Comments by "foil hat" (@foilhat1138) on "DW News" channel.

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  278.  @binbi8177  China's real estate market is collapsing (30% of their economy) Exports is collapsing (20% of their economy) Internal consumption is way down. China has been dumping steel at a loss and is only able to continue due to massive government subsidies. Manufacturing has moved to India, Mexico Vietnam. Even the US is going through the fastest industrialization in its history, including WW2. Li Keqiang, head of the Communist Party in northeastern Liaoning province at the time said China's GDP figures are "man-made" and therefore unreliable. He Keng, former deputy head of the statistics bureau said housing in China might be overbuilt by 300%. and most of that is 'tofu dreg' construction that is never meant to be lived in, the entire thing is just a scam to keep steel and concrete production up. Chinese people are paying mortgages on them though going into massive debt. In 2022 China had a higher GDP to debt load than the US by over 40%, and its still classified as a developing country, they aren't even rich yet. US GDP per capita is 80,412.41. while its only 18187.98 US dollars in 2022, when adjusted by purchasing power parity in China. (and according the China the GDP numbers are made up so who know's what it actually is) Youth unemployment is around 40%, its so bad they cant even make up numbers to make it look reasonable like they do with GDP so they stopped counting it. Oh and their rockets are full of water instead of rocket fuel. But sure, China is booming just ask them.
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  689.  @balern4  It has abstained from successive votes in the UN Security Council, General Assembly, and Human Rights Council that condemned Russian aggression in Ukraine and thus far has refused to openly call out Russia as the instigator of the crisis. Indian strategic elites would admit that their country’s diplomatic neutrality ultimately signifies what one Indian scholar has called “a subtle pro-Moscow position.” This seems particularly incongruous today because India stands shoulder-to-shoulder with the United States in opposing Chinese assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific while at the same time appearing tolerant of the vastly more egregious Russian belligerence in Europe. New Delhi chose to convey its dismay about Moscow’s breach of international norms, but it focused disproportionately on the humanitarian catastrophe produced by the crisis while consistently avoiding the larger issue of adjudicating the aggression. India’s tightrope walk on the Ukraine war has been described as “strategic ambivalence.” Far from it—it actually reflects New Delhi’s deliberate choice, even if a constrained one. This decision to steer clear of publicly condemning Russia is shaped not by abstract concerns about the integrity of the world order but by purposeful Indian calculations about how alienating Russia might undermine its security. India’s posture today remains fundamentally consistent with its past forbearance in the face of previous Russian aggression, for example, in Hungary in 1956, in Czechoslovakia in 1968, and in Afghanistan in 1979. Despite this last crisis having subverted India’s regional environment for forty years and counting, New Delhi has been excessively charitable when calling out Russian misdemeanors, a courtesy that historically has never been equally extended to the United States. India’s continuing dependence on Russia for military equipment only deepens its reluctance to alienate Moscow in any way. This aspect has received widespread attention since the beginning of the Ukraine war, but it is ultimately secondary to the larger calculations that center on preserving strong ties with Russia as part of India’s efforts to both balance China while constraining Pakistan and realize a multipolar system where it cannot be hemmed in by any excessively powerful states. All the same, New Delhi’s current dependence on Moscow for the spares and support necessary to maintain its large inventory of Russian-origin military equipment is real.
