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starventure
Ryan McBeth
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Comments by "starventure" (@starventure) on "The Most Likely Israel Regional War Scenario" video.
I disagree with the notion that Israel would allow Iran to lob missiles at them and then just return the favor. Warhead/payload is not easily inferred from a missile trajectory; a non-conventional weapons strike on Israel by Iran would have profound political consequences both internally to Israel and on the global stage. The old adage from the first gulf war, “you go chemical and I go nuclear” applies here and is the primary reason why I believe Iran will not fire any missiles at Israel. Israel would have no way of knowing whether the missile inbound to Tel Aviv is conventional or not, and would have to respond under the assumption it is non-conventional. I believe Iran knows this full well, and is why they have not done it, despite the verbal promises to Hamas they made to “jump in” to the conflict.
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