  580. A very good point. Military transport probably gets priority too.
    1
  581. Yea as a British I completely agree. The UK and the Netherlands could get a lot more out of the North Sea, but won't. In fact all of UK waters require re-investigation, but that's not going to happen under our crazy current government. I don't know if Irish waters have ever been explored. I'm sure that the Baltic would yield something and the same goes for the Western Mediterranean. Most of these locations are offshore and so exploration and development are price dependent. In fact until the EU reverses its green agenda no company will ever investigate anything - it's insanity. Libya is definitely a possibility, but I suspect that multiple European countries would have to collaborate - probably France and Italy (who would benefit the most) with the UK possibly wanting in on the action (relations between the UK and mainland Europe would have to improve significantly though), but things would have to get VERY bad for Europe for an invasion/liberation to be realistic. This would in my opinion be quite doable IMHO. Europe is shifting to the right politically and I see Germany in decline which has its advantages. Don't forget that Azerbaijan is likely going to be an increasing way for Russia to launder its gas going to Europe too. More nuclear energy would be great for everyone but France and remember that Europe still has vast coal reserves. If coal is good enough for china and India then it should be ok for Europe. It's all fun and games. All the best.
    1
  582. Americans don't live next door to Russia (I know, I know, but Russians can't drive a tank to Alaska), like the Baltic Free States. The closer you are to Russia, the more you realise that Russia is the enemy.
    1
  583. Next we'll be telling our kids to eat their bogies (boogers) up before they get their dessert! 🤢
    1
  584. Na, just fertilizer. 😂
    1
  585. Weed. He'll probably be surprised when he gets lung cancer and says "But I don't smoke!"
    1
  586.  @jagsfanrick  You should examine the budget put out by the Russian Government. Comparing January 2022 with January 2023 (remember this is before the EU ban on buying Russian crude oil came into effect) total government income was down 38% and government expenses were up 58%. The figures for March will be much worse. If oil prices do spike then Russia has no way of profiting from that anymore with the price caps in place. Putin just didn't do his homework before commencing on his little "special operation" and instead he got a special disaster for Russia. 🌻💀🌻 Take a look for yourself at the Russian Finance Ministry - just Google it. Sometimes no matter how well you roll the dice, the house always wins. 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  587. + plenty of energy, raw materials, rich, rule of law - bad neighbours, poor choice of immigrants ? climate change (let's face it no one knows)
    1
  588. Yeah, I suspect that George nailed it. Trump knew Nixon and respects what he did with China. I had a thought about Tulsi Gabbard. If the administration had actual evidence of connections to Moscow then rather than keeping her out, instead appoint her, restrict what she gets access to and then use her to feed Moscow a narrative. Alternatively I've been watching too many Cold War spy films.
    1
  589. Yes it's a religious conflict. No they are ethnically different.
    1
  590. ​ @Doochos 😂
    1
  591. Sorry, but no. The West has bigger concerns, namely stopping Russian expansion West and the coming war with China. These countries are buffer states between Russia, Turkey and Iran. They also sit at the border between two religions Christians to the north and Muslims to the south and this is the real problem with this region and one which has absolutely no solution ever unless you are utterly naïve. The best outcome may be for the people of Nagorno Karabkh (sp?) to flee to Armenia before the Azeris wipe them out. Currently the Azeris will allow that. This is undoubtedly a terrible thing for the people involved, but better than being dead. The prospect of any Armenians being allowed to live peacefully in Azerbaijan is unlikely and will probably trend to zero as time moves on. There's a good reason that so many Armenians have fled to the West over time. As for Armenia and Georgia in the long run they need a security guarantor and the only one who that I can see willing to be that is Russia, however Russia is currently busy. It's a very, very difficult place to live. Arguably the peoples of the region were better off under the Soviets and the Soviets were monsters. Sadly if I lived there I would leave and try to get to the West and a better life. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  592.  @k0zzu21  Almost all of the uranium enrichment happens in Russia. The West has really dropped the ball with enrichment and must start building facilities now.
    1
  593. Bingo. We have a winner. 😵‍💫
    1
  594. ​ @hamchannell At 3 hours it's 41K. She's a star! 🤩
    1
  595. Obama was a truly terrible world leader, yet everyone loved him because of... 🤷🏾‍♂️
    1
  596. From a ruthlessly cynical perspective the West is providing just enough military equipment to one former member of the Soviet Union (Ukraine) to allow them to slowly grind down another former member of the Soviet Union (Russia and perhaps Belarus), while inflicting the maximum amount of damage to its capacity to wage future wars. Ukrainian casualties and the time it takes to liberate territory given this outlook are irrelevant as long as the West is able to convince Ukraine that the West is helping. The West will quietly bear a grudge against those who seek to destroy us with nuclear weapons, such as Russia. China had better watch out. War is hell. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  597.  @QuizmasterLaw  True. France always wants to be the grand heroic peace maker. Germany thinks more trade = less war, due to selective memory loss (peak trade between France and Germany before WW2 was just before the panzers rolled in). They are still searching for their balls 70 years after the US castrated them.
    1
  598.  @ClockworksOfGL  And I understand why the US is doing this: you have to be careful when fighting the nuclear armed bear. But it must be so frustrating for the Ukrainians (it certainly is for me) not to take the fight to the enemy. Teams could go into Russia and burn factories and refineries to the ground easily. At the end of WW2 the British saved the Ukrainian SS division from deportation back to the Ukraine and instead took them as immigrants into the UK in absolute secrecy (it only came out recently). Why would they welcome them? Because they could pass as Russians better than any one else. The Cold War was a harsh mistress. Fast forward to today, who could still pass as Russian the easiest of any other people? Still the Ukrainians. Yet why aren't they wreaking havoc in Mother Russia? Because the US has told them not to probably (yet, anyway). Very frustrating, but you have to box clever to win. All the best.
    1
  599. I would tend to agree.
    1
  600. India is intentionally focused inward and they are very protectionist. This strategy serves India best. Also their demographics are also prophetically showing weakness.
    1
  601. Nonsense. Russia must be soundly defeated and impoverished to stop their imperial war of aggression. Their (your?) Tsar, Putin the Small only has to leave Ukraine to stop the war. 🇷🇺🤡 Alternatively they can stay in Ukraine and improve the soil. 🌻💀🌻 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  602. Yeah, war has returned to Europe and will account for a sizable percentage of GDP going forward. So that's a plus. 😢 I don't see Russia stopping in the next decade. They'll just keep pushing and pushing until they run out of enough manpower. I really don't think that the russian people will effectively mobilize until their losses are at least an order of magnitude greater than today and even then they may not stop Russian imperial expansion. In their history as far as I know the people have only ever risen up once and that did not stop their expansion at all. There's only one thing that can stop their expansion, which is fragmentation and then the whole bloody cycle starts again. Germany should be working on robot soldiers, which make robot soldiers - Robot Wars? God help us all.
    1
  603. 😂👍
    1
  604. @JosepeSchmoe  Spot on - these are hard times for most people and many have little hope. Look after yourself.
    1
  605.  @secretname4190  Are you Russian?
    1
  606. I'm pretty sure that it can now be described as a Failed State.
    1
  607. @khalidalali186  More.
    1
  608. India will in due course be no bed of roses either as their demographics are starting to show declines too. We shall have to see though as this problem is further off and may change. The Indian economy has many advantages over China for sure and India is politically more compatible with the West which really helps.