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  1069.  @paulfredriksteiner  Do you really think Mossad publishes its info? "Disinformation is being promoted in social networks, claiming that the Turkish media outlet, Hurseda Haber, published exclusive information about military casualties as a result of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine ostensibly based on anonymous data from Israeli intelligence. According to the claim which was disseminated across the world and was also featured on a Rustavi 2 TV programme in Georgia apart from appearing in social networks, Russia has lost only 18,480 troops in Ukraine since 24 February 2022 whilst Ukraine’s losses are 157,000. In addition, hostilities in Ukraine claimed the lives of more than 2,000 soldiers and NATO instructors according to the disinformation. In fact, reports that Mossad published such statistics or that these reports were given to the aforementioned Turkish media outlet are not based on any factual evidence or data. The information provided by the Turkish media, which was later used by different media outlets or individuals to circulate the same information, is not confirmed by any source. The article does not include the name of the author nor the source of the information. It simply contains unsubstantiated numbers and states that the figures are based on Israeli intelligence’s field data of 14 January 2023. There is a sharp discrepancy between figures in the article about the losses in manpower and weaponry for Ukraine and Russia and figures from all previously published reliable official and unofficial sources (for instance, Ukraine did not have 514 aircraft/helicopters and 6,320 tanks which the article says were destroyed at the beginning of the war or during its active phase). The exact amount of losses is unknown, although as stated by the Head of Norwegian Armed Forces, Eirik Kristoffersen, casualties of the Russian army, both dead and wounded, are within the margins of 180,000 whilst casualties for Ukraine are about 100,000. In addition, according to the assessment of Mark Milley, Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Russian losses in Ukraine are over 100,000. It is also a lie that military hostilities in Ukraine claimed the lives of over 2,000 military service members of NATO member states. NATO troops do not take part in combat actions in Ukraine whilst NATO military instructors (instructors from the UK and the US as indicated in the publication) do not train Ukrainian soldiers on the territory of Ukraine. This information was also verified by an influential American outlet, Politifact, which officially reached out to NATO requesting comments on the aforementioned information. NATO officials responded to Politifact and clarified: “There are no troops or trainers under NATO command in Ukraine and no NATO personnel have been killed in the conflict."
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  1116.  @ИринаЛукьяненко-ь3ъ  I have no idea why you would lie about something so easy to google. Pre Soviet Union. Besides the Ems ukaz and Valuev Circular, there was a series of anti-Ukrainian language edicts starting from the 17th century, when Russia was governed by the House of Romanov. In 1720 Peter the Great issued an edict prohibiting printing books in the Ukrainian language, and since 1729 all edicts and instructions have only been in the Russian language. In 1763 Catherine the Great issued an edict prohibiting lectures in the Ukrainian language at the Kyiv-Mohyla Academy. In 1769 the Most Holy Synod prohibited printing and using the Ukrainian alphabet book. In 1775 the Zaporizhian Sich was destroyed. In 1832 all studying at schools of the Right-bank Ukraine transitioned to exclusively Russian language. In 1847 the Russian government persecuted all members of the Brotherhood of Saints Cyril and Methodius and prohibited the works of Taras Shevchenko, Panteleimon Kulish, Mykola Kostomarov (Nikolai Kostomarov) and others. In 1862 all free Sunday schools for adults in Ukraine were closed. In 1863 the Russian Minister of Interior Valuev decided that the Little Russian language (Ukrainian language) had never existed and could not ever exist. During that time in the winter of 1863–64, the January Uprising took place at the western regions of the Russian Empire, uniting peoples of the former Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth. Next year in 1864 the "Regulation about elementary school" claimed that all teaching should be conducted in the Russian language. In 1879 the Russian Minister of Education Dmitry Tolstoy (later the Russian Minister of Interior) officially and openly stated that all people of the Russian Empire should be Russified. In the 1880s several edicts were issued prohibiting education in the Ukrainian language at private schools, theatric performances in Ukrainian, any use of Ukrainian in official institutions, and christening Ukrainian names. In 1892 another edict prohibited translation from the Russian to Ukrainian. In 1895 the Main Administration of Publishing prohibited printing children books in Ukrainian. In 1911 the resolution adopted at the 7th Congress of Noblemen in Moscow prohibited the use of any languages other than Russian. In 1914 the Russian government officially prohibited celebrations of the 100th Anniversary of Shevchenko's birthday and posted gendarmes at the Chernecha Hill. The same year Nicholas II of Russia issued an edict prohibiting the Ukrainian press.
