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Comments by "" (@obsidianjane4413) on "Would Stalin attack the West? Operation Unthinkable 1945" video.
You are missing the atomic factor. While it doesn't seem like the British planners took American nuclear weapons into account, because they didn't know or didn't want what was highly secret information in a paper study. Stalin DID know about the US atomic program from the NKVD infiltration of the Manhattan Project. This would have been a serious caution to Stalin if war with the West had broken out in '45. Besides being legitimately war weary. But The book you are using seems to have a very heavy cold-war hind-sight bias to it. Governments and generals gin up "what if" and speculative studies for all sorts of scenarios. That Churchill had them run one for war with the Soviets over Poland doesn't mean he actually intended to launch one. The Soviets did agree at Yalta to a "sovereign Poland" that would have been as independent as a Western dominated one, from their perspective. So this is an extremely weak casus belli to use. A slightly less plausabe one could have been instigating some kind of action in occupied Germany that blew up into a general conflict. But again, no one on the ground was in any mood or condition to continue dying.
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