    1
  609. I personally think that they will come online quick enough. The world economy is trending down and so will energy demand for a bit.
    1
  610. Repeat after me: "It's only a decade away. It always has been and always will be a decade away."
    1
  611. The dashboard in a Tesla is a display centered between the two front seats, correct? Is that better than the traditional location in front of the driver?
    1
  612. Mexico's problems run far, far deeper than mere transport issues and it's very questionable if most are at all fixable.
    1
  613.  @hpp2021  Um, drug cartels running huge chunks of the country for starters. Next, the implications of those drugs on the population of the USA. The links between Mexican drug cartels and Chinese pharmaceutical and chemical companies, and remember all but the smallest Chinese companies have employees who report directly to the CCP. Do I need to go on?
    1
  614.  @Urgelt  Exactly. But which president are you referring to? The US President or the President of Mexico?
    1
  615.  @Urgelt  I have heard that the new Mexican President (I can't recall her name) is basically going to continue the last ones policies - so no changes going forward.
    1
  616. It doesn't matter what they say. If China tries (because they don't stand a chance) to invade or even just attack Taiwan - it's war. If China is stupid enough to attack the US then it's WW3. We know it and they know it. It's up to them. Simple.
    1
  617. A genuine question: Can Georgia and Turkey cooperate in the long run as Erdogan is favouring Islamists? I thought that Georgia was Christian? It's hard to keep track. Thanks. 👍
    1
  618. He shouldn't be doing videos at all.
    1
  619. So by your calculations this 2% will result in approximately 20 million direct fatalities. In addition this increased burden on their healthcare system will also generate additional morbidity. These deaths will be totally pointless as they could easily have used Western vaccines which work. Incredible.
    1
  620. A different kind of bad. 🤣 God save the King.
    1
  621. Bye bye. 👋😜
    1
  622. ​ @alens18  To be fair Europe will continue to buy military stuff too.
    1
  623. Correct, talk of invasion of Canada is just for the media circus, but it has worked, because we're still talking about it. The US could cut a separate deal for each Province. If Canada were to fracture the US could impose different tarriffs on each Province to put pressure on each one to join on favourable terms to the US. Also it would be possible to revalue the currency of each Province individually, much as how Germany running the EU valued each country's currency when joining the Euro currency union. This could help mitigate the cost to the US and bring capital north of the border. A debt to the US government could also be imposed on each Province. The demographic problems of Canada are possibly at a peak low currently before the Boomers pass, but I'm guessing here. Long term incorporating Canada and Greenland into the USA has merit, especially from a security position. If Québec decided to become independent I believe that this would increase the security risk. It may be possible, but it would likely be ugly as hell. It just depends on what the US and each Province wants. Interesting times.
    1
  624. Two can play that game!
    1
  625. In a major economic downturn, like I expect to happen for the next 5 to 10 years, immigration to the first world will almost stop. Jobs will be scarce and populations will not tolerate it. After that yes, maybe immigration will resume, but I wouldn't be surprised if an anti immigration mindset were to continue.
    1
  626. And Europe too.
    1
  627. ​ @Rob_F8F 🤣👍
    1
  628. ... but probably too late. 😢
    1
  629.  @JinKee  🤦‍♂️
    1
  630. ​ @JohnDoe-yo6sj Well said. I would very much welcome India being closer to the West. China can rot in hell though. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  631. Yea, overconfidence is a common trait among geopolitical analysts. Take everything he says with a healthy pinch of salt. 🧂
    1
  632. Americans have a huge delusional blind spot when it comes to religions. The Founding Fathers came to America because they were persecuted for their religion so Americans say that all religions are good. They fail to appreciate that the Founding Fathers were religious extremist nut cases who today would be called a cult and shut down by the FBI. But they died off and their hero status remains. Give it time and when the USA experiences a home grown Isis or something similar and Americans may grow up, but I wouldn't hold my breath. You're right the core of this conflict is religion and there will never be a solution to that realistically. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  633. It will not be up to the people. If any country decides to develop nuclear weapons then it will be done covertly and decided on at the highest level with very few politicians being in the loop simply because they couldn't be trusted to keep their mouths shut. You will know when Sweden, Finland, Poland, Romania and Lithuania have nuclear weapons when you have them. I seriously doubt if Germany will ever grow the balls to get nuclear weapons - it's also cheaper for them to hide behind Poland.
    1
  634. This will not stop. The sanctions would not stop if Russia went home tomorrow. Europe must become energy independent, there is no choice and it will take a decade. Germany needs a very severe recession, unemployment and it's people to go cold for a winter or two to kill their fairy tale Green party. Then they need to fast track maybe twenty nuclear reactors before they go broke.
    1
  635. ​ @EvelynElaineSmith You hit the nail on the head. There is never a solution to religious wars. It's a very bad neighborhood. Personally I would move in a heartbeat.
    1
  636.  @DezorianGuy  There is no doubt that Russia is an extremely resilient country with a historically very loyal population, whether they like it or not, and shouldn't be underestimated. Some Western equipment with continue to operate, but for instance a Siemens, MAN or GE compressor will soon be scrap - try moving gas without one. As far as the oil sanctions are concerned India is turning away Russian tankers now and that is because of the US tightening banking sanctions in the UAE. Russia does definitely care about this.
    1
  637. They can't continue to go up. The cure for high prices is high prices.
    1
  638. ​ @Vzzdak He wants the UK and France to join START2. Yea, good luck with that since the invasion. It ain't gonna happen. Also I suspect that any mothballed nukes in France and the UK will be rebuilt so that they can be operationally ready at short notice. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  639. This is good news. 🤣
    1
  640. ​ @williamkevinjames  Because they are desperate to diversify their economy away from oil. Truth be told the region will never be able to do this and if the oil runs out or demand falls then these countries will fall apart. They can't accept this reality so will spend huge amounts, preferably of other people's money, to find a solution, but that won't matter one iota.
    1
  641. How long before my comment above about the facts of the numbers of the One Child Policy is deleted for telling the truth? 😐
    1
  642. Almost all European companies are social works programs.
    1
  643.  @RRaymer  Yet another comment of mine has been removed. 😐
    1
  644. Never have been, never will be.
    1
  645. Meh.
    1
  646. I hope that your Prime Minister has the sense not to go. China is an enemy of the West.
    1
  647. That I am certainly not doing. The Chinese government is absolutely the most murderous in history by a huge margin and that's before you count the 650 million forced abortions. I want the CCP to be assigned to history and as for the poor people, they support them 100% so they will suffer. Wake up the Russians and Chinese are our enemies.
    1
  648. This is probably the most likely, but least headline generating answer.
    1
  649. Possibly, perhaps even probably, but that doesn't mean that any current digital currencies will have any value beyond high tech speculation and if the Blockchain technology has value that doesn't mean that it's easy to monetize or invest in for you and me. Just my two Dogecoins. 😉 All the best.
    1
  650.  @texasoilfields  Good question. It's probably because Sweden has taken in far too many undesirable refugees from the region that they can't get rid of. They're now voters in Sweden and Swedish politicians, being politicians, will do anything to get those votes. Sweden, just like any country swamped with these people, is a mess now. Integration doesn't happen like in the USA and never will.
