Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Western Europe, After America || Peter Zeihan" video.

  1. I know what you mean. I really struggle with some of his key concepts, like that the US Navy is going home, which may eventually come to pass, but for a start I don't think that the US President is ready to relinquish that level of power just yet. Until the invasion of Ukraine, Europe has not had a significant external threat since the end of the First Cold War and so far although the rhetoric is positive Europe is not showing great unity. The entire continent has still not ramped up military production significantly; Germany's military is still a joke; France is ominously quiet; and the only significant contributor outside of countries very close to Russia has been the UK. But consider the EU without German cash. No cash = no voice. What does the EU look like without Germany? Who are the EU's net financial contributors then? France, the Netherlands and Scandinavia? Does the EU in its current state benefit them? For that matter will the financial beneficiary states want the EU when they won't get money anymore? Also what does a banking stress test look like in the EU without German cash to bail it out? I know that it's really hard to imagine life in Europe without the EU in its current form, but gigantic changes are coming whether we like it or not. I think that the way that the UK left the EU was extremely badly managed to say the least, but it may work out well for Britain. I think that this will only happen if the politicians in London get their act together, which is a huge task. All the best.
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  2. France doesn't do cooperation. Source: History.
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  3.  @Rob-me8vp  Yes, absolutely. Russia is an imperial power with very little geographic security currently. Under the Soviets they had that security and lost it with the fall of Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact. Putin has stated that he wants that security back. If the United States gives up on Ukraine and NATO then Putin stands a pretty good chance of fracturing European alliances and getting what he wants. But it isn't just Putin, this is the core strategy of Russia. Expand until they reach a defendable position. Geographically Russia is in a very poor position currently and that is why they are in Ukraine.
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  4. Poland is afraid of another Russian invasion and quite right so. France is not. This is too big a divide to work IMHO.
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