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  1144.  @sapatsuppa  You realize that just saying something doesn't make it true right? Stop spreading lies. Before the referendum was proclaimed, the Crimean peninsula saw Russian soldiers take over public buildings and Ukrainian military installations. When the referendum was proclaimed, the Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar People called for a boycott of the referendum. The March 16 referendum's available choices did not include keeping the status quo of Crimea and Sevastopol as they were at the moment the referendum was held. OSCE chair, Switzerland's Foreign Minister Didier Burkhalter, declared the referendum as unconstitutional and therefore the OSCE would not send observers. OSCE military observers attempted to enter the region four times but were turned away, sometimes after warning shots were fired, which was another reason give for not dispatching referendum observers. OSCE also published a report about their observations which "produced significant evidence of equipment consistent with the presence of Russian Federation military personnel in the vicinity of the various roadblocks encountered". The UN Human Rights Envoy Ivan Šimonović had to cancel his trip to Crimea as the current situation did not permit his travel. He intended to observe the human rights situation which was Russia's explanation for its engagement in Crimea. Reports from the UN criticized the circumstances surrounding the referendum, especially the presence of paramilitaries, self-defence groups and unidentifiable soldiers.
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  1159. Please. China couldnt even make ballpoint pens until 2017. The ASPI is a fear mongering publications trying to spur Australian military spending. In February 2020, Australian Labor Party Senator Kim Carr described the ASPI as "hawks intent on fighting a new cold war." Former Foreign Minister Bob Carr (no relation) said the ASPI provides a "one-sided, pro-American view of the world" and criticised the group for taking what he claimed was almost $450,000 from the U.S. State Department, to track Australian universities with Chinese research collaborations, and "vilifying and denigrating Australian researchers and their work." Bob Carr's criticism of ASPI came after ASPI president Peter Jennings had raised questions about the donation of $1.8 million by a Chinese billionaire to a group related to Carr. ASPI replied that it "doesn't have an editorial line on China, but we have a very clear method for how we go about our research," and claimed that the true amount of State Department funding was less than half that amount stated by Carr. ASPI was criticized by former diplomats John Menadue, Geoff Raby, and Bruce Haigh, with Haigh referring to ASPI as serving the foreign policy interests of the Liberal Party of Australia. In July 2022 an article in The Economist described ASPI as "hawkish". In October 2018, the Australian Digital Transformation Agency criticised an ASPI report on the Australian Government's digital identity program. The Agency stated that the report "was inaccurate and contained many factual errors", which "demonstrate a clear misunderstanding of how the digital identity system is intended to work". There is much more criticism than this, feel free to read them for yourself before you post such embarrassing 'facts' again.
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  1181.  @Godfrey544  We are at the bottom of a line that goes straight up. Most mid level white collar jobs could already be eliminated (and along with them most mid level managers) it's mostly just lack of knowledge and inertia that keeps things going as they are. I'm not able to predict what's actually going to happen, nobody is this is uncharted territory. What we've seen so far is pre Wright brothers stuff, contraptions that have no hope of flying, then all of a sudden 60 years later were on the moon. Only the rise of AI will be much faster and much more disruptve then flight. Already ChatGPT scores in the top 10% on the bar exam, meaning that for 90% of the population its more optimal to talk to AI then to an actual lawyer. Art, which at one point we thought the realm of humans turns out to be pretty easy for AI and its only a matter of time before we start seing AI books, video games and films, complete with AI actors. The last bastion will be blue collar work as our robotics development is behind our AI so far, but once we are able to ask AI for blueprints (and it can already code so I dont think this is that far off) things will change drastically even for blue collar workers. Kurzweil still thinks we'll have super intelligence by 2029, i've seen other's in the field predict anywhere from 5 years to 18 months. People get hung up on concousness for AGI but as one person put it, who's name I unfortunately forget. It doesn't matter so much what AI thinks, but what it can do.