    1
  651. The EU is not interested in having Scotland on the basis of security. That's NATO's job. Turkey is similar. A bridge or tunnel is a fantasy. It would cost WAY too much. We wouldn't be allowed into the EU, much less the Euro. Instead we would be strung along like Turkey forever. The EU doesn't want us, they just want to break up the UK as revenge for Brexit.
    1
  652.  @sprocket5526  All very true. 👍
    1
  653. I don't think that they can reroute it anywhere else.
    1
  654. I really don't think that it will matter that the Chinese people will take such a huge loss when their property market tanks. The demographics are so bad that the number of Chinese people is going to decrease rapidly. This will be hugely accelerated by a very deep recession/depression, civil war, famine and/or invasion of Taiwan/war with the USA. Everything of any value in China will go to zero.
    1
  655. So do I. The European continent needs a more secure supply and at least more diverse. Please vote in a sane right wing government soon.
    1
  656. ​ @spoddie Maybe the same reason that armies which have anti tank missiles have tanks? Battleships have big guns, which are often useful. Also battleships cost a lot, take a long time to build and last a long time, so while you may decide not to make many more after air power proved itself superior, they didn't get rid of them immediately.
    1
  657. ​ @colinkeizer7353 Not all drones are battery powered.
    1
  658. ​ @fly463  ... or as the Iranians call them, targets.
    1
  659. Quite frankly I'm shocked that Europe is still allowing Russian LNG in. There's no need now and it should be stopped asap. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  660. I don't think that there are enough of them, they're old and Russian companies are extraordinarily corrupt - it's a gangster economy. Any modern plant, like a compressor or even a large valve is Western and try getting them serviced or replaced now. Also even the Russians are appalled by Chinese equipment which could substitute. Yeah, Russian oil and gas is slowly going to disappear. They're already starting to import refined products from Belarus. Beyond the Urals is safe from Ukrainian attacks (for now), but the Trans-Siberian Railway is already running at capacity. Russia is in a very bad strategic situation IMHO. All the best.
    1
  661. ​ @christofferdh  The current electoral system of Germany was constructed so that West Germany could never be politically unified. This was acceptable to the allies and also to the West Germans who were terrified of the Soviets. Germany focused on becoming rich instead and then on controlling Europe via creating and then funding the EU. If America leaves NATO they will have to reform their political system to be able to get stuff done, or look for another sugar daddy, like France... or Russia. 😂
    1
  662. ​ @pavolhorvath7850  You can't argue with religion.
    1
  663. ​ @stuartmcnaughton1495 Unfortunately every pro-independence person I have ever spoken to fails to admit or address this fact. 😢
    1
  664. ​ @TwelfthClover Spain pressured? By whom exactly? No one in the EU wants Scotland to join, they just want to break up the UK out of revenge for Brexit!
    1
  665.  @TwelfthClover  The EU will encourage Scotland to leave the UK and then string it along over joining just like they did with Turkey.
    1
  666. 🇨🇳🤡
    1
  667. With your logic why haven't you expressed grief/empathy/etc in your comment? Taking this to its logical extreme why doesn't everyone at the start of every conversation mourn for the loss of every worthy person who ever lived, name each and every one and shed at least one tear for per person (two for minors and at least three for babies, but please remember to stay hydrated). All the best. 🤡
    1
  668.  @rhinoskin7550  The US military doesn't accept recruits with an IQ under 80, because below 80 they are only a liability.
    1
  669.  @AngelEconomics  Only if you ignore the Eritrean riots in Tel Aviv.
    1
  670. Because in Iran's case nearly having nuclear weapons is a much better place to be than actually having them. Once they actually have nuclear weapons we would probably find out that Israel has a LOT more nukes than we suspect simply by counting mushrooms from space. Iranians are crazy totalitarian religious fanatics, not fools... currently... I think. Though they could easily be fools too. It's hard to tell to be honest. 🤣
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  671. Isn't lithium processing water intensive? Does Chile have the water resources to facilitate their plan?
    1
  672.  @rayoflight62  Ok, but I was specifically asking if they had the quantity of water to sustain the brine pools, not pollution. The lithium is mined in a desert, which by definition is lacking in water.
    1
  673. 🤣 Whoever says that is incredibly ignorant of history and recent events then. The Marxists lie constantly.
    1
  674. I'm from the UK, and island. We have a gigantic problem. It will end very, very badly here. Don't be complacent America. Secure your southern border and your northern one for good measure. Keep up the good work voting in a strong president. All the best. ❤️🇺🇸🇬🇧❤️
    1
  675. Yup, it's a time bomb.
    1
  676.  @GeorgeLiquor  When they are in the employ of the military, like the one damaged by Ukrainian drones.
    1
  677. You can't help the Baltics and Poland if you are pacifists. Wake up Germany, you slept in.
    1
  678. Firstly, without German funding and US support (as shown in Ukraine) is there actually much future for the EU? If Trump pulls out of NATO then I don't think that the EU stands a chance. Times are changing and fast.
    1
  679. ​ @dingus6317 France will demand to be in charge, but I don't think that the EU in any form can survive losing Germany, the biggest financial contributor. France will likely form a new smaller and more financially robust union, with France calling ALL of the shots, take it or leave it. They may even offer other countries, or parts of countries the option to become a part of France. France is the only member of the EU with nuclear weapons (currently, looking at you Sweden!). They can provide security, food, energy and a functional economy. We are IMHO going to return to the a Europe of nation states.
    1
  680. Great point! 🤣👍👍
    1
  681. ​ @lt_hammerfist5532 Those "Russian kids" you are so kindly talking about have committed abominable war crimes against the civilian in Ukraine. I don't care in the slightest if they are not there by their own free will, they are still responsible and I for one will gladly celebrate every single Russian casualty of this war because it is one less murdering Russian to have to deal with later when they try again. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  682. If Ukrainian forces reach the coast then ALL maritime traffic in the Sea of Azov will be targeted. No more ferry. No more Russian Crimea.🌻💀🌻 😂 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  683.  @zarlg  It will change and probably sooner than later.
    1
  684. You're getting the cheapest proxy war against Russia in US history and all you can do is moan! More than half of the weapons donated to Ukraine would have cost US taxpayers literally more to scrap than donate. Come on, can't you do math? Be grateful that US lives aren't on the line, like during the Korean or Vietnam Wars. The USA is getting a phenomenally good deal this time. Ask yourself this: do you want an aggressive Russia to be stronger or weaker, because eventually the US will have to go head to head against them. You display incredible ignorance and lack of critical thinking, not to mention an appalling moral compass. Have you been drinking too much of Moscow's social media coolaid or are you maybe on their payroll? Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  685.  @Jeremy-WC  Yup. I'm glad. I want a well funded defence industry, so that we have the best stuff to fight Russia and China.
    1
  686. Personally I think that they passed the point of no return about two decades ago. Then the murder rate was so high that the government decided to stop collecting crime statistics because it would negatively impact tourism. Nuf said.
    1
  687. ​ @Twiggorized  I wonder if Germany will go back to buying cheap Russian gas the minute that the Ukraine war ends though? Honestly it wouldn't surprise me.
    1
  688. Most steel production uses coke.
    1
  689. A six day work week will do wonders for their demographic problems - NOT. When is the Western world going to wake up and stop putting profits before people and society (no I'm not a communist), because the vast majority of people I known who delay having children (which inevitably leads to less children in total) or have lost hope in having children, getting married or just starting a relationship are doing so because they simply can't afford to. People have literally had the life sucked out of them and it must stop before our society dies. WAKE UP!
