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Ivancho
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Argentina, After America || Peter Zeihan" video.
If anything in a post American world (But is the USA really ready to give up that power? I kinda doubt it.) I see the UK being able to hold on to the Falklands more easily. In the event of another conflict the UK would be able to take the gloves off and use its submarines. I'm pretty sure that some unrestricted submarine warfare against Argentina would bring any conflict to an end rapidly (and even force Argentina to leave the Falklands in the unlikely scenario that they took them again) without aircraft carriers or American support. Since the end of WW2 the secondary nations like the UK haven't faught an "anything goes" war where the enemies commerce, infrastructure and population are all legitimate targets and hence most people think that such a war would be impossible today. I believe that especially if the US is no longer a security guarantor that historically brutal wars will return with a vengeance. The dream of American isolationism has always been an unrealistic dream and probably an domestic political tool which Zeihan seems to have fallen for to a degree. I agree that the USA is currently in one of its navel gazing phases when it disengages somewhat, but sooner or later it will be forced to sober up and realise that it actually needs the rest of the world. The pendulum swung too far towards globalization, next it will swing too far in the opposite direction, ad infinitum. All the best.
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