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  1345.  @AlexWolfM  1) Russia's offensive has been a disaster, far worse then Ukraine's. There is actual photographic evidence to back this up, not just Putin and Shoigu's say so. 2)The 100k comes from the Russian MoD (yesterday I heard 70k you guys need to get your stories straight.) Putin on his September 12th speech claimed they'd destroyed over 18k Ukrainian armored vehicles since the offensive started. An amazing feat considering Ukraine started the war with 7k and received around 4k in aid. Russia must have mastered interdimensional travel and have been destroying Ukraine's army in other timelines. 4)As I said above Russia has spent the past 20 years stroking themselves off as the worlds number 2 army, bending the knee to North Korea is humiliating no matter how you try to spin it. 5)This is untrue As of May 2023 the United States had given Ukraine more than 160 howitzers and more than 2 million 155 mm artillery rounds. For their part, E.U. countries have provided Ukraine with about 350,000 155-millimeter shells in total as of Mar 16, 2023. Those are the most recent numbers i've found, I'm sure numbers are even higher now. Why lie about something that's so easy to google? The US and EU are also investing to increase 155 production by six fold. Also what's your point? A large percentage of the shells from the west are guided munitions that will actually hit their target. The NK shells are ones Russia sold NK decades ago and may or may not work. 6)They said the same thing about the T62, but its been spotted multiple times being used in an MBT role. Russia is using the T54 because their losses have been catastrophic. Imagine if the US invaded Mexico then after almost two years of trench warfare and 6 figure casualties they only controlled around 15% of Mexico (after losing 50% of the territory they once occupied.) Then they dusted off the M26 Pershing and said "don't worry the M26 is cheap mobile fortifications that are used exclusively as defense." What a humiliating joke.
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  1384.  @davidlloyd2583  "The Russians have run into a lot of problems. They've got command-and-control issues, logistics issues. They've got morale issues, leadership issues and a wide variety of other issues.” Failures of command result in a lot of wasted shells and rockets and all-too-frequent friendly-fire incidents. Even when artillery is hitting nothing or, worse, hitting allied positions, the gunners just keep blasting away. There’s a “near-absence of reversionary courses of action” in the Russian fire-control system, analysts Mykhaylo Zabrodskyi, Jack Watling, Oleksandr Danylyuk and Nick Reynolds explained in a study for the Royal United Services Institute in London. What that means is, in Russian doctrine, brigades, battalions and batteries tend to freeze up in the absence of detailed instructions from higher command. While awaiting fresh orders, lower units just keep doing what they already were doing. Even when it doesn’t make sense. Even when the current course of action is killing friendly troops. “This approach has probably had the greatest impact in creating a gap between potential and actual capability as regards Russian fires,” Zabrodskyi, Watling, Danylyuk and Reynolds wrote. Russian gunners simply don’t think for themselves. “All reported contacts are treated as true. All fire missions appear to be given equal priority and are prosecuted in the order in which they are received unless an order to prioritize a specific mission comes from higher authority.” “It seems that those directing fire missions either do not have access to contextual information or are indifferent to it,” the analysts added. Ukrainian gunners shoot, correct their aim, shoot again—and entirely change up their schemes of fire when those schemes aren’t working. Russian gunners, on the other hand, tend to blast away at the wrong coordinates while awaiting new orders from division. Orders that might never come.
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  1553.  @billcarson818  So you don't believe what Arakhamia said but you use him as proof? Do you understand how idiotic that sounds? The quote I gave from him was his clarification of his statement. I'll post it again try to read it carefully. “First of all, in order to agree to this point, you have to change the constitution. Our aspiration towards NATO is written in the constitution. Also, there is no trust in the Russians that they will do this. This would only be possible if there were security guarantees. We couldn’t sign something, go away, everybody there would breathe a sigh of relief, and then they would come more prepared, because in fact, when they invaded, they were unprepared for such resistance. We could only work on this when we were 100% sure that this [intrusion] would never happen again. However, there is no such belief." Arakhamia also denied the fact that the Ukrainian delegation was ready to sign the document and Boris Johnson stopped them. According to his own words, the Western partners were informed about the negotiations and had seen the draft versions of the agreement, but "they did not make decisions on behalf of Ukraine and could only give advice." Accordingly, David Arakhamia did not say that Ukraine was ready to sign a document promising peace in exchange for neutrality. Arakhamia’s interview reveals that Ukraine was not going to sign the document even before receiving Boris Johnson’s advice, therefore, it is manipulative to claim that the Russia-Ukraine agreement failed because of Boris Johnson or that Ukraine made the decision because of his position.