    1
  690. We have a winner! Most economists concentrate on the supply side and take demand for granted. Demographics dictate the cycles, because having children is where fixed demand originates. Old folks don't spend and the older they get the less they spend. Try doing that when you are responsible for children - it doesn't work.
    1
  691. ​ @PseudonymousBrit I doubt it. They will see Scotland utterly fail and thank their lucky stars that they are part of the UK.
    1
  692.  @oskarfunes2505  Unless it's not possible, in which case it will not just be a matter of time.
    1
  693. He has never addressed this elephant in the room. 🐘
    1
  694. There are so many Russian and Chinese employees here! Unbelievable. 😲
    1
  695. In the 50s such radical talk could get you shot! 😂
    1
  696. ​ @thecoldassassin  🤣👍
    1
  697. Cope, why don't ya. 🤦‍♂️
    1
  698. I think that Peter has had feedback from his publisher not to upset the Greens. He's backpedaling and telling them what they want to hear. Here is the truth: Q. What wins, Solar or Wind? A. Nuclear, Gas, Oil and Coal. Wake up.
    1
  699. Is it currently legal to sell new ICE vehicles in Norway?
    1
  700. ​ @paulvon2378  Uh, the East Germans do.
    1
  701. Correct.
    1
  702. ​ @gezalesko3813 Are you Chinese by any chance? 🤔
    1
  703. The UK?
    1
  704. ​ @Withnail1969 I don't think that the US will have a problem defending what is theirs or what they need though, either that or the US government will make it clear to the refiners that they have to alter their processes to use US crude (which is muuuuch cheaper than policing the oceans!).
    1
  705. ​ @sillybirdy1994 Western society was created by Christians! Go to the Islamic Republic of Iran and see what a paradise they have created.
    1
  706.  @Newbmann  You may be correct, but look at Europe which has far higher percentages and a slightly different picture is painted.
    1
  707.  @shelleyscloud3651  Great points. 👍
    1
  708.  @DAndyLord  What percentage of the population are they now though?
    1
  709.  @yoananda9  Unfortunately it is the fault of France for taking too many of the wrong type of people. I feel sorry for you, but you're just a few steps ahead of most of Western Europe. 😢
    1
  710.  @ruralhobo  Same for the UK. You just have to be born here, your parents don't have to be citizens, they could even just be visiting!
    1
  711.  @DDtx18  Japan and South Korea, but to be fair we had to nuke Japan and South Korea would be rubble without US might.
    1
  712.  @trizzybones  The US has a tiny percentage of Muslims, hence no problems. Historically almost all of the immigrants have been Christian.
    1
  713.  @MJMilano7  If you let in a huge group of Muslims so that they account for a large percentage of the population of the America I absolutely guarantee that even the great melting pot called the USA will experience huge problems. I hope that you don't.
    1
  714. Don't trust any statistics coming out of China, they are both incredibly corrupt and pathological liars.
    1
  715. No, that was kind of hexagonal and more vibrant with quite a '70s look.
    1
  716. Won't happen. The Greenies who are convinced that the world is going to end because of climate change are the same people that are scared of nuclear power. It doesn't make any sense whatsoever until you realise that they don't actually want ANY solutions. Solutions would make them irrelevant, but immobilising fear gets them more votes. Politics. 🤦 Now go check out what Dr William Happer thinks about rising CO2 levels. You may sleep easier at night. All the best.
    1
  717. Could Taiwan be exporting more fresh eggs to regions affected by bird flu, or exporting dried egg or products which contain eggs (eg cakes)? There are a lot of variables. All the best Taiwan. 🇹🇼 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  718. It's a dock. Ships unload onto trucks.
    1
  719.  @ReflectionTool637  Ah, I stand corrected. Although a floating dock could also be attached to the shore. All the best.
    1
  720. Or the support of the West.
    1
  721. I would get my Prime Minister Kier Starmer aka Two-Tier-Kier a subscription as he could really do with help about how the world works, but I'm certain that he wouldn't understand much - he's not the brightest closet Communist in the box. 😑❤️🇬🇧 See how I managed to get "closet" in there. 🤣
    1
  722. Comments randomly removed.
    1
  723. Bad. Really, really bad. 👇
    1
  724. Nah. Isolationism is an American dream that they wheel out every so often for the voters, but no one with any sense in power believes it could ever work, with the possible exception of Trump maybe. It's a pipe dream. The second China does something it will get dropped like a hot potato... yet again. 😂 Don't worry about it, instead vote wisely. All the best.
    1
  725. Just imagine that you're as rich and powerful as Trump and who do you decide to have an affair with... a porn star. 🤮 The guy is certainly not a class act. Now wash your hands. 👐
    1
  726. Canada will soon suffer a depression and totally reverse it's immigration policies IMHO.
    1
  727. Another comment deleted. Civil, but truthful. 😑
    1
  728.  @matthewmcclary7855  My pleasure. He's very good. All the best.
    1
  729. Same. The pendulum will swing back to warlords. Interesting times as the Chinese like to smugly say. 😐
    1
  730. Aren't the "excess deaths" explained easily by the boomers dying off? Kinda basic.
    1
  731. Next: WHY HYBRID VEHICLES NEVER MAKE ANY SENSE. Hint: The complexity of two drivetrains. More complicated hence inherently less reliable than a ICE or an EV. More expensive than an ICE. Faster depreciation than a simpler vehicle. Maintenance higher due to complexity, more expensive components and mechanics needing more training to work on high voltage systems. Heavier than an ICE. 💚 But they're Green! 💚 NOT. 🤢 GREEN = LIES. 🤮
    1
  732. And possibly Ireland and Australia too. Could it be that he has received criticism from these countries? They speak English and his audience is the US, so it's entirely possible.
    1
  733. This was a very dramatic and rather choreographed speech. Why? He's really dragging this out too. Since he has increased monetisation on this channel I have reduced trust in him. What are/were his other sources of income and have they dried up? Are we witnessing a decline in his business model? He's now considering conspiracy theories. Is that because they could prove more lucrative going forward? Just a thought.
    1
  734. @tanyaroberson9629  Yup, he may be correct.
    1
  735.  @tanyaroberson9629  I commented on reply something like - yes, you are correct... And it was deleted! WTF? Broken. Completely broken.
    1
  736. I can't reply.
    1
  737. Not going to happen. NATO isn't going to get directly involved. This is a proxy war because that's the safest way to fight a nuclear power. If the price for avoiding a nuclear war between NATO and Russia is that millions of people in parts of the world that are very vocal about how much they hate the West and wish to bring it down, then so be it. We can perhaps help one or two friendly nations, but over half of the world has not voted in the UN to condemn the Russian invasion of the Ukraine. They need to hurry up and pick the right side in this Cold War 2, or maybe dictators around the world like Russia because they can buy their weapons. Their choice, but my money is on them picking the wrong side. They're not in the habit of making good decisions, which is why they do badly. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  738. Only if you don't have to pay for it.
    1
  739. Do you really think that the tank farms in Sebastopol will ever be repaired by Russia? No way.
    1
  740.  @theimproooooooover  As far as that region is concerned Russia controls the northern mountain range (see the terrain map which Zeihan showed), so Russia has time on their side and can return any time they want. IE when they're not tied up with the war in Ukraine.
