Gary VAQ
Military Summary
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Comments by "Gary VAQ" (@stlouisix1) on "Dozens Of Energy Facilities Destroyedđ„ Missile Restrictions Liftedâ ïž Military Summary For 2024.11.18" video.
It finally happenedâour questions on Russia and Putinâs resoluteness have been answered. After a nearly two-month hiatus of major long-range strikes on energy infrastructure, Russia struck back again last night with whatâs again being called one of the largest strikes of the war, which not only reportedly utilized a fleet of 16 Tu-95s, but according to some sources even a wing of Tu-160s for the first time.
Virtually every missile in Russiaâs arsenal was said to be fired:
âȘKh-101
âȘCaliber
âȘKh-32/22
âȘOniks
âȘIskander
âȘKinzhal
âȘZircon (apparently 2 were fired on targets at Kiev)
Energy substations were hit all over the country. Kh-101s are here seen hitting Rivne Nuclear Power Plantâs substation area:
Bloomberg reports that generation at Ukrainian nuclear facilities was cut back by 40-90%, with only 2 out of 9 total reactors operating at full power:
Now, as if timed to stave off the morale depletion of the coming âdark winterâ, Biden is reportedly set to announce the removal of long-range strikes restrictions on Ukraineâs ATACMS:
This announcement was reportedly immediately followed by France and Britain authorizing use of Storm Shadow/Scalp missiles on Russian territory as well. As weâve discussed here many times, politically neutered and ideologically paralyzed Europe can do nothing without its master first giving the go ahead or signaling support.
The announcement comes just as ATACMS stocks have been depleted, with several articles over the past month or so noting this. The same goes for Storm Shadow/Scalp:
Remember: for the Storm Shadows to be fired âdeepâ into Russian territory, the F-16sâor whatever platform carrying themâwould have to get almost right up to the Russian border, and risk almost certain shoot down by Russian patrol craft, long range AD, etc. The same goes for ATACMSâeveryone just assumes it can hit max distance into Voronezh, but to do that the ATACMS would have to be right on the border. They learned the hard way what happens when they try that, as a slew of HIMARS trucks were destroyed not far from the border in the Kursk fiasco.
With stockpiles for both ATACMS, Storm Shadows, and even future-potential Taurus missiles scraping the bottom of the barrel, itâs not expected they could make any real mark.
German state TV complains from Kiev:
- The Russians advance every day in many places
- Ukrainian soldiers run away
- Ukrainian soldiers commit suicide
The situation is really bad at the front.
It gets back to what we talked about last time: Trump loves to have his cake and eat it too. He would love to profit from both sides of the equation by satisfying Ukraine with arms so he doesnât âlook like a big loserâ or betrayer, while at the same time, courting Russia for concessions and an armistice. But such âtwo-chairâ tactics wonât work for now-hardline and maximalist Russia, and so the only question which remains is will Trump be angered once his ego is hurt by Putinâs snub, and thus try to âstrongmanâ himself into some escalation to upstage Russia? Or will he smartly concede the floor to Russiaâs advantages and realize WWIII is not worth it for his grand capitalist revival dreams? - Simplicius
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