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  1576.  @wanderer2246  The longer answer: The first Chechen war in the 1990s saw a freer Russian press strongly criticize the loss of life of Russian soldiers and the conduct of the war. Mothers’ actions (sponsored by CSM) ‘had a profound effect on raising awareness and turning public opinion against the war’ wrote Amy Caiazza in 2002. Its members often kidnapped their own sons from military bases. What was different in the first war was that everyone had clear information from the press about the incompetence of the military campaign. The government was not trusted, and the army did not have a high standing in society. Furthermore, the mothers had strong support from wider society for their actions. Caiazza writes that CSM was able to be quite activist in the 90s, though its success was more down to publicity and its influence on institutions low in the longer term. She also notes the organizing principle based not on objection to men making war, but on mothers’ suffering. At least part of the success of the messaging was based on a bio-essentialist version of maternity and instinct. Mother’s activist actions were a ‘natural’ biological imperative to protect their sons and therefore they fulfilled their duty as mothers. This exploited well an ideological opportunity structure to gain legitimacy that has mainly been unavailable for groups trying to undertake civic action in Russia. This is not only ‘smart’ from a perspective that would see Russians more receptive to a conservative message like this. CSM avoided being identified as a feminist organization and instead proposed women’s rights as human rights (Caiazza 2002). This caused conflict with more radical feminist organizations in Russia, but the CSM’s public activities also drew plaudits. Caiazza also writes about the men’s anti-draft movement, which was largely unsuccessful. CSM lobbied Parliament and got concessions on deserters. (Interestingly only Yabloko and LDPR voted against full amnesties!). Caiazza claims further success in the campaign influencing Yeltsin’s cuts to the size of the military. CSM failed, however, to prevent army service being extended from 1.5 years to 2. CSM also was successful in publicizing the individual resistance to military service – i.e. draft dodging and getting medical exemptions legally. The second Chechen war saw more mobilization of public opinion behind the conflict and a controlled press coverage of it.
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  1666.  @TheKkpop1  China is the land of shortcuts and facades. I'll leave you to research why China's patent surge doesn't mean much, you can start with 'strategic patenting' but here's a snippet. Most recently, Eberhardt, Helmers et al. (2017), first employing quantitative analysis based on representative firm-level data from SIPO and USPTO between 1985 and 2006, revealed that the patent surge at SIPO was driven by factors other than underlying innovative behavior, including government subsidies that directly encouraged patent filings. Different from the study by Hu and Jefferson (2009) using aggregated patent data, they differentiated between the three types of patents and focused on invention patents that represented for more novelty and inventiveness. Hu, Zhang et al. (2017) further confirmed that the correlation between patents and innovative factor, R&D, has become weaker, especially for utility models, which denoted that the patent surge was driven by non-innovation related motives. Using a more update dataset from 2007 to 2011, they justified the government policy incentive hypothesis. Meanwhile, they manifested that most of the patent growth came from firms that were not active in applying for patents in the past. They also left space for further research on other non-innovative motivations that played a part in propelling the patent boom. What’s more, there have been controversies on the relationship between the quality and quantity of Chinese patents during the patent surge. Li (2012)’s empirical examination based on the ratio of patent grants to applications also implied that the patent surge was not followed by lowered patent application quality. However, this implication was soon confuted by other scholars. Zhang and Chen (2012) estimated a lower value of patents requested by domestic applicants than foreign applicants. After assessing the quality of Chinese patent filings in EPO, Thoma (2013) provided support for the “strategic patenting” hypothesis on the lower value and quality of Chinese patents. Dang and Motohashi (2015) demonstrated that grant-contingent patent subsidies unintentionally encouraged applicants to file for patents with a narrow claim scope to increase the chance of grants, which resulted in lower economic value. Boeing and Mueller (2016) found an over-time quality decrease for Chinese Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) applications by international comparison, and they found evidence for a negative correlation between patent quality and patent subsidies as well. To sum up, a patent surge is not always a reflection of increases in true innovation
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