    1
  741. Stopping Russian oil exports is definitely not going to happen before the US election. After that both Biden and Trump would be on their final presidency, so they could upset the applecart as often happens when not seeking re-election. The following four years will be interesting. IMHO the way to reduce Russian oil revenue is to firstly destroy all refining capacity inside Russia. Russia could then export crude but would have to pay for the import of more expensive refined products. Russian capacity to export crude oil will naturally atrify with time due to lack of Western engineering. If the reduction of Russian supply is slow enough then price will not be too rapid and this will stimulate production around the world to compensate. As an aside, all gas exports to the West and all LNG exports need to be completely and rapidly halted. A bonus consequence of this would be better Western relations with Hungary with any luck as Hungary would be beholden to its EU neighbours for gas. All the best.
    1
  742. It would likely be great for everyone except Russia.
    1
  743. ​ @patrickweaver1105  Let me get this right, so Americans vote for whomever they fear the most? I didn't know that. 😐
    1
  744. Yes, but it's more about the cost of the debt than the quantity of debt. Inflation is guaranteed, which will reduce the debt, but I suspect that will happen after a short sharp deflationary event probably sometime this year (IMHO)
    1
  745.  @jeanlamb5026  You're not wrong.
    1
  746. Respectfully, I completely disagree. Russia is not a short term threat which will become peaceful with regime change or defeat in Ukraine. They are a constant long term threat and have been for over a century and I expect them to continue this way long after you and I are pushing up daisies. Their oil and gas infrastructure needs to be slowly be taken offline completely to impoverish them and hobble their capacity to wage war against the West. On the topic of the electric grid, there may be better targets (oil and gas) which will accomplish more. I personally have never quite understood why the Ukraine shouldn't harm the supporting civilian population when Russia does this to them almost daily. Yes and I do understand about war crimes. Realistically the Russian population should flee as refugees if they don't want to become targets in a war, just like throughout all history. Truthfully the West has become very soft and almost incapable of waging war. When the USA suffers an unambiguous and serious attack, from say China, I suspect that the rule book will get thrown out. Time will tell. All the best. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  747. ​@@NotEnoughLions...weed. 🤣
    1
  748.  @ChucksSEADnDEAD  Yes. I see the US buying them. They will be the highest bidder. 💲💲
    1
  749.  @thilomanten8701  Nixon played the situation very well. Ambiguity about the status of Taiwan and if the US would assist was also to the West's advantage. That has now changed. China is reverting to fundamental communism. It used to be that we knew communism was evil. Some are remembering. Either way most people around the world know that China must be stopped from what it wants to do to the world. Soon. And with force. War is coming.
    1
  750. IMHO Pakistan is likely heading for very hard times because it can't feed itself.
    1
  751.  @Kapil__Lanjewar  I agree. A degree of Indian self-sufficiency serves India very well and most other countries should try to emulate this as much as possible. All the best. 🇮🇳🇬🇧
    1
  752. And Intel (and perhaps even AMD and Apple) engineers backdoors for the USA, let alone all the ARM based systems. 🤫
    1
  753. A moving target is harder to hit. 🎯😂
    1
  754. I have heard that German energy statistics are highly "creative". Do you trust your government to tell the truth? This is a genuine question. I wonder about that 63% claim. Here's why. Wind and solar power are not consistent. Some days there's no wind or sun and every single night there is no sun. Could it be that Germany has 63% CAPACITY in wind and solar? It would be very interesting to know. Thanks. 👍
    1
  755. Isolationism has always been a dream of the USA, but they have never managed to pull it off. Reality bites and the US gets involved in this war or that war. If the US goes home then eventually Russia will use nuclear weapons to take what it wants from Europe. Would the US be happy with nuclear war in Europe? Nope. Does the US want to let China take Taiwan, South Korea and Japan eventually? Nope. Like I said, reality bites. All the best.
    1
  756. ​ @bipl8989 As a Brit I am sure that the UK would not, at least not under the current government, defend anyone from a nuclear attack using her nuclear weapons and that includes defending herself. We have never had a government as weak. At least Chamberlain was re-arming.
    1
  757. ​ @phueal I could not envision the UK using nuclear weapons under ANY circumstances currently.
    1
  758. Norway and Finland will try to hide behind Sweden. Germany may talk, but won't act. Romania can't afford nuclear weapons and neither can Ukraine. That just leaves Poland and Sweden. Neither wants to be first to abandon the Non-Proliferation Treaty. No one knows what the political consequences would be of its abandonment. Would the US leave NATO? Would Russia attack? If either country did abandon the treaty, then ideally they would be able to show Russia that they had several hundred working and deliverable nuclear weapons ready to be used the next day. That's a tall order. It's a very tricky situation.
    1
  759. I agree. The US doesn't have Chinese billionaire generals. The USA is doomed!!! Run away.
    1
  760. Don't forget about Sweden.
    1
  761. From a geopolitical perspective is Syria important enough for anyone but direct neighbours to do anything about now that Russia isn't involved and can't be in the future? Probably not.
    1
  762.  @josephkozak9642  The US will never allow China to expand. They would become too much of a threat to the world. I'm quite sure that if China ever invaded a neighbouring country it would result in war. A war which China would inevitably loose at great cost. Unfortunately the benefits for China would be great as you stated and I don't think that they would be able to resist. All the best.
    1
  763.  @josephkozak9642  No, I totally disagree. The only reason that China is tolerated by the US is because China is extremely vulnerable to US power. The reason for this weakness is due to the limitations of Chinese geography. If this ever changed in China's favour then the US would have to react before China could consolidate. The US would not wait for China to become an actual super power, the US would fabricate a reason go to war over this in a heartbeat. Currently the USA could defeat China with a naval blockade to stop the flow of oil from the Middle East with extraordinary ease. Within a year due to starvation China as a state would not even exist and hundreds of millions of people there would die. And this would result in a much better outcome by any metric anyone cares to judge it by than letting China rise to parity or beyond with America and the resultant nuclear WW3. I sincerely doubt that there ever will be such a direct conflict between the two nations however, as I see China's power as already having peaked. China is turning inward in this decline as it always has.
    1
  764.  @JayPhelps-vt5qy  I actually like the seasonality of food. Nothing like pork roast with apple sauce to warm you up in the winter. 👍👍
    1
  765.  @ajc5479  Yes, you're right in many ways they are, but financially € count.
    1
  766.  @rob6927  Because it was in Western Europe's interest to have Eastern Europe stable and it provided a mobile workforce and The West was prepared to pay for that. None of that applies to Scotland.
    1
  767.  @secretname4190  You're not Spain. Spain is guaranteed to enforce a veto.
    1
  768.  @charmainelamont2020  If you believe that then I have a bridge to sell you. 🤣
    1
  769. Exactly.
    1
  770. SE Asia has a very bright future if they can secure enough energy IMHO.
    1
  771.  @ron88303  That's where my money is, followed closely by wind.
    1
  772.  @murgel2006  Nuclear Fusion has been a decade away from providing energy for all of my life and I would bet good money that it will continue to be just a decade away for all of my children's lives. It is pure fantasy. If you don't believe me ask a nuclear fission engineer like I have.
