Comments by "The Looinrims" (@looinrims) on "Who benefits more from a long war in Ukraine?" video.
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@rbo3193 let’s take an example, javelin
Even procurement generals like Dean said, this is months old in fairness but even after all those months ‘we have not dipped into US army stocks to supply Ukraine with Javelin launchers and ammo’ why? Because US government defense companies are given what’s called Warmer contracts, to keep the factory ‘warm’ producing needed equipment should a sudden requirement for lots of equipment happen, even if they don’t need the equipment. That happens for javelins, for M124s and their ammo, artillery ammo, etc
Considering how long it’s gonna take western companies to scale production, it doesn’t matter if the war ends tomorrow, western militaries that aren’t USA by the way have shit themselves realizing how little ammo they have compared to the demands of modern warfare. The only boon to US defense industry is eastern nato FINALLY, after 3 decades of not, when theyve been required to, switching to nato standard equipment (think 155mm arty, 120mm tank cannon, 20mm/30mm auto cannon, etc) as they dumped their Soviet stocks into Ukraine. But this was slowly happening anyway, and has a limit. If the war drags on for 5 years there’s no further benefit unless European nato expands their armed forces. Thing is, they’re not, they’re criticized heavily for doing fuck all for production, and quite a few have domestic production of equipment.
Any fruits for usa monetarily are not worth the tens of billions spent, unless Ukraine somehow became a massive trading partner which just isn’t gonna happen. Conservative estimates for rebuilding Ukraine to what it was prewar are 350 BILLION USD, that’s double it’s gdp as of Jan 2022
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