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Ivancho
Zeihan on Geopolitics
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Comments by "Ivancho" (@ivancho5854) on "Jets, Drones u0026 Refineries: Europe Remembers Geopolitics || Peter Zeihan" video.
@benhardsatrio8222 But where would those oil and refined imports into Russia be coming from and what ports are available for Russia to use? Would Russia import them into Vladivostok? No, the distance to European Russia is too far and the only producers of any significance are Western. The Trans Siberian Railway has also been running at capacity for a long time now and increasing traffic to transport oil is not possible. Would Russia import them into Murmansk? No, it's too far from the source of the oil and lacks the infrastructure to transport the oil south. Would Russia import them into the Baltic? Not for long because Europe could shut this route down. That just leaves the Black Sea and as these products are essential for the war they are valid and legal targets for Ukraine. Tankers would also have to come through the Mediterranean which is controlled by NATO. My guess is that tankers would burn and then stop.🔥 That just leaves pipelines through the Caucuses and I'm not sure about them, but it wouldn't be enough to fuel a war. Imports through Belarus will also need to be restricted. Russia is checkmated if Ukraine keeps targeting refineries and then tankers, but NATO needs to grow a pair and get tough. This would essentially be a blockade of Russia though which has consequences. All the best.
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