    1
  773. ​ @ron88303 But without aid from the West the USSR would have faired very differently. The USSR supplied the bodies, but much of the materiel came from the US. T34s and a lot of Russian aircraft would not have happened in the same quantities without US steel and tooling.
    1
  774.  @metingencturk4584  No, I don't think that the OP is a liar at all. Your family may have benefited from Ottoman rule, but it was in the minority among Bulgarians. I can guess why. If you doubt that the Ottomans were terrible then you should study history and the Devşirme system or "child tax" imposed by the Ottomans, which was utterly barbaric. It was slavery. Usually the sanitised version of Devşirme can be seen today on the internet (the boys could never be fathers and the girls went to the harems), but some of it can be read in the referenced article on Wikipedia, although this is downplayed there. Another referenced article there called Slavery in the Ottoman Empire spells out some of the horrors of the Ottomans. If it were not for the British Empire the slavery and deviant practices of the Ottomans would still happen openly. There's a reason why it was called living under the Ottoman yoke in Bulgaria.
    1
  775.  @bozeeke  🤔 Ya reckon? 🤣 All the best mate.
    1
  776. So let me get this right: US farmers are the most efficient in the world (but no mention of their subsidies), so the US system is heroic; whereas EU farmers are too subsidised and hence inefficient (but no mention that some pesticides are banned because they are dangerous) and that makes the EU demonic. The reality will be less extreme I'm sure Pinocchio. Either way subsidising agriculture makes absolutely no sense whatsoever... until you remember that food is critical and EU policies (at least originally) were designed to ensure that Europe wasn't reliant on food imports to survive. In this particular case I hope that the farmers triumph over idiotic EU bureaucrats pursuing a mental "We're all going to die!!!" Greenie agenda.
    1
  777. MBS controls SA. No question about it IMHO.
    1
  778. "Excess mortality" is most likely simply a function of demographics. 😮
    1
  779. ​ @MrJakeypakey  His people skills are almost non existent = he is an ass.
    1
  780. So did Peter just accidentally identify the one place that Russia could detonate a nuclear weapon with great effect and low risk? In space.
    1
  781.  @QuizmasterLaw  Agreed, lots of reasons for no nukes.
    1
  782.  @pigwank8234  That's a big carrot. I wonder if the stick will be the IMF being closed for business the next time Egypt comes begging?
    1
  783. No, he's talking geopolitics. You're talking peasant populism. Sometimes straight talking is needed, so I'm sorry if I err on the side of truth than diplomacy. You're living up to your name. 🤣👍 All the best. PS Well done Australia in voting against the inherently racist bill. 👍
    1
  784. Nope. Total fantasy. Ain't gonna happen. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  785. You'll learn and probably sooner than later.
    1
  786. No. Israel was only really important to the US because the Soviet Union was backing their Arab neighbours.
    1
  787.  @dan2304  The UK still has large reserves and hasn't been mining anything in decades. I suspect that this is the case for France too. Scandinavian reserves are large too. I know that Eastern Europe currently mines coal, but I don't know about their reserves.
    1
  788.  @dan2304  Wow, gone by the end of the century? Could that maybe be classified as "tomorrow's problem"?
    1
  789. The one and only time states wanted to leave the Union it led to the American Civil War, the bloodiest war which the US ever experienced. In a Federal EU would a state seceding lead to war? Personally I don't think that a truly unified EU is possible without a common language and that's never going to happen now that the UK is a member. 🤣 Sorry, I couldn't resist.
    1
  790. Yup.
    1
  791. I just looked this Serguei up - he's a nut job of the first order. If you think that he gives "informed commentary" then I have a bridge you'd be interested in. 🤦
    1
  792. A reference please.
    1
  793. ​ @elektrotehnik94 No, the EU would NOT accept Scotland as we don't meet the entry requirements for the EU, let alone the Euro. Politically the EU absolutely will not accept another poor nation which will be a net drain on the EU for many decades to come with nothing to benefit the EU like increased stability. The only reason that the EU hasn't ever come out and said this is that they absolutely hate the UK for leaving the EU and want the UK to fail. Get real.
    1
  794. I don't like China. They're genocidal, bully all of their neighbours and point nuclear weapons at the West. Think about it for a moment.
    1
  795. Commercial shipping cannot operate without insurance. Attacks of any kind eventually make a hostile region uninsurable. The reason why the US is pulling out of the business of guaranteeing the security of the region is that now the US is a hydrocarbon exporter it does not want to subsidize it's competition at great cost to itself. The US will continue to guarantee its maritime trade routes only. No anti drone technology is going to make this region insurable. It's either safe because no one is trying to attack the ships or it isn't. All the best.
    1
  796. ​ @dixonhill1108  Exactly. You should post this comment on each one of his videos where geography isn't important.
    1
  797. I think that Biden should pardon Trump after the election (as long as they both haven't died of old age).
    1
  798.  @killjoy1887  True. The USA doesn't lose wars, it gets bored. I remember the Cold War well. Americans were the best anti-communists. In ways it was great, but growing up under the mushroom cloud wasn't. Yesterday we were lucky. Today we're in Cold War 2. I'm sure that we will support Ukraine. They will join NATO and the EU (if it doesn't break up). Why? Simple: Russia is a loose cannon with nuclear weapons. At the moment the West is tearing itself apart. One of the good things about being in a fight is that people come together. You're also reminded who your friends are. The game is back on! Look after yourself my friend. 👍
    1
  799. He has a great plan: Get re-elected.
    1
  800. China is a dystopian surveillance state with a digital currency which can monitor and control every single transaction and total control of the information space. Even Mao could not dream of monitoring and controlling his people so well. Under Mao the government could not control the fervour of the people and denouncements were routinely made against people critical to the state despite the government being against this. eg nuclear scientists working on government projects and having to be rescued from kangaroo courts. Mao's China was utter chaos. Xi has much more control, though due to him killing competent people in his government because they are a potential threat, Xi now is slowly losing control because there is no one in charge who is able to make decisions.
    1
  801. 🤫
    1
  802. ​ @Ikkeroger  As a person, I don't like Trump. As a candidate, I understand his appeal - he isn't the establishment. Without an external threat, the ruling classes don't serve the people, instead they exploit and feed off the people. The social contract is utterly broken, but as it was gradual the people of the US are only waking up to this. If you doubt that the social contract is broken, all you have to do to verify this is to observe how few children people are having because they can't afford it. If you think that people aren't having children for any other reason you are flat out wrong. This is a price too great for anyone to bear and we're seeing it all over the developed world. Young people have been broken by the system and have lost hope.
    1
  803. Yet another comment of mine deleted. Civil, factual, non-partisan. Utterly unbelievable.
    1
  804. ​ @chollyappleseed1969 History paints a less optimistic picture. 😢
    1
  805. Sorry but Eastern Europe cannot succeed due to demographics. Hell, most of Europe has bad demographics, with the exception of France, Sweden and the UK whose populations are boosted by immigration.
