Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "The Syrian Consequence: Iran Goes "Defensive” || Peter Zeihan" video.

  1. While everyone is concerned about a war between Iran and Saudi Arabia causing an enormous disruption in the energy flow out of the area, what is often forgotten is that Iran itself uses a lot of energy. Iranian domestic production of oil and gas supplies the majority of its energy and it refines the vast majority of its own petrochemical products. This production and refining would allow it to be domestically virtually unaffected by the closure of the Straights of Hormuz. Conventional thinking would target Karg Island to stop Iran being able to export crude oil and hence cripple Iran economically. If however the USA (or possibly Israel) were to target Iranian refineries then Iran would be forced to import refined products, probably from Saudi Arabia, or face massive civil unrest, possible revolution and economic collapse. This would force Iran to keep the Straights of Hormuz open and improve its relationship with Saudi Arabia. It would also reduce the Iranian budget which would be a good thing. Of course Iran could rebuild its refining capacity, but that could be costly and they could always be destroyed again. Iran and its regime is IMHO much more vulnerable than it appears. Just a thought.
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  2.  @howtoappearincompletely9739  Yes. I have only heard Afghanistan referred to that way. The Yemen would be pathetically easy for almost any power to destroy them. Yemen's population is way beyond the capacity of the land to feed them. They literally survive on Western aid. Enough said.
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  3.  @orboakin8074  Thank you.
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