    1
  806. You get a gold star! It's a bureaucratic dictatorship. You forgot the lack of a rational energy policy.
    1
  807. ​ @kaitoshinichi I think that kicking Chinese companies out of the West is eventually coming. With the Chinese being incompetent at diplomacy currently I think that it's just a matter of time before they kick out all Westerners and Western companies, making it diplomatically possible for us to retaliate.🤞😁👍 Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦🇬🇧 and long live Taiwan. 🇹🇼🇬🇧
    1
  808.  @azamarabear  No. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  809. I agree that Russia intended to blow the dam once it was advantageous. I don't think that it logically follows that they had intelligence however. The time was right because of the weather. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
    1
  810. The UK allows this too.
    1
  811. Spot on. Real wages have been steadily falling since when the Baby Boomers entered the workforce coupled with women entering the workforce en masse, this is the long awaited reversal back to sustainable levels. I suspect that this will improve birth rates somewhat in America and Canada, probably to just above replacement level eventually aided by immigration , but getting back to decent demographics will he a bumpy ride and will also require government intervention. All of Europe, Japan, Korea and Taiwan need to get their finger out and reduce energy costs in addition to combat their demographic decline however. The only solution to there is to go all in on nuclear. That's the reason that France has healthier demographics than the rest of Europe. Energy is the economy and today people don't have children if they struggle financially. BTW debt will have to be inflated away or worse defaulted on. Being very generous, a Debt to GDP ratio of over 120% is unsustainable, even 100% is super worrying. Politicians have been selfish fools first destroying demographics and then getting us into wartime levels of debt. We have weakened ourselves and our enemies will exploit this.
    1
  812. Geothermal is a valid technology, but unfortunately its contribution is but a drop in the ocean on a global scale.
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  813. As a Scot it has been incredibly stressful to not know if my country is going to self-destruct for so long. 😢
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  814. Oooh yeah! Mushrooms. Russia could well provide the West's first strike.
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  815.  @scottmitchell8273  🤣👍
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  816. Half life.
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  817. Merkel grew up under the Soviets and was obviously comfortable having Russian overlords.
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  818. You forgot your meds again. 🤦‍♂️
    1
  819.  @barrycarter8276  Fission is perfectly viable, unless you believe the Russian funded Green fear mongering. Correct fusion is pure fantasy. Oil and gas running out is a myth. If we never discover another reserve then all the West has to do if anything starts to run out is topple Venezuela's crackpot dictatorship and hey presto another five or so decades of consumption is available. Nothing that a bit of American colonialism can't cure. Wind turbines and solar panels are unreliable sources of power for base load, batteries don't exist and in most parts of the world their lifetime output will never equal the Chinese coal powered inputs required to manufacture them. They're pure ideological BS. Burn coal from the West in the West.
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  820.  @emceeboogieboots1608  Why doesn't Australia just shut down all coal power plants then?
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  821. So many of my comments are deleted. Gone. Vanished. Something I said must be Verboten. 🤯
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  822.  @emceeboogieboots1608  Surely gas power plants are bad too. They emit CO2. Why are they building more? Isn't solar and wind enough? Australia must be ideal for solar. Something doesn't add up.
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  823. That's bound to end well. 😑
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  824.  @PortilloMoment  I don't believe them. The EU wants to break up the UK. They will string Scotland along just like Turkey because they don't want Scotland for the reasons Peter said.
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  825. Sadly you are correct.
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  826. I'm afraid that really bad things need to happen throughout the West in order to motivate the next generation of politicians to stand up. The old dinosaurs, like Biden, need to hurry up and become extinct. The problem is that society has become infantile, self obsessed and out of touch with reality that there may not be many people competent enough to do the job. Oh well, the deeper the hole that we dig for ourselves, the better it may be for our future and we may be able to ditch insane concepts like wokism, green agendas, gender not mattering, excessive immigration and prioritising the ancient at the expense of the young. I'm really clutching at straws here. Can you tell? 🤣
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  827. ​ @VictoriousGardenosaurus Yes. They have been pointing nuclear weapons at the USA and allies for decades. That's not going to end well. 💀
    1
  828.  @seamus33cork  Ireland will leave the EU only when they are the last country left. The EU is incredibly popular in Ireland.
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  829.  @KitagumaIgen  Correct, because they pushed up to defendable natural barriers.
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  830.  @Withnail1969  China brokered the deal (ie bribed them both) because China REALLY needs the oil and the US has gone home. Any deal between the KSA and Iran ain't gonna last. They hate each other more than they hate the rest of the world and that's saying something!
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  831.  @protorhinocerator142  Very true. 👍 The Israeli Navy is very short range.
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  832. So arresting drug barons increases the price of drugs - again the government is responsible for inflation! 🤣
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  833. ​ @marilenaganea6578 You forgot Pakistan. That makes three! Have you got a defibrillator? 🤣
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  834.  @serbanhv9338  Ok. Thanks. 👍
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  835. Unbelievable. This goes way beyond genocide. Exterminating a people is genocide, this must have been done purely for fun. What kind of people are Russians? This has shocked me more than anything I have ever heard in my entire life. And why isn't this information in the media? Nothing. Why nothing whatsoever about this type of horrific crimes? Because it can't compete with football? Are there no real journalists left? Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  836. Perhaps the West realises how bad Xi's information and grasp on reality is and Macron meeting with him is more like a briefing where he won't kill the messenger? It may also be a fruitless attempt to divert his population's attention from the pointless shit storm which he in his wisdom created for no reason whatsoever.
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  837. The Ukraine does have virtually unlimited resources currently, but I suspect that once the global economic downturn starts to grip then this may change. When Russia first invaded I thought that Putin must have lost his mind. Why wait until the thaw? But the long term debt cycle ending will harm the West, particularly Europe, massively. Conversely, Russia may hardly feel it. I suspect that this is shaping up to be a long war and it is far too early to say that Russia will loose. Is there a possibility of a full Russian mobilization or would the arming of his own population be too great a threat for Putin's regime? I don't know. All the best.
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  838. ​ @buildmotosykletist1987 YOUR EAR TRUMPET IS BLOCKED AGAIN GRANDAD! 😂
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  839. Correct. I believe that Germany still wants to go back to business with Russia. I wouldn't hold your breath waiting for anything but talk from Germany. If it does come they will have delayed it as much as they can. Their East German leader Merkel was far too happy to deal with her former overlords. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  840. ​ @gsbeak  Remember though that immediately postwar France made Italy look stable.
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  841. Great, isn't it. 😁
    1
  842. You can tweak the climate models to get them to predict anything that you want.
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  843.  @thebokism  Trying to rewrite history? There are plenty of Turkish people in Bulgaria - 10% of the population. They were not expelled in 1908, although many left voluntarily. I wonder if this was a strategic mistake by the Bulgarians. The Turks left Greece in exchange for Greeks living in Turkey as mentioned in the video. The reason why the Ottomans didn't change local language in Europe was that they weren't interested in doing so. The region was a source of taxes and slaves, who were also hostages. It was a low effort colony by a power in decline and the colony eventually kicked them out. Educate yourself about the barbaric devşirme system imposed by the Ottomans. Slavery was a cornerstone of the economy in the Ottoman Empire as well as its deviant practices all of which would still exist were it not for the British Empire combatting slavery. Peter Zeihan may think highly of the Ottomans, but the Christian people of the Balkans remember what the Ottomans were really like. And don't get me started on the modern Turks. There's a reason why it was called living under the Ottoman yoke.
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  844.  @FreedomPhukyeah  I'm afraid I have nothing at the moment mate.
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  845.  @donroberts7028  According to Wikipedia: In 1995, he earned a BS in political science at Northeast Missouri State University and in 1997 a postgraduate diploma in Asian studies at the University of Otago in New Zealand. Although how Political Science could ever be called a Bachelor of SCIENCE beats me when it's a liberal arts subject. 🤦‍♂️ That's probably a typo to be fair... and hopeful.
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  846. The biggest immediate danger to the West could well be that many pharmaceuticals used are made in China.
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  847.  @Withnail1969  You may well be right. I'd like to look into it. Would you know any sites which could help me improve my knowledge about different types of crude and where it comes from? Thanks.
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  848.  @bighands69  Bingo! We have a winner.
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  849.  @wolfgangpreier9160  Mainly coal during WW2. Just like Germany is doing now, because nuclear power is evil and there might even be a tsunami! Idiot Greens. Lignite (brown coal) in Germany, but that's ok because Germany is great at manipulating the figures when it suits them. Anthracite (black coal) in the UK. I'm in favour of bringing back some coal fired power plants, burning our own coal in the UK. Green support and "the world is going to end" agenda will both die when the cost of living gets high enough.
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  850.  @Art-is-craft  Energy IS the economy.
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  851. Europe needs oil and gas from Azerbaijan. Armenia has nothing to offer the West. The USA is not able to do anything unless it puts troops on the ground and the useless war inAfghanistan put an end to the American public's appetite for dead US soldiers for something that ultimately doesn't benefit the USA. Besides the US is involved in Ukraine and getting ready for a war with China. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  852. @DbH I used to think like that. Not anymore. It's a liberal "get out of jail free card" to appease the masses and say that it wasn't their fault, it was those bad leaders. Such as after WW2 the German people were good but the Nazis were bad, while forgetting that the people supported them until they were facing defeat. And don't try to tell me that they were entirely ignorant. I've spoken with Germans and they knew much more than they admit to in public. Surveillance, police and military threats by the government against the people are facilitated by the compliance and complicity of those people in the police and military. Without popular support the CCP could do nothing. The same goes for Russia, Iran and North Korea. The entire population is responsible for the actions of that nation. Ultimately the buck always stops with the people if they like it or not.
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  853. ​ @mannyhernandez6507  Exactly. Just like Ireland its normally a parasite.
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  854.  @hasankilic9825  Never is a long time. Vive la France! 🇫🇷
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  855. Turkey has never been, is not and never will be European.
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  856. Because they are desperate to diversify their economy away from oil. They will fail though.
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  857. Are the emissions from manufacturing counted?
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  858. The market forces are much bigger than any government can control.
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  859. German? Again! 🤣
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  860. Maybe less so outside of the cities though.
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  861. Poland is afraid of another Russian invasion and quite right so. France is not. This is too big a divide to work IMHO.
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  862. You think that the US hasn't though about this and hasn't discretely told Putin that if a nuclear strike comes from Belarus then the response would be to eliminate Putin and deal with his successor? It's not gonna happen.
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  863. It is just theatre.
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  864. On the first day I kept bursting out laughing! 🤣 Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  865. ​ @Minerals333 Millions.
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  866. The EU is banning chromium. Not just manufacturing, but importing it too. I shit you not. Insanity. 🤯
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  867. ​ @gregoryclifford6938  Not so distant past. During Roman times Carthage in North Africa was the bread basket of the empire.
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  868. In corrupt China today: "The wise General is a billionaire."
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  869. Yet they demand bribes in US$ every time. 💲😂💲
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  870.  @gracefool  I smell a Russian troll. 🌻💀🌻
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  871.  @kth6736  Yea, right - then you woke up. They aren't going to build a decent navy because they lack the heavy industry, technology, experience and most importantly their coastline has virtually no infrastructure. Isn't Iran the only country in the world without a navigable river? And you think that they can have a navy! Iran showed that during the Iran-Iraq war that they were worse than Russia at employing meat wave attacks. Incompetent doesn't come near to describing how bad they are at anything except beating to death unarmed women on the streets by gangs of decency police! Iran is a JOKE. GET IT?
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  872. Yeah, the next few years will be very tough in that respect. 😐🇬🇧
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  873. I doubt that it was intentional on the part of the CCP, who I believe are largely incompetent, however the net result will be fewer old people which will benefit the state at the expense of the individual. Situation normal for a communist dictatorship.
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  874.  @arekkusub6877  31%, 27% commented by someone else. On a different thread for this video someone quoted that wind and solar was 63% combined. Lots of different answers. Do you trust your government to tell the truth? This is a genuine question.
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  875. What's your source out of curiosity. Thanks.
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  876.  @douglascollins7439  Thanks. 👍
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  877. ​ @Adsper2000  Actually a lot of people consider themselves Persian. It's code for people from that country who have fled, often from religious persecution and don't wish to be associated with the Islamic Republic of Iran. If the theocracy is ever overthrown it could be called Persia in the future. All the best.
    1
  878.  @adrien5834  France assisted Israel and no one objected.
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  879.  @echomande4395  Actually it is well documented that after the US had a few near misses and improved the safety by implementing measures which prevented accidental detonation, the US then openly shared safety information with the USSR. I suspect that they did this with all nuclear states - though perhaps not North Korea.
    1
  880. Well observed. Some of what he says is probably correct, but he's a salesman. He's selling to the US. So he predicts doom and gloom around the world, because that's what people will buy at the moment. But at the end he always smugly says that everything will be ok in the USA, and he has a piont, but the reason that he frames it that way is that it sells better that way. Personally he has far too much conviction for my taste. The world and the future is not as black and white as he makes out. I would trust someone who was less certain a lot more. All the best.
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  881. @Rob_F8F  So not: It will possibly lead to a continent-wide Civil War?
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  882.  @timh6845  my response was deleted
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  883.  @matthewgaudet8001  Correct, but it won't work.
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  884. That is absolutely a factor in this. Great point. 👍
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  885. "EVERYTHING MUST GO!" 😂👍
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  886. And flowers. You did remember the flowers right? 😲
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  887. Do you trust Chinese safety standards and are you confident that you will be able to get spare parts? Also do you trust the manufacturers claims about battery life. I'm NEVER going to buy a Chinese vehicle. I normally buy a 5 year old car and hang on to it for a decade. My next car will be a petrol (gasoline) Toyota or Honda. Hybrids are too complex and have much more failure points than a ICE. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  888. Traffic in NATO territorial waters won't be safe from mines unfortunately. Russia has the capability to mine from submarines. These aren't like WW2 mines, they're much more effective. If any ship is sunk and it can be proven to be Russian, then all Russia needs to do is say "sorry, it wasn't intentional". It's like a get out of jail free card. Slava Ukraine. 🇺🇦🇬🇧
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  889. Frozen bank accounts would certainly be very interesting. I doubt that will happen, but I didn't think that it could first time round. I wonder what would happen if government employees then went on strike? 🤯
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  890. ​ @ianfromthephilippines  Yes. I agree 100%. The US may not even bother with the Mediterranean, where the French/Italians/Greeks can face up to the Turks.
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  891. The Houthis rely on food aid from the UN, which is paid for by the West.
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  892. ​ @Wilbtube  Why not? I would welcome Ukraine and a democratic Belarus.
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  893. I personally doubt if hydrogen will ever contribute as an energy alternative. This is because hydrogen is the smallest element and hence extremely difficult to store and transport. Ammonia is likely to be a better proposition IMHO.
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